Analysis

7/13/23

15 min read

2023 Best Ball: Top 250 DraftKings Fantasy Rankings 3.0

By Ryan Reynolds & Josh Larky

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Our top 250 DraftKings best ball rankings have a new format. Players are ranked by site average draft position (ADP) and given a 1-5 scale. That ranking indicates Josh Larky and Ryan Reynolds’ interest in that player at current ADP. 

You’ll find dozens of player write-ups to provide additional context behind the ratings/rankings process.

The average exposure to a player is about 8.3 percent, taking someone once every 12 drafts. Below, you can see how to translate our rating system into our ideal player exposure.

>> READ: Updated Underdog Fantasy Rankings

DraftKings Top 250 Rankings 3.0

Players 1-25

Travis Kelce, Kansas City Chiefs

We don’t want to be completely out on Travis Kelce, but we have Tyreek Hill ahead of him in our rankings.

Davante Adams, Las Vegas Raiders

We can’t ignore Davante Adams’ massive volume last year, but the move to Jimmy Garoppolo is a downgrade, and we’re bearish on the Raiders in general. You can get Adams at a slightly better price on Underdog Fantasy.

Garrett Wilson, New York Jets

We prefer Garrett Wilson instead of Adams. We have Wilson in the same relative cluster as Nick Chubb and Saquon Barkley, and we want to be at least even with the field on all of those options.

Tony Pollard, Dallas Cowboys

If Dallas adds a quality veteran runner like Dalvin Cook, Tony Pollard’s ADP will likely slide. For now, he’s an excellent buy at current cost.

Chris Olave, New Orleans Saints

We are generally bullish on Chris Olave, and he’s nearly a half a round cheaper on DraftKings than he is on Underdog.

Players 26-50

Breece Hall, New York Jets

Injury uncertainty is the reason Breece Hall isn’t at least a borderline first-round pick. Injury reports have been largely positive up to this point in the offseason, so we want to bet on Hall’s upside.

Joe Burrow, Cincinnati Bengals

Reynolds thinks Joe Burrow will be this year’s MVP, but Burrow is more expensive on DraftKings than he is on Underdog.

Justin Fields, Chicago Bears

Similar to Burrow, Justin Fields is a better value on Underdog than he is on DraftKings. 

Joe Mixon, Cincinnati Bengals

The price disparity trend continues as Joe Mixon is a better value on DraftKings than he is on Underdog.

DeAndre Hopkins, Free Agent

Now that the Titans are the favorite in betting markets to land DeAndre Hopkins, our fantasy interest in him is on hold for the moment.

Players 51-75

Alexander Mattison, Minnesota Vikings

Larky is down on Alexander Mattison, and the window to draft him at a value is long closed.

Miles Sanders, Carolina Panthers

We’re not bullish on Miles Sanders, but we are getting some exposure when he slides, which has been a more frequent occurrence of late.

Marquise Brown, Arizona Cardinals

Keep an eye on Kyler Murray’s injury news over the next few weeks. If anything positive comes out, Marquise Brown’s ADP will begin to rise.

Dallas Goedert, Philadelphia Eagles

In a vacuum, we’d prefer to bet on the upside of Kyle Pitts rather than Dallas Goedert.

Kadarius Toney, Kansas City Chiefs

You could argue Kadarius Toney has the widest range of outcomes in fantasy this season. The floor is absolutely brutal, but Toney’s ceiling in Patrick Mahomes’ offense is high enough that we aren’t going to fade Toney, despite the obvious downside.

Players 76-100

James Conner, Arizona Cardinals

Without Murray, James Conner will be the lead back in a new offense — with the worst quarterback situation in the league to start the season. We’re not overly enthusiastic about that situation.

Dalvin Cook, Free Agent

If you’re going to draft Dalvin Cook before he signs, you’re better off targeting him in Underdog drafts at current costs.

Deshaun Watson, Cleveland Browns

When Deshaun Watson returned from suspension late last season, he was terrible. If that’s the new reality, he’ll bomb at his current ADP. However, if Watson returns to form, he’ll be an absolute steal at his current ADP. We’re willing to take that chance.

David Montgomery, Detriot Lions

Both Larky and Reynolds are sky-high on David Montgomery, who is almost a full-round value on DraftKings currently.

Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys

If you’re going to target Dak Prescott, you can usually get him at least a round cheaper on Underdog.

Players 101-125

Brian Robinson Jr., Washington Commanders

Brian Robinson Jr. only had 12 targets last year, making him a better fit for Underdog’s half-PPR format.

Daniel Jones, New York Giants

When you pair Daniel Jones’ rushing upside with the Giants’ quality coaching staff and improved offensive weapons, there’s a clear path to improvement for Jones.

Zach Charbonnet, Seattle Seahawks

We’re generally interested in Zach Charbonnet, but you can consistently get him at least a round cheaper on DraftKings than you can on Underdog.

Jameson Williams, Detriot Lions

Jameson Williams will miss the first six weeks due to suspension, but the former first-rounder is a premium talent in a high-performing offense. You can get him at least a round cheaper on DraftKings than Underdog.

Rashaad Penny, Philadelphia Eagles

D’Andre Swift is going more than a round earlier on DraftKings than he is on Underdog. That means we’re targeting Rashaad Penny more often on DraftKings when we want a share of the Eagles’ running back room.

Players 126-150

Damien Harris, Buffalo Bills

Damien Harris is a better fit in Underdog’s half-PPR format, but he’s still a solid value on DraftKings.

Nico Collins, Houston Texans

The Texans’ wide receiver room is the worst in the league, but Nico Collins has the clearest path to being the top option in that offense.

Gerald Everett, Los Angeles Chargers

We like this Chargers tight end, but you can get Gerald Everett at a better value on Underdog.

Darnell Mooney, Chicago Bears

If you’re going to target Darnell Mooney, he’s usually at least a round cheaper on DraftKings.

Kyler Murray, Arizona Cardinals

Now that we’re getting closer to training camp, be sure to keep an eye out for injury news on Murray. Positive reports could result in his ADP skyrocketing. 

Players 151-175

Jonathan Mingo, Carolina Panthers

The Panthers have a weak enough wide receiver room that Jonathan Mingo could rise to the top. You can get him at a considerable value on DraftKings.

Kendre Miller, New Orleans Saints

With Alvin Kamara potentially facing suspension, Kendre Miller could see significant work early in the year. You can still get Miller at a value on DraftKings.

Raheem Mostert, Miami Dolphins

If Cook signs in Miami, that would torpedo Raheem Mostert’s fantasy value.

Roschon Johnson, Chicago Bears

We want some exposure to all three Bears running backs, but Roschon Johnson is our preferred target in full-PPR.

Juwan Johnson, New Orleans Saints

Michael Thomas has played 10 games in three years. If that unfortunate trend continues for Thomas, Juwan Johnson will be one of the primary beneficiaries.

Players 176-200

Sam Howell, Washington Commanders

We want some Sam Howell exposure given his rushing upside and Washington’s talented pass catchers. However, there’s a real chance Jacoby Brissett takes over if the Commanders get off to a slow start.

Jeff Wilson Jr., Miami Dolphins

If Cook does not sign with the Dolphins, Jeff Wilson Jr. will be an absolute steal at current costs.

Cordarrelle Patterson, Atlanta Falcons

We’re Cordarrelle Patterson enthusiasts, but the Falcons have a crowded backfield where Patterson’s role could be limited. In fact, Patterson may need to see significant time at wide receiver to have any real fantasy value.

Tyler Conklin, Minnesota Vikings

We’ve been bullish on Tyler Conklin all offseason, and that hasn’t changed.

Ty Chandler, Minnesota Vikings

If you’re not interested in drafting Mattison at his current costs, Ty Chandler looks like his primary handcuff and is still consistently available at the end of drafts.

Players 201-225

Darius Slayton, New York Giants

Darius Slayton is one of the last wide receivers available with real spike-week potential.

Robert Woods, Houston Texans

If you’re going to take Robert Woods, he’s a better fit in full PPR.

Kareem Hunt, Free Agent

We’ve had no interest in Kareem Hunt all offseason, and that stance hasn’t changed.

Ryan Tannehill, Tennessee Titans

With DeAndre Hopkins potentially coming to town, Ryan Tannehill’s ADP could skyrocket sooner than later.

Trey Lance, San Francisco 49ers

We’ve been below market on Trey Lance all offseason. If you’re a high-volume drafter, it could make sense to still take some Lance at the end of drafts given San Francisco’s elite supporting cast. If Lance plays, he could be a factor in fantasy. That said, it wouldn’t be a surprise if Lance didn’t see meaningful playing time this season.

Players 226-250

Michael Carter, New York Jets

If Hall starts trending toward missing the beginning of the season, we’ll start targeting Michael Carter late in drafts.

Tank Dell, Houston Texans

Houston might be the only team in the league where Tank Dell could potentially see some meaningful playing time early this season.

Trey Sermon, Philadelphia Eagles

Now that training camp is drawing near, keep an eye out for any positive news on Trey Sermon. If we see something meaningful on this front, we’ll drop it in our Discord.

Latavius Murray, Buffalo Bills

Consider Latavius Murray the fourth option in Buffalo’s backfield and Harris’s handcuff.

Malik Davis, Dallas Cowboys

Unless Dallas signs a quality veteran running back, Malik Davis looks like the supplemental back and primary handcuff to Pollard. That upside has us willing to swing and miss at the end of drafts.

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Ryan Reynolds

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Ryan graduated with distinction from the University of Minnesota as an accounting major, but some of the most valuable business and investment lessons he has ever learned came from spending weekends learning the sports collectibles business from his father. At a young age, Ryan would voluntarily spend hours sifting through minor league baseball statistics, using his father’s analytics-based system to identify potential targets. Even then, the hitter’s swing or the pitcher’s “stuff” mattered more to Ryan than the perspective granted through just data.

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Josh Larky

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Josh Larky is the Director of Fantasy and Gambling at The 33rd Team.  He joins us with a unique blend of educational and professional experience.