Justin Fields put up 21 fantasy points against the Lions in Week 11 despite doing nothing in the fourth quarter as the Chicago Bears tried to (unsuccessfully) milk a multi-touchdown lead. He had no passing yards in that final quarter.

Should the Bears need to pass more in Week 14, Fields will be facing a defense allowing 8.7 yards per pass attempt (second-highest) since Week 7. Should wind and other weather affect this game, Fields’ 104 yards on 18 carries in their prior matchup hint at multiple paths to fantasy success.

C.J. Stroud appears in our Start-Sit column this week (unfortunately).

Bijan Robinson is set up for success the rest of the season, and Larky isn’t too concerned about the Week 14 matchup against Tampa Bay, given his outrageous role.

Breece Hall has been bailed out in fantasy by his receiving role, but this makes him a much better option in PPR leagues than standard-scoring ones. Hall has been under 2.4 yards per carry over his past seven games (28 rushing yards per game), yet he’s caught more than five passes for more than 41 receiving yards per game during this span. His 9.6 points per game in standard leagues is lackluster; in PPR leagues, you’re content with his 14.7 points per game.

Larky is below industry consensus on Saquon Barkley this week. The Packers can potentially blow out the New York Giants, and Barkley has been under eight fantasy points in two of his past three games. The one outlier was the 30-point outburst against a Commanders team that isn’t comparable to any other NFL defense.

Derrick Henry could be in trouble in Week 14.

Zach Charbonnet was a bell cow in Week 13, handling 19 of the 20 carries and catching the only pass out of the backfield. He totaled 99 yards and a touchdown last week, with five red zone rush attempts.

The Texans backfield is incredibly difficult to parse after Dameon Pierce had twice as many carries as Devin Singletary in Week 13. Pierce also had four of the five red zone carries, though Singletary ran more routes in the passing game. It wouldn’t surprise Larky to see a different usage split than last week against a Jets defense inviting opponents to run against them.

In the Panthers’ first game without head coach Frank Reich, Chuba Hubbard was given 25 carries to Miles Sanders’ eight. Hubbard ran for 104 yards and two touchdowns, while Sanders only ran for 23 yards, with no touches in the red zone.

Prior to the Week 13 bye, Keaton Mitchell led the Ravens backfield in snaps, carries and routes run against the Chargers. The expectation is he does the same in Week 14 against the Rams.

DJ Moore has averaged 25 PPR fantasy points per game in his past six full games with Justin Fields. He’s now facing a Lions team allowing the 11th-most fantasy points to WRs after adjusting for schedule.

Larky thinks fantasy analysts are too bullish on Justin Jefferson

Cooper Kupp looks like he’s playing hurt, and his role was modified last week. While Kupp did out-target Puka Nacua, 8-7, Kupp’s average depth of target was only three yards downfield (on the lower end for a tight end), while Nacua was averaging 15 air yards per target in Week 13. Kupp remains slightly ahead of Nacua in Larky’s rankings, with the thought being the Ravens' pass rush could force Matthew Stafford to make more quick throws.

Brandin Cooks has 25 fantasy point upside against the Eagles' pass defense in a projected Week 14 shootout.

Assuming Amari Cooper misses Week 14 (concussion), Elijah Moore is a decent start in fantasy. He had 12 targets and 255 air yards in Joe Flacco’s first start last week, catching four for 83 yards. The Jaguars are a pass funnel defense, allowing the third-most passing yards per game to opponents yet the fifth-fewest rushing yards per game.

Larky has Jaxon Smith-Njigba ranked below consensus for Week 14. Smith-Njigba has averaged just 10.1 PPR points per game in the past six games, with a high watermark of only 13.2. He did have a season-high 11 targets last week, but that was in the wild 41-35 game against the Cowboys, where no punts were recorded on either end. The 49ers' defense shut down Smith-Njigba on Thanksgiving, holding him to three targets (11 percent share), two receptions and just 41 yards.

In the Panthers’ first game since head coach Frank Reich was fired, Jonathan Mingo led the team in targets (10), catching six for 69 yards. With Adam Thielen's recent decline, he’s a player to monitor who could end up in flex territory over the next couple of weeks.

We’ll be monitoring Dawson Knox’s potential return from injury this weekend. In games where Dalton Kincaid and Knox overlapped, Kincaid averaged 4.2 receptions, 32 yards and 7.4 PPR fantasy points per game. While Knox has been on injured reserve, Kincaid’s per-game averages ballooned to 6.2 receptions, 56 yards and 14.2 PPR fantasy points per game.

Larky has Isaiah Likely below consensus for Week 14. Betting markets have his receptions number at 3.5, with heavy juice to the under. His receiving yards line is 34.5 yards, with action again on the under. His touchdown odds are just +320, implying he scores less than one in four games. You’re probably getting 4-8 points if you start him.

The Cleveland Browns' premium defense is coming off a bad game and potentially playing against C.J. Beathard.

The game between the Pittsburgh Steelers and New England Patriots already has a historically low 30-point game total. While Pittsburgh has a great matchup, a concern is both offenses deploy ultraconservative, run-heavy game plans. If that happens, sack and turnover opportunities will be reduced. If your league heavily rewards points allowed, the Steelers and Browns' defenses are the top options on this list.

The Green Bay Packers' pass rush will have a trench advantage against the New York Giants' nonfunctional offense.

A concern with the Patriots' defense is that New England’s offense is so ineffective that Pittsburgh can rely heavily on its running game.

The Kansas City Chiefs' defense is coming off its worst game of the season. Now, the unit draws Josh Allen, who is tied for the league lead in interceptions.