Analysis

12/31/22

8 min read

NFL Week 17: Betting, Fantasy, Breakdowns, Matchups and More

Can the Miami Dolphins clinch one of the two remaining playoff spots in the AFC? How about the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, New York Giants, and Washington Commanders in the NFC, where only three spots remain up for grabs?

Will we see either the Buffalo Bills or Philadelphia Eagles clinch the top seed and lone first-round bye in their respective conferences?

Are we in store for more big changes out of eliminated teams, after a week where the Broncos fired head coach Nathaniel Hackett and the Raiders benched longtime quarterback Derek Carr?

As we get set for this weekend's Week 17 matchups, The 33rd Team’s experts — with more than 1,000 years of NFL coaching, playing and executive experience — break down the weekend's games, including fantasy, DFS and betting analysis from some of the industry’s best.

Betting Advice

>>Odds, Predictions for Every Game (Ryan Reynolds)

>> Picks, Survivor Advice, Teasers (Reynolds, Farley, Constable)

>> Best Bets of the Week (Farley)

>> Betting Narratives (Farley)

>> First-Half Best Bets (Constable)

>> Top 15 Player Props (Larky, Reynolds, Wolbransky)

>> Underdog High/Low Picks (O'Connell)

>>Chiefs' Pacheco is Best Bet for Week 17 (Wolbransky)

>>Smash the Over on Buccaneers' Mike Evans (Mendelson)

>> Betting, Fantasy, DFS Info to Know (Bobal)

Fantasy Advice

>> Larky's PPR Rankings (Larky)

>> Hill's Rankings (Hill)

>> Wheeler's Rankings (Wheeler)

>> Receivers Who'll Win Fantasy Championships (Caruso)

>> Defenses, Kickers to Stream (Cohen)

>> Underdog Fantasy Playoffs Best Ball Guide (Larky)

>> Dynasty Stock Report (Young)

DFS Advice

>> Pass-, Run-Game Targets (Bobal)

>> Cheap Value Plays (Kaplan)

>>Main Slate Tournament Stacks, Player Pool (Vanek)

>>Cover 5 Show (Vanek, Wolbranksy)

Week 17 Games (All Times ET)

Arizona at Atlanta (1 p.m.)

>> Watt Leaving Behind Hall of Fame Legacy (Phillips)

>> Never Forget Watt's Dominance (Thomas, Schwartz)

>> The Greatness of J.J. Watt (Mornhinweg, Cassel)

>> Obvious Early J.J. Watt Was Special (Phillips)

>> Fantasy: Allgeier Leads List of Waiver Adds (Larky, Reynolds)

>> Betting: Odds, Spreads (Reynolds)

Chicago at Detroit (1 p.m.)

>> Campbell Building Winning Culture in Detroit (Martz)

>> Fantasy: Goff Due for Big Game vs. Bears (Fewster)

>> Betting: Odds, Spreads (Reynolds)

Jacksonville at Houston (1 p.m.)

>> Week 17 is Meaningless for Jaguars, Titans (Wingo)

>> Pederson's Signature All Over 2022 Jaguars (Davis)

>> Lawrence Has Jaguars Ready for Success (Martz)

>> DFS: Get Evan Engram in Lineups (Vanek)

>> Betting: Odds, Spreads (Reynolds)

Denver at Kansas City (1 p.m.)

>> Lessons Teams Can Learn From Hackett, Broncos (Wannstedt)

>> Broncos Get Head Start in Coach Search (Mornhinweg, Cassel)

>> Coaching Change Helps Wilson (Banner)

>> Blame Broncos' O-Line for Wilson's Play (Banner)

>> Mahomes is No-Doubt MVP (Mangini)

>> Fantasy: Start Pacheco vs. Broncos (Fewster)

>> Betting: Odds, Spreads (Reynolds)

Miami at New England (1 p.m.)

>> AFC East Race Entertaining (Mornhinweg, Cassel)

>> Dolphins Must Protect Tua Better (Wingo)

>> Is Mac Jones a Dirty Player? (Mangini, Pagano)

>> Betting: Odds, Spreads (Reynolds)

Indianapolis at N.Y. Giants (1 p.m.)

>> Giants Should Pay Jones (Johnson)

>> Betting: Odds, Spreads (Reynolds)

New Orleans at Philadelphia (1 p.m.)

>> Impact of Lane Johnson Injury (Mangini, Pagano)

>> Betting: Odds, Spreads (Reynolds)

Carolina at Tampa Bay (1 p.m.)

>> Wilks Deserves Panthers' Coaching Job (Mangini)

>> Brady Still Elite Pocket Passer (Zimmer, Lewis)

>> Brady's Career Coming to Close (Reed)

>> Betting: Odds, Spreads (Reynolds)

Cleveland at Washington (1 p.m.)

>> Browns Are Total Disaster (Diamond)

>> Fantasy: Time to Cut Watson (Fewster)

>> Fantasy: Get Dotson Into Lineups (Cohen)

>> DFS: QB Change Means Challenge for Commander WRs (Vanek, Jennings)

>> Betting: Odds, Spreads (Reynolds)

San Francisco at Las Vegas (4:05 p.m.)

>> Carr/Raiders Split Best for Both Sides (Martz)

>> Purdy Can Lead 49ers to Super Bowl (Davis)

>> Betting: Game Preview, Breakdown (Williams, Farley)

>> Betting: Odds, Spreads (Reynolds)

N.Y. Jets at Seattle (4:05 p.m.)

>> Accurate Geno Key to Beating Seahawks (Zimmer, Lewis)

>> Woolen Deserves Rookie of the Year (Woodson)

>> Patience Key When Facing White (Nwosu)

>> Should Jets Move on From Wilson? (Coles, Chrebet)

>> Teams Who Should Trade for Wilson (Burmeister)

>> Betting: Game Preview, Breakdown (Williams, Farley)

>> Betting: Odds, Spreads (Reynolds)

Minnesota at Green Bay (4:25 p.m.)

>> Vikings Ready for Revenge-Minded Packers (Osborn)

>> Jefferson Deserves MVP (Osborn)

>> Win or Go Home for Packers (AJ Dillon)

>> Betting: Game Preview, Breakdown (Williams, Farley)

>> Betting: Odds, Spreads (Reynolds)

L.A. Rams at L.A. Chargers (4:25 p.m.)

>> Simplified Offense Yielding Success for Baker in L.A. (Trestman)

>> Betting: Odds, Spreads (Reynolds)

Pittsburgh at Baltimore (8:20 p.m.)

>> Compromise Between Ravens, Lamar Will Get Deal Done (Banner)

>> DFS: Pickens, Johnson Strong Plays vs. Ravens (Vanek, Jennings)

>> Betting: Odds, Spreads (Reynolds)

Buffalo at Cincinnati (Monday, 8:30 p.m.)

>> Bills Need Win for Homefield Advantage (Rousseau)

>> Diggs vs. Bengals DBs Matchup to Watch (Woodson)

>> Buffalo Must Re-Sign Poyer (Woodson)

>> Fantasy: Limit Expectations for Singletary (Fewster)

>> DFS: Chase, Higgins Hold Advantage (Vanek, Jennings)

>> Betting: Game Preview, Breakdown (Williams, Farley)

Week 17 Rankings

>> 1-32 Team Power Rankings (Paul Domowitch)

>> 1-32 Quarterback Rankings (McCreight)

>> 1-32 Offensive Efficiency Rankings (Sports Info Solutions)

>> 1-32 Defensive Efficiency Rankings (Sports Info Solutions)


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