DFS

NFL Week 17 DFS: Main Slate Tournament Stacks, Player Pool

Week 17 DFS tournament style games

If you are new to DFS, check out our introductory pieces, such as DFS 101, Contest Selection, Stacking, Rostership, Leverage, and Lineup Construction.

Below we will take a look at some of the double stacks, single stacks, and mini stacks I will be looking to take advantage of this weekend. If you have any questions, ask them on our 33rd Team Discord.

We also have Rostership Data for FREE, which can be found in the link below! https://www.the33rdteam.com/dfs/how-to-utilize-rostership-data-to-win-dfs-tournaments/ 

Double Stacks

Stack: QB Deshaun Watson WR Amari Cooper WR Donovan Peoples-Jones

Runback: RB Brian Robinson Jr.

The main reason for playing the Watson stack is the leverage you are getting off of Jared Goff stacks and Aaron Rodgers stacks.

Watson has not been the same quarterback this season; however, the more experience he gets, the more I expect him to improve. He’s also had to deal with harsh weather conditions in a few of his starts this season, but in this game, the weather shouldn’t be a factor.

The Browns have also been eliminated from playoff contention, so they will likely want to use the opportunity to work on their passing offense. The Commanders have been one of the best teams in the NFL at defending wide receivers lined up out wide but one of the worst at defending slot receivers. Cooper and Peoples-Jones have gotten plenty of routes from the slot position, as the Browns have utilized a lot of three-wide receiver sets with David Bell. This stack has a massive ceiling at a low cost and a high leverage spot.

The Browns’ secondary has improved recently, but their run defense has been awful. The Browns have allowed five teams to run for over 130 yards in their last seven games. Antonio Gibson is out, and Robinson has impressed in recent weeks having over 100 yards in three of the last four games. Robinson is a chalky running back this week but will be unique with a Watson double stack.

Single Stacks

Stack: QB Justin Fields WR Chase Claypool

Runback: WR Amon-Ra St. Brown

The Lions haven’t played less than 40% man coverage since Week 8, and Fields, against a team playing 40% or more man coverage, has run for 60 or more yards in all four games.

This includes a 147-yard rushing game against the Lions and a 178-yard rushing game against the Dolphins. At the price of Fields, I am searching for the 100-yard rushing bonus, and this is another game for him to get close to that.

Claypool practiced in a limited fashion this week, and slot receivers have performed every week against the Lions. Claypool will be the primary slot player and has the upside for a big game in this matchup. The Lions allow ten yards per attempt against slot receivers this season, which is the most in the NFL.

Against the Bears’ primary coverages, St.Brown gets targeted on 31.1% target of his routes and averages 3.01 yards per route. The Bears are also the third-worst team in the NFL at defending the slot, giving up 9.2 yards per attempt. The Lions’ secondary wide receivers are in play here, but St.Brown is the clear favorite in this matchup.

Mini-Stacks

CAR @ TB

WR DJ Moore RB Leonard Fournette

The Buccaneers have run Cover 3 at over a 45% rate this year. With Sam Darnold as the starting quarterback, Moore has a 33% target share against that coverage and averages 2.34 yards per route run.

The Buccaneers have four key secondary players dealing with an injury, and Carlton Davis is not expected to play. The Panthers’ run game has been the focal point, but Buccaneers coach Todd Bowles is one of the best at stopping the run, and I expect the Panthers to need throws to Moore to help out the run game.

Jaycee Horn suffered a broken wrist and is out for this game, which tells me the Panthers will need to play with two safeties deep not to get beat down the field. That will allow Fournette room to work, and in a playoff game, I expect him to be the main player. Fournette had 29 touches last weekend, nine receptions for 90 yards and 20 carries for 72 yards. Tom Brady will rely heavily on Fournette, and at home as favorites, I expect him to have a big workload.

JAX @ HOU

TE Evan Engram WR Brandin Cooks

Doug Pederson isn’t resting his players. Against the Texans’ primary coverages, it will be Evan Engram running the show. The Texans run a Tampa 2, and when you play against it, you will want to hit the middle of the field between the safeties, where Engram will dominate. Engram had six receptions in their first matchup for 69 yards, and in this matchup, I expect him to exceed those totals.

Cooks was targeted nine times in the Texans’ win against the Titans, and in his career, he averages 103.5 yards receiving against the Jaguars. When the Jaguars have faced off against players that get targeted heavily, they give up big games, and at his price, Cooks does not need to do much. 

One-Offs

RB Saquon Barkley

The Giants clinch a playoff berth with a win against the Colts. The Trenches tool gives the Giants the f0urth-highest advantage in the running game of any team. I am expecting the Giants to give him a full playoff-level workload, knowing the following week, they can rest him for a game that could not mean anything. Barkley hasn’t hit the 100-yard rushing bonus since Week 10, and I expect him to get it done in this matchup.  

RB Zonovan Knight 

The Seahawks have allowed the highest yards per reception to RBs, and are one of the best in the NFL at limiting wide receivers. Knight is the main running back in the Jets’ offense and has been the lead back in four of the last five games. With QB Mike White starting, he averaged 20 touches a game with 99.4 yards per game. 

WR Brandon Aiyuk

Aiyuk is one of the best players in the NFL at defeating man coverage, averaging 2.86 yards per attempt, and has a 30% target share in a crowded offense. Brock Purdy found a rhythm with him last week, and I expect that to continue in this matchup, where they will have the ball often, with Jarrett Stidham being the Raiders’ starting QB.

Defenses

49ers

DraftKings priced the best defense in football against Jarrett Stidham at $2,900. The 49ers are the chalk defense of the week, rightfully so, with their pass rush and the matchup.

Jets

The Jets’ defense gets Mike White back as their starter, and they are taking on a Seattle team that has struggled in recent weeks. The Jets mimic a lot of what the 49ers do, and the Seahawks have had no answer for that style of defense. Tyler Lockett is back in the lineup; however, he isn’t far removed from the surgery.

Patriots

Amongst players with at least 60 passing attempts, Teddy Bridgewater has been sacked at the sixth-highest rate at 8.8% of his dropbacks and has been pressured on the most. The Dolphins have struggled without Tua Tagovailoa, and I do not anticipate that changing here.

Packers

Since Week 7, the Packers have forced a turnover in every game they have played, and the Vikings have turned it over in seven of their past nine games. Kirk Cousins gets pressured on 21 dropbacks per game, and if they start trailing, the Packers’ pass rush will be able to get home.

Player Pool

Player Pos Team Opp DK Salary FD Salary VegasPts
Justin Fields QB CHI @ DET $7,900 $8,400 23.25
Deshaun Watson QB CLE @ WAS $5,800 $6,700 19.75
Saquon Barkley RB NYG vs IND $8,000 $9,200 21.75
James Conner RB ARI @ ATL $7,200 $8,000 18
Aaron Jones RB GB vs MIN $7,100 $7,600 25.75
Dalvin Cook RB MIN @ GB $7,000 $8,300 22.75
David Montgomery RB CHI @ DET $6,900 $7,500 23.25
Alvin Kamara RB NO @ PHI $6,900 $7,300 18.25
Rhamondre Stevenson RB NE vs MIA $6,800 $7,000 21.75
Travis Etienne RB JAC @ HOU $6,400 $7,700 23.25
Cam Akers RB LAR @ LAC $6,100 $7,200 18.25
D’Onta Foreman RB CAR @ TB $5,700 $6,500 18.75
Leonard Fournette RB TB vs CAR $5,600 $7,000 21.75
Tyler Allgeier RB ATL vs ARI $5,300 $6,700 23
D’Andre Swift RB DET vs CHI $5,300 $7,100 29.25
Brian Robinson RB WAS vs CLE $5,200 $6,900 20.75
Bam Knight RB NYJ @ SEA $5,100 $6,400 21.75
Tyreek Hill WR MIA @ NE $8,900 $9,000 19.75
Amon-Ra St. Brown WR DET vs CHI $7,800 $8,200 29.25
DeVonta Smith WR PHI vs NO $7,100 $7,800 23.25
Chris Godwin WR TB vs CAR $6,800 $7,600 21.75
Mike Evans WR TB vs CAR $6,500 $7,500 21.75
Jerry Jeudy WR DEN @ KC $6,400 $7,000 16.25
Brandon Aiyuk WR SF @ LV $6,300 $6,600 25.75
Chris Olave WR NO @ PHI $6,100 $6,800 18.25
Terry McLaurin WR WAS vs CLE $6,100 $7,400 20.75
Christian Watson WR GB vs MIN $5,900 $7,600 25.75
Amari Cooper WR CLE @ WAS $5,800 $7,100 19.75
DJ Moore WR CAR @ TB $5,700 $7,000 18.75
JuJu Smith-Schuster WR KC vs DEN $5,600 $6,800 28.25
Allen Lazard WR GB vs MIN $5,400 $6,200 25.75
Adam Thielen WR MIN @ GB $5,200 $6,300 22.75
Courtland Sutton WR DEN @ KC $5,100 $6,800 16.25
Jakobi Meyers WR NE vs MIA $5,000 $6,700 21.75
Drake London WR ATL vs ARI $4,900 $6,700 23
Brandin Cooks WR HOU vs JAC $4,800 $6,400 20.25
Donovan Peoples-Jones WR CLE @ WAS $4,700 $6,500 19.75
Romeo Doubs WR GB vs MIN $4,700 $5,900 25.75
K.J. Osborn WR MIN @ GB $4,600 $5,900 22.75
Jahan Dotson WR WAS vs CLE $4,600 $6,100 20.75
Chase Claypool WR CHI @ DET $4,500 $5,700 23.25
Curtis Samuel WR WAS vs CLE $4,400 $5,900 20.75
D.J. Chark WR DET vs CHI $4,300 $6,000 29.25
Van Jefferson WR LAR @ LAC $4,000 $6,100 18.25
Rashid Shaheed WR NO @ PHI $4,000 $5,600 18.25
Dante Pettis WR CHI @ DET $3,700 $5,200 23.25
Terrace Marshall Jr. WR CAR @ TB $3,600 $5,600 18.75
Tutu Atwell WR LAR @ LAC $3,600 $5,300 18.25
Byron Pringle WR CHI @ DET $3,500 $5,400 23.25
Kendrick Bourne WR NE vs MIA $3,500 $5,600 21.75
David Bell WR CLE @ WAS $3,000 $4,900 19.75
George Kittle TE SF @ LV $5,900 $7,400 25.75
Tyler Higbee TE LAR @ LAC $4,600 $6,100 18.25
Cole Kmet TE CHI @ DET $4,500 $5,300 23.25
Evan Engram TE JAC @ HOU $4,400 $5,800 23.25
David Njoku TE CLE @ WAS $4,100 $5,600 19.75
Tyler Conklin TE NYJ @ SEA $2,900 $4,900 21.75
Jelani Woods TE IND @ NYG $2,800 $4,700 16.75
49ers DST SF @ LV $2,900 $5,000 16.75
Jets DST NYJ @ SEA $2,800 $4,100 20.75
Patriots DST NE vs MIA $2,600 $4,000 19.75
Packers DST GB vs MIN $2,300 $3,600 22.75

WATCH: Why Giants Should Franchise Tag Barkley

 

 

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