Betting
10/22/22
4 min read
A Pair of Cowboys' RB Wagers and Larky's Other Week 7 Player Props
Below, you'll find 19 Week 7 player prop bets to take. For each line, the sportsbook is provided, along with why this is a smart line to take, statistically.
Ezekiel Elliott 75+ Rushing Yards (+125 on DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Zeke has 73+ rushing yards in three of his past four games.
- He has at least 78 rushing yards in back-to-back games.
- DET allows a generous 5.5 yards per carry this year.
Tony Pollard OVER 35.5 Rushing Yards (-125 on DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Pollard has at least 43 rushing yards in four of six games.
- DET allows 5.5 yards per carry.
Alec Pierce OVER 43.5 Receiving Yards (-113 on FanDuel Sportsbook)
- Pierce has at least 49 yards in his past four games.
- The Titans allow the second most yards to opposing WRs per game (207), via our free and flagship tool, The Edge.
Jonathan Taylor 80+ Rushing Yards (+134 on FanDuel Sportsbook), 90+ Rushing Yards (+200), 100+ Rushing Yards (+300), 110+ Rushing Yards (+410), 125+ Rushing Yards (+680)
- TEN allows 4.7 yards per carry.
- IND had starting LT Dennis Kelly return in Week 6, and the Colts' O-Line is no longer a liability
- Taylor has 100+ rushing yards in 11 of his past 21 games (52%, but +300 implies just a 25% chance).
- Taylor has 125+ Rushing Yards in six of his past 21 games (29% but +680 implies only a 13% chance).
Nick Chubb OVER 16.5 Longest Rush (-122 FanDuel Sportsbook)
- Chubb has a rush attempt for at least 18 yards in every game this year.
- BAL has a bottom-10 run defense via Football Outsiders' DVOA.
Olamide Zaccheaus OVER 31.5 Receiving Yards (-110 on DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Zaccheaus has 39+ receiving yards in five of six games this season.
Derrick Henry OVER 13.5 Receiving Yards (-120 on DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Henry has 30+ receiving yards in each of his past three games.
- TEN is manufacturing multiple screen passes to him every game.
Terry McLaurin UNDER 4.5 Receptions (-110 on DraftKings Sportsbook)
- McLaurin has been UNDER 4.5 receptions in four of six games.
- GB has a solid pass defense, but a rough run defense.
- Taylor Heinicke is an inaccurate QB.
Aaron Rodgers OVER 229.5 Passing Yards (-115 on DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Rodgers has been OVER this number in four of six games.
- WAS has an elite run defense but a below average pass defense.
Wan'Dale Robinson OVER 30.5 Receiving Yards (-113 on FanDuel Sportsbook)
- Wan'Dale only ran 11 routes last week yet commanded four targets, catching three for 37 yards.
- His route participation should tick up well above his 34% figure from Week 6.
Deebo Samuel UNDER 16.5 Rushing Yards (-110 on DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Deebo has 12 or fewer rushing yards each of the past four games.
- Deebo has only two rush attempts in each of his past three games.
- Christian McCaffrey likely plays in Week 7 and takes rushing work from Deebo and company.
Travis Etienne OVER 15.5 Receiving Yards (-115 on DraftKings)
- Etienne has at least two catches and 18 receiving yards in five of six games this year.
- His snap share has gone up over the past three games, and he now consistently out-snaps James Robinson.
Longshot Bets
Ken Walker Most Rushing Yards (+1000 on FanDuel Sportsbook)
- Walker just handled 21 carries in Week 6.
- Walker faces LAC in Week 7, which is allowing a league-high 5.8 yards per carry.
- Walker has sub 4.4 40-time speed and can take one to the house at any time.
Tyreek Hill Most Receiving Yards (+1200 on FanDuel Sportsbook)
- Hill has at least 160 receiving yards in three of six games.
- PIT has allowed eight different receivers to go for at least 89 yards through just six games.
Jaylen Waddle Most Receiving Yards (+2900 on FanDuel Sportsbook)
- Waddle has three games over 100 yards, and two games of at least 129 receiving yards.
- PIT has allowed eight different receivers to go for at least 89 yards through just six games.
We hope you enjoyed reading this breakdown on Week 7 player prop bets to take.
WATCH MORE: The 33rd Team's Favorite Prop Bets to Make in Week 7
