Fantasy

12/27/23

11 min read

2023 NFL Week 17 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings

By Ian Miller

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There is officially just one week left in the fantasy season, which means our dynasty rankings start to peek ahead toward 2024 while still keeping your championship rosters in mind.

If you’re in a championship matchup this weekend, we’re wishing you the best of luck (unless you’re playing me). But if your team has unfortunately been eliminated, you may have an extra week to jump on some value shifts heading into the offseason.

Let our final in-season dynasty rankings help give you the advantage you need.

Week 16 Dynasty Rankings

Quarterback Rankings

Tier One

Value Estimation: 3+ Premium First-Round Picks

Tier Two

Value Estimation: 3+ First-Round Picks

Tier Three

Value Estimation: 2+ First-Round Picks

Tier Four 

Value Estimation: Early First-Round Pick

Tier Five

Value Estimation: First-Round Pick

Tier Six

Value Estimation: Late First-Round Pick

Tier Seven

Value Estimation: Second-Round Pick

Tier Eight

Value Estimation: Third-Round Pick

Tier Nine

Value Estimation: Fourth-Round Pick

Big QB Movers

Jordan Love — 16th (previously 17th)

As we near the conclusion of Jordan Love’s inaugural season as the starter for the Green Bay Packers, it has become apparent that he’s going to remain the starter moving forward. Love is currently the QB9 on the season with 21.2 points per game, which includes 18.9 passing points per game and 2.8 rushing points per game. He has also had quite solid passing peripherals: 7.1 adjusted yards per attempt and a 5.3 percent passing touchdown rate.

It remains to be seen if Love holds an elite level ceiling, especially as a non-Konami-level rusher, but his production and peripherals absolutely suggest he should be worth a non-late-level first-round pick in superflex leagues. 

Sam Howell – 26th (previously 21st)

Sam Howell has had the gift of passing volume on his side this entire season, as only Kirk Cousins and Patrick Mahomes have averaged more pass attempts per game. Unfortunately, everything for Howell has begun to unravel in the past couple of weeks — he's been benched and outplayed by Jacoby Brissett.

Howell is now down to QB18 on the season, despite the high passing volume, with 18.5 points per game, and his peripherals looking even less impressive now. His 5.8 adjusted yards per attempt rank just 27th, and his 3.4 percent passing touchdown rate ranks 23rd among all eligible quarterbacks.

While Howell once appeared to be a quarterback likely to remain a starter in 2024, that is now in far more doubt.

Running Back Rankings

Tier One

Value Estimation: 2+ First-Round Picks

Tier Two

Value Estimation: Early First-Round Pick

Tier Three

Value Estimation: First-Round Pick

Tier Four

Value Estimation: Late First-Round Pick

Tier Five

Value Estimation: Early Second-Round Pick

Tier Six

Value Estimation: Second-Round Pick

Tier Seven

Value Estimation: Late Second-Round Pick

Tier Eight

Value Estimation: Third-Round Pick

Big RB Movers

Nick Chubb — 22nd (previously 27th)

As the 2024 season starts to take a bit more precedent in our rankings, a running back who has been one of the very best rushers, if not the best, since entering the league is inevitably going to rise as he gets closer to returning from a serious injury.

Nick Chubb still might start the 2024 season on the PUP list, but with him still under contract and the fact he’s returned from a similar injury before, there isn’t much reason to have him outside of the top 25 running backs heading into the dynasty offseason. Not to mention, running back is a position where there already isn’t much stability, and the incoming running back draft class appears to be one of the weakest we’ve seen in recent years.

Rhamondre Stevenson — 23rd (Previously 25th)

It was already a disappointing season for Rhamondre Stevenson, the third-year running back who scored 14.3 points per game just the season prior. And a likely season-ending high ankle sprain only added to the disappointment.

But with that being said, Stevenson still posted better than a 50 percent carry percentage and 12 percent target share this season, making him one of just eight running backs to do so, joining Christian McCaffrey, Alvin Kamara, Rachaad White, Saquon Barkley, Breece Hall, Austin Ekeler and Josh Jacobs.

The hope is that 2024 brings a much more efficient New England Patriots offense, at least compared with the near league-low level it was this season. That way, Stevenson can get back to his fringe-RB1-level production. 

Wide Receiver Rankings

Tier One

Value Estimation: 2 First-Round Picks

Tier Two

Value Estimation: Early First-Round Pick

Tier Three

Value Estimation: First-Round Pick

Tier Four

Value Estimation: Late First-Round Pick

Tier Five

Value Estimation: Second-Round Pick

Tier Six

Value Estimation: Third-Round Pick

Big WR Movers

Chris Olave — tenth (previously 11th)

Despite Derek Carr posting just 15.6 passing points per game and a lackluster 3.9 percent passing touchdown rate, Chris Olave has been able to post 14.9 points per game this season. But what’s more impressive from Olave this season is the fact that he’s been able to post over 2.00 yards per route run and 2.00 yards per team pass attempt on an offense that’s near the bottom in passing efficiency this season.

Olave has continued to be one of the best downfield target earners in the league, posting a 25.2 percent target share on an average depth of target of 13.9. If the New Orleans Saints' passing offense had even just been slightly better this season, we could’ve been looking at one of the best seasons by a second-year wide receiver to date.

That should only make you more excited about Olave moving forward.

Amari Cooper — 28th (Previously 39th)

Amari Cooper became just the second wide receiver this season to post a 50-fantasy-point performance, joining only Ja’Marr Chase. Cooper's insane performance against the Houston Texans helped bring his point-per-game production up to 14.9, good for WR17 on the season. Not to mention, Cooper's production has come at the hands of an ever-changing cycle of quarterbacks this season — Deshaun Watson, Dorian Thompson-Robinson, PJ Walker and Joe Flacco.

Cooper is now up to a 22.5 percent target share and a quite efficient 2.20 yards per team pass attempt in 2023. Despite the fact that he’s going to be 30 years old when the 2024 season starts, he isn’t showing many signs of slowing down. With a hopefully healthy quarterback at the helm, Cooper should simply continue to produce. 

Dontayvion Wicks — 51st (previously 54th)

Dontayvion Wicks has been one of the biggest risers in our dynasty rankings this season, and if you haven’t been paying close attention to the Packers wide receiver, you might have missed just how good he’s been.

Due to the number of weapons in Green Bay, Wicks has only been able to participate in just 48.8 percent of the routes, but it’s what he’s been able to do when on the field that has been impressive. He would be just the sixth rookie wide receiver drafted on Day 3 of the draft to post at least a 20 percent target rate and 2.00 yards per route run, joining Tyreek Hill, Marques Colston, Martavis Bryant, Hunter Renfrow and Brian Hartline.

It may not be a guarantee that Wicks ends up being a stud, but he certainly has the upside to be one.

Tight End Rankings

Tier One

Value Estimation: Early First-Round Pick

Tier Two

Value Estimation: First-Round Pick

Tier Three

Value Estimation: Late First-Round Pick

Tier Four

Value Estimation: Second-Round Pick

Tier Five

Value Estimation: Third-Round Pick

Big TE Movers

T.J. Hockenson — fifth (previously second)

T.J. Hockenson suffered an absolutely devastating ACL and MCL injury in Week 16 that puts an end to what had been a career season for him. Hockenson finished the season with 17.8 points per game, on the back of a 22.9 percent target share, 25 percent target rate, 1.73 yards per team pass attempt and 1.89 yards per route run, all of which were career-highs for him.

Suffering this magnitude of an injury this late in the season puts a ton of doubt on the idea that he’ll be able to start the 2024 season healthy and likely means he starts the year on the PUP list. That level of injury is inevitably going to cause a drop in the dynasty rankings, but at still just 26 years old, it’s hardly much of a fall. 

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Ian Miller

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Ian Miller attended Washington State University, where most of the time he was building fantasy football models when he should’ve been paying attention to lectures. That’s where he first started building his process that he continue to grow today. It’s a process that gives probability of success and range of outcomes for recruits all the way to ten year NFL veterans. It’s something Ian not only shares with the readers, but also uses in his personal fantasy leagues.