Analysis

11/8/23

14 min read

2023 NFL Week 10 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings

By Ian Miller

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We’re heading into Week 10, and while it feels like the lull of the NFL season, in reality, we’re just five regular-season weeks away from the fantasy playoffs.

That means that as a contender, you should be making moves to prepare for the playoffs — while as a rebuilder, you should be finding any possible values over the final stretch of the season.

Let these rankings be your guide for furthering your rosters as we approach the best time of the season.

Week 10 Dynasty Rankings

Quarterback Rankings

Tier One

Value Estimation: 3+ Premium First-Round Picks

Tier Two

Value Estimation: 3+ First-Round Picks

Tier Three

Value Estimation: 2+ First-Round Picks

Tier Four 

Value Estimation: Early First-Round Pick

Tier Five

Value Estimation: First-Round Pick

Tier Six

Value Estimation: Late First-Round Pick

Tier Seven

Value Estimation: Second-Round Pick

Tier Eight

Value Estimation: Third-Round Pick

Tier Nine

Value Estimation: Fourth-Round Pick

Big QB Movers

C.J. Stroud – 7th (previously 9th)

C.J. Stroud just became the first rookie quarterback to have a 50-fantasy point game. If he wasn’t someone you already had as one of the best assets in all of dynasty, he absolutely is now. He’s QB6 on the season, only trailing Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts, Justin Herbert, Kirk Cousins and Patrick Mahomes.

Stroud’s peripherals are also at an elite level — not even just for a rookie, but among all quarterbacks. He has 9.0 adjusted yards per attempt, which is the second highest among all quarterbacks, as well as 8.1 yards per attempt, which is the third highest.

Stroud doesn't hold high-end rushing production, but 1.7 rushing points per game is adequate enough to get a passing profile like his into top-five production territory.

Bryce Young – 16th (previously 14th)

This season has obviously not been an ideal start for Bryce Young, who is posting 14.0 points per game with just 4.8 adjusted yards per attempt and a 3.2 percent touchdown rate. That being said, rookie quarterbacks are hard to evaluate, even if they are elite prospects like Young is.

Matthew Stafford and Trevor Lawrence are the only elite non-Konami prospects to have a rookie season under 15 points per game. The two held similar peripherals to what Young is posting through his first nine weeks, and they clearly turned out just fine.

That is exactly why you shouldn’t panic too much with rookie quarterbacks, mainly ones who were elite-level prospects — especially because history has shown us they have strong value insulation heading into Year 2. 

Running Back Rankings

Tier One

Value Estimation: 2+ First-Round Picks

Tier Two

Value Estimation: 2 First-Round Picks

Tier Three

Value Estimation: Early First-Round Pick

Tier Four

Value Estimation: First-Round Pick

Tier Five

Value Estimation: Late First-Round Pick

Tier Six

Value Estimation: Early Second-Round Pick

Tier Seven

Value Estimation: Second-Round Pick

Tier Eight

Value Estimation: Late Second-Round Pick

Tier Nine

Value Estimation: Third-Round Pick

Big RB Movers

Rachaad White – 20th (previously 27th)

Rachaad White still has a profile that’s not quite elite, but the usage he’s handling is prone to solid fantasy success, as shown by his RB15 ranking with 14.3 points per game. His 1.88 yards per team rush attempt with a 55.7 percent carry percentage is a bit inefficient, but it’s still high enough rushing volume for solid production.

But what’s helping White is how good he has been as a receiver out of the backfield. His 1.01 yards per team pass attempt is fourth among all running backs and only trails Christian McCaffrey, Alvin Kamara and Austin Ekeler. While White is still not likely to have an upper-echelon running back profile, there is solid production to be had with him. 

Rhamondre Stevenson – 21st (previously 25th)

Rhamondre Stevenson enjoyed the best week of the season with 22.9 fantasy points, backed by a 47.4 percent carry percentage and a 13.9 percent target share. Those are right around where his season-long peripherals are (a 50.7 percent carry percentage and 12.4 percent target share in 2023).

The difference recently is that we also got much-needed rushing efficiency that we had been lacking this season. Prior to Week 9, Stevenson didn't have a week with a yards-per-team-rush-attempt higher than 2.50 — this past week, he went for 4.58. If he can get a boost in efficiency, such as this past week, we could be looking at a high-end RB2 producer.

James Cook – 24th (previously 21st)

James Cook is someone who has never been a strong receiver despite what some say. His highest target share across his four years at Georgia was just 7.8 percent, and his highest target share in the NFL has been this season at just 8.0 percent.

For a running back to still have a legitimate ceiling with that level of receiving work, he needs to handle a high carry percentage with solid efficiency and an opportunity for plenty of touchdowns. Unfortunately, Cook doesn’t check these boxes, either. He has a 47.4 percent carry percentage and just an 11.8 percent carry percentage from inside the five-yard line.

Cook is an RB2 producer at best, but even that can feel a bit steep given his peripherals. 

Wide Receiver Rankings

Tier One

Value Estimation: 3 First-Round Picks

Tier Two

Value Estimation: 2 First-Round Picks

Tier Three

Value Estimation: Early First-Round Pick

Tier Four

Value Estimation: First-Round Pick

Tier Five

Value Estimation: Late First-Round Pick

Tier Six

Value Estimation: Second-Round Pick

Tier Seven

Value Estimation: Third-Round Pick

Big WR Movers

CeeDee Lamb – 5th (previously 9th)

The CeeDee Lamb you thought you were getting in 2023 has arrived. He’s now up to WR7 with 19.6 points per game, which is a number we can project for him in the second half of the season because of the strength of his peripherals. His 3.02 yards per team pass attempt is fourth among all wide receivers, only trailing Tyreek Hill, A.J. Brown and Brandon Aiyuk.

Lamb is also one of just 12 wide receivers this season to be posting at least a 26 percent target share on an average depth of target deeper than 10. He is one of the few wide receivers who has a strong case to be the dynasty WR3 behind the tier of Justin Jefferson and Ja’Marr Chase.

Diontae Johnson – 22nd (previously 28th)

Since returning from injury in Week 7, Diontae Johnson is posting 17.1 points per game with a 28.9 percent target share on a 10.3 average depth of target — and last week, he scored his first touchdown in nearly two seasons. The Pittsburgh Steelers are on the lower end of offensive efficiency, yet Johnson is still posting 2.31 yards per team pass attempt and 2.42 yards per route run.

That means he has been an efficient player on an inefficient offense. That’s great to see for a wide receiver who has already shown the ability to earn a high volume of targets and is doing so again in 2023. Johnson is undervalued by the dynasty community, but he isn’t in our rankings.

DeAndre Hopkins – 35th (previously 41st)

DeAndre Hopkins has posted strong peripherals since the season started with a 27.5 percent target share on a 15.3 average depth of target, along with 2.42 yards per team pass attempt. The problem with Hopkins in dynasty is he is an aging asset on a team where quarterback Ryan Tannehill hadn’t thrown for 16 passing points in any week this season.

But Will Levis did just that in his first game in the NFL — with a whopping 33.5 passing points. Levis could end up being a low-quality starting quarterback, but he’s a much higher-upside bet than a quarterback who has already shown who he is.

There is a solid possibility Hopkins’ strong peripherals end up turning into strong fantasy production if the Tennessee Titans’ passing offense under Levis is much better than it was under Tannehill.

Tight End Rankings

Tier One

Value Estimation: Early First-Round Pick

Tier Two

Value Estimation: First-Round Pick

Tier Three

Value Estimation: Late First-Round Pick

Tier Four

Value Estimation: Second-Round Pick

Tier Five

Value Estimation: Third-Round Pick

Big TE Movers

Dalton Kincaid – 5th (previously 8th)

Dalton Kincaid has posted at least 19 fantasy points in each of the past three weeks since Dawson Knox went on injured reserve. In those three weeks, Kincaid has averaged a 22.0 percent target share, 81.9 percent route participation and 1.86 yards per team pass attempt. Those are all solid peripherals for a rookie tight end, but there is still one piece of his profile that leaves him out of the second tier of tight ends: his low average depth of target of just 4.4.

Even in Kincaid’s recent three-game stretch of strong production, his average depth of target is just 4.6. He hasn’t been a tight end who is earning his targets deeper downfield, which is what we need for high-end tight end production over the course of a season.

The only other first-round tight end to post a rookie average depth of target under 6.0 was Jermaine Gresham, who never posted a 17-point-per-game season across his career. There is plenty of flash in Kincaid’s profile, but for him to enter the elite tiers of tight end, we need to see his role get extended deeper down the field. 

Cole Kmet – 10th (previously 15th)

After tumbling a little bit in the recent rankings, Cole Kmet posted 26.5 fantasy points in Week 9 off a 26.7 percent target share and 1.83 yards per team pass attempt. This brings his season-long peripherals to an 18.4 percent target share and 1.38 yards per team pass attempt, which has been good for 14.1 points per game and makes him the TE6 on the season through the first nine weeks.

Kmet does not possess a high-end ceiling, but at a position that lacks talented depth, his profile shows enough to consider him a dynasty TE1. 

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Ian Miller

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Ian Miller attended Washington State University, where most of the time he was building fantasy football models when he should’ve been paying attention to lectures. That’s where he first started building his process that he continue to grow today. It’s a process that gives probability of success and range of outcomes for recruits all the way to ten year NFL veterans. It’s something Ian not only shares with the readers, but also uses in his personal fantasy leagues.