Fantasy & Betting
11/15/23
12 min read
2023 NFL Week 11 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings
We’re officially just four weeks away from the fantasy playoffs, which means you should be making optimal moves to put yourself in the best possible position to win your leagues.
That’s why we’re still ensuring you’re ahead of the rest in our latest dynasty rankings.
Week 11 Dynasty Rankings
Quarterback Rankings
Tier One
Value Estimation: 3+ Premium First-Round Picks
| 1 | Patrick Mahomes | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 2 | Josh Allen | Buffalo Bills |
| 3 | Jalen Hurts | Philadelphia Eagles |
Tier Two
Value Estimation: 3+ First-Round Picks
| 4 | Lamar Jackson | Baltimore Ravens |
| 5 | Justin Herbert | Los Angeles Chargers |
| 6 | Joe Burrow | Cincinnati Bengals |
| 7 | C.J. Stroud | Houston Texans |
Tier Three
Value Estimation: 2+ First-Round Picks
| 8 | Kyler Murray | Arizona Cardinals |
| 9 | Tua Tagovailoa | Miami Dolphins |
| 10 | Anthony Richardson | Indianapolis Colts |
Tier Four
Value Estimation: Early First-Round Pick
| 11 | Dak Prescott | Dallas Cowboys |
| 12 | Trevor Lawrence | Jacksonville Jaguars |
Tier Five
Value Estimation: First-Round Pick
| 13 | Deshaun Watson | Cleveland Browns |
| 14 | Justin Fields | Chicago Bears |
| 15 | Brock Purdy | San Francisco 49ers |
| 16 | Jared Goff | Detroit Lions |
| 17 | Bryce Young | Carolina Panthers |
Tier Six
Value Estimation: Late First-Round Pick
| 18 | Sam Howell | Washington Commanders |
| 19 | Russell Wilson | Denver Broncos |
Tier Seven
Value Estimation: Second-Round Pick
| 20 | Baker Mayfield | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
| 21 | Will Levis | Tennessee Titans |
| 22 | Jordan Love | Green Bay Packers |
| 23 | Geno Smith | Seattle Seahawks |
| 24 | Joshua Dobbs | Minnesota Vikings |
| 25 | Matthew Stafford | Los Angeles Rams |
| 26 | Kirk Cousins | Minnesota Vikings |
Tier Eight
Value Estimation: Third-Round Pick
| 27 | Daniel Jones | New York Giants |
| 28 | Aaron Rodgers | New York Jets |
| 29 | Kenny Pickett | Pittsburgh Steelers |
| 30 | Jameis Winston | New Orleans Saints |
| 31 | Derek Carr | New Orleans Saints |
| 32 | Aidan O’Connell | Las Vegas Raiders |
| 33 | Gardner Minshew | Indianapolis Colts |
Tier Nine
Value Estimation: Fourth-Round Pick
| 34 | Desmond Ridder | Atlanta Falcons |
| 35 | Zach Wilson | New York Jets |
| 36 | Mac Jones | New England Patriots |
| 37 | Jimmy Garoppolo | Las Vegas Raiders |
| 38 | Taylor Heinicke | Atlanta Falcons |
| 39 | Tyson Bagent | Chicago Bears |
| 40 | Tommy DeVito | New York Giants |
Big QB Movers
Kyler Murray – Eighth (previously 10th)
It’s not often you can buy a 26-year-old quarterback who’s never had a season below 20 points per game for pennies on the dollar. But that was the case with Kyler Murray this past offseason.
Consensus value sites viewed Murray as low as QB18 and are now scrambling to adjust after he rushed for 33 yards and a touchdown in his first game back from an ACL injury. If there is ever an opportunity to buy a young, proven producer at a significant discount, you always should.
Unfortunately, opportunities such as this one with Murray don’t happen all too often, so it’s crucial to take advantage of them when they do. Murray could find himself a first-round startup selection this coming offseason.
Dak Prescott – 11th (previously 14th)
Fantasy football is a game of variance — some people are lucky, and some are unlucky. Dak Prescott is a classic example of believing in variance or being naive.
Through the first five weeks of the season, Prescott had just 13.8 points per game but held the second-largest negative difference in points per game and expected points per game.
Since Week 5, Prescott has put up 35.5 points per game and now finds himself as the QB4 on the season. He’s brought his passing peripherals up to 8.3 adjusted yards per attempt and a 5.7 percent touchdown rate, good for 20.7 passing points per game. Prescott is a strong candidate to finish the season as a top-five quarterback.
Running Back Rankings
Tier One
Value Estimation: 2+ First-Round Picks
| 1 | 21.7 Years Old | Bijan Robinson | Atlanta Falcons |
| 2 | 27.4 Years Old | Christian McCaffrey | San Francisco 49ers |
Tier Two
Value Estimation: 2 First-Round Picks
| 3 | 21.6 Years Old | Jahmyr Gibbs | Detroit Lions |
| 4 | 22.4 Years Old | Breece Hall | New York Jets |
| 5 | 24.7 Years Old | Travis Etienne | Jacksonville Jaguars |
| 6 | 22.0 Years Old | De’Von Achane | Miami Dolphins |
Tier Three
Value Estimation: Early First-Round Pick
| 7 | 24.7 Years Old | Jonathan Taylor | Indianapolis Colts |
| 8 | 26.7 Years Old | Saquon Barkley | New York Giants |
Tier Four
Value Estimation: First-Round Pick
| 9 | 28.2 Years Old | Alvin Kamara | New Orleans Saints |
| 10 | 28.4 Years Old | Austin Ekeler | Los Angeles Chargers |
| 11 | 25.7 Years Old | Josh Jacobs | Las Vegas Raiders |
| 12 | 23.0 Years Old | Kenneth Walker III | Seattle Seahawks |
Tier Five
Value Estimation: Late First-Round Pick
| 13 | 24.8 Years Old | D’Andre Swift | Philadelphia Eagles |
| 14 | 24.8 Years Old | Rachaad White | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
| 15 | 26.5 Years Old | Tony Pollard | Dallas Cowboys |
| 16 | 25.6 Years Old | Rhamondre Stevenson | New England Patriots |
| 17 | 23.5 Years Old | Javonte Williams | Denver Broncos |
| 18 | 26.4 Years Old | David Montgomery | Detroit Lions |
Tier Six
Value Estimation: Early Second-Round Pick
| 19 | 29.8 Years Old | Derrick Henry | Tennessee Titans |
| 20 | 27.2 Years Old | Joe Mixon | Cincinnati Bengals |
| 21 | 23.1 Years Old | Kyren Williams | Los Angeles Rams |
| 22 | 31.5 Years Old | Raheem Mostert | Miami Dolphins |
Tier Seven
Value Estimation: Second-Round Pick
| 23 | 24.6 Years Old | Isiah Pacheco | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 24 | 24.1 Years Old | James Cook | Buffalo Bills |
| 25 | 24.6 Years Old | Brian Robinson | Washington Commanders |
| 26 | 27.8 Years Old | Nick Chubb | Cleveland Browns |
| 27 | 22.8 Years Old | Zach Charbonnet | Seattle Seahawks |
Tier Eight
Value Estimation: Late Second-Round Pick
| 28 | 28.9 Years Old | Aaron Jones | Green Bay Packers |
| 29 | 28.4 Years Old | James Conner | Arizona Cardinals |
| 30 | 22.3 Years Old | Tyjae Spears | Tennessee Titans |
Tier Nine
Value Estimation: Third-Round Pick
| 31 | 21.8 Years Old | Keaton Mitchell | Baltimore Ravens |
| 32 | 24.1 Years Old | Jerome Ford | Cleveland Browns |
| 33 | 24.9 Years Old | Jaylen Warren | Pittsburgh Steelers |
| 34 | 28.5 Years Old | Gus Edwards | Baltimore Ravens |
| 35 | 25.6 Years Old | Najee Harris | Pittsburgh Steelers |
| 36 | 25.3 Years Old | Alexander Mattison | Minnesota Vikings |
| 37 | 27.5 Years Old | D’Onta Foreman | Chicago Bears |
| 38 | 23.7 Years Old | Dameon Pierce | Houston Texans |
| 39 | 24.3 Years Old | Chuba Hubbard | Carolina Panthers |
| 40 | 25.5 Years Old | Khalil Herbert | Chicago Bears |
| 41 | 22.7 Years Old | Roschon Johnson | Chicago Bears |
| 42 | 23.5 Years Old | Tyler Allgeier | Atlanta Falcons |
| 43 | 25.5 Years Old | AJ Dillon | Green Bay Packers |
| 44 | 23.0 Years Old | Jaleel McLaughlin | Denver Broncos |
| 45 | 21.4 Years Old | Kendre Miller | New Orleans Saints |
| 46 | 22.1 Years Old | Tank Bigsby | Jacksonville Jaguars |
| 47 | 26.2 Years Old | Darrell Henderson | Los Angeles Rams |
| 48 | 25.8 Years Old | Zack Moss | Indianapolis Colts |
| 49 | 28.1 Years Old | Samaje Perine | Denver Broncos |
| 50 | 26.5 Years Old | Miles Sanders | Carolina Panthers |
Big RB Movers
Jahmyr Gibbs – third (previously Sixth)
After exploding for 27.6- and 29.9-fantasy-point performances in the absence of David Montgomery, Jahmyr Gibbs went for 26.2 fantasy points in Montgomery’s return. The version of Gibbs you had hoped for when you drafted him is officially here.
His receiving profile out of the backfield was one of the best, if not the best, we’d ever seen coming out of college, which made it possible for high-end production without needing a high rushing workload.
That happened in Week 10 when he had a carry percentage under 50 percent but was efficient and earned a 15.2 percent target share as a receiver. Gibbs is now the RB7 on the season with 17.5 points per game, and there isn’t a reason to see him slowing down — even next to a healthy Montgomery.
Rachaad White – 14th (previously 20th)
Rachaad White might not be that efficient of a rusher, but what’s made him a solid producer this season is what he’s done as a receiver out of the backfield.
He’s holding a 12.1 percent target share, and his 1.07 yards per team pass attempt is fourth among all running backs, only trailing Christian McCaffrey, Alvin Kamara and Austin Ekeler.
He’s also fourth in receiving points per game with 8.2, which makes it possible for him to finish as a fringe RB1 even while being inefficient with a 57.4 percent carry percentage.
Derrick Henry – 19th (previously 15th)
Derrick Henry is about to turn 30 and posted his lowest-scoring season in the past five years. It’s not that being the RB12 on the season with 14.2 points per game is poor production, but it’s never been more obvious that Henry is declining.
Before this season, he hadn’t had a yards-per-team rush attempt below 3.25 in the past five years. This season, he’s producing just 2.81 yards per team rush attempt.
With the fantasy playoffs approaching and managers wanting to make last-ditch efforts to propel their teams into the playoffs, now might be one of the final chances to sell Henry at solid value.
Wide Receiver Rankings
Tier One
Value Estimation: 3 First-Round Picks
| 1 | Ja’Marr Chase | Cincinnati Bengals |
| 2 | Justin Jefferson | Minnesota Vikings |
Tier Two
Value Estimation: 2 First-Round Picks
| 3 | AJ Brown | Philadelphia Eagles |
| 4 | CeeDee Lamb | Dallas Cowboys |
| 5 | Puka Nacua | Los Angeles Rams |
| 6 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | Detroit Lions |
| 7 | Garrett Wilson | New York Jets |
Tier Three
Value Estimation: Early First-Round Pick
| 8 | Tyreek Hill | Miami Dolphins |
| 9 | Stefon Diggs | Buffalo Bills |
| 10 | Brandon Aiyuk | San Francisco 49ers |
| 11 | Chris Olave | New Orleans Saints |
Tier Four
Value Estimation: First-Round Pick
| 12 | Keenan Allen | Los Angeles Chargers |
| 13 | Davante Adams | Las Vegas Raiders |
| 14 | Cooper Kupp | Los Angeles Rams |
| 15 | Jaylen Waddle | Miami Dolphins |
| 16 | Jordan Addison | Minnesota Vikings |
| 17 | DeVonta Smith | Philadelphia Eagles |
| 18 | Drake London | Atlanta Falcons |
| 19 | DJ Moore | Chicago Bears |
| 20 | DK Metcalf | Seattle Seahawks |
| 21 | Zay Flowers | Baltimore Ravens |
| 22 | Michael Pittman Jr. | Indianapolis Colts |
Tier Five
Value Estimation: Late First-Round Pick
| 23 | Tank Dell | Houston Texans |
| 24 | Diontae Johnson | Pittsburgh Steelers |
| 25 | Tee Higgins | Cincinnati Bengals |
| 26 | Nico Collins | Houston Texans |
| 27 | George Pickens | Pittsburgh Steelers |
| 28 | Mike Evans | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
| 29 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | Seattle Seahawks |
| 30 | Marquise Brown | Arizona Cardinals |
| 31 | Christian Kirk | Jacksonville Jaguars |
| 32 | Deebo Samuel | San Francisco 49ers |
| 33 | Amari Cooper | Cleveland Browns |
| 34 | Chris Godwin | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
| 35 | Josh Downs | Indianapolis Colts |
Tier Six
Value Estimation: Second-Round Pick
| 36 | Calvin Ridley | Jacksonville Jaguars |
| 37 | Terry McLaurin | Washington Commanders |
| 38 | Jakobi Meyers | Las Vegas Raiders |
| 39 | Adam Thielen | Carolina Panthers |
| 40 | DeAndre Hopkins | Tennessee Titans |
| 41 | Rashee Rice | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 42 | Demario Douglas | New England Patriots |
| 43 | Romeo Doubs | Green Bay Packers |
| 44 | Tyler Lockett | Seattle Seahawks |
| 45 | Courtland Sutton | Denver Broncos |
| 46 | Jerry Jeudy | Denver Broncos |
| 47 | Gabriel Davis | Buffalo Bills |
| 48 | Christian Watson | Green Bay Packers |
| 49 | Michael Thomas | New Orleans Saints |
Tier Seven
Value Estimation: Third-Round Pick
| 50 | Quentin Johnston | Los Angeles Chargers |
| 51 | Jayden Reed | Green Bay Packers |
| 52 | Mike Williams | Los Angeles Chargers |
| 53 | Jameson Williams | Detroit Lions |
| 54 | Treylon Burks | Tennessee Titans |
| 55 | Marvin Mims | Denver Broncos |
| 56 | Tyler Boyd | Cincinnati Bengals |
| 57 | Rashid Shaheed | New Orleans Saints |
| 58 | Noah Brown | Houston Texans |
| 59 | Michael Wilson | Arizona Cardinals |
| 60 | Elijah Moore | Cleveland Browns |
| 61 | Curtis Samuel | Washington Commanders |
| 62 | Rashod Bateman | Baltimore Ravens |
| 63 | Jahan Dotson | Washington Commanders |
| 64 | Wan’Dale Robinson | New York Giants |
| 65 | Tutu Atwell | Los Angeles Rams |
| 66 | Joshua Palmer | Los Angeles Chargers |
| 67 | Jonathan Mingo | Carolina Panthers |
Big WR Movers
CeeDee Lamb – fourth (previously fifth)
Since the Dallas Cowboys’ bye, CeeDee Lamb is averaging the highest points per game among all wide receivers with 36.2. If the goal of the bye week was to get one of the best pass-catchers in the league more involved, it worked.
Before the bye, Lamb had a 21.1 percent target share and 2.49 yards per team pass attempt. But since then, he’s held down a 36.5 percent target share and a whopping 4.14 yards per team pass attempt. This three-game sample is not sustainable across the rest of the season, but it’s clear Lamb is headed for a top-five finish at the wide receiver position.
Keenan Allen – 12th (Previously 14th)
The pushback I got for ranking Keenan Allen as WR14 was plentiful, so I can only imagine what ranking him WR12 will bring.
But the pushback doesn’t make much sense when we look at it logically. If you are OK with 30-year-old Davante Adams putting up 14.1 points per game as a top-14 receiver and are OK with 30-year-old Cooper Kupp putting up 13.1 points per game as a top-14 receiver, why would you not be OK with 31-year-old Allen putting up 22.8 points per game?
Plus, Allen is putting up 22.8 points per game on the backing of a 30 percent target share and 2.77 yards per team pass attempt in a Justin Herbert–led offense. If winning your league is important, you should be higher than consensus on the current WR2 this season.
Tank Dell – 23rd (previously 37th)
There have only been four third-round rookie wide receivers to post at least two yards per route run on at least 100 routes: Allen, Chris Godwin, Kupp and Terry McLaurin. Through the first 10 weeks of the season, Tank Dell is posting 2.11 yards per route run.
With each passing week, his poor prospect profile matters less because he’s now up to 14.6 points per game behind a 20.1 percent target share and 1.80 yards per route run on an average depth of target of 14.
Since he plays on the Houston Texans, Dell is attached to what appears to be one of the premier destinations for receiving weapons, thanks to C.J. Stroud.
Tight End Rankings
Tier One
Value Estimation: Early First-Round Pick
| 1 | 34.0 Years Old | Travis Kelce | Kansas City Chiefs |
Tier Two
Value Estimation: First-Round Pick
| 2 | 28.1 Years Old | Mark Andrews | Baltimore Ravens |
| 3 | 22.8 Years Old | Sam LaPorta | Detroit Lions |
Tier Three
Value Estimation: Late First-Round Pick
| 4 | 26.3 Years Old | T.J. Hockenson | Minnesota Vikings |
| 5 | 23.0 Years Old | Kyle Pitts | Atlanta Falcons |
| 6 | 24.0 Years Old | Dalton Kincaid | Buffalo Bills |
| 7 | 23.9 Years Old | Trey McBride | Arizona Cardinals |
| 8 | 30.1 Years Old | George Kittle | San Francisco 49ers |
Tier Four
Value Estimation: Second-Round Pick
| 9 | 24.6 Years Old | Cole Kmet | Chicago Bears |
| 10 | 24.7 Years Old | Jake Ferguson | Dallas Cowboys |
| 11 | 27.3 Years Old | Dalton Schultz | Houston Texans |
| 12 | 29.2 Years Old | Evan Engram | Jacksonville Jaguars |
| 13 | 28.8 Years Old | Dallas Goedert | Philadelphia Eagles |
| 14 | 25.0 Years Old | Pat Freiermuth | Pittsburgh Steelers |
| 15 | 23.0 Years Old | Luke Musgrave | Green Bay Packers |
| 16 | 21.3 Years Old | Michael Mayer | Las Vegas Raiders |
| 17 | 31.1 Years Old | Darren Waller | New York Giants |
| 18 | 27.3 Years Old | David Njoku | Cleveland Browns |
Tier Five
Value Estimation: Third-Round Pick
| 19 | 23.6 Years Old | Greg Dulcich | Denver Broncos |
| 20 | 25.1 Years Old | Jelani Woods | Indianapolis Colts |
| 21 | 28.1 Years Old | Jonnu Smith | Atlanta Falcons |
| 22 | 32.3 Years Old | Logan Thomas | Washington Commanders |
| 23 | 33.2 Years Old | Taysom Hill | New Orleans Saints |
| 24 | 24.1 Years Old | Chigoziem Okonkwo | Tennessee Titans |
| 25 | 25.9 Years Old | Noah Fant | Seattle Seahawks |
| 26 | 29.3 Years Old | Gerald Everett | Los Angeles Chargers |
| 27 | 28.2 Years Old | Tyler Conklin | New York Jets |
| 28 | 28.9 Years Old | Hunter Henry | New England Patriots |
| 29 | 30.8 Years Old | Tyler Higbee | Los Angeles Rams |
| 30 | 25.1 Years Old | Luke Schoonmaker | Dallas Cowboys |
| 31 | 24.6 Years Old | Cade Otton | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
Big TE Movers
Kyle Pitts – fifth (previously fourth)
Kyle Pitts had a 19.2 percent target share as a rookie and a 24.2 percent target share in his second season. This season, he’s posting just a 17.7 percent target share. Pitts posted 1.79 yards per team pass attempt as a rookie and 1.46 yards per team pass attempt in his second season.
This season, he’s posting just 1.30 yards per team pass attempt. But most importantly, that’s coming off his lowest route participation ever.
It’s almost as if one of the most talented tight ends in the league is being misused in a poor situation. Even with all that, Pitts is the only tight end to post at least a 20 percent target rate on an average depth of target deeper than 10.
Hopefully, the situation changes because we will have a league winner-level producer at tight end, but until then, he’s taking a slight tumble in the rankings.
Jake Ferguson – 10th (previously 17th)
As a rookie, Jake Ferguson wasn’t on the field much — he had just 18.5 percent route participation. But when he was on the field, he was quite good. Granted, it’s a small sample, but he was able to post a 21.0 percent target rate and 1.66 yards per route run.
Now that he’s on the field more often in his second year with 70.4 percent participation, we’re seeing his per-route peripherals blossom into on-field success with a 15.8 percent target share and 1.12 yards per team pass attempt.
It also helps that Ferguson’s peripherals are elevated thanks to an efficient passing attack, leading him to 12.6 points per game. His lower-level athleticism may hinder his upside, but there is still quality production with Ferguson.
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