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Matthew Hill’s 2023 NFL Week 3 Fantasy Football Rankings

Week 3 is upon us so it is time to stop stubbornly clinging to what we thought we knew in the offseason. The recently traded Cam Akers is not an underrated bell-cow. Brian Robinson is not in a timeshare with Antonio Gibson. The Falcons are not going to feature Kyle Pitts. The list goes on and on. 

Our lineup decisions need to reflect the new realities revealed after two weeks of targets, touches and trends. Admitting we were wrong is not something that comes easily, but in the case of fantasy, not living in reality can cost us wins — and dollars. 

My complete Week 3 rankings include highlights of players who are significantly above or below consensus, according to FantasyPros Expert Consensus Rankings (ECR). We’ve included player summaries for the ones for whom I have the strongest opinions and will be investing in most heavily in DFS.

We will update the rankings and player summaries throughout the week as new information comes in. 

Hill’s Week 3 Fantasy Rankings


Rank Name Team Opp
1 Patrick Mahomes II KC vs CHI
2 Jalen Hurts PHI @ TB
3 Josh Allen BUF @ WAS
4 Lamar Jackson BAL vs IND
5 Justin Herbert LAC @ MIN
6 Tua Tagovailoa MIA vs DEN
7 Kirk Cousins MIN vs LAC
8 Trevor Lawrence JAC vs HOU
9 Jared Goff DET vs ATL
10 Justin Fields CHI @ KC
11 Deshaun Watson CLE vs TEN
12 Dak Prescott DAL @ ARI
13 Geno Smith SEA vs CAR
14 Brock Purdy SF vs NYG
15 Daniel Jones NYG @ SF
16 Russell Wilson DEN @ MIA
17 Joe Burrow CIN vs LAR
18 Jordan Love GB vs NO
19 Matthew Stafford LAR @ CIN
20 C.J. Stroud HOU @ JAC
21 Derek Carr NO @ GB
22 Sam Howell WAS vs BUF
23 Kenny Pickett PIT @ LV
24 Gardner Minshew II IND @ BAL
25 Baker Mayfield TB vs PHI
26 Jimmy Garoppolo LV vs PIT
27 Mac Jones NE @ NYJ
28 Andy Dalton CAR @ SEA
29 Ryan Tannehill TEN @ CLE
30 Desmond Ridder ATL @ DET
31 Joshua Dobbs ARI vs DAL
32 Zach Wilson NYJ vs NE
33 Jake Browning CIN vs LAR

 Lamar Jackson, Ravens

Lamar Jackson was a low-end QB1 in Week 2 after throwing for 237 yards with a pair of touchdowns and adding 54 yards on the ground. He gets a home game against an Indianapolis Colts pass defense that has given up 287 yards a game, giving him a high floor and ceiling. 

 Kirk Cousins, Vikings

Kirk Cousins has thrown for 708 yards with six touchdowns through his first two games. He will get the Los Angeles Chargers at home in a game with a 54-point opening line. Cousins has overall QB1 upside this week. 

Anthony Richardson/Gardner Minshew, Colts

Anthony Richardson’s recovery from a concussion will be something to monitor, but assuming that Richardson is not cleared, Gardner Minshew is squarely on the streaming radar. Minshew completed 19 of 23 passes last week in relief of Richardson and should be called upon for plenty of work as road underdogs against the Baltimore Ravens

Joe Burrow, Bengals

Joe Burrow lands at QB17 thanks to conflicting reports about his Monday night availability. His ceiling is obviously significantly higher than his ranking, so you will need to monitor his status this weekend and decide on your level of risk aversion.

Running Backs

Rank Name Team Opp
1 Christian McCaffrey SF vs NYG
2 Tony Pollard DAL @ ARI
3 Bijan Robinson ATL @ DET
4 Travis Etienne Jr. JAC vs HOU
5 Derrick Henry TEN @ CLE
6 Kenneth Walker III SEA vs CAR
7 Josh Jacobs LV vs PIT
8 Joe Mixon CIN vs LAR
9 Kyren Williams LAR @ CIN
10 Rhamondre Stevenson NE @ NYJ
11 Jahmyr Gibbs DET vs ATL
12 James Cook BUF @ WAS
13 Raheem Mostert MIA vs DEN
14 Joshua Kelley LAC @ MIN
15 Brian Robinson Jr. WAS vs BUF
16 D’Andre Swift PHI @ TB
17 Miles Sanders CAR @ SEA
18 Alexander Mattison MIN vs LAC
19 Jerome Ford CLE vs TEN
20 Isiah Pacheco KC vs CHI
21 Rachaad White TB vs PHI
22 Gus Edwards BAL vs IND
23 James Conner ARI vs DAL
24 Zack Moss IND @ BAL
25 Aaron Jones GB vs NO
26 Breece Hall NYJ vs NE
27 Najee Harris PIT @ LV
28 Dameon Pierce HOU @ JAC
29 Javonte Williams DEN @ MIA
30 Tyler Allgeier ATL @ DET
31 AJ Dillon GB vs NO
32 Craig Reynolds DET vs ATL
33 Khalil Herbert CHI @ KC
34 Jaylen Warren PIT @ LV
35 Kendre Miller NO @ GB
36 Matt Breida NYG @ SF
37 Roschon Johnson CHI @ KC
38 Chuba Hubbard CAR @ SEA
39 Dalvin Cook NYJ vs NE
40 Elijah Mitchell SF vs NYG
41 Tony Jones Jr. NO @ GB
42 Samaje Perine DEN @ MIA
43 Antonio Gibson WAS vs BUF
44 Jerick McKinnon KC vs CHI
45 Tyjae Spears TEN @ CLE
46 Ezekiel Elliott NE @ NYJ
47 Tank Bigsby JAC vs HOU
48 Kenneth Gainwell PHI @ TB
49 Zach Charbonnet SEA vs CAR
50 Damien Harris BUF @ WAS
51 Latavius Murray BUF @ WAS
52 De’Von Achane MIA vs DEN
53 Clyde Edwards-Helaire KC vs CHI
54 Gary Brightwell NYG @ SF
55 Melvin Gordon III BAL vs IND
56 Kenyan Drake BAL vs IND
57 Sean Tucker TB vs PHI
58 Ty Chandler MIN vs LAC
59 Rico Dowdle DAL @ ARI
60 Devin Singletary HOU @ JAC

Kyren Williams, Rams

Kyren Williams is second only to Christian McCaffrey among running backs in PPR, had a 96 percent snap share and saw 100 percent of the Rams’ backfield touches last week. Despite his elite usage and production, the early consensus is underrating Williams (RB13). 

 Brian Robinson, Commanders

Brian Robinson has surpassed 20 touches in six of his past seven games. He enters the week third among all running backs in PPR but is ranked as a mid-range RB2 in the early consensus rankings. It will be interesting to see his projected ownership later this week, but for now, the fantasy community is overlooking Robinson.

 Najee Harris/Jaylen Warren, Steelers

Najee Harris and Jaylen Warren continue to operate in a near-even timeshare, with Harris having 19 touches and Warren seeing 18. Warren remains the preferred option on passing downs. Despite this, the consensus gap remains large with Harris having an ECR of RB17, with Warren at RB38. Until Harris takes over the backfield, they have similar value as low-end RB2s in a plus matchup at Las Vegas.  

Gus Edwards, Ravens

With Justice Hill out, Gus Edwards is a solid RB2 with upside as a heavy favorite at home against the Colts. Kenyan Drake should be active in the passing game and he has the ability to steal significant early-down work, so Edwards does come with risk. Priced at only $5,300, I want some exposure to Edwards.

Wide Receivers  

Rank Name Team Opp
1 Justin Jefferson MIN vs LAC
2 Tyreek Hill MIA vs DEN
3 CeeDee Lamb DAL @ ARI
4 Stefon Diggs BUF @ WAS
5 A.J. Brown PHI @ TB
6 Davante Adams LV vs PIT
7 Amon-Ra St. Brown DET vs ATL
8 Calvin Ridley JAC vs HOU
9 Deebo Samuel SF vs NYG
10 Keenan Allen LAC @ MIN
11 DeVonta Smith PHI @ TB
12 Chris Olave NO @ GB
13 Puka Nacua LAR @ CIN
14 Ja’Marr Chase CIN vs LAR
15 Jaylen Waddle MIA vs DEN
16 Mike Williams LAC @ MIN
17 Michael Pittman Jr. IND @ BAL
18 George Pickens PIT @ LV
19 Mike Evans TB vs PHI
20 Amari Cooper CLE vs TEN
21 DK Metcalf SEA vs CAR
22 Tee Higgins CIN vs LAR
23 Nico Collins HOU @ JAC
24 Tyler Lockett SEA vs CAR
25 DJ Moore CHI @ KC
26 Zay Flowers BAL vs IND
27 Chris Godwin TB vs PHI
28 Garrett Wilson NYJ vs NE
29 Terry McLaurin WAS vs BUF
30 Jordan Addison MIN vs LAC
31 Christian Kirk JAC vs HOU
32 DeAndre Hopkins TEN @ CLE
33 Drake London ATL @ DET
34 Jerry Jeudy DEN @ MIA
35 Jakobi Meyers LV vs PIT
36 Jahan Dotson WAS vs BUF
37 Tutu Atwell LAR @ CIN
38 Tank Dell HOU @ JAC
39 Michael Thomas NO @ GB
40 Gabe Davis BUF @ WAS
41 Christian Watson GB vs NO
42 Elijah Moore CLE vs TEN
43 Romeo Doubs GB vs NO
44 Marquise Brown ARI vs DAL
45 Jayden Reed GB vs NO
46 Courtland Sutton DEN @ MIA
47 Rashid Shaheed NO @ GB
48 Adam Thielen CAR @ SEA
49 Josh Reynolds DET vs ATL
50 Treylon Burks TEN @ CLE
51 Skyy Moore KC vs CHI
52 Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA vs CAR
53 DeVante Parker NE @ NYJ
54 Kadarius Toney KC vs CHI
55 Donovan Peoples-Jones CLE vs TEN
56 Allen Robinson II PIT @ LV
57 Robert Woods HOU @ JAC
58 Darius Slayton NYG @ SF
59 Kendrick Bourne NE @ NYJ
60 Van Jefferson LAR @ CIN
61 Tyler Boyd CIN vs LAR
62 JuJu Smith-Schuster NE @ NYJ
63 Marvin Mims Jr. DEN @ MIA
64 K.J. Osborn MIN vs LAC
65 Jauan Jennings SF vs NYG
66 Darnell Mooney CHI @ KC
67 Mack Hollins ATL @ DET
68 Michael Gallup DAL @ ARI
69 Rondale Moore ARI vs DAL
70 Isaiah Hodgins NYG @ SF
71 Joshua Palmer LAC @ MIN
72 Marquez Valdes-Scantling KC vs CHI
73 Rashod Bateman BAL vs IND
74 Josh Downs IND @ BAL
75 Nick Westbrook-Ikhine TEN @ CLE
76 Curtis Samuel WAS vs BUF
77 Jonathan Mingo CAR @ SEA
78 DJ Chark Jr. CAR @ SEA
79 Jalin Hyatt NYG @ SF
80 Allen Lazard NYJ vs NE

 Keenan Allen, Chargers 

Keenan Allen is inside my top 10, with Mike Williams a high-end WR2 as well in a projected shootout. The Los Angeles Chargers passing attack has been heavily consolidated between Allen and Williams. Josh Palmer and Quentin Johnston have combined for 33 yards receiving.

 Michael Pittman, Colts 

Michael Pittman has seen monster volume through two weeks, turning his 23 targets into a combined 16/153/1 receiving line. Pittman should see a similar volume with Minshew under center in a matchup where the Indianapolis Colts will need to take to the air early and often. 

 George Pickens, Steelers

With Dionte Johnson out, George Pickens stepped into a high-volume role, putting up 127 yards receiving with a touchdown on 10 targets. Pickens could post similar numbers against a vulnerable Las Vegas Raiders secondary. 

 Nico Collins, Texans

Nico Collins has not only established himself as the Houston Texans‘ WR1, but Houston’s offense as a whole has surpassed expectations. Houston has played at a sizzling pace, running 79 plays in Week 2, including 47 pass attempts. As long as the Texans maintain their electric pace of play and their reliance on the pass, Collins is a high-floor/ceiling play each week. 

 Jakobi Meyers, Raiders

Jakobi Meyers was a Week 1 revelation, finishing as the overall WR3 after catching eight balls for 81 yards and two scores. Meyers missed Week 2 due to a concussion but has a chance of returning this week. It seems as though the fantasy community has forgotten about his Week 1 effort because he has an early ECR of WR41.  

Christian Kirk, Jaguars

Christian Kirk is a borderline WR2 with upside with Zay Jones out. Trevor Lawrence has struggled against Houston in his short career against Houston, but Jacksonville is far too talented to put too much stock into a four-game sample size. Play Kirk with confidence.

Tight Ends

Rank Name Team Opp
1 Travis Kelce KC vs CHI
2 Mark Andrews BAL vs IND
3 T.J. Hockenson MIN vs LAC
4 Darren Waller NYG @ SF
5 George Kittle SF vs NYG
6 Dallas Goedert PHI @ TB
7 Evan Engram JAC vs HOU
8 Sam LaPorta DET vs ATL
9 David Njoku CLE vs TEN
10 Hunter Henry NE @ NYJ
11 Kyle Pitts ATL @ DET
12 Pat Freiermuth PIT @ LV
13 Jake Ferguson DAL @ ARI
14 Dalton Kincaid BUF @ WAS
15 Zach Ertz ARI vs DAL
16 Luke Musgrave GB vs NO
17 Taysom Hill NO @ GB
18 Cole Kmet CHI @ KC
19 Tyler Higbee LAR @ CIN
20 Hayden Hurst CAR @ SEA
21 Gerald Everett LAC @ MIN
22 Kylen Granson IND @ BAL
23 Juwan Johnson NO @ GB
24 Chigoziem Okonkwo TEN @ CLE
25 Dalton Schultz HOU @ JAC
26 Cade Otton TB vs PHI
27 Durham Smythe MIA vs DEN
28 Cole Turner WAS vs BUF
29 Donald Parham Jr. LAC @ MIN
30 Adam Trautman DEN @ MIA
31 Dawson Knox BUF @ WAS
32 Irv Smith Jr. CIN vs LAR
33 Noah Fant SEA vs CAR
34 Mike Gesicki NE @ NYJ
35 Tyler Conklin NYJ vs NE

 Hunter Henry, Patriots 

Hunter Henry enters Week 3 as fantasy’s top tight end thanks in part to unsustainable efficiency (securing 11 of 13 targets) and touchdown rate. Henry has shown enough to be locked into a low-end TE1/high-end TE2 going forward. 

 Kyle Pitts, Falcons

Kyle Pitts has four receptions on eight targets this season and has not found the end zone since Week 8 of last season. FantasyPros ECR continues to rank Pitts as the TE1, but his rankings are more reflective of his talent and wishful thinking than of his current reality.

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