33 Fantasy Takeaways From Week 12

33 Fantasy Takeaways From Week 12
Below, you’ll find (at least) 33 fantasy football takeaways from Week 12. Advanced usage data is examined each week, as usage is a much better indicator of future fantasy points than current fantasy points. Essentially, NFL teams never look at fantasy points, so we shouldn’t focus too much attention on them either if we want to predict […]

Read More

Fantasy

Fantasy Football: Week 13 Waiver Wire Adds, Drops and More

The fantasy football season is winding down, so let’s skip the fluff and dive straight into my Week 13 waiver wire report. As always, I’ll include players to add, players to probably not add and players to drop. It’s also geared toward PPR leagues unless otherwise noted. All players included are rostered in fewer than 50% of leagues, per FantasyPros’ rostership data. All stats are credited to TruMedia unless stated otherwise.

And as a reminder, the Cardinals and Panthers are the only two teams on their byes in Week 13.

Quarterbacks

Don’t get too excited about Mike White.

  • White is only rostered in 2.7% of leagues.
  • He scored 24.8 fantasy points against Chicago.
  • He had more than 16 fantasy points at halftime.
  • Against the Bears, he completed 22/28 for 315 passing yards and three touchdowns.
  • While there’s a chance White becomes fantasy relevant, one game against the 23rd-best defense against quarterbacks in fantasy isn’t a big enough sample size.
  • However, the Jets face the Vikings (25th) and the Lions (32nd) in two of the next three weeks.

Don’t expect much from Jared Goff, either.

  • Goff is rostered in 36.7% of leagues.
  • Goff scored 17.6 fantasy points against the Bills on Thanksgiving.
  • That was his best fantasy performance since Week 8 and his second-best performance since Week 4.
  • Buffalo was previously 6th in fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks.
  • The Lions have a relatively easy upcoming schedule.
  • They face the Jaguars (22nd-fewest fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks) and the Vikings (25th) in the next two weeks.
  • Jameson Williams is reportedly slated to return to the lineup soon.
  • Still, this seems like an outlier.

Jordan Love is an intriguing streaming candidate if Aaron Rodgers misses time.

  • He’s rostered in fewer than 1% of leagues
  • Rodgers left late in the game Sunday night with an oblique injury.
  • Love stepped in and actually looked pretty good.
  • He played 10 snaps and was 6-for-9 for 113 yards, a touchdown and 8.52 fantasy points.
  • The Packers face the Bears in Week 13, who have allowed the eighth-most fantasy points to quarterbacks.
  • Chicago just let Mike White have a field day.
  • There aren’t many viable quarterbacks left on waivers, and Love played well enough against the best defense against fantasy quarterbacks.
  • Keep an eye on him if you need a quarterback this week.

Running Backs

Zonovan Knight, not Ty Johnson, is the Jets running back to own if Michael Carter misses multiple games.

  • Knight is rostered in fewer than 1% of leagues.
  • Carter hurt his ankle in the third quarter and didn’t come back in the game.
  • Knight led the Jets running backs in snaps and carries from then on.
  • Knight saw 14 carries to Johnson’s seven carries.
  • Knight saw three targets to Johnson’s two targets. 
  • Don’t be fooled by Johnson’s 14.8 fantasy points; he scored a 32-yard rushing touchdown to make it a 31-10 lead in the third quarter.
  • Knight only scored *checks notes* 13.3 fantasy points. 
  • Chicago had previously allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to running backs.
  • The Jets face three-straight teams that have been below average against fantasy running backs: Vikings, Bills and Lions.

JaMycal Hasty is a must-add if Travis Etienne misses any time.

  • Hasty is only rostered in 1.4% of leagues.
  • He filled in as Jacksonville’s main back once Travis Etienne hurt his foot in the first quarter.
  • He scored 20.5 fantasy points, which included five catches, 67 receiving yards and a touchdown.
  • Hasty was also tied for second in targets with five.
  • Darrell Henderson could be viable and is worth considering, but we don’t even know if he’s good or what his role will be.
  • The Jaguars have one of the toughest remaining schedules for fantasy running backs.
  • However, the Ravens had previously allowed the fifth-fewest fantasy points to running backs.

You don’t need to hold onto Damien Harris anymore.

  • Harris is rostered in 62.5% of leagues.
  • Harris hurt his thigh in New England’s Thanksgiving loss.
  • He had already been dealing with injuries this season.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson is the clear No. 1 running back in New England.
  • Harris has yet to play more than 41% of the team’s snaps since Week 4, even in games he was deemed fully healthy in.
  • Even if Harris does return, his workload looks too insignificant to be of any fantasy value.
  • He’s simply Stevenson’s handcuff.
  • And yet, J.J. Taylor filled in for Harris in games he missed this season.
  • Use that extra roster spot for someone who may actually contribute to your team soon.

You still shouldn’t expect much from any Rams running back.

  • Kyren Williams is rostered in 27.3% of leagues.
  • Cam Akers is rostered in 55.6% of leagues.
  • I wrote that same sentence last week, and Week 12 reinforced my sentiments.
  • Williams led the backfield with 38 snaps and 11 carries.
  • He also ran 21 routes and saw three targets.
  • He only scored nine fantasy points in a negative game-script.
  • The Rams don’t look like they’ll be in many positive game-scripts.
  • Akers scored 3.7 fantasy points on eight carries.
  • Not all opportunities are created equal.
  • That means you can drop Akers if you haven’t yet.
  • Williams may hold some value in PPR leagues, but he should be nowhere near your starting lineups for now.

Wide Receivers

Don’t expect much from the Rams’ wide receivers, either.

  • Van Jefferson is rostered in 18.7% of leagues.
  • Jefferson had 11.9 fantasy points in Week 12.
  • That included one touchdown on 29 yards receiving.
  • He also saw a team-high seven targets… but he only caught three.
  • The Rams’ banged-up receiving room will grant Jefferson fantasy relevancy.
  • Allen Robinson will miss the remainder of the season, leaving Jefferson and Ben Skowronek as the “top” options.
  • Skowronek has 7.3 total fantasy points over the last three weeks, despite seeing 4+ targets in each game.
  • But the Rams’ inefficient passing game will handicap Jefferson’s fantasy relevancy.
  • Whether it’s Bryce Perkins, John Wolford or somehow Matthew Stafford at quarterback, Los Angeles’ weapons will have a tough time receiving the ball.
  • Jefferson is worth a low-priority waiver pickup since the Rams still figure to throw the ball at an above-average rate.

Treylon Burks looks legit.

  • Burks is rostered in 43.9% of leagues.
  • Burks, Nick Westbrook-Ikhine and Robert Woods led the Titans with six targets.
  • But it was Burks who led the wide receivers with 70 receiving yards.
  • He scored 17 fantasy points, which included a flukey fumble recovery for a touchdown.
  • This is the third week in a row Burks has seen six or more targets.
  • The volume isn’t great, though Burks has averaged about 16 yards per catch over the last two weeks.
  • Despite a tough remaining schedule – three of the Titans’ next four opponents rank in the top ten of fewest fantasy points allowed to wide receivers – Burks’ upside and role warrant a roster spot.
  • If he’s still on waivers, scoop him up immediately.

Zay Jones is a risky wide receiver to start, but a good one to add.

  • Jones is rostered in 28% of leagues.
  • Jones balled out in Week 12 with 27.5 fantasy points.
  • That included a whopping 14 targets, 11 catches and 145 receiving yards.
  • That’s his third game in the last five with 10+ targets.
  • He leads Jacksonville in targets over the last two games.
  • Somewhat surprisingly, Jones has seen the 22nd-most targets among wide receivers this season (prior to Monday Night Football).
  • He and Christian Kirk were clearly the Jaguars’ top two wideouts in Week 12 based on usage.
  • Jacksonville’s next two opponents have both allowed plenty of fantasy points to wide receivers: Detroit (fifth-most) and Tennessee (third).
  • Jones shouldn’t be sitting on waivers past Week 13.

Don’t waste too much waiver capital on Richie James yet.

  • He’s rostered in fewer than 1% of leagues.
  • James in Week 10: 3/3, 48 receiving yards, 1 TD, 13.8 points
  • James in Week 11: 5/6, 41 receiving yards, 1 TD, 15.1 points
  • Those nine targets are the most he’s seen in a two-game span since Weeks 2 and 3.
  • James was tied for the most targets in Week 11, though, with no Wan’Dale Robinson.
  • He’s clearly a bit dependent on touchdowns.
  • But three of the Giants’ next four matchups are against teams in the bottom six of fantasy points allowed to wide receivers.
  • We need to see another week of targets from James before we can confidently pick him up and start him.

Isaiah McKenzie and Nelson Agholor are nothing more than deep-league streaming options.

  • McKenzie is only rostered in 28.4% of leagues.
  • Agholor is rostered in fewer than 1% of leagues.
  • If you have to stream your wide receivers…. my condolences.
  • Both players scored and saw 8+ targets.
  • Both players also saw season-high targets.
  • McKenzie’s last touchdown came in Week 4.
  • McKenzie hadn’t seen more than five targets since Week 6.
  • Agholor’s only other touchdown came in Week 2.
  • Agholor hadn’t seen more than four targets since Week 4.
  • McKenzie is more valuable than Agholor since Buffalo throws the ball more, but neither has been consistent enough to warrant a roster spot.
  • Nor does anything suggest their Week 12 production rolls over into Week 13.

Tight Ends

Tyler Conklin may finally be worth a pickup again.

  • Conklin is rostered in 25.2% of leagues.
  • Conklin only scored eight fantasy points on three targets.
  • But only one New York Jet (Garrett Wilson) saw more than three targets in a run-heavy game script.
  • Conklin scored more fantasy points than tight ends like Gerald Everett, Noah Fant, Cole Kmet, George Kittle, Greg Dulcich and Evan Engram.
  • He scored fewer fantasy points than tight ends like Josh Oliver, Jordan Akins, John Bates, MyCole Pruitt and Jake Ferguson.
  • What does that mean? This is a weird position to decipher in fantasy football.
  • Luckily, Conklin faces two of the worst defenses against tight ends in fantasy in the next three weeks: Vikings in Week 13 and Lions in Week 15.
  • Unluckily, Conklin faces the toughest defense against tight ends in fantasy in Week 14: the Bills.

Hunter Henry is nothing more than a weekly dart throw.

  • Henry is rostered in 27.4% of leagues.
  • Henry scored 15.3 fantasy points in Week 11, which included a touchdown.
  • One could argue he should’ve had two touchdowns. 
  • He has two games with double-digit fantasy points.
  • He scored in both games.
  • This is nothing more than an outlier.
  • The Patriots face the Bills in Week 13, who have allowed the fewest fantasy points to tight ends this season.
  • You can consider picking him up if Henry plays well in Week 13.

Foster Moreau is still just a top streaming candidate.

  • Moreau is rostered in 36.8% of leagues.
  • Moreau scored 12.3 fantasy points on seven targets, three catches, 33 receiving yards and a touchdown.
  • Seattle had previously allowed the most fantasy points to tight ends.
  • With Darren Waller out, Moreau has played between 95% to 100% of the Raiders’ snaps each game.
  • Although he’s too touchdown-dependent to trust each week, there are worse streamers than Moreau.
  • Las Vegas’ next two opponents are about average in defending tight ends: Chargers (16th-most fantasy points allowed to tight ends) and Rams (20th-most).
  • I don’t recommend starting him until he becomes a bigger part of the Raiders’ gameplan.

WATCH MORE: Week 12 Fantasy Recap

 

 

Josh Larky’s Week 12 Fantasy Rankings

Josh Larky’s Week 12 Fantasy Rankings
Below you’ll find my Week 12 fantasy rankings for PPR/Half-PPR leagues. Included are my top-32 QB Rankings, top-51 RB Rankings, top-64 WR Rankings, and top-22 TE Rankings. For each player, you can view their ranking, matchup, and implied team total, according to Vegas. For example, the Green Bay Packers and Philadelphia Eagles have a Vegas […]

Read More

Matthew Hill’s Week 12 Fantasy Football Rankings

Matthew Hill’s Week 12 Fantasy Football Rankings
There is something about baseball that inspires people to write poetry. Warm summer nights, a 162-game season, frequent pauses in the action lending itself to conversations, unique and beautiful ballparks, and deep, rich history have led to the romanticizing of “America’s Pastime.” Football is different. The violence, noise, extreme weather, and short schedule that gives […]

Read More

33 Fantasy Football Takeaways from NFL Week 11

33 Fantasy Football Takeaways from NFL Week 11
Below, you’ll find (at least) 33 fantasy football takeaways from Week 11. Advanced usage data is examined each week, as usage is a much better indicator of future fantasy points than current fantasy points. Essentially, NFL teams never look at fantasy points, so we shouldn’t focus too much attention on them either if we want to predict […]

Read More

Fantasy

Fantasy Football Week 12: Waiver Wire Adds, Drops and More

The fantasy football playoffs are suddenly just a few short weeks away. So you’ll need to be extra proactive in picking up players off of waivers – for Week 12 and beyond.

And, of course, as the waiver wire gets ever so thinner, I’ll be adding additional info, such as drops and stashes. Consider it an early holiday gift!

As always, this waivers column is geared toward PPR leagues unless otherwise noted. All players included are rostered in fewer than 50% of leagues, per FantasyPros’ rostership data. All stats are credited to TruMedia unless otherwise noted.

Quarterbacks

You can officially drop Russell Wilson.

  • Rostered in 64.9% of leagues.
  • I said last week you can drop Wilson unless you’re desperate for a quarterback to stream.
  • Wilson rewarded those poor souls with 10.7 fantasy points.
  • It doesn’t matter who Denver plays. Cut Wilson if you haven’t already.
  • That’s all you need to know about one of the season’s biggest disappointments.

It’s past time to stash Deshaun Watson.

  • Rostered in 40% of leagues.
  • There are almost no inspiring quarterbacks left on waivers.
  • Watson began practicing last week and is set to return in Week 13.
  • He gets a good offensive line, a good backfield and a good WR1 in Amari Cooper.
  • While Watson could be rusty, his upside in fantasy is too great to ignore.
  • Although, Watson’s next two opponents are top-eight in fewest fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks: Houston and Cincinnati.
  • He’s still a must-add for any team with a roster spot to fill.

Running Backs

Samaje Perine is a top pickup, but be cautious.

  • Rostered in 4.3% of leagues.
  • Perine filled in for Joe Mixon, who left in the first half with a concussion.
  • He scored 30.2 fantasy points, including three touchdowns on four targets.
  • Perine only ran for 30 rushing yards on 11 carries.
  • Even if Mixon is available for Week 12, Perine’s upside warrants a roster spot.
  • The Bengals face the Titans in Tennessee, who has allowed just one rushing touchdown to running backs.
  • They’ve also allowed the sixth-fewest fantasy points to running backs.
  • So Perine isn’t a must-start, but the sheer volatility of the running back position in fantasy could vault Perine into RB2 status.
  • And that, again, assumes Mixon doesn’t play.

Latavius Murray is the top running back on waivers.

  • Rostered in 28.4% of leagues.
  • In Week 12, Murray had a season-high—and game-high—17 carries for 49 rushing yards and a touchdown.
  • He also caught all four targets for 23 yards.
  • Murray ran just four fewer routes than Melvin Gordon.
  • Denver cut Melvin Gordon Monday.
  • Chase Edmonds will miss multiple weeks with an ankle injury.
  • The Broncos face the Panthers in Week 12, who have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to running backs.

Don’t cut Tyler Allgeier yet.

  • Rostered in 49.2% of leagues.
  • With Cordarrelle Patterson back in the rotation, Allgeier has 3.3 and 7.4 fantasy points in the last two games, respectively.
  • He had just eight carries in each game, too.
  • Still, Allgeier and Patterson each saw 8+ carries and ran 10 routes.
  • They also saw a nearly identical snap count and target share.
  • Just don’t start Allgeier, especially in Week 12.
  • The Falcons face the Commanders, who have allowed the fourth-fewest fantasy points to running backs.

But you can probably cut Darrell Henderson.

Note: Henderson was waived Tuesday, so you can definitely cut him.

  • Rostered in 57.9% of leagues.
  • The Rams “starting” running back has hit 10 fantasy points just once since Week 6.
  • That one game? Week 10, when Henderson scored on six carries and 21 rushing yards.
  • I say “starting” because Henderson played just four snaps after starting in Week 11.
  • Cam Akers was Los Angeles’ primary back, with Kyren Williams as the main receiving back.
  • The Rams offense has failed to score 20+ points since Week 6.
  • Henderson is a bad running back in a bad situation on a bad offense.

Don’t expect much from any Rams running back.

  • Cam Akers is rostered in 35.4% of leagues.
  • Kyren Williams is rostered in 19.8% of leagues.
  • The Rams’ rushing offense has been horrendous.

  • In the last two games, Akers has scored 2.2 and 6.1 fantasy points, respectively.
  • In his only two full games–both coming in the last two weeks–Williams has scored 6.9 and 5.4 fantasy points, respectively.
  • Akers is the early-down back, while Williams is the passing back.
  • We haven’t seen enough from either running back to warrant a roster spot.

James Cook is simply just Devin Singletary’s handcuff.

  • Rostered in 18.9% of leagues.
  • Cook scored 8.6 fantasy points on 11 carries.
  • He ran for 86 rushing yards. 
  • He was targeted twice but had no receptions.
  • The Bills were playing from ahead most of the game.
  • Do not expect much from Cook as long as Singletary plays.

Wide Receivers

If you didn’t listen last week, pick up Donovan Peoples-Jones and Darius Slayton immediately.

  • Both are rostered in fewer than 42% of leagues.
  • Not to toot my own horn again, but I also said both could be in your Week 11 lineups.
  • Peoples-Jones scored 17.1 fantasy points and Slayton scored 13.6.
  • Over the last four games, Peoples-Jones is averaging 13.6 fantasy points and Slayton is averaging 14.6.
  • They’re worth the waiver capital if they’re still somehow available.

Treylon Burks could be here to stay.

  • Rostered in 20.9% of leagues.
  • Burks scored 18.1 fantasy points in his second game back from a six-week injury hiatus.
  • He led the Titans with eight targets, which led to 111 receiving yards and no touchdowns.
  • Green Bay had previously held opposing fantasy wide receivers to the ninth-fewest fantasy points.
  • Tennessee had previously averaged the third-fewest pass attempts per game with 24.1. 
  • Ryan Tannehill was pretty sharp; he went 22-for-27 for 333 passing yards and two scores.
  • Don’t expect this type of performance due to Tennessee’s affinity for running the ball.
  • Still, the door is wide open for Burks to emerge as a reliable WR1 for the Titans.

Skyy Moore’s upside makes him worth a roster spot, again.

  • Rostered in 11.2% of leagues.
  • Moore was actually the Chiefs’ WR3 in usage behind Justin Watson and Marquez Valdes-Scantling.
  • He still led all Kansas City wide receivers with six targets and 11.3 fantasy points.
    Kadarius Toney left the game with a hamstring injury.
  • With JuJu Smith-Schuster slated to return in Week 12, don’t expect anything great from Moore.
  • If you add him, you’re banking on Moore solidifying himself as Kanas City’s second-best passing option.

Demarcus Robinson is a fine waiver pickup.

  • Rostered in 2.3% of leagues.
  • Robinson balled out in Week 12 with 21.8 fantasy points.
  • He caught all nine of his targets for 128 receiving yards.
  • He and Mark Andrews were the only Ravens to see more than four targets.
  • Robinson and Devin Duvernay were far and away Baltimore’s top two wide receivers, tho Duvernay had a few more snaps and routes.
  • Excluding a Week 13 matchup against Denver, Baltimore’s next six opponents have allowed the sixth-most or more fantasy points to wide receivers.
  • That includes Jacksonville in Week 12, who have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to the position.
  • The Ravens still rank in the bottom six of pass attempts, but this was Robinson’s second game in his last three with 8+ targets.
  • He can become a steady flex play. 

Kendall Hinton doesn’t offer much upside.

  • Rostered in 0.6% of leagues.
  • Hinton had 10.2 fantasy points in Week 10 and 8.7 fantasy points in Week 11.
  • He was Denver’s WR2… because only two Broncos wide receivers were targeted: Hinton and Courtland Sutton.
  • Russell Wilson only threw 31 times.
  • The Raiders had previously allowed the 12th-most fantasy points to wide receivers.
  • The Broncos face the Panthers next week, who have allowed the 8th-most fantasy points to wide receivers.
  • He’s a good pickup if you need 8-10 fantasy points.
  • Just don’t expect a league-winning performance, even if Sutton gets injured.

Greg Dortch is rosterable… if Rondale Moore misses time.

  • Rostered in fewer than 1% of leagues.
  • Moore left Monday night’s game with a groin injury.
  • Dortch stepped in and caught nine of his ten targets for 103 yards.
  • Remember, Dortch scored 13+ fantasy points in the first three weeks when Moore and Hopkins weren’t playing.
  • He saw nearly identical usage to DeAndre Hopkins, and was clearly Arizona’s WR2.
  • Marquise Brown is slated to come back in Week 12 and could eat into Dortch’s workload.
  • Don’t spend too much waiver capital on Dortch.

Tight Ends

Juwan Johnson is the hottest target on waivers.

  • Rostered in 23.6% of leagues.
  • Johnson has 12+ fantasy points in four of his last five games.
  • He’s scored at least once in each of those games.
  • He’s also seen 4+ targets or 40+ receiving yards in three of those four games.
  • Four of his touchdowns have come inside the red zone.
  • Johnson led all Saints in routes run in Week 11.
  • The Rams had previously allowed the second-fewest fantasy points to tight ends.
  • New Orleans plays San Francisco in Week 12, who have allowed the eighth-fewest fantasy points to tight ends.
  • Clearly, Johnson is touchdown-dependent, so there’s some risk with starting him.
  • With how poorly most tight ends are playing, you may need to buy into Johnson’s upside.

Austin Hooper is creeping into late-season TE1 territory.

  • Rostered in 9.1% of leagues.
  • That says more about the state of the tight end position than Hooper’s skillset.
  • He scored a whopping 19.6 fantasy points, including two touchdowns on four targets.
  • Hooper also scored 9.1 fantasy points in Week 10 on seven targets.
  • The Titans face the Bengals in Week 12, who allow the fifth-fewest fantasy points to tight ends.
  • Hooper isn’t a must-start, but his usage is becoming something of value.
  • One more good week from him, and he could be firmly in the low-end TE1 discussion.
  • With the playoffs looming, it may be wise to buy Hooper early.

Logan Thomas doesn’t offer much fantasy value, yet.

  • Rostered in 6.3% of leagues.
  • Thomas scored 11.5 fantasy points in Week 11.
  • He caught five of his six targets for 65 receiving yards.
  • It’s the first time since before his Week 4 injury that Thomas saw six targets.
  • He’s scored double-digit fantasy points just twice in his eight games played.
  • However, Thomas was essentially just as involved as Terry McLaurin, Curtis Samuel and Jahan Dotson.
  • All four players saw 40+ snaps and ran 19+ routes.
  • Thomas and McLaurin led the Commanders with six targets.
  • It’s just one game, but if Thomas stays this involved, he can become a low-end TE1.
  • He has moderately easy upcoming matchups against the Giants and Falcons.
  • Washington has a bye in Week 14.
  • He’s worth a stash if you have a roster spot to spare.

There is no need to roster Hunter Henry, Tyler Conklin nor Robert Tonyan anymore.

  • Henry and Conklin are rostered in about 27% of leagues.
  • Tonyan is rostered in 40.4% of leagues.
  • Henry has one game of 4+ fantasy points since Week 6.
  • Conklin has one game of 7+ fantasy points since Week 5.
  • Tonyan has one game of 7+ fantasy points since Week 6.
  • The three tight ends have a combined 22.9 points over their last two games.
  • That’s an average of 3.8 fantasy points per game.
  • And that includes Henry’s 9-point game in Week 9.
  • Seriously, they haven’t been good.
  • You’re way better off with Juwan Johnson or Logan Thomas.

 

WATCH MORE: Week 11 Fantasy Recap 

 

Josh Larky’s Week 11 Fantasy Football Rankings

Josh Larky’s Week 11 Fantasy Football Rankings
Below you’ll find my Week 11 fantasy rankings for PPR/Half-PPR leagues. Included are my top-28 QB Rankings, top-48 RB Rankings, top-57 WR Rankings, and top-21 TE Rankings. For each player, you can view their ranking, matchup, and implied team total, according to Vegas. For example, the Kansas City Chiefs and Los Angeles Chargers have a Vegas […]

Read More

Scroll to the Top