Betting
10/28/22
5 min read
Week 8 Player Props: Take the Over on Eno, Saquon
Below, you'll find nearly two dozen Week 8 player prop bets that I put my own money on. For each line, I provide the sportsbook, as well as why I took the line.
Eno Benjamin OVER 22.5 Receiving Yards (-115 on DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Eno will lead this backfield for another week with James Conner ruled OUT.
- He has 20+ receiving yards in five of seven games.
- MIN allows the eighth most receiving yards per game (42) to opposing backs, courtesy of our free and flagship tool, The Edge.
Jaylen Waddle 80+ Receiving Yards (+140 on FanDuel Sportsbook), 90+ (+205), 100+ (+300), 110+ (+410), 125+ (+640)
- Waddle has at least 80 receiving yards in four of seven games in 2022 (57%, when +140 chance of 80+ implies 42%).
- Waddle has over 100 yards in three of seven games (43%, when +300 implies just a 25% chance).
- Waddle has at least 125 yards in two of seven games (29%, when +640 implies 14%).
- DET allows 8.0 yards per attempt to opposing passers, second-most in the NFL, via The Edge.
Saquon Barkley Longest Rush OVER 17.5 Yards (-105 on DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Saquon has eight rush attempts of at least 18 yards, and they occurred in five of seven games in 2022.
- Deebo Samuel and Tyrion Davis-Price (once each in Week 2), Cordarrelle Patterson (three times in Week 3), Craig Reynolds and Jamaal Williams (once each in Week 4), Taysom Hill (once in Week 5), and Kyler Murray (once in Week 6) have all had runs of at least 18 yards against SEA this year.
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Kyler Murray Longest Completion UNDER 35.5 Yards (-115 on DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Kyler's longest completion in 2022 is only 32 yards.
- Kyler has thrown just three passes all year for at least 30 yards (30, 31, and 32 yards).
DeVonta Smith 70+ Receiving Yards (+158 on FanDuel Sportsbook), 80+ (+240), 90+ (+370), 100+ (+550)
- Smith has at least 80 receiving yards in three of six games (50%, yet +240 implies a 29% chance).
- PIT has given up 30 pass plays of at least 20 yards, most in the NFL.
Derrick Henry OVER 11.5 Receiving Yards (-115 on DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Henry has at least two catches and ten receiving yards in each of his past four games.
- Henry has at least 30 receiving yards in three of his past four games.
- HOU allows the tenth most receiving yards per game to opposing backs, via The Edge.
Kenneth Walker III 125+ Rushing Yards (+400 on FanDuel Sportsbook)
- Walker has back-to-back games with at least 21 carries.
- Walker had 168 rushing yards in Week 7 against LAC.
- NYG allows 5.7 yards per carry to opposing backs, second-most in the NFL via The Edge.
- 21 carries at 5.7 yards per carry would be 120 yards, yet +400 implies only a 20% chance of this hitting.
- Continue hitting this line until it settles in at +250.
D.J. Moore OVER 59.5 Receiving Yards (-115 on DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Moore had 69 yards on ten targets in Week 7, his first game without both Christian McCaffrey and Robbie Anderson.
- ATL allows the most passing yards per game to opposing offenses (306), via The Edge.
- Moore's Week 7 target share was nearly 48%, and P.J. Walker's pass yards prop is set at 182.5.
- I'm expecting far more than 33% of Walker's passing yardage to go to D.J. Moore when there is nobody else of note in the CAR receiving room.
DeAndre Hopkins OVER 67.5 Receiving Yards (-115 on DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Hopkins had 14 targets (48% share), catching ten for 103 yards in his first game of 2022.
- Ten receivers have at least 67 receiving yards when facing the Vikings in only six games played.
Elijah Moore OVER 29.5 Receiving Yards (-115 on DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Breece Hall's season is over and Corey Davis is OUT with an MCL (knee) injury.
- These injuries hint at a pass-heavier gameplan and a consolidated target tree in NYJ.
- NYJ is projected to lose to NE according to Vegas, and should need to throw to stay competitive.
- NE has allowed the fifth-most pass plays of at least 20 yards this year (25).
- Elijah Moore has the squeaky wheel narrative, as he's been unhappy with his recent usage.
Greg Dulcich Anytime Touchdown (+370 on FanDuel Sportsbook)
- Dulcich had a red zone and an end zone target in his first career game (Week 6), scoring a TD.
- Week 7 was Dulcich's second career game, and he was peppered with nine targets.
- This line should be closer to the +200 range.
Darius Slayton 40+ Receiving Yards (+130 on FanDuel Sportsbook), 50+ (+220), 60+ (+350), 70+ (+550)
- Slayton has at least six targets and 58 yards in two of his past three games.
- Slayton has a target share of at least 21% in two of his past three games.
- Slayton had 79 receiving yards in Week 5, his first game of the season as a starter.
- Slayton has run at least 21 routes, with an average target depth of over ten yards, in each of the past three games.
- SEA allows 7.8 yards per attempt to opposing passers, fifth-highest in the NFL, via The Edge.
We hope you enjoyed combing through these Week 8 player prop bets. Be sure to always bet responsibly.
WATCH MORE: Fantasy Football Advice for Week 8
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