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2023 NFL Week 3 DFS Main Slate Tournament Analysis

If you are new to DFS, check out our introductory pieces, including DFS 101, Contest Selection, Stacking, Rostership, and Lineup Construction.

Below, we will look at some of the double stacks, single stacks, and mini stacks I will be looking to take advantage of this weekend. If you have any questions, ask them on our 33rd Team Discord.

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Double Stacks

I'm taking a contrarian approach to what's expected to be the weekend's popular game. My strategy involves stacking players from this matchup, anticipating that Asante Samuel Jr. will contain Justin Jefferson, thereby creating opportunities for big plays from Addison and touchdowns for Hockenson. Hockenson, despite his tight end price tag, is in for strong involvement as the Chargers favor two-high coverages, a scheme in which he's thrived with the Minnesota Vikings.

To complement this chalky strategy, I'm targeting two run-back options. Brian Flores' defensive approach suggests Kelly will have room to run with a strong Los Angeles Chargers' offensive line. Williams is the wide receiver I want because of his price compared to Keenan Allen and how I am targeting other $7,000 wide receivers on DraftKings.

Prescott is currently one of the most overlooked quarterbacks on the slate, and it's a missed opportunity, given what he's capable of against a Jonathan Gannon defense. Prescott has a proven track record, averaging an impressive 10 yards per attempt, boasting a 78.4 percent completion rate, and an 11-1 touchdown-to-interception ratio during the past two years against similar defenses. Moreover, when Prescott was at the helm, former starting tight end Dalton Schultz averaged a remarkable 1.33 touchdowns per game against Gannon-coached defenses. 

Currently, the Arizona Cardinals are focused on forcing quick throws and tackling underneath. Still, I believe the slot receiver has the potential to break free deep, and this role could be filled by either Lamb or Brandin Cooks, especially if Cooks is confirmed as good to go.

The absence of Trevon Diggs is a significant loss for the Dallas Cowboys' defense. If you want to balance this game out, Brown becomes a prime target. With his exceptional speed and the Cowboys' tendency to employ man coverage, Brown has the capability to make game-changing plays. While Josh Dobbs may not be the most reliable quarterback, he's shown promise early this season, making Brown an intriguing option for a game stack.

The Carolina Panthers' defensive scheme predominantly revolves around Cover 3, and Smith has proven himself as one of the NFL's top passers against this coverage over the past two years. His primary targets in this scheme are consistently Metcalf and Lockett, together amassing over a 50 percent target share during this period. With Jaycee Horn out, Metcalf and Lockett are poised for success against the Panthers' secondary.

As for Thielen, he's set to take center stage in Andy Dalton's passing game. The Seattle Seahawks have predominantly employed zone coverage this season, opting for a less aggressive approach from their cornerbacks, which aligns perfectly with the strengths of the Panthers' wide receivers. With his veteran savvy and knack for exploiting soft spots in the zone, Thielen is well-positioned to thrive as a key playmaker in this matchup.

Single Stacks

The Chicago Bears struggled mightily this week, while the Kansas City Chiefs are eager to regain their offensive groove after two consecutive lackluster outings. This matchup is shaping up to be a Mahomes and Kelce showcase. Given the Chiefs' wide receiver rotation, you may not need to run it back or double-stack with Mahomes, making this a somewhat expensive stack. You'll need to find value in other positions to make it work, so I'd advise against relying heavily on popular, chalky picks when building your lineup alongside these two-star players.

The best rusher on the Baltimore Ravens right now is Jackson, and we've recently witnessed an increase in designed runs and rushing attempts for him. With some key offensive linemen sidelined, Jackson will likely face more pressure, pushing him to scramble even more. While I'm open to a double-stack with Jackson and Rashod Bateman, my primary focus is on Jackson's rushing production and targeting Flowers as the top wide receiver option.

The Indianapolis Colts' secondary, particularly on the outside, has been susceptible to attacks, and Flowers predominantly lines up there, making him a highly productive choice. It's worth noting that Flowers has been a focal point in the offensive game plan, evident in the schemed-up plays designed to get him the ball.

When Gardner Minshew stepped in last weekend, he showed a strong connection with two key targets, Michael Pittman and Downs. Downs, operating from the slot, is poised for a standout performance, especially considering the Ravens' pass rush could force quicker throws. This season, the Ravens have struggled to defend the slot, further solidifying Downs as an appealing option for this matchup.


The rationale behind selecting Williams centers on his expected increase in touches as the season progresses. Through two weeks, he's already had 31 touches, which is remarkable considering his injury last season. Facing the Miami Dolphins' vulnerable run defense presents a prime opportunity for Williams to have a breakout game.

With Jaylen Waddle's absence from the lineup, Hill will remain the focal point of the passing game, virtually guaranteeing him a minimum of ten targets. While Waddle did participate in Friday's practice and remains questionable for the game, I still have a favorable outlook on Hill's performance. Even if Waddle plays, Hill's appeal remains high, and his popularity might be lessened, making him an even more attractive option.

The Detroit Lions have shown vulnerability to tight ends operating from the slot position this season, precisely where Pitts lines up for the Atlanta Falcons. Pitts is priced attractively, requiring only a modest output to justify his cost, and the tight-end position offers great potential for a top-tier finish. While Bijan Robinson remains an excellent choice, I'm opting for the positional value provided by Pitts and the salary savings that allow for other high-impact picks.

The Falcons have showcased a formidable interior run defense, among the league's best. However, teams have found success attacking their defense on the outside, where Gibbs excels, displaying electrifying off-tackle runs. Although Craig Reynolds will get his share of snaps, Gibbs is emerging as the go-to option in the passing game, and a full week of practice suggests he'll see an uptick in carries, further enhancing his appeal.

Dell stepped up into a larger role when Noah Brown was out, and he delivered an impressive performance. He's forged a strong chemistry and trust with quarterback C.J. Stroud, and his ability to separate from the Jacksonville Jaguars' defensive backs will be on display.

As for the Houston Texans' defense, they'll be missing some key starters in their secondary. Calvin Ridley is poised to exploit these vulnerabilities, but I anticipate that DeMeco Ryans will prioritize keeping two safeties deep to protect against big plays. This move should create opportunities for Etienne to establish a ground game. Additionally, the Texans seem vulnerable in the trenches near the goal line, setting the stage for potential scoring opportunities.


As we approach the final week before Alvin Kamara's return, it's clear that Kendre Miller and Tony Jones are not the ideal goal-line backs. However, Hill's versatility is set to shine, as he's expected to step into the wildcat quarterback role and make the most of his opportunities. He had nine carries for 75 yards rushing last weekend.


  • Patriots

The defense against Zach Wilson will be in play every single week. The New England Patriots will get after Wilson and force him to throw the ball.

  • Packers

The Green Bay Packers' defense has been really good to begin the year, and Derek Carr has been under pressure quite a bit to begin the year. The coverage scheme of the Packers is also something Carr has struggled with, and if he does in this one, we can expect some turnovers.

  • Titans

The Tennessee Titans are my favorite defense on the slate because I believe they can have multiple turnovers and sacks against Deshaun Watson. The Cleveland Browns will not be able to run at all in this game, and Watson has been awful when he has dropped back.

  • Saints

This is the first real test for Jordan Love; this is a defense that will play man coverage and force tight window throws. The New Orleans Saints can also get pressure very fast, and it will be a contrarian play.

  • Jets

The New York Jets are a chalk defense this week, and it’s for a good reason because the Patriots do not have the weapons to move the ball against them.

  • Commanders

A tropical storm is forecasted for this game, setting the stage for a matchup where the Washington Commanders' defensive line is poised to assert dominance over the Buffalo Bills' offensive front.

Player Pool

Pos Name Team OPP DK Salary FD Salary
QB Patrick Mahomes KC CHI $8,300 $9,200
QB Lamar Jackson BAL IND $7,700 $8,200
QB Kirk Cousins MIN LAC $6,900 $7,800
QB Dak Prescott DAL ARI $6,600 $7,600
QB Geno Smith SEA CAR $5,700 $7,200
RB Tony Pollard DAL ARI $8,000 $9,400
RB Bijan Robinson ATL DET $7,800 $9,000
RB Travis Etienne Jr. JAX HOU $6,900 $8,000
RB Rhamondre Stevenson NE NYJ $6,700 $6,500
RB Jahmyr Gibbs DET ATL $6,600 $7,000
RB Kenneth Walker III SEA CAR $6,200 $7,600
RB Miles Sanders CAR SEA $5,700 $6,700
RB Javonte Williams DEN MIA $5,500 $6,100
RB Joshua Kelley LAC MIN $5,400 $6,100
RB Isiah Pacheco KC CHI $5,400 $5,700
RB Gus Edwards BAL IND $5,300 $6,200
RB Roschon Johnson CHI KC $4,700 $4,700
RB Jerick McKinnon KC CHI $4,500 $5,000
RB Kendre Miller NO GB $4,300 $4,600
RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire KC CHI $4,100 $4,900
WR Justin Jefferson MIN LAC $9,300 $9,700
WR Tyreek Hill MIA DEN $9,000 $9,600
WR Amon-Ra St. Brown DET ATL $7,900 $7,900
WR CeeDee Lamb DAL ARI $7,700 $8,500
WR Keenan Allen LAC MIN $7,600 $8,800
WR Calvin Ridley JAX HOU $7,200 $7,500
WR DK Metcalf SEA CAR $6,900 $7,400
WR Tyler Lockett SEA CAR $6,400 $7,300
WR Michael Pittman Jr. IND BAL $6,200 $6,700
WR Mike Williams LAC MIN $6,000 $7,200
WR Amari Cooper CLE TEN $5,700 $6,200
WR Jordan Addison MIN LAC $5,500 $6,800
WR Zay Flowers BAL IND $5,400 $6,300
WR Christian Kirk JAX HOU $5,400 $6,500
WR Brandin Cooks DAL ARI $5,200 $6,000
WR Drake London ATL DET $5,000 $6,500
WR Marquise Brown ARI DAL $4,900 $6,200
WR Elijah Moore CLE TEN $4,700 $6,100
WR Rashod Bateman BAL IND $4,600 $5,600
WR Skyy Moore KC CHI $4,400 $5,600
WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA CAR $4,300 $5,300
WR Josh Reynolds DET ATL $4,200 $7,000
WR Marquez Valdes-Scantling KC CHI $4,200 $5,400
WR Donovan Peoples-Jones CLE TEN $4,100 $5,900
WR K.J. Osborn MIN LAC $4,000 $5,600
WR Adam Thielen CAR SEA $3,900 $5,700
WR DJ Chark Jr. CAR SEA $3,800 $5,600
WR Michael Gallup DAL ARI $3,700 $5,300
WR Tank Dell HOU JAX $3,600 $5,400
WR Josh Downs IND BAL $3,500 $5,000
WR Michael Wilson ARI DAL $3,400 $4,800
WR Jonathan Mingo CAR SEA $3,400 $4,500
WR Alec Pierce IND BAL $3,400 $4,100
WR Dontayvion Wicks GB NO $3,300 $4,000
WR Rondale Moore ARI DAL $3,200 $3,700
WR Nelson Agholor BAL IND $3,200 $3,000
TE Travis Kelce KC CHI $7,200 $3,000
TE T.J. Hockenson MIN LAC $6,500 $3,000
TE Sam LaPorta DET ATL $4,000 $3,000
TE Kyle Pitts ATL DET $3,900 $3,000
TE Dalton Schultz HOU JAX $3,700 $3,000
TE Jake Ferguson DAL ARI $3,600 $3,000
TE Taysom Hill NO GB $3,300 $3,000
TE Adam Trautman DEN MIA $3,000 $3,000
TE Josh Oliver MIN LAC $2,500 $3,000
DST Patriots NE NYJ $3,500 $3,000
DST Browns CLE TEN $3,300 $3,000
DST Packers GB NO $3,100 $3,000
DST Titans TEN CLE $3,000 $3,000
DST Saints NO GB $2,900 $3,000
DST Jets NYJ NE $2,800 $3,000
DST Panthers CAR SEA $2,600 $3,000
DST Commanders WAS BUF $2,400 $3,000

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