Betting
1/12/23
4 min read
9 Player Props to Target for 2023 NFL Wild-Card Weekend
Josh Larky, Ryan Reynolds and Ben Wolbransky each name three of their favorite player props for the NFL's Super Wild Card Weekend.
Larky's Top-3 Props
Dalvin Cook Longest Rush OVER 15.5 Yards (-125 DraftKings)
The Giants have allowed running backs to go over this number in 14 of 17 games. Cook faced the Giants in Week 16 and went over it. New York's run defense allows 5.2 yards per carry to running backs, the second-worst average in the NFL.
Rachaad White Longest Rush UNDER 11.5 Yards (-120 DraftKings)
White had 129 rushing attempts this year, five of them were 12 or more yards. He and Leonard Fournette split some work. He's getting nine carries per game, and one-in-25 go for 12 or more yards. Dallas has a well-above-average run defense. White has only shown he can do this against really bad run defenses.
Trenton Irwin OVER 5.5 Yards Receiving (-115 DraftKings)
If he does not play, the line is voided. He has at least 5 yards in every game, with at least 12 yards in 8 of 9 games he has played. If Irwin is active and getting snaps, he's probably going to get his customary one or more catches as he has had in every game he has played this season.
Reynolds’ Top-3 Props
Travis Etienne OVER 75.5 Yards Rushing (-115 DraftKings)
This is primarily a bet against the Chargers' run defense. Etienne's beaten this in seven of his last 12 games. I expect this game to be close for the most part, so I'm pretty confident this hits. (UPDATE: Etienne rushed for 109 yards on Saturday night).
T.J. Hockenson OVER 4.5 Receptions (-110 DraftKings)
He's beated this number in seven of his 10 games as a Viking. He's had eight or more targets in seven of his 10 games as a Viking, as well. He went for 13-109-2 on 16 targets against the Giants a couple of weeks ago. The Giants have given up the eighth-most receptions to tight ends this season.
Deebo Samuel OVER 12.5 Yards Rushing (-115 BetMGM)
I expect Samuel's usage to change now that they're in the playoffs and he's at full usage. Last year in the playoffs, Samuel had seven or more carries in all of three of the 49ers' games. I'm figuring Samuels sees 3-5 carries and hits this number pretty easily. (UPDATE: Samuel rushed for 32 yards on Saturday afternoon.)
Wolby’s Top-3 Props
Cameron Dicker OVER 1.5 Field Goals Made (+105 DraftKings)
He has hit this in 8 of 11 games this year. TIAA Stadium in Jacksonville has the second-highest field goal percentage with at least seven games played in it. Road kickers are averaging 2.5 field goals per game there. (UPDATE: Dicker made 3 of his 4 attempted field goals on Saturday night.)
T.J. Hockenson Longest Reception UNDER 18.5 (-120 DraftKings)
He saw 13 receptions in Week 16 against the Giants. None were longer than 16 yards. The Giants have only allowed this number in five games; it was seven tight ends who have one longer than this, and they're all guys the Giants didn't game-plan for. They're not game-planning for Peyton Hendershot, Jake Ferguson or Trevon Wesco.
Darius Slayton Longest Reception OVER 21.5 Yards (-120 DraftKings)
He has done this in six of his last eight games. Minnesota not only allows the most receptions of 23 or more yards to wide receivers, but by far they allow the most amount to receivers lined up wide. Slayton has been lining up out of the wide slot the most. He has more receiving yards and targets out wide than any other Giants receiver.
WATCH: Matchups to Target in Saturday's Games
