Analysis
10/18/23
12 min read
2023 NFL Week 7 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings
We’re officially past Week 6 in the fantasy season, and dynasty rankings are starting to stabilize. But that doesn’t mean you shouldn’t be finding any possible advantage you can each week. We are here to provide you with rankings meant to be a step ahead of the consensus.
Week 7 Dynasty Rankings
Quarterback Rankings
Tier One
Value Estimation: 3+ Premium First-Round Picks
| 1 | Patrick Mahomes | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 2 | Josh Allen | Buffalo Bills |
| 3 | Jalen Hurts | Philadelphia Eagles |
Tier Two
Value Estimation: 3+ First-Round Picks
| 4 | Lamar Jackson | Baltimore Ravens |
| 5 | Justin Herbert | Los Angeles Chargers |
| 6 | Joe Burrow | Cincinnati Bengals |
Tier Three
Value Estimation: 2+ First-Round Picks
| 7 | Tua Tagovailoa | Miami Dolphins |
| 8 | C.J. Stroud | Houston Texans |
| 9 | Trevor Lawrence | Jacksonville Jaguars |
| 10 | Anthony Richardson | Indianapolis Colts |
| 11 | Kyler Murray | Arizona Cardinals |
Tier Four
Value Estimation: Early First-Round Pick
| 12 | Deshaun Watson | Cleveland Browns |
| 13 | Justin Fields | Chicago Bears |
| 14 | Bryce Young | Carolina Panthers |
Tier Five
Value Estimation: First-Round Pick
| 15 | Jared Goff | Detroit Lions |
| 16 | Brock Purdy | San Francisco 49ers |
| 17 | Kirk Cousins | Minnesota Vikings |
| 18 | Dak Prescott | Dallas Cowboys |
Tier Six
Value Estimation: Late First-Round Pick
| 19 | Russell Wilson | Denver Broncos |
| 20 | Geno Smith | Seattle Seahawks |
Tier Seven
Value Estimation: Early Second-Round Pick
| 21 | Jordan Love | Green Bay Packers |
| 22 | Daniel Jones | New York Giants |
| 23 | Sam Howell | Washington Commanders |
| 24 | Baker Mayfield | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
Tier Eight
Value Estimation: Second-Round Pick
| 25 | Matthew Stafford | Los Angeles Rams |
Tier Nine
Value Estimation: Third-Round Pick
| 26 | Kenny Pickett | Pittsburgh Steelers |
| 27 | Jimmy Garoppolo | Las Vegas Raiders |
| 28 | Derek Carr | New Orleans Saints |
| 29 | Zach Wilson | New York Jets |
| 30 | Mac Jones | New England Patriots |
| 31 | Ryan Tannehill | Tennessee Titans |
| 32 | Desmond Ridder | Atlanta Falcons |
Tier 10
Value Estimation: Late Third-Round Pick
| 33 | Aaron Rodgers | New York Jets |
| 34 | Joshua Dobbs | Arizona Cardinals |
| 35 | Gardner Minshew | Indianapolis Colts |
| 36 | Trey Lance | Dallas Cowboys |
| 37 | Will Levis | Tennessee Titans |
| 38 | Malik Cunningham | New England Patriots |
| 39 | Dorian Thompson-Robinson | Cleveland Browns |
| 40 | Tyler Huntley | Baltimore Ravens |
| 41 | Malik Willis | Tennessee Titans |
| 42 | Aidan O’Connell | Las Vegas Raiders |
| 43 | Taylor Heinicke | Atlanta Falcons |
| 44 | Jameis Winston | New Orleans Saints |
| 45 | Bailey Zappe | New England Patriots |
Big QB Movers
Tua Tagovailoa – 7th (Previously 8th)
Tua Tagovailoa isn’t even averaging 0.5 rushing points per game yet finds himself as the QB3 with 24.2 points per game. First, that tells us he has been one of the best passers in the NFL, and the peripherals back that up.
His 9.8 adjusted yards per attempt and 7.1 percent touchdown rate lead the entire league. He’s been exceptional at avoiding sacks, with a 13.3 percent pressure-to-sack rate that’s good for the fifth-best mark among quarterbacks. However, without projecting adequate rushing production, any regression as a passer leaves him with a less-than-elite floor. As good as he’s been, QB7 is likely his ceiling.
Mac Jones – 30th (Previously 26th)
Mac Jones’ production has gotten worse each season since his rookie year. He posted 15.5 points per game as a rookie, 13.8 points per game in his second year and 11.4 points per game through six weeks this season. He gets closer to being replaced each week, and his peripherals signal the same story.
He’s holding one of the league’s worst passing touchdown rates of just 2.5 percent, leading to only 10.7 points per game as a passer. For fantasy purposes, it’s not as if he’s supplying much production on the ground either, with just 1.0 rushing points per game.
Running Back Rankings
Tier One
Value Estimation: 3 First-Round Picks
| 1 | 21.7 Years Old | Bijan Robinson | Atlanta Falcons |
Tier Two
Value Estimation: 2+ First-Round Picks
| 2 | 27.4 Years Old | Christian McCaffrey | San Francisco 49ers |
Tier Three
Value Estimation: 2 First-Round Picks
| 3 | 22.4 Years Old | Breece Hall | New York Jets |
| 4 | 22.0 Years Old | De’Von Achane | Miami Dolphins |
Tier Four
Value Estimation: Early First-Round Pick
| 5 | 24.7 Years Old | Travis Etienne | Jacksonville Jaguars |
| 6 | 24.7 Years Old | Jonathan Taylor | Indianapolis Colts |
| 7 | 26.7 Years Old | Saquon Barkley | New York Giants |
Tier Five
Value Estimation: First-Round Pick
| 8 | 21.6 Years Old | Jahmyr Gibbs | Detroit Lions |
| 9 | 28.4 Years Old | Austin Ekeler | Los Angeles Chargers |
| 10 | 25.7 Years Old | Josh Jacobs | Las Vegas Raiders |
| 11 | 26.5 Years Old | Tony Pollard | Dallas Cowboys |
| 12 | 23.0 Years Old | Kenneth Walker III | Seattle Seahawks |
| 13 | 24.8 Years Old | D’Andre Swift | Philadelphia Eagles |
Tier Six
Value Estimation: Late First-Round Pick
| 14 | 28.2 Years Old | Alvin Kamara | New Orleans Saints |
| 15 | 27.2 Years Old | Joe Mixon | Cincinnati Bengals |
| 16 | 29.8 Years Old | Derrick Henry | Tennessee Titans |
| 17 | 26.4 Years Old | David Montgomery | Detroit Lions |
Tier Seven
Value Estimation: Early Second-Round Pick
| 18 | 31.5 Years Old | Raheem Mostert | Miami Dolphins |
| 19 | 23.1 Years Old | Kyren Williams | Los Angeles Rams |
| 20 | 28.9 Years Old | Aaron Jones | Green Bay Packers |
Tier Eight
Value Estimation: Second-Round Pick
| 21 | 24.6 Years Old | Isiah Pacheco | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 22 | 24.1 Years Old | James Cook | Buffalo Bills |
| 23 | 25.6 Years Old | Rhamondre Stevenson | New England Patriots |
| 24 | 24.6 Years Old | Brian Robinson | Washington Commanders |
| 25 | 23.5 Years Old | Javonte Williams | Denver Broncos |
| 26 | 27.8 Years Old | Nick Chubb | Cleveland Browns |
| 27 | 22.8 Years Old | Zach Charbonnet | Seattle Seahawks |
Tier Nine
Value Estimation: Late Second-Round Pick
| 28 | 28.4 Years Old | James Conner | Arizona Cardinals |
| 29 | 25.3 Years Old | Alexander Mattison | Minnesota Vikings |
| 30 | 24.8 Years Old | Rachaad White | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
| 31 | 22.3 Years Old | Tyjae Spears | Tennessee Titans |
| 32 | 26.5 Years Old | Miles Sanders | Carolina Panthers |
| 33 | 23.7 Years Old | Dameon Pierce | Houston Texans |
| 34 | 25.6 Years Old | Najee Harris | Pittsburgh Steelers |
Tier 10
Value Estimation: Third-Round Pick
| 35 | 24.1 Years Old | Jerome Ford | Cleveland Browns |
| 36 | 24.9 Years Old | Jaylen Warren | Pittsburgh Steelers |
| 37 | 25.8 Years Old | Zack Moss | Indianapolis Colts |
| 38 | 25.5 Years Old | Khalil Herbert | Chicago Bears |
| 39 | 21.4 Years Old | Kendre Miller | New Orleans Saints |
| 40 | 23.0 Years Old | Jaleel McLaughlin | Denver Broncos |
| 41 | 24.6 Years Old | Kenneth Gainwell | Philadelphia Eagles |
| 42 | 22.7 Years Old | Roschon Johnson | Chicago Bears |
| 43 | 22.1 Years Old | Tank Bigsby | Jacksonville Jaguars |
| 44 | 27.9 Years Old | Jeff Wilson Jr | Miami Dolphins |
| 45 | 23.5 Years Old | Tyler Allgeier | Atlanta Falcons |
| 46 | 28.1 Years Old | Samaje Perine | Denver Broncos |
| 47 | 25.5 Years Old | AJ Dillon | Green Bay Packers |
| 48 | 28.5 Years Old | Jamaal Williams | New Orleans Saints |
| 49 | 24.3 Years Old | Chuba Hubbard | Carolina Panthers |
| 50 | 28.5 Years Old | Gus Edwards | Baltimore Ravens |
| 51 | 24.3 Years Old | Cam Akers | Minnesota Vikings |
| 52 | 24.3 Years Old | Jordan Mason | San Francisco 49ers |
Big RB Movers
Travis Etienne – 5th (Previously 9th)
Last season, Travis Etienne proved himself as one of the most efficient rushers in the league. He joined Jamaal Charles as the only second-year running back to post at least 2.50 yards per attempt with less than a 50 percent carry percentage. Etienne’s usage has taken the needed step forward this season with a 62.4 percent carry percentage.
More importantly, he is more involved in the receiving game. Last season, he had a 7.5 percent target share and 0.53 yards per team pass attempt, but this season he has an 11.3 percent target share and 0.81 yards per team pass attempt. His 18.9 points per game through the first six weeks is not a fluke.
Kyren Williams – 19th (Previously 27th)
Sean McVay has shown he prefers to use a near-every-down back, and he’s chosen Kyren Williams this season. Williams has a 63.4 percent carry percentage and a 10.6 percent target rate through the first six weeks. The efficiency has just been adequate, but it’s resulting in a strong 18.2 points per game.
With Williams' sample size continuing to grow, we should be more confident in his weekly production. Fantasy managers are hoping he returns from his ankle injury rather quickly.
James Cook – 22nd (Previously 14th)
James Cook's chance at becoming the bell cow running back appears to be quickly dwindling. We weren't expecting that coming into the season, but the first few weeks gave us hope.
Cook has gone from a 49.5 percent carry percentage in the first three weeks to a 41.5 percent carry percentage in the next three weeks. Additionally, his 11.6 percent target share in the first three weeks has dropped to 4.7 percent in the three weeks since. As we projected before the season, Cook appears to be a low-ceiling running back.
Wide Receiver Rankings
Wide Receiver Rankings
Tier One
Value Estimation: 3 First-Round Picks
| 1 | Ja’Marr Chase | Cincinnati Bengals |
| 2 | Justin Jefferson | Minnesota Vikings |
Tier Two
Value Estimation: 2 First-Round Picks
| 3 | AJ Brown | Philadelphia Eagles |
| 4 | Garrett Wilson | New York Jets |
| 5 | Chris Olave | New Orleans Saints |
| 6 | Amon-Ra St Brown | Detroit Lions |
| 7 | Puka Nacua | Los Angeles Rams |
| 8 | Brandon Aiyuk | San Francisco 49ers |
| 9 | CeeDee Lamb | Dallas Cowboys |
Tier Three
Value Estimation: Early First-Round Pick
| 10 | Tyreek Hill | Miami Dolphins |
| 11 | Stefon Diggs | Buffalo Bills |
| 12 | Cooper Kupp | Los Angeles Rams |
| 13 | Davante Adams | Las Vegas Raiders |
Tier Four
Value Estimation: First-Round Pick
| 14 | Drake London | Atlanta Falcons |
| 15 | Keenan Allen | Los Angeles Chargers |
| 16 | DeVonta Smith | Philadelphia Eagles |
| 17 | Jaylen Waddle | Miami Dolphins |
| 18 | Zay Flowers | Baltimore Ravens |
| 19 | DJ Moore | Chicago Bears |
| 20 | Nico Collins | Houston Texans |
| 21 | DK Metcalf | Seattle Seahawks |
| 22 | Tee Higgins | Cincinnati Bengals |
| 23 | Jordan Addison | Minnesota Vikings |
Tier Five
Value Estimation: Late First-Round Pick
| 24 | George Pickens | Pittsburgh Steelers |
| 25 | Michael Pittman Jr | Indianapolis Colts |
| 26 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | Seattle Seahawks |
| 27 | Deebo Samuel | San Francisco 49ers |
| 28 | Mike Evans | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
| 29 | Marquise Brown | Arizona Cardinals |
| 30 | Diontae Johnson | Pittsburgh Steelers |
| 31 | Christian Watson | Green Bay Packers |
| 32 | Jakobi Meyers | Las Vegas Raiders |
| 33 | Chris Godwin | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
| 34 | Calvin Ridley | Jacksonville Jaguars |
| 35 | Christian Kirk | Jacksonville Jaguars |
| 36 | Amari Cooper | Cleveland Browns |
Tier Six
Value Estimation: Second-Round Pick
| 37 | Rashee Rice | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 38 | Terry McLaurin | Washington Commanders |
| 39 | Jameson Williams | Detroit Lions |
| 40 | Quentin Johnston | Los Angeles Chargers |
| 41 | Adam Thielen | Carolina Panthers |
| 42 | Marvin Mims | Denver Broncos |
| 43 | Tank Dell | Houston Texans |
| 44 | Romeo Doubs | Green Bay Packers |
| 45 | Treylon Burks | Tennessee Titans |
| 46 | Courtland Sutton | Denver Broncos |
| 47 | Tyler Lockett | Seattle Seahawks |
| 48 | DeAndre Hopkins | Tennessee Titans |
| 49 | Michael Thomas | New Orleans Saints |
| 50 | Gabriel Davis | Buffalo Bills |
| 51 | Jerry Jeudy | Denver Broncos |
Tier Seven
Value Estimation: Third-Round Pick
| 52 | Josh Downs | Indianapolis Colts |
| 53 | Jahan Dotson | Washington Commanders |
| 54 | Curtis Samuel | Washington Commanders |
| 55 | Wan’Dale Robinson | New York Giants |
| 56 | Jayden Reed | Green Bay Packers |
| 57 | Demario Douglas | New England Patriots |
| 58 | Rashid Shaheed | New Orleans Saints |
| 59 | Mike Williams | Los Angeles Chargers |
| 60 | Tyler Boyd | Cincinnati Bengals |
| 61 | Kendrick Bourne | New England Patriots |
| 62 | Michael Wilson | Arizona Cardinals |
| 63 | Tutu Atwell | Los Angeles Rams |
| 64 | Joshua Palmer | Los Angeles Chargers |
| 65 | Elijah Moore | Cleveland Browns |
| 66 | Jonathan Mingo | Carolina Panthers |
| 67 | Kadarius Toney | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 68 | Rashod Bateman | Baltimore Ravens |
| 69 | Skyy Moore | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 70 | Jalin Hyatt | New York Giants |
Big WR Movers
Brandon Aiyuk – 8th (Previously 12th)
Brandon Aiyuk is absolutely breaking out this season, which shouldn’t have been too unpredictable. His range of outcomes heading into his fourth season only featured Cooper Kupp. Through Aiyuk’s first five games, he’s holding a 27.1 percent target share and a 3.32 yards per team pass attempt that only trails Tyreek Hill.
He’s posting these peripherals on a route participation of 81.3 percent, giving him a 29.8 percent target rate and a whopping 3.66 yards per route run. He’s doing this on an average depth of target of 15, which is the highest target rate for any wide receiver with at least a 14 average depth of target.
Drake London – 14th (Previously 18th)
Odell Beckham Jr. is the only rookie wide receiver ever to post a higher target share than Drake London. After a slow start to his second season, London has posted a 24.5 percent target rate and 1.94 yards per route run in the past three weeks. This past week, he went higher than 18 fantasy points for the second time this season.
He did that on an offense led by a quarterback who’s averaging 13.2 points as a passer. London’s peripherals will look quite strong by the end of the season, and he remains just a situation change away from being a legitimate fantasy producer.
Quentin Johnston – 40th (Previously 29th)
Quentin Johnston has been off to one of the most unideal starts by a first-round rookie wide receiver in recent memory. He has just 2.1 points per game along with a 7.1 percent target share and 0.24 yards per team pass attempt. His outlook isn't good, especially for a wide receiver who was a strong prospect.
When he’s been on the field, he’s still earned a 16 percent target rate on an average depth of target of 10.5. His season is far from what was expected, but he shouldn't have the bust label thrown on him yet.
Tight End Rankings
Tier One
Value Estimation: 2 First-Round Picks
| 1 | 34.0 Years Old | Travis Kelce | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 2 | 28.1 Years Old | Mark Andrews | Baltimore Ravens |
Tier Two
Value Estimation: First-Round Pick
| 3 | 23.0 Years Old | Kyle Pitts | Atlanta Falcons |
| 4 | 22.8 Years Old | Sam LaPorta | Detroit Lions |
| 5 | 26.3 Years Old | TJ Hockenson | Minnesota Vikings |
Tier Three
Value Estimation: Second-Round Pick
| 6 | 24.6 Years Old | Cole Kmet | Chicago Bears |
| 7 | 29.2 Years Old | Evan Engram | Jacksonville Jaguars |
| 8 | 31.1 Years Old | Darren Waller | New York Giants |
| 9 | 30.1 Years Old | George Kittle | San Francisco 49ers |
| 10 | 28.8 Years Old | Dallas Goedert | Philadelphia Eagles |
| 11 | 21.3 Years Old | Michael Mayer | Las Vegas Raiders |
| 12 | 23.0 Years Old | Luke Musgrave | Green Bay Packers |
| 13 | 25.0 Years Old | Pat Freiermuth | Pittsburgh Steelers |
| 14 | 24.0 Years Old | Dalton Kincaid | Buffalo Bills |
| 15 | 27.3 Years Old | David Njoku | Cleveland Browns |
| 16 | 24.7 Years Old | Jake Ferguson | Dallas Cowboys |
| 17 | 27.3 Years Old | Dalton Schultz | Houston Texans |
Tier Four
Value Estimation: Third-Round Pick
| 18 | 23.6 Years Old | Greg Dulcich | Denver Broncos |
| 19 | 23.9 Years Old | Trey McBride | Arizona Cardinals |
| 20 | 25.1 Years Old | Jelani Woods | Indianapolis Colts |
| 21 | 25.1 Years Old | Luke Schoonmaker | Dallas Cowboys |
| 22 | 28.1 Years Old | Jonnu Smith | Atlanta Falcons |
| 23 | 25.9 Years Old | Noah Fant | Seattle Seahawks |
| 24 | 32.3 Years Old | Logan Thomas | Washington Commanders |
| 25 | 29.3 Years Old | Gerald Everett | Los Angeles Chargers |
| 26 | 33.0 Years Old | Zach Ertz | Arizona Cardinals |
| 27 | 28.9 Years Old | Hunter Henry | New England Patriots |
| 28 | 28.2 Years Old | Tyler Conklin | New York Jets |
| 29 | 30.8 Years Old | Tyler Higbee | Los Angeles Rams |
| 30 | 24.1 Years Old | Chigoziem Okonkwo | Tennessee Titans |
| 31 | 26.9 Years Old | Dawson Knox | Buffalo Bills |
Big TE Movers
Travis Kelce – 1st (Previously 2nd)
Travis Kelce is 34, but his production at a position that lacks high-end fantasy output is too strong to leave out of the top spot. His 21.3 points per game is 27.5 percent higher than the next closest scoring tight end. If we compare this to wide receiver production, he would be scoring as the WR4 on the season; the TE2 would be scoring as on par with the WR14.
While dynasty strongly emphasizes longevity, the most important thing is winning, and Kelce gives you such an advantage to do so. He is the TE1 in dynasty regardless of his age.
Michael Mayer – 11th (Previously 19th)
Michael Mayer was a strong prospect but started his first month in the NFL with just a 4.1 percent target rate and 0.06 yards per route run. But in the two weeks since then, he’s averaging a 23 percent target rate and 2.92 yards per route run, which has been good for 11 points per game.
He’s doing it on an encouraging 8.4 average depth of target. Mayer is back on track, and his prospect bucket included Martellus Bennett and Dallas Goedert, so there is a lot to be excited about.
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