Fantasy
12/22/23
3 min read
2023 NFL Week 16: DFS Top Plays
Every week, our DFS team releases their favorite plays for the main slate on DraftKings. These plays will be geared toward the DraftKings’ Milly Maker tournament.
Chalk plays are guys we expect to have high rostership. They will be popular in our competitors’ lineups. Playing chalk in DFS is fine; however, you want pieces of your lineup to be an outlier to separate yourself from the field.
If 50 percent of your opponents start Christian McCaffrey in the running back slot, and he gives you only 12 fantasy points, the 50 percent of lineups without the expensive McCaffrey landmine get an immediate boost.
An outlier player is someone who is not popular — usually, around five percent or fewer lineups will have this type of player. If only three percent of the field plays Darius Slayton in a wide receiver slot, and he scores 18 points, then you have an edge on about 97 percent of the field with Slayton.
A value is any cheap player we expect to have a solid game. These players are usually relatively popular but help you play the studs. A textbook value example would be a moderately popular tight end for $2,700 who scores 11 fantasy points.
A ceiling-play type will be expected to produce one of their highest outputs in the given matchup. An example is Ja’Marr Chase; at over $8,000 in salary, we want to play Chase in the games where his output is north of 25 or 30 DraftKings points and not in games where he will score 18 points.
>>READ: DFS Main Slate
We’ll review DFS Showdown strategy before every island game in our free Discord. We’re also dropping player prop bets in there with write-ups throughout the week and will answer fantasy start-sit questions, too.
TOP WEEK 16 DFS PLAYS
QUARTERBACKS
| Name | DK Salary | Expected Rostership | Play Type |
| Justin Fields | $7,100 | High | Chalk |
| Trevor Lawrence | $6,600 | Medium | Value |
| Baker Mayfield | $6,000 | Medium | Value |
| Nick Mullens | $5,300 | High | Chalk Value |
Running Backs
| Name | DK Salary | Expected Rostership | Play Type |
| Jonathan Taylor | $7,200 | High | Chalk Ceiling |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | $7,000 | Medium | Ceiling |
| Aaron Jones | $6,400 | Medium | Ceiling |
| Bijan Robinson | $6,300 | Medium | Chalk Value |
| Breece Hall | $6,100 | Medium | Value |
| James Conner | $5,900 | Low | Outlier |
| Chuba Hubbard | $5,700 | Medium | Value |
| Ty Chandler | $5,600 | High | Chalk Value |
Wide Receivers
| Name | DK Salary | Expected Rostership | Play Type |
| Tyreek Hill | $9,600 | Medium | Ceiling |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | $8,200 | Medium | Ceiling |
| Justin Jefferson | $8,100 | High | Chalk Ceiling |
| Jaylen Waddle | $7,800 | Low | Outlier |
| Mike Evans | $7,600 | Medium | Ceiling |
| DJ Moore | $6,900 | Medium | Outlier |
| DK Metcalf | $6,700 | Medium | Outlier |
| Calvin Ridley | $6,300 | High | Chalk Value |
| Jordan Addison | $6,000 | Medium | Outlier |
| Drake London | $5,100 | Medium | Value |
| Dontayvion Wicks | $4,300 | Low | Value Outlier |
| Treylon Burks | $3,100 | Low | Outlier |
| Tyler Scott | $3,000 | Low | Outlier |
Tight Ends
| Name | DK Salary | Expected Rostership | Play Type |
| T.J. Hockenson | $5,800 | Medium | Ceiling |
| Trey McBride | $5,700 | High | Chalk Ceiling |
| Evan Engram | $5,400 | Medium | Ceiling |
| David Njoku | $5,300 | Medium | Ceiling |
| Cade Otton | $3,300 | Low | Value |
Defenses
| Name | DK Salary | Expected Rostership | Play Type |
| Jets | $3,100 | High | Chalk |
| Bears | $2,800 | Low | Value |
| Dolphins | $2,700 | Medium | Value |
| Vikings | $2,500 | Low | Value |
| Panthers | $2,400 | Medium | Value |
FOLLOW OUR DFS TEAM
Jordan Vanek: @JordanVanekDFS
Josh Larky: @JLarkyTweets
Ryan Reynolds: @RyanReynoldsNFL
Mark Garcia: @HilowFF
