Betting
10/14/22
4 min read
Josh Larky's Week 6 Player Prop Bets
Below, you'll find Week 6 player prop bets I have put money on across several sportsbooks. For each prop, I detail the line, the sportsbook, and why I took the prop. I'll also provide my confidence level for each prop.
This article is shorter than usual because there are several fluid quarterback situations, along with numerous impactful injuries affecting games. Fewer lines were available than past weeks.
Elijah Moore OVER 37.5 Receiving Yards (-115 on DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Moore has at least 41 yards in all but one game this season
- The Packers have only faced one healthy and competent offense this year (the Vikings in Week 1), and Cousins threw for 277 yards on 8.7 yards per attempt
- CONFIDENCE LEVEL: 8/10
David Njoku OVER 38.5 Receiving Yards (-110 on DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Njoku has at least six targets and 73 yards each of his past three games
- CONFIDENCE LEVEL: 8/10
Aaron Rodgers OVER 240.5 Passing Yards (-109 on Caesar's Sportsbook)
- The Jets have a passable run defense and a below average secondary
- After getting embarrassed by the Giants in London last week, expect a bounce back performance from Rodgers
- CONFIDENCE LEVEL: 7/10
Randall Cobb OVER 38.5 Receiving Yards (-120 on DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Cobb has at least 37 receiving yards in his past four games, and at least 42 yards each of his past three
- The Jets have struggled in pass coverage this season
- CONFIDENCE LEVEL: 6/10
Marquise Brown OVER 70.5 Receiving Yards (-115 on DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Brown has at least 68 receiving yards each of his past four games
- Brown has topped 78 yards in three of five games this season
- Seattle is giving up a league-worst 8.9 yards per pass attempt in coverage
- CONFIDENCE LEVEL: 7/10
Adam Thielen Anytime Touchdown (+185 on FanDuel Sportsbook)
- Thielen has scored a TD in roughly 55% of his career games with Kirk Cousins
- Thielen has eight red-zone targets (two end zone) on the season
- +185 implies a probability of a TD of just 35%
- CONFIDENCE LEVEL: 9/10
Tony Pollard Anytime Touchdown (+250 on DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Pollard has scored in two of five games this year (40%) and +250 implies just under 29%
- The Eagles are stout with their interior defensive line, and Pollard should see more success on the outside in this game than Ezekiel Elliott
- CONFIDENCE LEVEL: 7/10
Devin Singletary OVER 21.5 Receiving Yards (-110 on DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Singletary faces the Chiefs, in what should be a close game. His splits this season suggest the team relies heavily on him when it's not a blowout win
| Situation | Snaps | Carries (RZ) | Routes | Targets | Total Yards | PPR |
| Close Games | 61 | 10 (2.5) | 36 | 8 | 94 | 18.9 |
| Blowout Wins | 32 | 7 (0.3) | 22 | 2.3 | 43 | 6 |
- CONFIDENCE LEVEL: 7/10
Skyy Moore OVER 17.5 Receiving Yards (-115 on DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Moore has seen his routes increase over the past two weeks
- He has at least three targets in back-to-back games
- Moore has topped 30 receiving yards in two of three games this season
- CONFIDENCE LEVEL: 7/10
Kenny Pickett UNDER 34.5 Yards Longest Completions (-115 on Caesar's Sportsbook)
- Pickett's longest completion on the season is only 29 yards
- The Buccaneers have the #1 pass defense according to Football Outsiders' DVOA
- CONFIDENCE LEVEL: 8/10
We hope you enjoyed reading through these Week 6 player prop bets. Be sure to check out the Player Prop Happy Hour show for 15 more props to take in Week 6.
Watch More: Best Bets for Week 6
