NFL Analysis

1/12/24

12 min read

2024 NFL Mock Draft: Predicting Entire First Round Entering Playoffs

2024 NFL Mock Draft Predictions

The NFL playoffs will kick off this weekend, but we already know who will own the top 18 selections in the 2024 Draft. Where might the non-playoff teams go in Round 1? And what do all the current playoff teams need to take them over the top?

Ahead of Wild-Card Weekend, here is our 2024 first-round NFL mock draft.

2024 NFL MOCK DRAFT

1. Chicago Bears (via Carolina)

Caleb Williams, QB, USC

The Chicago Bears have a very difficult decision on their hands with Justin Fields, but look for them to lean into taking a quarterback at No. 1. Williams has too much upside to pass on, and his play-making ability as a passer is precisely what the Bears need to go to the next level.

2. Washington Commanders

Jayden Daniels, QB, LSU

LSU quarterback Jayden Daniels
LSU Tigers quarterback Jayden Daniels takes a selfie with the Heisman trophy during a press conference in the Astor ballroom at the New York Marriott Marquis after winning the Heisman trophy. (Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports)

Surprise! Jayden Daniels is the second quarterback off the board, not Drake Maye.

Daniels had an incredible 2023 season — he was the most dynamic quarterback in all college football. The Washington Commanders desperately need someone to make them exciting again, and Daniels could certainly do that.

3. New England Patriots

Drake Maye, QB, North Carolina

Drake Maye is a perfect fit for the New England Patriots given his size and arm talent. A strong arm is needed in the AFC East with so many games played in poor weather.

Maye isn't a perfect prospect because he needs to clean up his decision-making and accuracy, but this would be a fantastic selection by the Patriots should he be available at No. 3. 

4. Arizona Cardinals

Marvin Harrison Jr., WR, Ohio State

This mock draft couldn’t have worked out any better for the Arizona Cardinals.

With three quarterbacks picked in a row, that leaves Marvin Harrison Jr. on the board at No. 4. Wide receiver is the most significant need for Arizona, and Harrison is a can't-miss prospect. Pairing him with Kyler Murray would be a blast to watch.

5. Los Angeles Chargers

Brock Bowers, TE, Georgia

Drafting a tight end inside the top 10 picks usually isn't a good idea, but this fit might be too good for the Los Angeles Chargers to pass up.

Brock Bowers is one of the best tight end prospects ever to enter the NFL Draft, and he is a terror after the catch. Pairing him with Justin Herbert would give the Chargers their version of Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce.

6. New York Giants

Malik Nabers, WR, LSU

LSU wide receiver Malik Nabers
Malik Nabers 8 as the LSU Tigers take on Texas A&M in Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge, Louisiana.

The New York Giants had a lot of success with a certain first-round receiver from LSU before, so why not do it again?

In most drafts, Nabers would be the first receiver off the board. But with Harrison in this class, Nabers “falls” to No. 6. He would give the Giants the bonafide No. 1 receiver they’ve desperately lacked since trading away Odell Beckham Jr.

7. Tennessee Titans

Joe Alt, OT, Notre Dame

There might not be a better fit in the entire draft than Joe Alt to the Tennessee Titans.

The Titans have a significant issue at left tackle because Andre Dillard is proving to be a free-agent bust. Peter Skornoski is better suited to play guard, and putting Skornoski and Alt next to each other could help Tennessee fortify its offensive line.

8. Atlanta Falcons

Nate Wiggins, CB, Clemson

Clemson cornerback Nate Wiggins
Clemson Tigers cornerback Nate Wiggins (2) smiles after breaking up a pass to South Carolina wide receiver Nyck Harbor (8) during the fourth quarter at Williams-Brice Stadium. Clemson won 16-7. (Ken Ruinard-USA TODAY Sports)

Ideally, the Atlanta Falcons would love to move up and get one of the top three quarterbacks in this class. But in this mock, they stay at No. 8 and select the top cornerback: Nate Wiggins.

A.J. Terrell had another strong season in Atlanta, but the Falcons need a better option opposite him. Pairing him with another Clemson Tiger in Wiggins makes too much sense.

9. Chicago Bears

Rome Odunze, WR, Washington

After selecting Williams at No. 1, the Bears double-down on offense and grab Rome Odunze at No. 9. DJ Moore had a fantastic season in Chicago, but the Bears need more consistent play-makers opposite him.

Odunze would be the perfect No. 2 receiver in Chicago because he can stretch the field and make a bunch of contested catches.

10. New York Jets

Olu Fashanu, OT, Penn State

Offensive tackles usually get pushed up the draft board, so it wouldn’t be a surprise if Olu Fashanu gets picked higher than this. But the New York Jets desperately need offensive tackle help, and Fashanu would be a massive upgrade at left tackle.

11. Minnesota Vikings

Dallas Turner, EDGE, Alabama

Alabama linebacker Dallas Turner
Alabama Crimson Tide linebacker Dallas Turner (15) celebrates after a sack in the second quarter against the Georgia Bulldogs in the SEC Championship at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. (John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports)

Danielle Hunter had a fantastic 2023 season, but the Minnesota Vikings need to add someone opposite him who can create pressure on the quarterback. Dallas Turner had double-digit sacks at Alabama this season despite being just 20.

There's a lot of debate about who the top pass rusher is in this class, but it's hard to pass up Turner and his production.

12. Denver Broncos

J.J. McCarthy, QB, Michigan

Michigan quarterback J.J. McCarthy
Michigan quarterback J.J. McCarthy misses the trophy to celebrate 34-13 win over Washington at the national championship game at NRG Stadium in Houston.

We know the Denver Broncos are set to make a change at quarterback after benching Russell Wilson for the final two weeks. But will they sign a veteran or will Sean Payton want a quarterback to draft and develop?

J.J. McCarthy isn't the most polished player, but he has a strong arm, and he's mobile. Coming off a National Championship win won't hurt his stock, either.

13. Las Vegas Raiders

Jer’Zhan Newton, DT, Illinois

Illinois defensive tackle Jer'Zhan Newton
Illinois Fighting Illini defensive tackle Jer'Zhan Newton (4) tackles Wisconsin Badgers running back Braelon Allen (0) during the first half at Memorial Stadium. (Ron Johnson-USA TODAY Sports)

The Las Vegas Raiders would also love the opportunity to draft their next franchise quarterback, but with four off the board in the top 12 picks, it only makes sense to wait.

The Raiders need more help at defensive tackle, and Jer'Zhan Newton is the top interior player in the class. Matching him up with Maxx Crosby and Malcolm Koonce would be a massive addition to the defensive line.

14. New Orleans Saints

JC Latham, OT, Alabama

Alabama offensive lineman JC Latham
Alabama Crimson Tide offensive lineman JC Latham (65) celebrates with a cow bell in Davis Wade Stadium at Mississippi State University. Alabama defeated Mississippi State 40-17. (Gary Cosby Jr.-Tuscaloosa News)

The New Orleans Saints swung and missed on Trevor Penning, who wasn’t even the No. 3 tackle for them this season. With the future uncertain for Ryan Ramczyk, the Saints have to add offensive line help through the draft.

JC Latham is a monster offensive tackle, measuring in at 6-foot-6, 360 pounds. He might be best suited to play right tackle in the NFL, but that might not be New Orleans' biggest area of need.

15. Indianapolis Colts

Kool-Aid McKinstry, CB, Alabama

Alabama cornerback Kool-Aid McKinstry
Alabama Crimson Tide defensive back Kool-Aid McKinstry (1) celebrates after a missed field goal by LSU at Bryant-Denny Stadium. (Gary Cosby Jr.-USA TODAY Sports)

Cornerback was a major weakness for the Indianapolis Colts all season, and it’s a spot they have to address this offseason. Kool-Aid McKinstry is arguably the best cover corner in the draft, and getting him at No. 15 would be a steal.

16. Seattle Seahawks

Laiatu Latu, EDGE, UCLA

UCLA defensive lineman Laiatu Latu
UCLA Bruins defensive lineman Laiatu Latu (15) battles against San Diego State Aztecs tight end Mark Redman (81) during the first half at Snapdragon Stadium. (Orlando Ramirez-USA TODAY Sports)

Boye Mafe was a revelation for the Seattle Seahawks, recording seven sacks in the first eight games. But over the final nine games, he totaled just two more sacks. The Seahawks need to add more pass rush help, and Laiatu Latu is one of the top rushers in the class. 

17. Jacksonville Jaguars

Keon Coleman, WR, Florida State

Florida State wide receiver Keon Coleman
Florida State Seminoles wide receiver Keon Coleman (4) celebrates a touchdown against the North Alabama Lions during the third quarter at Doak S. Campbell Stadium. (Morgan Tencza-USA TODAY Sports)

One of the big questions this offseason surrounding the Jacksonville Jaguars will be if they give Calvin Ridley a contract extension. Giving him a new deal would mean that Jacksonville would surrender its 2024 second-round pick to the Falcons.

Ridley was fine in 2023, but he wasn't good enough to give away another top-50 selection. That would leave the Jaguars with a need at receiver, and Keon Coleman could give the receiving corps the size and athleticism it would desperately need.

18. Cincinnati Bengals

Graham Barton, OL, Duke

Duke offensive lineman Graham Barton
Duke Blue Devils offensive lineman Graham Barton (62) before the game at Kenan Memorial Stadium. (Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports)

The Cincinnati Bengals have needs all over the place, but in this mock, they decide to take the best interior offensive lineman in the 2024 class.

Graham Barton played left tackle at Duke but projects as a guard or center in the NFL. He would immediately be a massive upgrade at left guard for Cincinnati and could eventually take over for Ted Karras at center.

19. Green Bay Packers

Cooper DeJean, DB, Iowa

Iowa defensive back Cooper DeJean
Iowa defensive back Cooper DeJean (3) runs back a punt.

The Green Bay Packers had all sorts of issues in their secondary this year, including an odd Jaire Alexander suspension. Green Bay needs to add more athleticism in that unit, and Cooper DeJean is one of the top defensive backs in the class. He can play multiple spots, including slot corner and safety.

This would be a fantastic fit for Green Bay should he fall to No. 19.

20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Chop Robinson, EDGE, Penn State

Penn State defensive lineman Chop Robinson
Penn State defensive end Chop Robinson (44) celebrates after sacking Massachusetts quarterback Taisun Phommachanh.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers hit on YaYa Diaby during the 2023 draft, but they could still add more defensive line talent. Chop Robinson is one of the best pass rushers in this class and would be a fantastic long-term pairing with Diaby and Joe Tryon-Shoyinka.

21. Arizona Cardinals (via Texans)

Troy Fautanu, OL, Washington

Washington offensive lineman Troy Fautanu
Washington Huskies offensive lineman Troy Fautanu (55) celebrates after the Huskies scored against the Oregon Ducks during the first quarter at Allegiant Stadium. (Stephen R. Sylvanie-USA TODAY Sports)

D.J. Humphries' future is up in the air, especially after he tore his ACL in the final month of the season. The expectation for the Cardinals is that Paris Johnson Jr. will kick over to left tackle, but Arizona desperately needs help on the interior offensive line.

Fautanu was a left tackle at Washington, but he best projects as a guard in the NFL. His size and athleticism would be welcomed in Arizona as the Cardinals try to rebuild the offensive line in front of Kyler Murray.

22. Los Angeles Rams

Tyler Guyton, OT, Oklahoma

Oklahoma offensive lineman Tyler Guyton
Oklahoma Sooners offensive lineman Tyler Guyton (60) at the line of scrimmage against the Kansas Jayhawks during the game at David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium. (Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports)

It was surprising how well the Los Angeles Rams' offensive line played this season, but that unit could still use some upgrading at offensive tackle.

The left tackle spot was a mess all season, and who knows how much longer Rob Havenstein will play. Tyler Guyton is a fantastic pass-blocker who would fit nicely into Sean McVay's offense.

23. Pittsburgh Steelers

Amarius Mims, OT, Georgia

Georgia offensive lineman Amarius Mims
Georgia Bulldogs offensive lineman Amarius Mims (65) and offensive lineman Tate Ratledge (69) against the TCU Horned Frogs during the CFP national championship game at SoFi Stadium. (Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports)

The Pittsburgh Steelers traded up for another Georgia offensive tackle in 2023 (Broderick Jones) and they could pick another one here in 2024.

Amarius Mims is likely a right tackle in the NFL, but his size and power perfectly fit Pittsburgh. This would allow Jones to move back to left tackle, giving the Steelers one of the youngest offensive lines in the league.

24. Miami Dolphins

Jared Verse, EDGE, Florida State

Florida State defensive lineman Jared Verse
Florida State Seminoles defensive lineman Jared Verse (5) during warm ups against the Louisville Cardinals at Bank of America Stadium. (Jim Dedmon-USA TODAY Sports)

The Miami Dolphins lost their two best edge rushers to major injuries at the end of the year, and it’s fair to wonder when Jaelan Phillips and Bradley Chubb will return.

That’s why the addition of Jared Verse makes too much sense. In his two seasons at Florida State, Verse totaled 29.5 tackles for a loss and 18 sacks. You can never have too many pass rushers, and getting him at No. 24 would be a steal for Miami.

25. Philadelphia Eagles

Terrion Arnold, CB, Alabama

Alabama defensive back Terrion Arnold
Alabama Crimson Tide defensive back Terrion Arnold (3) celebrates after an incomplete pass during the first half against the Michigan Wolverines in the 2024 Rose Bowl college football playoff semifinal game at Rose Bowl. (Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports)

There might not be a worse cornerback room in the NFL than the Philadelphia Eagles'. They are old and need to add some youth to the unit. Terrion Arnold is one of the top cornerbacks in the class — some might argue he is No. 1.

Look for Arnold to be one of the biggest risers in the draft over the next few months.

26. Kansas City Chiefs

Brian Thomas, WR, LSU

LSU wide receiver Brian Thomas
LSU Tigers wide receiver Brian Thomas Jr. (11) catches a touchdown against Texas A&M Aggies defensive back Sam McCall (16) during the second half at Tiger Stadium. (Stephen Lew-USA TODAY Sports)

The Kansas City Chiefs almost *have* to select a receiver in Round 1, given how poorly this season went for them on offense.

Rashee Rice is a nice inside-outside receiver, but the Chiefs need more size and athleticism. Brian Thomas Jr. would be a fantastic fit after recording nearly 1,200 yards in his junior season at LSU. Standing at 6-foot-5, 200 pounds, Thomas would give Patrick Mahomes the vertical threat he’s been missing all year.

27. Houston Texans

Bralen Trice, EDGE, Washington

Washington defensive end Bralen Trice
Washington Huskies defensive end Bralen Trice (8) celebrates after a play during the second quarter against the Texas Longhorns in the 2024 Sugar Bowl college football playoff semifinal game at Caesars Superdome. (Matthew Hinton-USA TODAY Sports)

The Houston Texans traded a ton of draft capital to select Will Anderson in the 2023 draft but could use a long-term bookend to pair with him.

Bralen Trice isn't a supreme athlete, but he's highly productive. Over the last two seasons, he’s recorded 23.5 tackles for a loss and 16 sacks. Adding him to the Texans' defensive line would give them even more talent and depth.

28. Detroit Lions

Quinyon Mitchell, CB, Toledo

Toledo cornerback Quinyon Mitchell
Toledo Rockets cornerback Quinyon Mitchell (27) breaks up a pass intended for Miami (OH) Redhawks wide receiver Gage Larvadain (10) in the third quarter at Ford Field. (Lon Horwedel-USA TODAY Sports)

The Detroit Lions are one of the most dangerous teams in the NFC, but their secondary might hold them back from making a run in the playoffs.

Quinyon Mitchell would be a home-run pick for Detroit after dominating at Toledo for the last two seasons. The jump in competition will be significant, but everything about his game suggests he could be a star in the NFL.

29. Buffalo Bills

Adonai Mitchell, WR, Texas

Texas wide receiver Adonai Mitchell
Texas Longhorns wide receiver Adonai Mitchell (5) catches a touchdown pass against Washington Huskies running back Ryder Bumgarner (25) during the fourth quarter in the 2024 Sugar Bowl college football playoff semifinal game at Caesars Superdome. (John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports)

Gabe Davis is set to become a free agent, and the Buffalo Bills desperately need to add another play-maker for Josh Allen. Adonai Mitchell has fantastic size and could replace Davis as the field-stretcher on the outside.

Look for the Bills to be shopping for receivers all offseason.

30. Dallas Cowboys

Kalen King, CB, Penn State

Penn State cornerback Kalen King
Penn State cornerback Kalen King (4) tackles Rutgers running back Aaron Young (4).

The Dallas Cowboys could require additional cornerback help this offseason — Stephon Gilmore and Jourdan Lewis are set to become free agents. Trevon Diggs will be returning from a torn ACL, so it is wise for Dallas to add more talent to this position.

Kalen King didn’t play as well in 2023 as he did in 2022, but he is still worthy of being drafted late in Round 1.

31. San Francisco 49ers

Kamari Lassiter, CB, Georgia

Georgia defensive back Kamari Lassiter
Georgia Bulldogs defensive back Kamari Lassiter (3) prepares to cover Missouri Tigers wide receiver Mookie Cooper (5) during the second half at Sanford Stadium. (Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports)

The San Francisco 49ers are loaded at just about every position, but one spot that needs some additional work is cornerback.

They've cycled through many players this year, but adding Kamari Lassiter would help solidify that position. Lassiter didn't allow a single touchdown reception this season at Georgia and is one of the best man-to-man cornerbacks in this class.

32. Baltimore Ravens

Kris Jenkins, DT, Michigan

Michigan defensive lineman Kris Jenkins
Michigan Wolverines defensive lineman Kris Jenkins (94) celebrates after defeating the Alabama Crimson Tide in the 2024 Rose Bowl college football playoff semifinal game at Rose Bowl. (Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports)

The Baltimore Ravens love to build up their trenches, so why not draft a player from the Harbaugh pipeline again? Kris Jenkins excelled as a run defender at Michigan and would give Baltimore even more size and athleticism on its defensive line. 


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