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2023 NFL Week 13: DFS Top Plays

Miami Dolphins WR Tyreek Hill
Miami Dolphins wide receiver Tyreek Hill (10) carries the ball during the first half against the New York Jets at MetLife Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

Every week, our DFS team releases their favorite plays for the main slate on DraftKings. These plays will be geared toward the DraftKings’ Milly Maker tournament.

Chalk plays are guys we expect to have high rostership. They will be popular in our competitors’ lineups. Playing chalk in DFS is fine; however, you want pieces of your lineup to be an outlier to separate yourself from the field.

If 50 percent of your opponents start Christian McCaffrey in the running back slot, and he gives you only 12 fantasy points, the 50 percent of lineups without the expensive McCaffrey landmine get an immediate boost.

An outlier player is someone who is not popular — usually, around five percent or fewer lineups will have this type of player. If only three percent of the field plays Darius Slayton in a wide receiver slot, and he scores 18 points, then you have an edge on about 97 percent of the field with Slayton.

A value is any cheap player we expect to have a solid game. These players are usually relatively popular but help you play the studs. A textbook value example would be a moderately popular tight end for $2,700 who scores 11 fantasy points.

A ceiling-play type will be expected to produce one of their highest outputs in the given matchup. An example is Ja’Marr Chase; at over $8,000 in salary, we want to play Chase in the games where his output is north of 25 or 30 DraftKings points and not in games where he will score 18 points.

We’ll review DFS Showdown strategy before every island game in our free Discord. We’re also dropping player prop bets in there with write-ups throughout the week and will answer fantasy start-sit questions, too.



NameDK SalaryExpected RostershipPlay Type
Tua Tagovailoa$7,900MediumCeiling
Sam Howell$6,200MediumValue
Brock Purdy$6,100HighChalk Value
Kenny Pickett$5,100LowValue

Running Backs

NameDK SalaryExpected RostershipPlay Type
Christian McCaffrey$9,000HighChalk
Raheem Mostert$7,300LowOutlier
De'von Achane$6,900LowOutlier
Bijan Robinson$6,700MediumValue
Devin Singletary$5,900LowOutlier
Jaylen Warren$5,400HighChalk Value
Najee Harris$5,200MediumValue
Zack Moss$4,600HighChalk Value

Wide Receivers

NameDK SalaryExpected RostershipPlay Type
Tyreek Hill$9,600HighChalk Ceiling
A.J. Brown$8,800LowOutlier
DeVonta Smith$7,300LowOutlier
Brandon Aiyuk$7,200MediumCeiling
Michael Pittman Jr.$7,100HighChalk Ceiling
Deebo Samuel$6,200MediumValue
Marquise Brown$5,200LowOutlier Value
Josh Downs$5,100HighChalk Value
Diontae Johnson$5,000HighChalk Value
George Pickens$4,800LowValue
Jerry Jeudy$4,700MediumValue
Greg Dortch$3,700LowValue

Tight Ends

NameDK SalaryExpected RostershipPlay Type
Trey McBride$4,900HighChalk
Pat Freiermuth$4,300LowOutlier Chalk
Logan Thomas$3,600MediumValue
Juwan Johnson$3,400HighChalk
Brevin Jordan$2,500MediumValue


NameDK SalaryExpected RostershipPlay Type
Falcons$3,400HighChalk Value
Broncos$2,700LowOutlier Value


Jordan Vanek: @JordanVanekDFS 

Josh Larky: @JLarkyTweets

Ryan Reynolds: @RyanReynoldsNFL

Mark Garcia: @HilowFF