Analysis
11/9/22
8 min read
Wheeler's NFL Week 10 Fantasy Football Rankings
Who's ready for the playoff run? This is the point in the fantasy football season where the contenders and pretenders separate. We are going to start to see the results of our grinding during the past few months. We've done the proper research and made the optimal moves, but there's always that bounce of the ball that can bite us any given Sunday.
In a typical head-to-head league, a few teams are out of it and aren't concerned about their line-ups. Maybe we will get lucky and face those teams down the stretch, but let's not depend on it. There are vultures out there looking to scoop-up players dropped during bye-weeks; let's beat them to the punch and make trade offers to bolster teams playing against your closest competition. If we can't win every game, we can still hedge our odds by forcing the competition to lose or make bad decisions.
The Baltimore Ravens, Cincinnati Bengals, New England Patriots and New York Jets have their bye in Week 10. When I look into weekly matchups, I only use the past five weeks of data. Anything that happened more than a month ago will cloud our judgment.
Week 10 Rankings
Check this link throughout the week and on Sunday morning for the latest updates. Weekly Rankings Update
When examining these rankings, consider I am really only looking at positional ranks, not flex or overall rankings. When it comes to who you start in the flex, a lot will depend on your specific league rules and roster construction. If players are ranked within three spots of each other, the difference between them is negligible. They are expected to score the same amount of points; in those cases, go to our Discord.
[bc_video video_id="6315187081112" account_id="6312875271001" player_id="default" embed="in-page" padding_top="56%" autoplay="" min_width="0px" playsinline="playsinline" picture_in_picture="" language_detection="" max_width="640px" mute="" width="100%" height="100%" aspect_ratio="16:9" sizing="responsive" ]
Quarterback
The QBs with the best matchups in Week 10 include; Rams QB Matthew Stafford, Bills QB Josh Allen – who may be injured – Andy Dalton (or Jameis Winston), Sam Ehlinger (assuming he still starts) and PJ Walker, who is expected to start for Carolina on Thursday night. With that motley crew, we will just be looking for the hot QBs with high Vegas game totals.
Rank | QB | Team | Opp |
1 | Josh Allen | BUF | vs MIN |
2 | Patrick Mahomes | KC | vs JAC |
3 | Jalen Hurts | PHI | vs WAS |
4 | Justin Fields | CHI | vs DET |
5 | Kyler Murray | ARI | @ LAR |
6 | Tua Tagovailoa | MIA | vs CLE |
7 | Geno Smith | SEA | @ TB |
8 | Dak Prescott | DAL | @ GB |
9 | Jimmy Garoppolo | SF | vs LAC |
10 | Tom Brady | TB | vs SEA |
11 | Justin Herbert | LAC | @ SF |
12 | Trevor Lawrence | JAC | @ KC |
13 | Daniel Jones | NYG | vs HOU |
14 | Derek Carr | LV | vs IND |
15 | Marcus Mariota | ATL | @ CAR |
16 | Matthew Stafford | LAR | vs ARI |
17 | Jared Goff | DET | @ CHI |
18 | Russell Wilson | DEN | @ TEN |
19 | Kirk Cousins | MIN | @ BUF |
20 | Aaron Rodgers | GB | vs DAL |
21 | Sam Ehlinger | IND | @ LV |
22 | Andy Dalton | NO | @ PIT |
23 | Jacoby Brissett | CLE | @ MIA |
24 | Kenny Pickett | PIT | vs NO |
25 | Ryan Tannehill | TEN | vs DEN |
[bc_video video_id="6315188378112" account_id="6312875271001" player_id="default" embed="in-page" padding_top="56%" autoplay="" min_width="0px" playsinline="playsinline" picture_in_picture="" language_detection="" max_width="640px" mute="" width="100%" height="100%" aspect_ratio="16:9" sizing="responsive" ]
Running Back
Most analysts look at fantasy points allowed when judging matchups, but for the RB position, I look at yards per carry (YPC) allowed. YPC is generally a miss-used metric that tells us less about running back efficiency but does give us a good indication of defensive efficiency.
Running Backs with the best Week 10 matchups are Christian McCaffrey, Saquon Barkley, Travis Etienne, Dameon Pierce and the Steelers RBs. Most people will assume a bounce-back week for Najee Harris, but I'm looking at a possible break-out week for Jaylen Warren. Harris' foot injury appears to be lingering, and Warren was the pre-season darling this summer.
Rank | RB | Team | Opp |
1 | Christian McCaffrey | SF | vs LAC |
2 | Saquon Barkley | NYG | vs HOU |
3 | Derrick Henry | TEN | vs DEN |
4 | Austin Ekeler | LAC | @ SF |
5 | Josh Jacobs | LV | vs IND |
6 | Travis Etienne Jr. | JAC | @ KC |
7 | Dameon Pierce | HOU | @ NYG |
8 | Alvin Kamara | NO | @ PIT |
9 | Nick Chubb | CLE | @ MIA |
10 | Kenneth Walker III | SEA | @ TB |
11 | Dalvin Cook | MIN | @ BUF |
12 | Jamaal Williams | DET | @ CHI |
13 | Leonard Fournette | TB | vs SEA |
14 | Miles Sanders | PHI | vs WAS |
15 | Jeff Wilson Jr. | MIA | vs CLE |
16 | Tony Pollard | DAL | @ GB |
17 | Cordarrelle Patterson | ATL | @ CAR |
18 | Khalil Herbert | CHI | vs DET |
19 | D'Onta Foreman | CAR | vs ATL |
20 | Aaron Jones | GB | vs DAL |
21 | Raheem Mostert | MIA | vs CLE |
22 | Antonio Gibson | WAS | @ PHI |
23 | D'Andre Swift | DET | @ CHI |
24 | Najee Harris | PIT | vs NO |
25 | David Montgomery | CHI | vs DET |
26 | Deon Jackson | IND | @ LV |
27 | Devin Singletary | BUF | vs MIN |
28 | James Conner | ARI | @ LAR |
29 | Ezekiel Elliott | DAL | @ GB |
30 | Darrell Henderson Jr. | LAR | vs ARI |
31 | AJ Dillon | GB | vs DAL |
32 | Rachaad White | TB | vs SEA |
33 | Kareem Hunt | CLE | @ MIA |
34 | Melvin Gordon III | DEN | @ TEN |
35 | Dontrell Hilliard | TEN | vs DEN |
36 | Eno Benjamin | ARI | @ LAR |
37 | Clyde Edwards-Helaire | KC | vs JAC |
38 | Jaylen Warren | PIT | vs NO |
39 | Tyler Allgeier | ATL | @ CAR |
40 | Isiah Pacheco | KC | vs JAC |
I don't like the matchups for the Bills or Packers running backs in Week 10.
Wide Receiver
I examine a few different statistics when trying to find good or bad wide receiver matchups, but yards per game and fantasy points allowed are the primary gages.
I am drooling over Saints rookie WR Chris Olave's matchup against the Steelers. I would love Panthers WR DJ Moore if he had a quality QB to throw to him. Bills WR Stefon Diggs could go bonkers if Josh Allen plays but should be fine with Case Keenum against Minnesota, he may just need to take a few more slot snaps.
[bc_video video_id="6315186982112" account_id="6312875271001" player_id="default" embed="in-page" padding_top="56%" autoplay="" min_width="0px" playsinline="playsinline" picture_in_picture="" language_detection="" max_width="640px" mute="" width="100%" height="100%" aspect_ratio="16:9" sizing="responsive" ]
Rank | WR | Team | Opp |
1 | Stefon Diggs | BUF | vs MIN |
2 | Cooper Kupp | LAR | vs ARI |
3 | Tyreek Hill | MIA | vs CLE |
4 | Justin Jefferson | MIN | @ BUF |
5 | A.J. Brown | PHI | vs WAS |
6 | Davante Adams | LV | vs IND |
7 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | DET | @ CHI |
8 | DeAndre Hopkins | ARI | @ LAR |
9 | Jaylen Waddle | MIA | vs CLE |
10 | CeeDee Lamb | DAL | @ GB |
11 | Chris Olave | NO | @ PIT |
12 | JuJu Smith-Schuster | KC | vs JAC |
13 | Mike Evans | TB | vs SEA |
14 | Christian Kirk | JAC | @ KC |
15 | Amari Cooper | CLE | @ MIA |
16 | Deebo Samuel | SF | vs LAC |
17 | Tyler Lockett | SEA | @ TB |
18 | DK Metcalf | SEA | @ TB |
19 | DJ Moore | CAR | vs ATL |
20 | Chris Godwin | TB | vs SEA |
21 | Jerry Jeudy | DEN | @ TEN |
22 | Brandon Aiyuk | SF | vs LAC |
23 | Joshua Palmer | LAC | @ SF |
24 | Allen Lazard | GB | vs DAL |
25 | Darnell Mooney | CHI | vs DET |
26 | Terry McLaurin | WAS | @ PHI |
27 | Gabe Davis | BUF | vs MIN |
28 | Michael Pittman Jr. | IND | @ LV |
29 | Rondale Moore | ARI | @ LAR |
30 | Adam Thielen | MIN | @ BUF |
31 | Diontae Johnson | PIT | vs NO |
32 | Curtis Samuel | WAS | @ PHI |
33 | George Pickens | PIT | vs NO |
34 | DeVonta Smith | PHI | vs WAS |
35 | Courtland Sutton | DEN | @ TEN |
36 | Brandin Cooks | HOU | @ NYG |
37 | Allen Robinson II | LAR | vs ARI |
38 | Mecole Hardman | KC | vs JAC |
39 | Terrace Marshall Jr. | CAR | vs ATL |
40 | Zay Jones | JAC | @ KC |
41 | Michael Gallup | DAL | @ GB |
42 | Alec Pierce | IND | @ LV |
43 | Drake London | ATL | @ CAR |
44 | Wan'Dale Robinson | NYG | vs HOU |
45 | Mack Hollins | LV | vs IND |
46 | Donovan Peoples-Jones | CLE | @ MIA |
47 | Chase Claypool | CHI | vs DET |
48 | Kalif Raymond | DET | @ CHI |
49 | Parris Campbell | IND | @ LV |
50 | Robert Woods | TEN | vs DEN |
It may be difficult to fade Arizona's receivers, but the Rams have been tough on opponents in the passing game overall.
Tight End
[bc_video video_id="6315187876112" account_id="6312875271001" player_id="default" embed="in-page" padding_top="56%" autoplay="" min_width="0px" playsinline="playsinline" picture_in_picture="" language_detection="" max_width="640px" mute="" width="100%" height="100%" aspect_ratio="16:9" sizing="responsive" ]
Start your tight ends against the Arizona Cardinals, Seattle Seahawks and New York Giants. I feel like this is the same every year, but it could be recency bias. Tyler Higbee, Cade Otton and pick a random Houston TE as your streamers this week.
Rank | TE | Team | Opp |
1 | Travis Kelce | KC | vs JAC |
2 | George Kittle | SF | vs LAC |
3 | Dallas Goedert | PHI | vs WAS |
4 | Zach Ertz | ARI | @ LAR |
5 | Pat Freiermuth | PIT | vs NO |
6 | Greg Dulcich | DEN | @ TEN |
7 | Tyler Higbee | LAR | vs ARI |
8 | Dalton Schultz | DAL | @ GB |
9 | Taysom Hill | NO | @ PIT |
10 | Cade Otton | TB | vs SEA |
11 | David Njoku | CLE | @ MIA |
12 | Gerald Everett | LAC | @ SF |
13 | Kyle Pitts | ATL | @ CAR |
14 | T.J. Hockenson | MIN | @ BUF |
15 | Evan Engram | JAC | @ KC |
16 | Cole Kmet | CHI | vs DET |
17 | Dawson Knox | BUF | vs MIN |
18 | Foster Moreau | LV | vs IND |
19 | Robert Tonyan | GB | vs DAL |
20 | Juwan Johnson | NO | @ PIT |
21 | Mike Gesicki | MIA | vs CLE |
22 | Noah Fant | SEA | @ TB |
23 | Will Dissly | SEA | @ TB |
24 | Logan Thomas | WAS | @ PHI |
25 | Tommy Tremble | CAR | vs ATL |
Rest of Season Rankings
Way back before I started ranking players and writing about fantasy, I would search for analysts' "Rest of Season" rankings. At the time, there were few people doing that, so when I started writing, it became a large part of my process. Rest of Season rankings help me with waiver wire or free-agent pick-ups before Sunday game-time.
Weekly Rankings Update
Check this link throughout the week and on Sunday morning for the latest updates.
Good luck this week!
WATCH MORE: Trade for These WRs in Fantasy Football
[bc_video video_id="6315224356112" account_id="6312875271001" player_id="default" embed="in-page" padding_top="56%" autoplay="" min_width="0px" playsinline="playsinline" picture_in_picture="" language_detection="" max_width="640px" mute="" width="100%" height="100%" aspect_ratio="16:9" sizing="responsive" ]