Betting
10/17/22
3 min read
Josh Larky's MNF Player Prop Bets
Below, you'll see five Monday Night Football player prop bets I've put my soft-earned money on. For each line, I'll let you know which sportsbook had the best odds, why I took the line and how much it could rise/fall before I'd stop hitting it.
Eric Saubert OVER 15.5 Receiving Yards (-115 on DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Saubert has been Denver's main pass-catching TE for the past two weeks, running 27 and then 24 routes.
- Saubert has at least 22 yards in those games and is coming off a five-catch (seven target) performance.
- I'd bet this line up to 19.5 receiving yards.
Austin Ekeler UNDER 60.5 Rushing Yards (-115 on DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Ekeler was under this number through four weeks before he had 173 rushing yards in Week 5.
- This line feels like an overreaction to Week 5's explosion.
- Ekeler was also under this number in 11 of 16 games last season.
- I'd continue to bet under this line up to 55.5 rushing yards.
Courtland Sutton OVER 66.5 Receiving Yards (-125 on DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Sutton has been over this number in four of five games this season.
- Through five games, the Chargers have allowed seven players to surpass this number.
- I'd bet this line up to 70.5 receiving yards.
Gerald Everett Anytime Touchdown (+260 on FanDuel Sportsbook)
- Everett has scored a TD in two of five games (40%), and +260 implies a 28% chance of hitting.
- Everett has five red zone (one end zone) targets on the season.
- Assuming WR Keenan Allen is ruled out, expect this to rise to around +180/+200.
- I'd bet this line up to +200.
K.J. Hamler UNDER 1.5 Receptions (+130 on DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Hamler has two catches this season.
- In Week 5, Hamler ran a season-high 71% of the routes and saw a season-high two targets, catching one of them.
- His high average target depth and lack of chemistry with Russell Wilson both indicate another week under this number.
- I'd bet this line up to +100.
We hope you enjoyed this MNF player prop bets article. I also have a weekly player props article released on Friday afternoons (see Week 6 here), and co-host a player prop show early afternoon on Friday with Ryan Reynolds and Ben Wolbransky (see Week 6's show here). Be sure to bet responsibly.
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