Fantasy

12/13/23

11 min read

2023 NFL Week 15 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings

Justin Fields rolls out with no defenders around him
Dec 10, 2023; Chicago, Illinois, USA; Chicago Bears quarterback Justin Fields (1) rolls out to pass in the second half against the Detroit Lions at Soldier Field. Mandatory Credit: Jamie Sabau-USA TODAY Sports

It’s the best time of year: the fantasy football playoffs.

If your league hasn’t yet had its trade deadline, or simply doesn’t have one, it’s the perfect time to make some last-minute moves. Even if you aren’t a team in the playoffs, finding undervalued pieces for 2024 can set you up for major success next season.

Either way, enjoy this week’s dynasty rankings.

Week 15 Dynasty Rankings

Quarterback Rankings

Tier One

Value Estimation: 3+ Premium First-Round Picks

1Josh AllenBuffalo Bills
2Patrick MahomesKansas City Chiefs
3Jalen HurtsPhiladelphia Eagles

Tier Two

Value Estimation: 3+ First-Round Picks

4C.J. StroudHouston Texans
5Lamar JacksonBaltimore Ravens
6Justin HerbertLos Angeles Chargers
7Joe BurrowCincinnati Bengals

Tier Three

Value Estimation: 2+ First-Round Picks

8Dak PrescottDallas Cowboys
9Kyler MurrayArizona Cardinals
10Tua TagovailoaMiami Dolphins
11Anthony RichardsonIndianapolis Colts

Tier Four 

Value Estimation: Early First-Round Pick

12Trevor LawrenceJacksonville Jaguars
13Brock PurdySan Francisco 49ers

Tier Five

Value Estimation: First-Round Pick

14Deshaun WatsonCleveland Browns
15Justin FieldsChicago Bears
16Jared GoffDetroit Lions
17Jordan LoveGreen Bay Packers

Tier Six

Value Estimation: Late First-Round Pick

18Bryce YoungCarolina Panthers
19Russell WilsonDenver Broncos
20Sam HowellWashington Commanders

Tier Seven

Value Estimation: Second-Round Pick

21Matthew StaffordLos Angeles Rams
22Baker MayfieldTampa Bay Buccaneers
23Geno SmithSeattle Seahawks
24Kirk CousinsMinnesota Vikings
25Daniel JonesNew York Giants
26Will LevisTennessee Titans

Tier Eight

Value Estimation: Third-Round Pick

27Aaron RodgersNew York Jets
28Jake BrowningCincinnati Bengals
29Derek CarrNew Orleans Saints
30Desmond RidderAtlanta Falcons
31Gardner MinshewIndianapolis Colts

Tier Nine

Value Estimation: Fourth-Round Pick

32Zach WilsonNew York Jets
33Kenny PickettPittsburgh Steelers
34Joe FlaccoCleveland Browns
35Jameis WinstonNew Orleans Saints
36Joshua DobbsMinnesota Vikings
37Bailey ZappeNew England Patriots
38Mac JonesNew England Patriots
39Aidan O’ConnellLas Vegas Raiders
40Tommy DeVitoNew York Giants
41Mitch TrubiskyPittsburgh Steelers
42Nick MullensMinnesota Vikings
43Trey LanceDallas Cowboys

Big QB Movers

Justin Fields — 15th (previously 17th)

Justin Fields was one of the worst passers in the league during his first two seasons, failing to post even 12.0 passing points per game in either season. This season, while Fields still isn’t one of the better passers in the league, he has at least shown himself to be a capable one. He’s currently posting a career-high 15.4 passing points per game on the backing of 7.1 adjusted yards per attempt and a 5.1 percent touchdown rate.

What this has done is make it more likely that Fields will garner a starting gig in 2024, even if it’s not with the Chicago Bears. This would allow him to continue putting up high-end rushing production, likely leading to back end QB1 production again.

Jake Browning — 28th (Previously 31st)

Jake Browning has now started three games since Joe Burrow went down, and Browning is averaging 23.1 points per game in them. It clearly helps that he's surrounded by weapons such as Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins, but that shouldn’t diminish the strong peripherals Browning has been able to put up. In a very small sample, he’s holding an adjusted yards per attempt of 9.2, which would only trail Brock Purdy this season.

He’s also throwing touchdowns at a solid 4.9 percent rate. Again, it’s a small sample, and he’s a fourth-year undrafted free agent who hasn’t shown us anything before. But he is at least worth monitoring in the following weeks.

Running Back Rankings

Tier One

Value Estimation: 2+ First-Round Picks

121.8 Years OldBijan RobinsonAtlanta Falcons
227.5 Years OldChristian McCaffreySan Francisco 49ers
321.7 Years OldJahmyr GibbsDetroit Lions

Tier Two

Value Estimation: Early First-Round Pick

422.1 Years OldDe’Von AchaneMiami Dolphins
522.5 Years OldBreece HallNew York Jets
624.8 Years OldTravis EtienneJacksonville Jaguars
724.8 Years OldJonathan TaylorIndianapolis Colts

Tier Three

Value Estimation: First-Round Pick

826.8 Years OldSaquon BarkleyNew York Giants
923.2 Years OldKyren WilliamsLos Angeles Rams
1028.3 Years OldAlvin KamaraNew Orleans Saints
1125.8 Years OldJosh JacobsLas Vegas Raiders

Tier Four

Value Estimation: Late First-Round Pick

1224.9 Years OldRachaad WhiteTampa Bay Buccaneers
1326.5 Years OldDavid MontgomeryDetroit Lions
1426.6 Years OldTony PollardDallas Cowboys
1523.1 Years OldKenneth Walker IIISeattle Seahawks
1624.7 Years OldIsiah PachecoKansas City Chiefs

Tier Five

Value Estimation: Early Second-Round Pick

1728.5 Years OldAustin EkelerLos Angeles Chargers
1831.6 Years OldRaheem MostertMiami Dolphins
1927.3 Years OldJoe MixonCincinnati Bengals
2029.9 Years OldDerrick HenryTennessee Titans

Tier Six

Value Estimation: Second-Round Pick

2123.6 Years OldJavonte WilliamsDenver Broncos
2224.9 Years OldD’Andre SwiftPhiladelphia Eagles
2324.7 Years OldBrian RobinsonWashington Commanders
2425.7 Years OldRhamondre StevensonNew England Patriots
2522.9 Years OldZach CharbonnetSeattle Seahawks
2627.9 Years OldNick ChubbCleveland Browns

Tier Seven

Value Estimation: Late Second-Round Pick

2725.0 Years OldJaylen WarrenPittsburgh Steelers
2824.2 Years OldJames CookBuffalo Bills
2922.4 Years OldTyjae SpearsTennessee Titans
3028.5 Years OldJames ConnerArizona Cardinals
3129.0 Years OldAaron JonesGreen Bay Packers

Tier Eight

Value Estimation: Third-Round Pick

3225.9 Years OldZack MossIndianapolis Colts
3321.9 Years OldKeaton MitchellBaltimore Ravens
3424.2 Years OldJerome FordCleveland Browns
3524.4 Years OldChuba HubbardCarolina Panthers
3628.6 Years OldGus EdwardsBaltimore Ravens
3725.7 Years OldNajee HarrisPittsburgh Steelers
3825.4 Years OldAlexander MattisonMinnesota Vikings
3928.4 Years OldEzekiel ElliottNew England Patriots
4026.2 Years OldDevin SingletaryHouston Texans
4127.6 Years OldD’Onta ForemanChicago Bears
4231.5 Years OldJerick McKinnonKansas City Chiefs
4325.6 Years OldAJ DillonGreen Bay Packers
4423.8 Years OldDameon PierceHouston Texans
4525.6 Years OldKhalil HerbertChicago Bears
4625.5 Years OldAntonio GibsonWashington Commanders
4728.3 Years OldKareem HuntCleveland Browns
4823.6 Years OldTyler AllgeierAtlanta Falcons
4922.8 Years OldRoschon JohnsonChicago Bears
5023.6 Years OldChase BrownCincinnati Bengals
5123.1 Years OldJaleel McLaughlinDenver Broncos
5228.2 Years OldSamaje PerineDenver Broncos
5321.5 Years OldKendre MillerNew Orleans Saints
5426.6 Years OldMiles SandersCarolina Panthers
5525.4 Years OldRico DowdleDallas Cowboys
5625.5 Years OldTy ChandlerMinnesota Vikings

Big RB Movers

Rachaad White — 12th (previously 15th)

Rachaad White is currently the RB9 on the season with 15.6 points per game through the first 14 weeks. He’s doing this by being one of the best receiving backs in the league. In fact, he’s one of just five running backs posting at least a 12 percent target share and 0.90 yard per team pass attempt, joining: Christian McCaffrey, Alvin Kamara, Austin Ekeler and Breece Hall.

While White hasn’t been efficient as a rusher, he’s still just one of just eight running backs handling at least 60 percent of the carries. In the world of fantasy football, volume still reigns king. Even if, further down the road, White were to lose carries to a more efficient rusher, his strong receiving ability should give him a high production floor.

Kenneth Walker III — 15th (previously 12th)

Kenneth Walker III has never been a strong, or even adequate, receiver out of the backfield. In his rookie season, he posted just a 6.9 percent target share, which actually bested his collegiate career-high (which was just 4.3 percent). To be productive with that level of receiving work, you have to be a very high-volume rusher with strong efficiency, and that just hasn’t been the case this season for Walker.

He may be handling the sixth-highest carry percentage among all running backs, but his yards per team rush attempt rank 13th. Perhaps even scarier, and it could be due to his return from injury, he was out-carried by Zach Charbonnet this week. The path to elite production for Walker is a very narrow one.

Austin Ekeler — 17th (previously 14th)

Not only has Austin Ekeler’s rushing efficiency been abysmal this season, he just lost his quarterback who had the Los Angeles Chargers top 12 in passing yards and passing touchdowns for the remainder of the season. For a running back who’s getting nearly half of his production as a receiver out of the backfield, this is a major blow.

While you still shouldn’t expect a complete fall-off in production over the rest of the season, he’s clearly headed toward his lowest point-per-game season since his second year in the league. Combine that with the fact that he’ll be 29 years old by the time the 2024 season starts and Ekeler is trending in the wrong direction.

Wide Receiver Rankings

Tier One

Value Estimation: 3 First-Round Picks

1Justin JeffersonMinnesota Vikings
2Ja’Marr ChaseCincinnati Bengals

Tier Two

Value Estimation: 2 First-Round Picks

3CeeDee LambDallas Cowboys
4AJ BrownPhiladelphia Eagles
5Amon-Ra St. BrownDetroit Lions
6Tyreek HillMiami Dolphins
7Garrett WilsonNew York Jets
8Puka NacuaLos Angeles Rams

Tier Three

Value Estimation: Early First-Round Pick

9Stefon DiggsBuffalo Bills
10Brandon AiyukSan Francisco 49ers
11Chris OlaveNew Orleans Saints

Tier Four

Value Estimation: First-Round Pick

12Tank DellHouston Texans
13DJ MooreChicago Bears
14Michael Pittman Jr.Indianapolis Colts
15Jaylen WaddleMiami Dolphins
16DK MetcalfSeattle Seahawks
17DeVonta SmithPhiladelphia Eagles
18Nico CollinsHouston Texans
19Keenan AllenLos Angeles Chargers
20Drake LondonAtlanta Falcons
21Jordan AddisonMinnesota Vikings
22Zay FlowersBaltimore Ravens
23Davante AdamsLas Vegas Raiders
24Deebo SamuelSan Francisco 49ers
25Mike EvansTampa Bay Buccaneers

Tier Five

Value Estimation: Late First-Round Pick

26Cooper KuppLos Angeles Rams
27Tee HigginsCincinnati Bengals
28Diontae JohnsonPittsburgh Steelers
29Rashee RiceKansas City Chiefs

Tier Six

Value Estimation: Second-Round Pick

30George PickensPittsburgh Steelers
31Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSeattle Seahawks
32DeAndre HopkinsTennessee Titans
33Josh DownsIndianapolis Colts
34Jayden ReedGreen Bay Packers
35Calvin RidleyJacksonville Jaguars
36Courtland SuttonDenver Broncos
37Christian KirkJacksonville Jaguars
38Chris GodwinTampa Bay Buccaneers
39Marquise BrownArizona Cardinals
40Christian WatsonGreen Bay Packers
41Tyler LockettSeattle Seahawks
42Amari CooperCleveland Browns
43Demario DouglasNew England Patriots
44Terry McLaurinWashington Commanders
45Jakobi MeyersLas Vegas Raiders

Tier Seven

Value Estimation: Third-Round Pick

46Adam ThielenCarolina Panthers
47Romeo DoubsGreen Bay Packers
48Quentin JohnstonLos Angeles Chargers
49Gabriel DavisBuffalo Bills
50Jerry JeudyDenver Broncos
51Mike WilliamsLos Angeles Chargers
52Michael WilsonArizona Cardinals
53Elijah MooreCleveland Browns
54Jameson WilliamsDetroit Lions
55Treylon BurksTennessee Titans
56Noah BrownHouston Texans
57Jahan DotsonWashington Commanders
58Jonathan MingoCarolina Panthers
59Dontayvion WicksGreen Bay Packers
60Odell Beckham Jr.Baltimore Ravens
61Curtis SamuelWashington Commanders
62Rashid ShaheedNew Orleans Saints
63Marvin MimsDenver Broncos
64Michael ThomasNew Orleans Saints
65Joshua PalmerLos Angeles Chargers
66Brandin CooksDallas Cowboys
67Tyler BoydCincinnati Bengals
68Zay JonesJacksonville Jaguars
69Tutu AtwellLos Angeles Rams
70Wan’Dale RobinsonNew York Giants
71Rashod BatemanBaltimore Ravens
72Jalin HyattNew York Giants

Big WR Movers

DJ Moore — 13th (previously 18th)

As funny as it is, the best quarterback that DJ Moore has played with since his rookie year is Fields. While Fields isn’t a world beater as a passer, posting just 15.4 passing points per game, Moore has still been able to produce a career high 17.8 points per game through the first 14 weeks.

He’s doing this on some of the league’s best peripherals — a 25.9 percent target share and 2.69 yards per team pass attempt on an average depth of target of 11.7. But despite being 27 years old when the 2024 season starts, we should only expect his value to increase over the offseason because the Bears seem positioned to draft Caleb Williams.

Drake London — 20th (previously 24th)

Drake London became just the fourth wide receiver this season to score at least 28 fantasy points in a week without scoring a touchdown, which has become a far too common theme in the Atlanta Falcons' offense. While it’s been a disappointing year for London, it’s nearly impossible for any receiver in an offense that’s posting a negative 9.9 passing rate over expected to have strong production. For reference, the next closest team to Atlanta in passing rate over expected is the Cleveland Browns at negative 5.8 percent.

London posted some of the best peripherals we’ve seen from a rookie receiver, and he is still posting strong peripherals this season. But without an offensive philosophy change, it’s hard to achieve elite production.

Rashee Rice — 29th (previously 39th)

There are still some flags in Rashee Rice’s profile — such as his average depth of target of just 4.9 — but what we’ve seen from him when on the field has been quite impressive. Rice has been able to post 12.2 points per game despite having just 50.9 percent route participation. For reference, that’s the highest points per game in the league of any wide receiver with less than 70 percent route participation.

He’s been able to accomplish this thanks to a very strong 26.6 percent target rate and 2.35 yards per route run. While there is still that flag in his profile, there are tons of data points that suggest Rice is a quite good player. He's likely a player you don’t want to be too low on because he's in a Patrick Mahomes–led offense.

Tight End Rankings

Tier One

Value Estimation: First-Round Pick

122.9 Years OldSam LaPortaDetroit Lions
226.4 Years OldT.J. HockensonMinnesota Vikings
334.1 Years OldTravis KelceKansas City Chiefs
424.0 Years OldTrey McBrideArizona Cardinals
528.2 Years OldMark AndrewsBaltimore Ravens
623.1 Years OldKyle PittsAtlanta Falcons

Tier Two

Value Estimation: Late First-Round Pick

724.1 Years OldDalton KincaidBuffalo Bills
830.2 Years OldGeorge KittleSan Francisco 49ers
1129.3 Years OldEvan EngramJacksonville Jaguars

Tier Three

Value Estimation: Second-Round Pick

1024.7 Years OldCole KmetChicago Bears
925.1 Years OldPat FreiermuthPittsburgh Steelers
1228.9 Years OldDallas GoedertPhiladelphia Eagles
1324.8 Years OldJake FergusonDallas Cowboys
1727.4 Years OldDalton SchultzHouston Texans
1427.4 Years OldDavid NjokuCleveland Browns
1623.1 Years OldLuke MusgraveGreen Bay Packers
1521.4 Years OldMichael MayerLas Vegas Raiders
1831.2 Years OldDarren WallerNew York Giants

Tier Four

Value Estimation: Third-Round Pick

1923.7 Years OldGreg DulcichDenver Broncos
3026.0 Years OldNoah FantSeattle Seahawks
2033.3 Years OldTaysom HillNew Orleans Saints
2132.4 Years OldLogan ThomasWashington Commanders
2225.2 Years OldJelani WoodsIndianapolis Colts
2324.2 Years OldChigoziem OkonkwoTennessee Titans
3123.6 Years OldIsaiah LikelyBaltimore Ravens
2428.3 Years OldTyler ConklinNew York Jets
2528.2 Years OldJonnu SmithAtlanta Falcons
2929.0 Years OldHunter HenryNew England Patriots
2729.4 Years OldGerald EverettLos Angeles Chargers
2830.9 Years OldTyler HigbeeLos Angeles Rams
3324.7 Years OldCade OttonTampa Bay Buccaneers
2633.1 Years OldZach ErtzFree Agent
3427.0 Years OldDawson KnoxBuffalo Bills
3225.2 Years OldLuke SchoonmakerDallas Cowboys

Big TE Mover

Evan Engram — Ninth (previously 11th)

After a whopping 38-fantasy-point performance in Week 14, Evan Engram is now up to TE3 on the season with 16.2 points per game. This wouldn’t even be Engram’s highest scoring season; he’s always been a solid target earner at the tight end position.

This would be his fourth season with at least a 20 percent target share, and his 22.1 percent target share in 2023 is the third-highest among all tight ends — only trailing Travis Kelce and T.J. Hockenson. Attached to a Trevor Lawrence–led offense that is now without Christian Kirk, Engram has massive upside heading into the fantasy playoffs.


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