Analysis
7/3/23
16 min read
2023 Best Ball: Top 250 FFPC Rankings With Confidence Ratings
Here are our top 250 Fantasy Football Player’s Championship (FFPC) best ball rankings.
This year, the rankings have a new format. Based on their site average draft position (ADP), players will be ranked on a 1-5 scale that indicates my interest in that player at their current ADP.
The average exposure to a player is about 8.3 percent, taking someone once every 12 drafts. Below, you can see how to translate our rating system to our ideal player exposures.
| Rating | Exposure |
| 1 | Under 2% |
| 1.5 | 2-3% |
| 2 | 4-5% |
| 2.5 | 6-6.9% |
| 3 | 7-9% |
| 3.5 | 10-12% |
| 4 | 13-15% |
| 4.5 | 16-20% |
| 5 | Over 20% |
In addition to the rankings, you’ll find dozens of player write-ups throughout to provide additional context and analysis.
FFPC Top 250
Players 1-25
| ADP Rank | Player | ADP | Rating | Position Rank | Team |
| 1 | Justin Jefferson | 2.27 | 3 | WR1 | MIN |
| 2 | Travis Kelce | 4.09 | 3.5 | TE1 | KC |
| 3 | Ja’Marr Chase | 4.32 | 3 | WR2 | CIN |
| 4 | Christian McCaffrey | 5.45 | 2 | RB1 | SF |
| 5 | Austin Ekeler | 7.73 | 3.5 | RB2 | LAC |
| 6 | Cooper Kupp | 7.95 | 4.5 | WR3 | LAR |
| 7 | Bijan Robinson | 9 | 2 | RB3 | ATL |
| 8 | Tyreek Hill | 9.5 | 3 | WR4 | MIA |
| 9 | Stefon Diggs | 12.95 | 3 | WR5 | BUF |
| 10 | A.J. Brown | 14.18 | 3 | WR6 | PHI |
| 11 | CeeDee Lamb | 14.23 | 2.5 | WR7 | DAL |
| 12 | Saquon Barkley | 15.18 | 3 | RB4 | NYG |
| 13 | Jonathan Taylor | 15.5 | 2 | RB5 | IND |
| 14 | Patrick Mahomes | 17.09 | 3 | QB1 | KC |
| 15 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | 17.23 | 3 | WR8 | DET |
| 16 | Nick Chubb | 17.68 | 3.5 | RB6 | CLE |
| 17 | Mark Andrews | 19.82 | 3.5 | TE2 | BAL |
| 18 | Garrett Wilson | 19.86 | 3.5 | WR9 | NYJ |
| 19 | Davante Adams | 20.55 | 2 | WR10 | LV |
| 20 | Jalen Hurts | 21.23 | 3 | QB2 | PHI |
| 21 | Tony Pollard | 23.14 | 3.5 | RB7 | DAL |
| 22 | Derrick Henry | 23.95 | 2.5 | RB8 | TEN |
| 23 | Jaylen Waddle | 24.14 | 3 | WR11 | MIA |
| 24 | Josh Allen | 24.23 | 3 | QB3 | BUF |
| 25 | Josh Jacobs | 28.14 | 3 | RB9 | LV |
Travis Kelce, Kansas City Chiefs
The TE Premium format places further distance between Travis Kelce and everyone else at the position. Mark Andrews and T.J. Hockenson are the only players with the potential to match Kelce’s expected volume if everything breaks just right.
Kelce can be considered at 1.01 in this format.
Christian McCaffrey, San Francisco 49ers
The downside to Christian McCaffrey at ADP has been well documented around the site by myself and other contributors, leading to an underweight approach relative to the field.
Austin Ekeler, Los Angeles Chargers
The full-PPR format and improvement at offensive coordinator with Kellen Moore result in Austin Ekeler being ranked as my top back on the board. Furthermore, the Los Angeles Chargers are incentivized to ride him into the ground with the team highly unlikely to extend him beyond 2023.
Cooper Kupp, Los Angeles Rams
The declining defense and relative lack of top-end talent behind Cooper Kupp for the Los Angeles Rams result in a 1.01 ranking for me; how quickly people forget that this offense is still run by head coach Sean McVay and quarterback Matthew Stafford.
Bijan Robinson, Atlanta Falcons
Bijan Robinson is an elite talent, but there are enough question marks to leave his ADP too rich for his range of outcomes, particularly considering the full-PPR format.
CeeDee Lamb, Dallas Cowboys
I’m not as high as consensus on CeeDee Lamb, a wide receiver with a career-high aDOT of 10.2, playing on an offense that lost an aggressive offensive coordinator and added veteran Brandin Cooks this offseason.
Jonathan Taylor, Indianapolis Colts
Similar to Robinson, Jonathan Taylor is an elite talent with question marks that leave his ADP too rich for his range of outcomes.
Davante Adams, Las Vegas Raiders
Davante Adams could regress this season due to the quarterback downgrade and further uncertainty surrounding the health/status of Jimmy Garoppolo.
Players 26-50
| 26 | Lamar Jackson | 28.14 | 3 | QB4 | BAL |
| 27 | Chris Olave | 28.55 | 4 | WR12 | NO |
| 28 | Rhamondre Stevenson | 29.41 | 3.5 | RB10 | NE |
| 29 | Joe Burrow | 30.36 | 3 | QB5 | CIN |
| 30 | DeVonta Smith | 30.41 | 3 | WR13 | PHI |
| 31 | Breece Hall | 31.59 | 3.5 | RB11 | NYJ |
| 32 | Tee Higgins | 33.5 | 2.5 | WR14 | CIN |
| 33 | Jahmyr Gibbs | 33.82 | 2.5 | RB12 | DET |
| 34 | T.J. Hockenson | 35 | 3 | TE3 | MIN |
| 35 | DK Metcalf | 35.95 | 2 | WR15 | SEA |
| 36 | Najee Harris | 38.95 | 1.5 | RB13 | PIT |
| 37 | Justin Fields | 39.23 | 3 | QB6 | CHI |
| 38 | Travis Etienne | 40.5 | 2 | RB14 | JAC |
| 39 | Keenan Allen | 42.41 | 3.5 | WR16 | LAC |
| 40 | Amari Cooper | 42.95 | 4 | WR17 | CLE |
| 41 | Justin Herbert | 43.18 | 3.5 | QB7 | LAC |
| 42 | Deebo Samuel | 44.14 | 2 | WR | SF |
| 43 | Aaron Jones | 44.18 | 2.5 | RB15 | GB |
| 44 | Calvin Ridley | 46.14 | 3 | WR18 | JAC |
| 45 | J.K. Dobbins | 48.59 | 2.5 | RB16 | BAL |
| 46 | Joe Mixon | 48.64 | 3 | RB17 | CIN |
| 47 | George Kittle | 48.91 | 3 | TE4 | SF |
| 48 | Kenneth Walker | 50 | 2.5 | RB18 | SEA |
| 49 | Trevor Lawrence | 52.55 | 3 | QB8 | JAC |
| 50 | Kyle Pitts | 53.05 | 3 | TE5 | ATL |
Chris Olave, New Orleans Saints
Chris Olave will benefit from a clear upgrade at quarterback. He led 2022 rookies in most predictive metrics a season ago and should continue his ascent this year.
Jahmyr Gibbs, Detriot Lions
An elite, top-end finish presents in his range of outcomes. He comes at a relative discount on other full-PPR sites like DraftKings.
DK Metcalf, Seattle Seahawks
The WR15 price assumes quarterback Geno Smith can sustain a hefty 5.2 percent TD rate.
Najee Harris, Pittsburgh Steelers
His receptions were almost cut in half after a breakout rookie season. There are questions surrounding quarterback play and the team’s ability to sustain drives. Another concern is that Jaylen Warren may see an uptick in opportunities this season.
Amari Cooper, Cleveland Browns
After a full offseason with Deshaun Watson, the offense has a chance to take a major step forward; he’s currently ranked as my WR9.
Deebo Samuel, San Francisco 49ers
The emergence of Brandon Aiyuk and the presence of McCaffrey in somewhat overlapping pass-game roles are enough to prefer an underweight approach at ADP.
Players 51-75
| 51 | Jerry Jeudy | 53.09 | 3.5 | WR19 | DEN |
| 52 | Christian Watson | 55.14 | 4 | WR20 | GB |
| 53 | DJ Moore | 55.59 | 2 | WR21 | CHI |
| 54 | Dallas Goedert | 57.41 | 3 | TE6 | PHI |
| 55 | DeAndre Hopkins | 59.36 | 2.5 | WR22 | FA |
| 56 | Miles Sanders | 59.86 | 2.5 | RB19 | CAR |
| 57 | Terry McLaurin | 60.18 | 3 | WR23 | WAS |
| 58 | Cam Akers | 60.86 | 3.5 | RB20 | LAR |
| 59 | Darren Waller | 61.55 | 3.5 | TE7 | NYG |
| 60 | Alexander Mattison | 62.18 | 2.5 | RB21 | MIN |
| 61 | Drake London | 64.32 | 3 | WR24 | ATL |
| 62 | Deshaun Watson | 64.45 | 3 | QB9 | CLE |
| 63 | Christian Kirk | 66.55 | 2.5 | WR25 | JAC |
| 64 | Dameon Pierce | 66.82 | 2.5 | RB22 | HOU |
| 65 | Chris Godwin | 67.05 | 3.5 | WR26 | TB |
| 66 | Kirk Cousins | 68.5 | 3 | QB10 | MIN |
| 67 | Dalvin Cook | 71.5 | 2.5 | RB23 | FA |
| 68 | Rachaad White | 71.59 | 3 | RB24 | TB |
| 69 | Mike Williams | 72.91 | 3 | WR27 | LAC |
| 70 | David Montgomery | 73.41 | 3 | RB25 | DET |
| 71 | Brandon Aiyuk | 73.95 | 3 | WR28 | SF |
| 72 | D’Andre Swift | 74.64 | 3.5 | RB26 | PHI |
| 73 | Dak Prescott | 75.14 | 2.5 | QB11 | DAL |
| 74 | Diontae Johnson | 75.18 | 3 | WR29 | PIT |
| 75 | James Conner | 76.41 | 3 | RB27 | ARI |
Jerry Jeudy, Denver Broncos
Jerry Jeudy ranked 19th in fantasy points per game in 2022 in a season the Denver Broncos ranked dead last in scoring.
Christian Watson, Green Bay Packers
Had this kid come out of a large-market school I think we’d be treating him a bit differently; Christian Watson is primed to lead the Green Bay Packers in targets.
DJ Moore, Chicago Bears
Best ball is a weekly game, and DJ Moore has finished top-10 in wide receiver scoring in just 10 weeks across five professional seasons. While his median projection looks nice on paper, I want a better hit rate in top-end scoring on a weekly basis from wide receivers in this range.
Cam Akers, Los Angeles Rams
Cam Akers ended the 2022 season with four consecutive games of 100 or more combined rushing and receiving yards and faces little competition for touches. He profiles similarly to Josh Jacobs prior to the 2022 season.
Players 76-100
| 76 | Tyler Lockett | 78.68 | 4 | WR30 | SEA |
| 77 | Tua Tagovailoa | 78.86 | 3.5 | QB12 | MIA |
| 78 | Michael Pittman | 80 | 2.5 | WR31 | IND |
| 79 | Evan Engram | 80.82 | 3 | TE8 | JAC |
| 80 | Treylon Burks | 81.41 | 4 | WR32 | TEN |
| 81 | Isiah Pacheco | 82.55 | 2 | RB28 | KC |
| 82 | Marquise Brown | 82.77 | 3.5 | WR33 | ARI |
| 83 | Geno Smith | 83.09 | 3 | QB13 | SEA |
| 84 | Pat Freiermuth | 86.55 | 3 | TE9 | PIT |
| 85 | Mike Evans | 86.77 | 2.5 | WR34 | TB |
| 86 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | 87.32 | 3 | WR35 | SEA |
| 87 | Anthony Richardson | 87.5 | 3.5 | QB14 | IND |
| 88 | David Njoku | 88.5 | 3 | TE10 | CLE |
| 89 | Javonte Williams | 89.95 | 3 | RB29 | DEN |
| 90 | Jordan Addison | 90.36 | 3 | WR36 | MIN |
| 91 | James Cook | 90.64 | 2.5 | RB30 | BUF |
| 92 | Jared Goff | 91.45 | 3 | QB15 | DET |
| 93 | Kadarius Toney | 91.59 | 4 | WR37 | KC |
| 94 | George Pickens | 91.68 | 2.5 | WR38 | PIT |
| 95 | Daniel Jones | 91.73 | 3.5 | QB16 | NYG |
| 96 | Alvin Kamara | 95.45 | 3 | RB31 | NO |
| 97 | Samaje Perine | 95.55 | 3 | RB32 | DEN |
| 98 | Jahan Dotson | 96.05 | 3.5 | WR39 | WAS |
| 99 | Aaron Rodgers | 96.23 | 2 | QB17 | NYJ |
| 100 | Brandin Cooks | 99.27 | 2.5 | WR40 | DAL |
Tyler Lockett, Seattle Seahawks
Tyler Lockett has had four consecutive 1,000-yard seasons with eight or more touchdowns and gives solid spike week potential through the “Z” WR role in Seattle.
Isaiah Pacheco, Kansas City Chiefs
Jerick McKinnon was brought back, limiting his pass-catching potential; he only had 14 total targets in 2022.
Kadarius Toney, Kansas City Chiefs
The WR37 price leaves significant upside for the potential WR1 on the Kansas City Chiefs. Kadarius Toney is an elite talent but needs his route tree to grow and needs to stay healthy to realize that ceiling, two things that can change.
Aaron Rodgers, New York Jets
A slow expected pace of play paired with an improved Robert Saleh defense leaves few chances at spike weeks.
Players 101-125
| 101 | Chigoziem Okonkwo | 100.45 | 2.5 | TE11 | TEN |
| 102 | Gabe Davis | 102.09 | 4 | WR41 | BUF |
| 103 | Elijah Moore | 103.86 | 3 | WR42 | CLE |
| 104 | Russell Wilson | 104.41 | 4 | QB18 | DEN |
| 105 | Brian Robinson | 105.36 | 3.5 | RB33 | WAS |
| 106 | AJ Dillon | 105.77 | 2.5 | RB34 | GB |
| 107 | Antonio Gibson | 105.77 | 3 | RB35 | WAS |
| 108 | Zach Charbonnet | 107.36 | 3 | RB36 | SEA |
| 109 | Quentin Johnston | 108.5 | 2.5 | WR43 | LAC |
| 110 | Derek Carr | 111.55 | 2.5 | QB19 | NO |
| 111 | Dalton Schultz | 111.64 | 2 | TE12 | HOU |
| 112 | Rashaad Penny | 112.95 | 4 | RB37 | PHI |
| 113 | Jordan Love | 114.86 | 2.5 | QB20 | GB |
| 114 | De’Von Achane | 116.45 | 2 | RB38 | MIA |
| 115 | Courtland Sutton | 116.73 | 2 | WR44 | DEN |
| 116 | Tyler Higbee | 116.82 | 3.5 | TE13 | LAR |
| 117 | Dalton Kincaid | 117.23 | 1.5 | TE14 | BUF |
| 118 | Khalil Herbert | 117.5 | 2.5 | RB39 | CHI |
| 119 | Rashod Bateman | 117.68 | 4 | WR45 | BAL |
| 120 | Kenny Pickett | 118.36 | 1.5 | QB21 | PIT |
| 121 | Michael Thomas | 120.59 | 3 | WR46 | NO |
| 122 | Zay Flowers | 120.91 | 3 | WR47 | BAL |
| 123 | Matthew Stafford | 122.95 | 4 | QB22 | LAR |
| 124 | Damien Harris | 123 | 3 | RB40 | BUF |
| 125 | Jamaal Williams | 123.59 | 2.5 | RB41 | NO |
Gabe Davis, Buffalo Bills
A psychological hangover from relative disappointment versus his inflated 2022 ADP is negating his continued elite spike week potential on one of the top offenses in the league.
Russell Wilson, Denver Broncos
Newcomer coaches Sean Payton and Joe Lombardi led top-five offenses in all five seasons together in New Orleans. Rookie WR Marvin Mims Jr. provides a prototypical Z-type profile, which was sorely missed in 2022, and should allow this offense to open up alongside Jeudy in the slot.
Dalton Schultz, Houston Texans
“Just a guy” and likely a product of former offensive coordinator Kellen Moore’s system in Dallas.
Rashaad Penny, Philadelphia Eagles
Rashaad Penny has ridiculous career efficiency metrics and is now running behind the league’s top-ranked offensive line on an offense expected to be top-three in scoring. An RB37 valuation provides enough room to capitalize on spike week potential with little downside.
De’Von Achane, Miami Dolphins
De’Von Achane is highly unlikely to ever operate as more than a change of pace/pass-catching specialist on an offense that filters most of the aerial work through Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle.
Courtland Sutton, Denver Broncos
He has a similar skillset and archetype to Tim Patrick, the latter of whom has been heralded as the top WR on the team this offseason; expendable.
Dalton Kincaid, Buffalo Bills
His TE14 valuation leaves an extremely fine needle to thread for a rookie tight end, particularly if we don’t expect him to play much inline.
Rashod Bateman, Baltimore Ravens
Expected to operate as the top wide receiver on an offense likely to look far different with offensive coordinator Todd Monken in town.
Kenny Pickett, Pittsburgh Steelers
Where’s the upside?
Matthew Stafford, Los Angeles Rams
See Cooper Kupp.
Players 126-150
| 126 | Greg Dulcich | 123.73 | 3.5 | TE15 | DEN |
| 127 | Jerick McKinnon | 123.91 | 3 | RB42 | KC |
| 128 | Jameson Williams | 129.86 | 4 | WR48 | DET |
| 129 | Cole Kmet | 130.36 | 3 | TE16 | CHI |
| 130 | Gerald Everett | 130.82 | 3.5 | TE17 | LAC |
| 131 | Elijah Mitchell | 132.59 | 3 | RB43 | SF |
| 132 | JuJu Smith-Schuster | 133.5 | 1.5 | WR49 | NE |
| 133 | Kendre Miller | 134.14 | 3 | RB44 | NO |
| 134 | Juwan Johnson | 136.5 | 2.5 | TE18 | NO |
| 135 | Bryce Young | 137.05 | 3 | QB23 | CAR |
| 136 | Sam LaPorta | 137.36 | 3 | TE19 | DET |
| 137 | Romeo Doubs | 137.64 | 3.5 | WR50 | GB |
| 138 | Tank Bigsby | 138.18 | 3 | RB45 | JAC |
| 139 | Brock Purdy | 138.32 | 4 | QB24 | SF |
| 140 | Allen Lazard | 138.73 | 1 | WR51 | NYJ |
| 141 | Jakobi Meyers | 140.5 | 2.5 | WR52 | LV |
| 142 | Kyler Murray | 141.14 | 3.5 | QB25 | ARI |
| 143 | Skyy Moore | 141.95 | 3 | WR53 | KC |
| 144 | Jaylen Warren | 142.95 | 3 | RB46 | PIT |
| 145 | Tyler Allgeier | 144.23 | 3 | RB47 | ATL |
| 146 | Odell Beckham | 144.5 | 3.5 | WR54 | BAL |
| 147 | Irv Smith | 146 | 3 | TE20 | CIN |
| 148 | Zay Jones | 146.64 | 2.5 | WR55 | JAC |
| 149 | Roschon Johnson | 147.82 | 3 | RB48 | CHI |
| 150 | Nico Collins | 149.86 | 3.5 | WR56 | HOU |
Jameson Williams, Detriot Lions
His per-game range of outcomes places him at a fourth-round value, but his suspension has him available around the 8/9 turn.
Juju Smith-Schuster, New England Patriots
The per-game range of outcomes leaves a lot to be desired in New England.
Brock Purdy, San Francisco 49ers
Finished QB18 or better in all six starts to end the 2022 season, including three top-nine finishes. He has a solid weekly range of outcomes at a depressed price due to injury uncertainty.
Allen Lazard, New York Jets
Allen Lazard found himself in the optimal position for fantasy production in 2022 and still only managed 60 receptions on 100 targets. Now he moves to a situation where he is not the clear top dog.
Players 151-175
| 151 | Mike Gesicki | 149.91 | 2 | TE21 | NE |
| 152 | C.J. Stroud | 150.05 | 1.5 | QB26 | HOU |
| 153 | Rondale Moore | 150.73 | 3 | WR57 | ARI |
| 154 | Ezekiel Elliott | 151.86 | 1 | RB49 | FA |
| 155 | Devin Singletary | 153.14 | 2.5 | RB50 | HOU |
| 156 | Tyjae Spears | 157.09 | 4 | RB51 | TEN |
| 157 | Tyler Boyd | 159.27 | 3 | WR58 | CIN |
| 158 | Mac Jones | 159.95 | 2 | QB27 | NE |
| 159 | D’Onta Foreman | 160.95 | 3.5 | RB52 | CHI |
| 160 | Desmond Ridder | 161.68 | 2 | QB28 | ATL |
| 161 | Dawson Knox | 161.86 | 4 | TE22 | BUF |
| 162 | Jeff Wilson | 163 | 5 | RB53 | MIA |
| 163 | Darnell Mooney | 163.32 | 3.5 | WR59 | CHI |
| 164 | Jerome Ford | 164.32 | 3 | RB54 | CLE |
| 165 | Adam Thielen | 164.95 | 1 | WR60 | CAR |
| 166 | Rashee Rice | 165.82 | 3 | WR61 | KC |
| 167 | Sam Howell | 166.14 | 4 | QB29 | WAS |
| 168 | Jonathan Mingo | 167.27 | 3.5 | WR62 | CAR |
| 169 | Kenneth Gainwell | 172.41 | 4 | RB55 | PHI |
| 170 | Leonard Fournette | 172.95 | 1 | RB56 | FA |
| 171 | Taysom Hill | 173.09 | 5 | TE23 | NO |
| 172 | Michael Gallup | 174.36 | 3 | WR63 | DAL |
| 173 | Jimmy Garoppolo | 174.64 | 1 | QB30 | LV |
| 174 | Trey McBride | 175.05 | 4.5 | TE24 | ARI |
| 175 | Chuba Hubbard | 175.77 | 3 | RB57 | CAR |
C.J. Stroud, Houston Texans
His talent notwithstanding, C.J. Stroud landed on a team with clear defensive and run-game tendencies and a poor pass-catching corps.
Ezekiel Elliott, Free Agent
Can Ezekiel Elliott land in a situation equal to the one he had in Dallas, where he can be the primary rushing option and carry an elevated touchdown expectancy? I’m not a believer, particularly considering his declining predictive metrics.
Tyjae Spears, Tennessee Titans
Derrick Henry will be 30 by the end of the 2023 season and has 1,750 professional carries across seven NFL seasons, including more than 300 in three of the previous four years. Tyjae Spears is simply a high-upside handcuff on an offense that favors volume at the position.
Mac Jones, New England Patriots
Similar to Smith-Schuster, Mac Jones lacks a top-end weekly ceiling.
Jeff Wilson Jr., Miami Dolphins
The cheapest member of an ambiguous backfield on an offense expected to be top-five in the league — sign me up for all of it.
Adam Thielen, Carolina Panthers
He’s an over-the-hill wide receiver on a new offense with a rookie quarterback.
Sam Howell, Washington Commanders
Yes, the escapability aspect helps, but this is more of a nod to new offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy and the potential of this offense with some elite-level talent.
Taysom Hill, New Orleans Saints
Spike week potential reigns supreme at tight end and Taysom Hill continues to provide a path to elite-level production on a per-week basis.
Trey McBride, Arizona Cardinals
DeAndre Hopkins is gone, and Zach Ertz suffered a devastating knee injury halfway through the 2022 season.
Players 176-200
| 176 | Jayden Reed | 175.95 | 3.5 | WR64 | GB |
| 177 | Tyler Conklin | 179.18 | 2 | TE25 | NYJ |
| 178 | Raheem Mostert | 180.14 | 4 | RB58 | MIA |
| 179 | K.J. Osborn | 183.32 | 3 | WR65 | MIN |
| 180 | Rashid Shaheed | 185.68 | 3 | WR66 | NO |
| 181 | Hayden Hurst | 185.77 | 3 | TE26 | CAR |
| 182 | Chase Brown | 186.59 | 2 | RB59 | CIN |
| 183 | Jelani Woods | 187.41 | 3 | TE27 | IND |
| 184 | Michael Mayer | 188.14 | 3 | TE28 | LV |
| 185 | DJ Chark | 189.32 | 4.5 | WR67 | CAR |
| 186 | Marquez Valdes-Scantling | 189.5 | 4 | WR68 | KC |
| 187 | Van Jefferson | 191.45 | 5 | WR69 | LAR |
| 188 | Donovan Peoples-Jones | 192.41 | 3 | WR70 | CLE |
| 189 | Gus Edwards | 193.77 | 2 | RB60 | BAL |
| 190 | Ryan Tannehill | 193.86 | 3 | QB31 | TEN |
| 191 | Marvin Mims | 195.32 | 5 | WR71 | DEN |
| 192 | Noah Fant | 195.86 | 2 | TE29 | SEA |
| 193 | Ty Chandler | 196.05 | 1.5 | RB61 | MIN |
| 194 | Alec Pierce | 197.64 | 4 | WR72 | IND |
| 195 | Isaiah Hodgins | 199.45 | 3.5 | WR73 | NYG |
| 196 | Clyde Edwards-Helaire | 200.36 | 1 | RB62 | KC |
| 197 | Curtis Samuel | 200.82 | 3.5 | WR74 | WAS |
| 198 | Pierre Strong | 203.36 | 4.5 | RB63 | NE |
| 199 | Isaiah Likely | 203.77 | 3.5 | TE30 | BAL |
| 200 | Jake Ferguson | 204.36 | 4.5 | TE31 | DAL |
DJ Chark, Carolina Panthers
A downfield/Z-type option for the Carolina Panthers, who carries more weekly upside than an archetype like Thielen.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Kansas City Chiefs
Likely to play the most snaps of Kansas City pass-catchers not named Kelce, Marquez Valdes-Scantling‘s downfield role as a “safety manipulator” carries a significant ceiling in this offense.
Van Jefferson, Los Angeles Rams
WR2 on an offense still captained by Stafford and designed by McVay.
Marvin Mims, Denver Broncos
You probably saw this one coming after the Russell Wilson write-up; Mims is the most natural fit for the Z-type wide receiver role in Denver for an offense expected to make significant strides forward in 2023.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Kansas City Chiefs
A healthy inactive for the second half of the 2022 season; he remains unlikely to see a significant role in the offense with the return of McKinnon.
Pierre Strong Jr., New England Patriots
Likely to play a change-of-pace role behind Rhamondre Stevenson, Pierre Strong Jr. provides standalone value with upside.
Players 200-225
| 201 | Kareem Hunt | 204.68 | 1.5 | RB64 | FA |
| 202 | Baker Mayfield | 205.32 | 2 | QB32 | TB |
| 203 | Tyquan Thornton | 206.09 | 1.5 | WR75 | NE |
| 204 | Tim Patrick | 206.27 | 1.5 | WR76 | DEN |
| 205 | Logan Thomas | 207.45 | 4 | TE32 | WAS |
| 206 | John Metchie | 207.73 | 2 | WR77 | HOU |
| 207 | Luke Musgrave | 209.91 | 3.5 | TE33 | GB |
| 208 | Hunter Henry | 211.59 | 4 | TE34 | NE |
| 209 | Zamir White | 213.86 | 2.5 | RB65 | LV |
| 210 | Cade Otton | 216.95 | 3.5 | TE35 | TB |
| 211 | Cordarrelle Patterson | 218.14 | 3 | RB66 | ATL |
| 212 | Trey Lance | 224.82 | 1 | QB33 | SF |
| 213 | Parris Campbell | 226.09 | 1.5 | WR78 | NYG |
| 214 | Hunter Renfrow | 226.14 | 2 | WR79 | LV |
| 215 | Israel Abanikanda | 226.18 | 3.5 | RB67 | NYJ |
| 216 | Zach Evans | 226.77 | 1.5 | RB68 | LAR |
| 217 | Jalin Hyatt | 227.64 | 2.5 | WR80 | NYG |
| 218 | Zach Ertz | 228 | 1 | TE36 | ARI |
| 219 | DeWayne McBride | 228.55 | 3.5 | RB69 | MIN |
| 220 | Michael Carter | 233.59 | 2.5 | RB70 | NYJ |
| 221 | Khalil Shakir | 234.27 | 3 | WR81 | BUF |
| 222 | Joshua Kelley | 237 | 2 | RB71 | LAC |
| 223 | Wan’Dale Robinson | 251.41 | 1 | WR82 | NYG |
| 224 | Keaontay Ingram | 253.09 | 3.5 | RB72 | ARI |
| 225 | Josh Downs | 257.86 | 2 | WR83 | IND |
Jake Ferguson, Dallas Cowboys
He’s the best bet for the near-every-down tight end in Dallas but is being kept at a depressed price due to the addition of rookie tight end Luke Schoonmaker. Schoonmaker missed the majority of OTAs due to injury and faces an uphill battle for offensive snaps to begin his career.
Tyquan Thornton, New England Patriots
Low expected snap rate on an offense with limited downfield abilities.
Tim Patrick, Denver Broncos
Unlikely to play heavy snaps alongside Courtland Sutton but would immediately increase in value should Sutton be moved.
Logan Thomas, Washington Commanders
Logan Thomas quietly led the team in snap rate at the tight end position in every healthy game in 2022; another way to gain cheap access to Eric Bieniemy.
Hunter Henry, New England Patriots
A nod to following the money.
Trey Lance, San Francisco 49ers
Continues to be a fade for me against the hype.
Zach Ertz, Arizona Cardinals
I won’t be chasing early career upside on a 33-year-old tight end coming off multiple knee ligament damage.
Players 226-250
| 226 | Robert Woods | 263.32 | 1.5 | WR84 | HOU |
| 227 | Darius Slayton | 265 | 4 | WR85 | NYG |
| 228 | Puka Nacua | 267.95 | 2 | WR86 | LAR |
| 229 | DeVante Parker | 272 | 2 | WR87 | NE |
| 230 | Will Levis | 274.41 | 1 | QB34 | TEN |
| 231 | Michael Wilson | 275.32 | 3.5 | WR88 | ARI |
| 232 | Malik Davis | 276.82 | 5 | RB73 | DAL |
| 233 | Allen Robinson | 281.77 | 1 | WR89 | PIT |
| 234 | Greg Dortch | 284.27 | 3.5 | WR90 | ARI |
| 235 | Austin Hooper | 286.55 | 1.5 | TE37 | LV |
| 236 | Luke Schoonmaker | 286.55 | 1.5 | TE38 | DAL |
| 237 | Deuce Vaughn | 294.64 | 1.5 | RB74 | DAL |
| 238 | Chase Edmonds | 294.95 | 3 | RB75 | TB |
| 239 | Terrace Marshall | 295.45 | 1.5 | WR91 | CAR |
| 240 | Trayveon Williams | 296.23 | 2.5 | RB76 | CIN |
| 241 | Kyle Philips | 297.77 | 2.5 | WR92 | TEN |
| 242 | Eric Gray | 301.32 | 2 | RB77 | NYG |
| 243 | Jacoby Brissett | 302.36 | 3 | QB35 | WAS |
| 244 | Chase Claypool | 302.82 | 3 | WR93 | CHI |
| 245 | Sam Darnold | 304.05 | 1.5 | QB36 | SF |
| 246 | Marvin Jones | 305.18 | 1.5 | WR94 | DET |
| 247 | Foster Moreau | 306.91 | 1 | TE39 | NO |
| 248 | Mecole Hardman | 307.09 | 2 | WR95 | NYJ |
| 249 | Joshua Palmer | 309.32 | 2.5 | WR96 | LAC |
| 250 | Justyn Ross | 312.14 | 2 | WR97 | KC |
Darius Slayton, New York Giants
Likely to lead the New York Giants in snaps and plays the downfield/Z-type role.
Malik Davis, Dallas Cowboys
Likely to play a change-of-pace role for the Cowboys behind Tony Pollard, Malik Davis offers some standalone value with upside.
Allen Robinson, Pittsburgh Steelers
Came to Pittsburgh as a salary dump and is likely to be third in line (or worse) for targets in a mediocre offense.
Greg Dortch, Arizona Cardinals
Viable paths to be the most valuable Arizona Cardinals pass-catcher.
Foster Moreau, New Orleans Saints
Excellent personal journey, but likely blocked for routes by both Juwan Johnson and Hill.
Defenses and Kickers
Gain access to the elites at each respective position around even weight while mixing the rest in throughout a portfolio.
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