NFL Analysis

4/1/24

15 min read

2024 NFL Mock Draft: Patriots Trade Out of Drake Maye and J.J. McCarthy, Up for Michael Penix Jr.

Editor's note: This article was published before the Buffalo Bills traded Stefon Diggs to the Houston Texans on April 3, 2024.

The 2024 NFL Draft is getting closer, and the misinformation being pushed might be as thick as it gets. Draft boards aren't finalized yet, and pro days allow teams to gather the last pieces needed before they hunker down. It's silly season, but we also have a good idea of team needs and intentions as rosters are more settled with veterans.

We expect trades and movement as teams jockey for a loaded quarterback class. Buckle in for our latest 2024 NFL mock draft.

2024 NFL MOCK DRAFT

1. Chicago Bears

Caleb Williams, QB, USC

Height: 6-foot-1
Weight: 214 pounds
Class: Junior

Fit: Some fans might not be enthralled with Caleb Williams' lip gloss, painted fingernails and pink phone, but he's the epitome of a Gen Z athlete comfortable being himself. 

What matters is Williams is incredibly smart and possesses elite physical traits that allow him to accomplish anything on the field. He's walking into a strong situation with the Chicago Bears and can redefine how the franchise has been viewed for decades.

2. Washington Commanders

Jayden Daniels, QB, LSU

Height: 6-foot-4
Weight: 210 pounds
Class: Senior

Fit: The Washington Commanders can easily justify going with Jayden Daniels or Drake Maye, and there's the looming possibility they split the difference by taking J.J. McCarthy. 

Ultimately, Daniels is the betting favorite to go No. 2 and seems to have the momentum. Kliff Kingsbury coached a talent similar in Kyler Murray, and if Kingsbury enjoyed that experience, then Daniels could get the nod.

Daniels is explosive but needs an offense that caters to his skill set. If he protects his body from direct hits, he could be the NFC's version of Lamar Jackson.


Trade Alert

Vikings Receive: 2024 No. 3 pick and 2025 third-round pick

Patriots Receive: 2024 Nos. 11 and 23 picks and 2025 first-round pick


3. Minnesota Vikings (Trade With NE)

J.J. McCarthy, QB, Michigan

Height: 6-foot-2 ½
Weight: 219 pounds
Class: Junior

Fit: We know the Minnesota Vikings want to trade up, and it'll be a pricey endeavor. New England has a ton of needs, so while trading out a quarterback here is painful, the team would benefit from adding an extra first-round pick in 2024 and 2025. In exchange, Minnesota gets its choice of QB3 options.

J.J. McCarthy is getting a lot of buzz right now. He's a more fluid athlete and has a stronger arm than Maye. Both players project well in Kevin O'Connell's offense, but the McCarthy train wins out in this mock.

4. Arizona Cardinals

Marvin Harrsion Jr., WR, Ohio State

Height: 6-foot-3
Weight: 209 pounds
Class: Junior

Fit: There's been enough smoke around who is considered the top receiver in the class to believe the Arizona Cardinals could take Malik Nabers. 

The team clearly wants a No. 1 pass-catcher, so it would have to be careful of how far it would drop in a trade down. If the Cardinals get leapfrogged, hanging on to their choice of a WR1 is their best bet.

Nabers is the more explosive talent, but Marvin Harrison Jr is still a freakier, rarer athlete. He'd immediately give Kyler Murray an elite presence for years to come.


5. Los Angeles Chargers

Joe Alt, OT, Notre Dame

Height: 6-foot-9
Weight: 321 pounds
Class: Junior

Fit: Jim Harbaugh kept most of the Los Angeles Chargers' expensive, veteran roster intact. While picking Nabers is tempting here, Harbaugh has built all his teams in the trenches first. That'll happen again, and Joe Alt is the best blocker on the board.

Whether he plays on the left or right side, Alt will help solidify a line that's been below-average throughout the Justin Herbert era.

6. New York Giants

Drake Maye, QB, UNC

Height: 6-foot-4
Weight: 223 pounds
Class: R. Sophomore

Fit: Could the New York Giants really walk out of the draft with this good of a talent without moving up? It seems that way as the Cardinals and Chargers beg for teams to trade above them.

Drake Maye is an impressive athlete who can deliver haymakers downfield. He's also excellent in the short game, effectively understanding defenders' pre- and post-snap leverage. He plays a lot like Patrick Mahomes did in 2023 but doesn't have the same elite-level arm strength.

7. Tennessee Titans

Olumuyiwa Fashanu, OT, Penn State

Height: 6-foot-6
Weight: 312 pounds
Class: R. Junior

Fit: The board falls nicely for the Tennessee Titans. Unless the franchise is in love with a quarterback, taking the best blocker immediately helps its woeful offense more than anyone else. Olumuyiwa Fashanu is a bit raw still but has the traits to be a franchise left tackle.

Tennessee's young offense still needs help blocking. Passing on Fashanu for a playmaker doesn't make sense for a franchise with the NFL’s worst offensive line.

8. Atlanta Falcons

Dallas Turner, EDGE, Alabama

Height: 6-foot-3
Weight: 247 pounds
Class: Junior

Fit: The Atlanta Falcons look ripe to take the draft’s first defender. With a desperate need for a primary pass-rusher and a No. 2 corner, either position is in play. 

Dallas Turner had a stellar combine, and his 2023 film showed enough progression as a pass-rusher to believe Raheem Morris will maximize his potential as a star presence.

9. Chicago Bears

Malik Nabers, WR, LSU

Height: 6-foot
Weight: 200 pounds
Class: Junior

Fit: The Chicago Bears' trade for Keenan Allen seemingly made this pick a potential trade target if wide receivers fell. ESPN's Kris Rhim reported Allen's next deal is expected to be considerable. The Bears only gave up a fourth-round pick for Allen, so he might be a one-year rental in 2024. That means adding a long-term star at receiver is still in play. 

Getting Malik Nabers ninth overall is a great pick. His open-field speed and agility resemble Tyreek Hill's, and Williams would love to have this type of playmaker.

10. New York Jets

Rome Odunze, WR, Washington

Height: 6-foot-3
Weight: 212 pounds
Class: Senior

Fit: I can't support the idea that the New York Jets would spend this pick on a backup lineman. New York added Tyron Smith, John Simpson and Morgan Moses, and coach Robert Saleh expressed confidence in the growth of young players who played in 2023 due to injuries.

The Jets have to take the best playmaker, instead.

They get fortunate with Rome Odunze falling here. He's an elite vertical threat, showing incredible ball tracking and closing speed. Aaron Rodgers can thrive with Odunze and Garrett Wilson headlining his receiving corps.

11. New England Patriots (Trade With MIN)

Amarius Mims, OT, Georgia

Georgia Bulldogs offensive lineman Amarius Mims (65) and offensive lineman Tate Ratledge (69) against the TCU Horned Frogs during the CFP national championship game at SoFi Stadium. (Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports)

Height: 6-foot-8
Weight: 340 pounds
Class: Junior

Fit: The New England Patriots could snatch Bo Nix off the board right in front of Denver. Instead, they'll be patient and play the board. Amarius Mims is the best pure talent in the class along the line but has limited experience (802 career snaps). If he stays healthy, he could be the next Trent Williams. 

Whether Jacoby Brissett or a rookie starts for the Patriots in 2024, Mims would be an essential part of the offense's present and future.

12. Denver Broncos

Bo Nix, QB, Oregon

Oregon Ducks quarterback Bo Nix (10) throws against the Liberty Flames during the second quarter of the 2024 Fiesta Bowl at State Farm Stadium. (Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports)

Height: 6-foot-2
Weight: 214 pounds
Class: Senior

Fit: The Denver Broncos have the only clearly open quarterback job. The Sean Payton trade cost the franchise its second-round pick in 2024, so it's now or never for Payton. It just so happens that Bo Nix is available and projects well for his offense.

Nix has a strong arm, good mobility and the experience needed to become a plus starter. He's been underappreciated throughout this draft cycle but is a worthy first-rounder.

13. Las Vegas Raiders

Quinyon Mitchell, CB, Toledo

Height: 6-foot-0
Weight: 195 pounds
Class: Senior

Fit: Sometimes, teams are more confident and comfortable with internal options than the public believes. It seems the Las Vegas Raiders are fine with Theyer Munford Jr. at right tackle, opening up the possibility of them drafting the best player available at No. 13. 

It just so happens their biggest need can be addressed at the same time, as Quinyon Mitchell is ripe for picking.

Mitchell is a supremely gifted athlete who can complement Jack Jones as a playmaking corner. Whether in man or zone coverage, Mitchell projects as a premier CB1.

14. New Orleans Saints

Brian Thomas Jr., WR, LSU

Height: 6-foot-3
Weight: 209 pounds
Class: Junior

Fit: The New Orleans Saints are stuck with Derek Carr's contract, so making the best of the situation around him is the only real option. 

Brian Thomas Jr. is a risky prospect because he's primarily a go-route threat, but he's so effective and explosive it's worthwhile to roll the dice. He's the right guy to take pressure off Chris Olave and Alvin Kamara.

15. Indianapolis Colts

Brock Bowers, TE, Georgia

Height: 6-feet-3
Weight: 243 pounds
Class: Junior

Fit: The Indianapolis Colts need a corner, but their zone-heavy approach removes some of the position's value. On Day 2, they can find a quality mixed scheme or zone corner, freeing up this selection to take Brock Bowers

Tight end isn't a pressing need for the offense but playmaking still is, and Bowers is more of a weapon than pure inline tight end.

Bowers has the agility of a slot receiver and the speed of a vertical threat. He'd complement Michael Pittman Jr. and Josh Downs perfectly, giving the Colts an upgrade on Alex Pierce.

16. Seattle Seahawks

Terrion Arnold, CB, Alabama

Height: 6-foot
Weight: 189 pounds
Class: R. Sophomore

Fit: New Seattle Seahawks coach Mike Macdonald thrived at Michigan and in Baltimore with a deep rotation of defensive linemen. Seattle could use more options along the defensive front, but passing on Terrion Arnold in a weak corner class doesn't make as much sense. 

The Seahawks will find a great value to complement Leonard Williams and Dre'Mont Jones later. Arnold’s versatility as an outside and inside corner is too good to pass up.

17. Jacksonville Jaguars

Xavier Worthy, WR, Texas

Height: 5-foot-11
Weight: 165 pounds
Class: Junior

Fit: Losing Calvin Ridley hurts the Jacksonville Jaguars in the short term, but it was the right move to avoid paying him what Tennessee did. The Jaguars' trio of Christian Kirk, Zay Jones and Gabe Davis still lacks an explosive option, so Xavier Worthy's record-setting speed is especially attractive. 

Worthy has the field vision and open-field burst to create easy yards after the catch. He has to improve his route running and reliability as a pass-catcher, but it's undeniable how much of a game-breaker he is.

18. Cincinnati Bengals

JC Latham, OT, Alabama

Height: 6-foot-6
Weight: 342 pounds
Class: Junior

Fit: The Cincinnati Bengals love massive tackles, and it's hard to find someone who takes up more real estate than JC Latham

He brings incredible strength to the trenches, so he'd complement Cincinnati's veteran pair of Trent Brown and Orlando Brown Jr. 

The former is only on a one-year deal, so Latham can compete for the job in 2024 and relegate Brown to being a backup swing tackle.

19. Los Angeles Rams

Jared Verse, EDGE, Florida State

Florida State Seminoles defensive lineman Jared Verse (5) reacts during the fourth quarter against the Louisville Cardinals at Bank of America Stadium. (Jim Dedmon-USA TODAY Sports)

Height: 6-foot-4
Weight: 254 pounds
Class: Senior

Fit: Replacing Aaron Donald is impossible, but crafting a great pass-rusher group isn't. The Los Angeles Rams have a head start thanks to 2023 draft picks Byron Jones and Kobie Turner. Adding Florida State's Jared Verse further solidifies the multifront attack.

Verse is densely built and ready to play on Day 1. All three defenders can be on the field simultaneously, making this a fearsome trio for years to come.

20. Pittsburgh Steelers

Taliese Fuaga, OT, Oregon State

Oregon State Beavers offensive lineman Taliese Fuaga (75) blocks Stanford Cardinal linebacker Levani Damuni (3) during the first quarter at Stanford Stadium. (Darren Yamashita-USA TODAY Sports)

Height: 6-foot-6
Weight: 324 pounds
Class: Senior

Fit: Continuing this offseason's mission of overhauling a dreadful offense in 2023, the Pittsburgh Steelers snag one of the draft's best blockers. 

Taliese Fuaga is a bullying presence at right tackle, and Pittsburgh can flip Broderick Jones to the left side. Russell Wilson and Justin Fields will thank the organization for bolstering the line. 

21. Miami Dolphins

Graham Barton, OL, Duke

Duke Blue Devils running back Jaquez Moore (9) celebrates a touchdown with offensive lineman Graham Barton (62) during the second half against Lafayette at Wallace Wade Stadium. (Jaylynn Nash-USA TODAY Sports)

Height: 6-foot-5
Weight: 313 pounds
Class: Senior

Fit: The Miami Dolphins are the only team to lose two nine-figure free agents this offseason, Robert Hunt and Christian Wilkins, and the Dolphins have failed to replace them. 

Protecting Tua Tagovailoa is still the mission, so Graham Barton gets the nod over a defensive tackle. Barton has the athleticism and polish to play tackle, guard or center, but he likely settles in as the right tackle. 

22. Philadelphia Eagles

Kool-Aid McKinstry, CB, Alabama

Height: 5-foot-11 ½
Weight: 199 pounds
Class: Junior

Fit: The Philadelphia Eagles have an aging, slow cornerback room. Kool-Aid McKinstry packs the right punch to upgrade the unit. 

While McKinstry doesn’t possess Mitchell's exceptional burst or Arnold's versatility, McKinstry compensates with his quick feet, excellent instincts and impeccable timing, making him a high-floor player.

23. New England Patriots (Trade With Min)

Adonai Mitchell, WR, Texas

Height: 6-foot-2
Weight: 205 pounds
Class: Junior

Fit: New England added some depth to its receiving corps this offseason, re-signing Kendrick Bourne and adding K.J. Osborn. However, DeMario Douglas is the group’s only other solid piece. 

Even if Bourne wasn't coming off a torn ACL, adding a higher-end receiver was a must. None of JuJu Smith-Schuster, Tyquan Thornton or Kayshon Boutte have earned their 2024 roster spot.

Adonai Mitchell is a game-changer for the Patriots. He's a top-notch route runner with dominant vertical traits. Finally, New England will have a WR1.

24. Dallas Cowboys

Troy Fautanu, OT, Washington

Washington Huskies offensive lineman Troy Fautanu (55) blocks for tight end Devin Culp (83) against the Michigan Wolverines during the 2024 College Football Playoff national championship game at NRG Stadium. (Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports)

Height: 6-foot-4
Weight: 317 pounds
Class: Senior

Fit: Losing Tyron Smith stings and leaves a massive hole on the left side of the Dallas Cowboys' line. Either the 24th overall pick will fill his shoes or left guard Tyler Smith will move over. Drafting someone capable of either role is paramount.

Troy Fautanu is that guy. A stellar blocker at Washington, he can start at tackle despite not boasting the height teams once valued.

25. Green Bay Packers

Jordan Morgan, OL, Arizona

National offensive lineman Jordan Morgan of Arizona (77) faces off against National edge Marist Liufau of Notre Dame (18) during Senior Bowl practice at Hancock Whitney Stadium. (Vasha Hunt-USA TODAY Sports)

Height: 6-foot-5
Weight: 311 pounds
Class: Senior

Fit: The Green Bay Packers would surely love to see Barton or Fautanu fall. With them gone, the Packers go with another über athletic blocker who can play tackle or guard. 

Jordan Morgan is fast and twitchy but lacks some of the strength needed to go higher. There's not a better situation for him to develop than in Green Bay.

26. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Cooper DeJean, CB, Iowa

Height: 6-foot-0 ½
Weight: 203 pounds
Class: Junior

Fit: The Carlton Davis trade opened a clear need for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, a team with talent on both sides of the ball. 

This is the right range for the next crop of corners to be selected, and Cooper DeJean is the best of the bunch. DeJean is a fantastic athlete and ballhawk. Plus, his versatility gives extraordinary value to a creative defensive mind such as Todd Bowles.

27. Arizona Cardinals

Jer'Zhan Newton, DT, Illinois

Kansas Jayhawks quarterback Jalon Daniels (6) scrambles from Illinois Fighting Illini defensive lineman Jer'Zhan Newton (4) during the first half at David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium. (Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports)

Height: 6-foot-2
Weight: 304 pounds
Class: Senior

Fit: There isn't a team in the NFL with less defensive-front-seven talent than the Cardinals. 

Jonathan Gannon needs more talented players to develop an effective unit, and Jer'Zhan Newton is a game-wrecker. Thanks to his speed and terrific leverage, he can line up and win from any spot along the line.

28. Buffalo Bills

Laiatu Latu, EDGE, UCLA

Height: 6-foot-5
Weight: 259 pounds
Class: Senior

Fit: The Buffalo Bills lost several familiar names this offseason, but those players' impact wasn't as big as their reputations. Adding a pass rusher who can augment a defense in the midst of revamping makes sense. 

Laiatu Latu has great short-area quickness and a deep set of moves, so he'll earn a role in Year 1 for a team with Super Bowl hopes.

29. Detroit Lions

Kingsley Suamataia, OT, BYU

Brigham Young Cougars offensive lineman Kingsley Suamataia (78) against Texas Tech Red Raiders linebacker Myles Cole (6) in there first half at LaVell Edwards Stadium. (Rob Gray-USA TODAY Sports)

Height: 6-foot-5
Weight: 326 pounds
Class: R. Sophomore

Fit: There's more buzz around the Detroit Lions replacing Taylor Decker's huge $19.1 million cap hit than anticipated, considering his talent. 

If Detroit wants to offload Decker this summer, Kingsley Suamataia has to be considered here. Suamataia is much like Decker as a prospect: He gets the job done more often than not and relies on great tools to win.

30. Baltimore Ravens

Byron Murphy II, DT, Texas

Height: 6-foot-0 ½
Weight: 297 pounds
Class: Junior

Fit: No team lost more in free agency than the Baltimore Ravens did. Keeping Justin Madubuike was a win, but the rest of the defensive line is aging or could use upgrading. Landing a solid first-round talent such as Byron Murphy at the end of the round is on-brand for Baltimore.

Murphy is quick and instinctive and has the strength to move up and down the line. He'll help a pass rush that doesn't rely on one star to be effective.

31. San Francisco 49ers

Tyler Guyton, OT, Oklahoma

Oklahoma Sooners offensive lineman Tyler Guyton (60) at the line of scrimmage against the Kansas Jayhawks during the game at David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium. (Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports)

Height: 6-foot-8
Weight: 322 pounds
Class: R. Junior

Fit: The right tackle spot is still a concern for the San Francisco 49ers, so plugging in one of the last great tackle prospects makes too much sense. 

Tyler Guyton is a natural and will continue to flourish as he gains experience. His quickness and size are impressive, and learning from Trent Williams can shore up his occasional gaffes.


Trade Alert

Patriots Receive: 2024 No. 32 

Chiefs Receive: 2024 Nos. 34 and 137


32. New England Patriots (Trade with Chiefs)

Michael Penix Jr., QB, Washington

Height: 6-foot-2
Weight: 216 pounds
Class: Senior

Fit: Kansas City is in prime position to drop down a few picks and still land a receiver or cornerback. Jerod Mayo said he sees five potential franchise passers in this class, and it's possible Michael Penix Jr. is the final one. If he is, then the Patriots can get a massive value by waiting. 

Penix is arguably the class’ best pure passer, delivering effortless touch passes to all levels of the field. He blazed a 4.46-second 40-yard dash at his pro day but isn't a running threat and struggles against pressure. Putting him behind a strong offensive line could lead to huge results.


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