Analysis

1/9/23

2 min read

CFP National Championship: Underdog Fantasy Best High, Low Bets

Over on Underdog, there are some good high/low picks to take advantage of. Below are the strategies that I will be utilizing in a three-player Pick'em entry in Monday night's College Football Playoff National Championship game between Georgia and TCU. 

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Brock Bowers Higher than 63.5 Yards Receiving

  • Three tight ends have had over 60 yards receiving against TCU this season, and none of those tight ends are the talent of Bowers.
  • Backup TE Darnell Washington had an injury in the first game, and it’ll be Bowers taking the main workload at TE.
  • Against Ohio State, Bowers had 64 yards receiving but was barely missed on a target that would have put him well over 100 yards.
  • TCU runs a lot of zone coverage, and Bowers and Lad McConkey are the targets against it.

Lad McConkey HIGHER than 2.5 Receptions

  • McConkey has hit this over in 10 of 14 games this season, and he was running a majority of the routes this past weekend.
  • This game for Georgia will be about controlling and moving the ball down the field.
  • 13 wide receivers have had three or more receptions from the slot position.

Quentin Johnston HIGHER than 5.0 Receptions

  • TCU’s best weapon is Johnston, and they will need to do all they can to get him the ball in open space.
  • TCU’s expected to be trailing in this game and should be throwing the ball plenty.
  • Johnston had six receptions in the game against Michigan, and that was on 14 completions from Duggan.
  • Georgia’s secondary showed weakness this past week against Ohio State, and Sonny Dykes will have to find creative ways to exploit it with Johnston.

WATCH: NFC Playoff Preview

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