Analysis
11/6/23
5 min read
NFL 2023 Week 10 Survivor Pool Picks, Predictions
The Week 10 slate has several strong survivor pool options if you haven’t used them yet. That’s why we’ll discuss a few contending teams with good matchups, along with some more aggressive options. We’ll finalize our survivor pool analysis in Ryan Reynolds’ Saturday betting preview. You can also check out our survivor pool channel in our free Discord.
Week 10 Survivor Pool Picks
Dallas Cowboys (vs. New York Giants)
Spread: Cowboys -15.5
Dallas is coming off a tough loss in Philadelphia, while the last remnants of hope for the New York Giants’ season ended in Las Vegas last week. The Dallas Cowboys’ defense will have a trench advantage while facing QB Tommy DeVito in his first start. Dallas has one of the best rosters in the sport, while New York is in play for the worst. There are no sure things in survivor pools, but Dallas is as close as it gets this week.
Week 11 at Carolina is another strong spot for Dallas against a below-average offense. The Washington Commanders are a much tougher opponent than the Giants for Dallas.
Best Remaining Matchups: Week 11 at CAR, Week 12 vs. WAS, Week 18 at WAS
Cincinnati Bengals (vs. Houston Texans)
Spread: Texans -8
Joe Burrow’s Cincinnati Bengals are surging, but C.J. Stroud showed last week he can put up major production. Cincinnati is usable against the Houston Texans, but we’d prefer to save the Bengals in most situations.
Looking forward, playing Burrow’s Bengals against backup quarterbacks such as Gardner Minshew or Josh Dobbs is appealing.
Best Remaining Matchups: Week 14 vs. IND, Week 15 vs. MIN
Buffalo Bills (vs. Denver Broncos)
Spread: Bills -7.5
The Buffalo Bills come off a loss to face a Denver Broncos team that beat the Kansas City Chiefs before entering its bye. Buffalo is in a bounce-back spot against a Denver defense that has played its best football over the past month. Russell Wilson’s offense continues to be unreliable, but the Broncos aren’t an easy out.
The New York Jets already beat Buffalo, making that a tough matchup for the Bills. Buffalo also lost to the New England Patriots this season. On top of that, Buffalo is one of the few NFL cities that consistently has a bad-weather game late in the year. That would be more of an advantage for the Patriots than the Bills.
Best Remaining Matchups: Week 11 vs. NYJ, Week 17 vs. NE
Seattle Seahawks (vs. Washington Commanders)
Spread: Seahawks -6
The Baltimore Ravens destroyed the Seattle Seahawks in Baltimore last week, putting Seattle in an obvious correction spot this week. That said, Geno Smith is on a rough four-game run with six interceptions and 11 sacks taken. Seattle has a talented roster with few weaknesses, but Smith is beginning to trend away from being reliable. The Commanders have been feisty this season, losing three games by a score or less. Seattle is a solid option at home, but Smith’s uneven play is genuinely concerning.
The Los Angeles Rams blew out the Seahawks on opening day. However, if Matthew Stafford misses the Week 11 contest, Seattle becomes playable there. The Tennessee Titans aren’t an easy out, but Seattle has a few talent advantages in that matchup. Week 18 at Arizona is far less appealing if Kyler Murray is back in action.
Best Remaining Matchups: Week 11 at LAR, Week 16 at TEN, Week 18 at ARI
Pittsburgh Steelers (vs. Green Bay Packers)
The Pittsburgh Steelers aren’t a safe survivor option because of their volatile offense. However, the Steelers have a difference-making defense and are coming off a long week. In many ways, Pittsburgh is a better version of the Green Bay Packers. If you want to make an aggressive play in survivor this week, the Steelers are a solid option.
The Steelers’ Week 13 game against the Arizona Cardinals is appealing if Clayton Tune is still Arizona’s quarterback. It’s an entirely different situation if Murray is back in action. Games against the Patriots and Indianapolis Colts are playable but are arguably tougher matchups than Green Bay.
Best Remaining Matchups: Week 13 vs. ARI, Week 14 vs. NE (TNF), Week 15 at IND
New York Jets at Las Vegas Raiders
At some point in survivor pools, you have to play volatile options. You can’t bet on Zach Wilson, but you can bet on the Jets’ defense against a rookie quarterback. Like the Steelers, this is not a safe play, but it is a reasonable one if you’re without the top options.
Looking ahead, the Atlanta Falcons and Commanders are two volatile teams with untrustworthy quarterbacks. The Jets’ pass rush will have an edge against Washington. The Falcons’ offensive line will be far closer to an even trench matchup. The problem with any Jets play is that you need Wilson’s offense to not lose games.
Best Remaining Matchups: Week 13 vs. ATL, Week 16 vs. WAS
Ryan Reynolds is the associate director of fantasy and betting at The 33rd Team. He has watched every snap of every NFL game since 2014 and has been covering NFL betting markets for five years. Follow him @RyanReynoldsNFL on Twitter, Instagram or Facebook.
