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2023 NFL Week 6 DFS Main Slate Tournament Analysis

If you are new to DFS, check out our introductory pieces, including DFS 101, Contest Selection, Stacking, Rostership, and Lineup Construction.

Below, we will take a look at some of the double stacks, single stacks, and mini stacks I will be looking to take advantage of this weekend. If you have any questions, ask them on our 33rd Team Discord.

If you haven’t already, check out the Cover 5 show on YouTube.

Week 6 DFS Slate Analysis

Double Stacks

  • Stack: QB Trevor Lawrence WR Calvin Ridley AND WR Christian Kirk/TE Evan Engram
  • Runback: WR Josh Downs

The Indianapolis Colts are a top team at utilizing Cover 3 coverage, and Trevor Lawrence has thrived against it. In games where the Jacksonville Jaguars faced Cover 3 heavily, Lawrence averaged 8.4 yards per pass attempt. Wide receiver Calvin Ridley shines against Cover 3 defenses, with 4.6 yards per route run and a high target share. Stack Lawrence with Ridley and consider value options like Christian Kirk and Evan Engram, who average over 2.0 yards per route run against Cover 3.

Josh Downs is a top choice this week, with Gardner Minshew at quarterback. He's been targeted on 26.7 percent of his routes and excels against Cover 3, averaging 3.4 yards per route run.

  • Stack: QB Jared Goff WR Amon-Ra St. Brown AND WR Jameson Williams/WR Josh Reynolds
  • Stack: WR Mike Evans

Jared Goff has a favorable matchup against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who often use Cover 3 coverage. Goff excels against Cover 3, and his top target is Amon-Ra St. Brown. The Buccaneers have given up over 100 receiving yards to three players this season, except when they faced an injured Derek Carr.

To maximize Goff's performance, pair him with two pass catchers. Sam LaPorta is uncertain due to a calf injury, so consider Jameson Williams, who runs many deep routes. Josh Reynolds is a safer option, but I believe the ceiling is with Williams.

Monitor Mike Evans' injury; if he's out, Chris Godwin is a key player. The Detroit Lions mainly use zone coverage, which suits Evans, ranked fifth in the NFL for yards against zone. If Evans is unavailable, Godwin is the next best option, getting plenty of targets against zone and averaging 2.02 yards per route run. 

  • Stack: QB Matthew Stafford WR Cooper Kupp WR Puka Nacua

The Los Angeles Rams are heavily favored at home by seven points, and I'm looking to invest in Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua due to the excellent value they offer on this slate. The Arizona Cardinals primarily employ a zone-heavy defensive scheme, which plays perfectly into the hands of Kupp and Nacua, who excel in exploiting these zones. 

Matthew Stafford has been airing it out this season, and it's worth noting that three quarterbacks have posted a touchdown rate of over five percent per pass attempt, underlining the Rams' potent aerial attack. Nacua boasts an impressive 33 percent target rate per route run against Cover 3 and Cover 4, which are the primary coverages the Cardinals utilize.

Meanwhile, Kupp, who maintains a target rate of 28 percent per route over the past two seasons, is an excellent route runner with an average of 2.8 yards per route run. In essence, the Rams' passing offense is one of the most formidable in the NFL, and I have high expectations for their performance in this game.

  • Stack: QB Gardner Minshew WR Michael Pittman Jr. WR Josh Downs
  • Runback: RB Travis Etienne AND WR Calvin Ridley

Minshew is my top budget-friendly quarterback choice this week, and I'm particularly excited about the potential for an explosive game environment. Michael Pittman Jr. and Downs stand out as the two players with the highest upside in this matchup, benefiting from a substantial target share with Minshew under center.

Regarding the running back situation, Travis Etienne takes the lead for the Jaguars. In games where Lawrence doesn't have a standout performance, Etienne often steps up, contributing with rushing touchdowns and valuable yards. Ridley is a dominant player against Cover 3 and is not nearly as popular as he should be.


  • Carolina at Miami
    • TE Hayden Hurst RB Raheem Mostert/WR Jaylen Waddle

The Miami Dolphins struggle to defend slot tight ends. Hayden Hurst, the second most targeted by Bryce Young, is a great budget option at the position, given the expected negative game script.

The Carolina Panthers often double-cover top wide receivers like Tyreek Hill, which makes Jaylen Waddle a strong play this weekend. Despite his price, Waddle will have a significant workload. He could be an underutilized gem. Raheem Mostert is an obvious choice, especially with De'Von Achane out and the Panthers missing key defensive players. He's set for a promising game and is a solid fantasy pick.

  • Seattle at Cincinnati
    • RB Kenneth Walker III WR Tyler Boyd

The Cincinnati Bengals have struggled with their run defense this season, and Kenneth Walker III has played a significant role for the Seattle Seahawks. The Bengals have been vulnerable to explosive runs, and Walker is extremely explosive as a running back, making him a strong fantasy option.

Additionally, the Seahawks have shown vulnerabilities defending the slot, and Tyler Boyd excels in that position. Opting for Boyd over Ja'Marr Chase can provide salary relief and allow for investment in higher-performing players, enhancing your fantasy lineup.


  • WR Brandon Aiyuk

The San Francisco 49ers will see single high coverages at the highest rate of any team on the slate. Brandon Aiyuk averages 5.04 yards per route against these coverages and gets targeted on 34 percent of his routes. Aiyuk is in for a big performance against the Cleveland Browns' defense.

Player Pool

Pos Name Team OPP DK Salary FD Salary
QB Trevor Lawrence JAX IND $6,500 $7,600
QB Jared Goff DET TB $6,400 $7,800
QB Matthew Stafford LA ARI $6,100 $7,300
QB Gardner Minshew II IND JAX $5,000 $6,500
RB Christian McCaffrey SF CLE $9,500 $10,300
RB Bijan Robinson ATL WAS $7,200 $7,600
RB Travis Etienne Jr. JAX IND $7,100 $7,700
RB Josh Jacobs LV NE $7,000 $8,000
RB Alvin Kamara NO HOU $6,800 $7,500
RB Kenneth Walker III SEA CIN $6,700 $8,400
RB Kyren Williams LA ARI $6,500 $8,200
RB Raheem Mostert MIA CAR $6,400 $8,500
RB Joe Mixon CIN SEA $6,300 $7,000
RB D'Andre Swift PHI NYJ $6,100 $7,200
RB Alexander Mattison MIN CHI $5,600 $6,900
RB Rachaad White TB DET $5,500 $6,300
RB Roschon Johnson CHI MIN $4,600 $5,800
RB D'Onta Foreman CHI MIN $4,400 $6,000
WR Tyreek Hill MIA CAR $9,300 $9,800
WR Cooper Kupp LA ARI $9,000 $8,700
WR Ja'Marr Chase CIN SEA $8,300 $9,300
WR Davante Adams LV NE $8,100 $8,300
WR Puka Nacua LA ARI $8,000 $7,900
WR A.J. Brown PHI NYJ $7,800 $8,200
WR Amon-Ra St. Brown DET TB $7,700 $7,800
WR Jaylen Waddle MIA CAR $7,600 $6,800
WR Mike Evans TB DET $7,100 $7,600
WR DeVonta Smith PHI NYJ $7,000 $7,300
WR Chris Godwin TB DET $6,900 $6,300
WR DK Metcalf SEA CIN $6,800 $7,500
WR Calvin Ridley JAX IND $6,700 $7,000
WR Chris Olave NO HOU $6,600 $7,100
WR DJ Moore CHI MIN $6,500 $8,000
WR Michael Pittman Jr. IND JAX $6,300 $6,500
WR Brandon Aiyuk SF CLE $6,200 $7,700
WR Garrett Wilson NYJ PHI $6,000 $6,900
WR Adam Thielen CAR MIA $5,900 $7,400
WR Jordan Addison MIN CHI $5,700 $6,700
WR Tyler Lockett SEA CIN $5,700 $4,500
WR Christian Kirk JAX IND $5,400 $6,600
WR Tutu Atwell LA ARI $5,100 $5,500
WR Tyler Boyd CIN SEA $4,600 $6,100
WR Josh Reynolds DET TB $4,500 $6,700
WR Josh Downs IND JAX $4,100 $5,600
WR Robert Woods HOU NO $3,800 $5,500
WR Kalif Raymond DET TB $3,800 $5,100
WR Curtis Samuel WAS ATL $3,700 $6,200
WR Rashid Shaheed NO HOU $3,700 $5,400
WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA CIN $3,600 $4,800
WR Jameson Williams DET TB $3,600 $5,500
TE T.J. Hockenson MIN CHI $6,600 $6,700
TE George Kittle SF CLE $5,000 $5,900
TE Dallas Goedert PHI NYJ $4,800 $6,200
TE Cole Kmet CHI MIN $4,600 $6,100
TE Evan Engram JAX IND $4,500 $5,500
TE Tyler Higbee LA ARI $4,000 $5,000
TE Zach Ertz ARI LA $3,600 $5,200
TE Logan Thomas WAS ATL $3,500 $5,400
TE Hayden Hurst CAR MIA $3,100 $4,900
TE Kylen Granson IND JAX $2,900 $4,600
DST Eagles PHI NYJ $3,800 $4,900
DST Falcons ATL WAS $3,600 $4,100
DST Dolphins MIA CAR $3,500 $4,800
DST Commanders WAS ATL $3,100 $4,000
DST Bengals CIN SEA $2,900 $4,200
DST Texans HOU NO $2,900 $3,700
DST Patriots NE LV $2,600 $3,600

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