Analysis

10/14/23

3 min read

2023 NFL Week 6 DFS Top Plays

Every week, our DFS team releases their favorite plays for the main slate on DraftKings. These plays will be geared toward the DraftKings Milly Maker tournament.

Chalk players are guys whom we expect to have high rostership. They will be popular in our competitors’ lineups. Playing chalk in DFS is fine; however, you will want pieces of your lineup to be an outlier play to separate yourself from the field.

If 50 percent of your opponents start Christian McCaffrey in the running back slot, and he gives you only 12 fantasy points, the 50 percent of lineups without the expensive landmine of McCaffrey get an immediate boost.

An outlier player is someone who is not popular — usually around five percent or fewer lineups will have this type of player. If only three percent of the field plays Darius Slayton in a wide receiver slot, and he scores 18 points, then you have an edge on about 97 percent of the field.

A value is any cheap player whom we expect to have a solid game. These players are usually relatively popular but help you play the studs. A textbook value example would be a moderately popular tight end for $2,700 who scores 11 fantasy points.

MORE DFS: Chalk | Main Slate 

A ceiling player–type will be expected to produce one of their highest outputs in the given matchup. An example is Ja’Marr Chase; at more than $8,000 in salary, we want to play Chase in the games where his output is north of 25 or 30 DraftKings points, not when it’s 18.

We’ll review DFS Showdown strategy before every island game in our free Discord. We’re also dropping player prop bets in there with write-ups throughout the week and will answer fantasy start-sit questions, too.

Top Week 6 DFS Plays

Quarterbacks

Name Price Expected Rostership Play Type
Justin Fields $7,300 Medium Ceiling
Trevor Lawrence $6,500 Medium Ceiling
Matthew Stafford $6,100 High Value

Running Backs

Name Price Expected Rostership Play Type
Bijan Robinson $7,200 Medium Ceiling
Alvin Kamara $6,800 High Ceiling
Kenneth Walker III $6,700 Low Outlier
Kyren Williams $6,500 High Chalk
Raheem Mostert $6,400 High Chalk Value
Chuba Hubbard $4,300 High Chalk Value

Wide Receivers

Name Price Expected Rostership Play Type
Cooper Kupp $9,000 Medium Ceiling
Ja'Marr Chase $8,300 High Chalk Ceiling
Puka Nacua $8,000 Low Outlier
Amon-Ra St. Brown $7,700 Low Outlier
Jaylen Waddle $7,600 Low Outlier
Calvin Ridley $6,700 Medium Value
DJ Moore $6,500 Low Value
Jordan Addison $5,700 Medium Value
Marquise Brown $5,300 Medium Value
Josh Downs $4,100 Medium Value

Tight Ends

Name Price Expected Rostership Play Type
T.J. Hockenson $6,600 Low Outlier
Sam LaPorta $5,600 Low Outlier
Dallas Goedert $4,800 Low Outlier
Logan Thomas $3,500 Medium Value
Kyle Pitts $3,500 Medium Value

Defenses

Name Price Expected Rostership Play Type
49ers $4,000 High Chalk
Dolphins $3,500 High Chalk
Lions $2,700 Medium Value
Patriots $2,600 Medium Value

Follow Our DFS Team

Jordan Vanek: @JordanVanekDFS 

Josh Larky: @JLarkyTweets

Ryan Reynolds: @RyanReynoldsNFL

Mark Garcia: @HilowFF





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