Breaking News Rams Claim Baker Mayfield off Waivers

NFL Week 12 Betting: Odds, Spreads, Picks and Predictions for Chargers at Cardinals

NFL Week 12 Betting: Odds, Spreads, Picks and Predictions for Chargers at Cardinals
Los Angeles Chargers (5-5) at Arizona Cardinals (4-7) Opening Spread: Cardinals +3.5. Opening Game Total: 47.5. Opening Team Totals: Cardinals (22), Chargers (25.5). Weather: Dome. The Line Report This line opened as Cardinals +3.5. This line has moved down to Cardinals +2.5. DraftKings Pick’Em has the Cardinals +2.5. Circa Sports Millions Pro Football Contest has […]

Read More

Betting

Bank It With Tank: Week 12 Chargers vs. Cardinals Betting Breakdown

Head of DFS Chris Farley and NFL vet Tank Williams discuss the ChargersCardinals game from a betting perspective, including lines and point totals.

High-Value Touch Report: Week 11 Fantasy Football Rushing, Receiving Data

High-Value Touch Report: Week 11 Fantasy Football Rushing, Receiving Data
Welcome back to the Week 11 installment of the high-value touch report. I examine the rushing and receiving data in the red zone, goal-to-go and third/fourth down situations. Fantasy football is humbling, and sometimes the most logical and data-focused analysis doesn’t pan out. Or the one-game sample turns into a trend we might have missed.  […]

Read More

Fantasy

Fantasy Football Week 12: Waiver Wire Adds, Drops and More

The fantasy football playoffs are suddenly just a few short weeks away. So you’ll need to be extra proactive in picking up players off of waivers – for Week 12 and beyond.

And, of course, as the waiver wire gets ever so thinner, I’ll be adding additional info, such as drops and stashes. Consider it an early holiday gift!

As always, this waivers column is geared toward PPR leagues unless otherwise noted. All players included are rostered in fewer than 50% of leagues, per FantasyPros’ rostership data. All stats are credited to TruMedia unless otherwise noted.

Quarterbacks

You can officially drop Russell Wilson.

  • Rostered in 64.9% of leagues.
  • I said last week you can drop Wilson unless you’re desperate for a quarterback to stream.
  • Wilson rewarded those poor souls with 10.7 fantasy points.
  • It doesn’t matter who Denver plays. Cut Wilson if you haven’t already.
  • That’s all you need to know about one of the season’s biggest disappointments.

It’s past time to stash Deshaun Watson.

  • Rostered in 40% of leagues.
  • There are almost no inspiring quarterbacks left on waivers.
  • Watson began practicing last week and is set to return in Week 13.
  • He gets a good offensive line, a good backfield and a good WR1 in Amari Cooper.
  • While Watson could be rusty, his upside in fantasy is too great to ignore.
  • Although, Watson’s next two opponents are top-eight in fewest fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks: Houston and Cincinnati.
  • He’s still a must-add for any team with a roster spot to fill.

Running Backs

Samaje Perine is a top pickup, but be cautious.

  • Rostered in 4.3% of leagues.
  • Perine filled in for Joe Mixon, who left in the first half with a concussion.
  • He scored 30.2 fantasy points, including three touchdowns on four targets.
  • Perine only ran for 30 rushing yards on 11 carries.
  • Even if Mixon is available for Week 12, Perine’s upside warrants a roster spot.
  • The Bengals face the Titans in Tennessee, who has allowed just one rushing touchdown to running backs.
  • They’ve also allowed the sixth-fewest fantasy points to running backs.
  • So Perine isn’t a must-start, but the sheer volatility of the running back position in fantasy could vault Perine into RB2 status.
  • And that, again, assumes Mixon doesn’t play.

Latavius Murray is the top running back on waivers.

  • Rostered in 28.4% of leagues.
  • In Week 12, Murray had a season-high—and game-high—17 carries for 49 rushing yards and a touchdown.
  • He also caught all four targets for 23 yards.
  • Murray ran just four fewer routes than Melvin Gordon.
  • Denver cut Melvin Gordon Monday.
  • Chase Edmonds will miss multiple weeks with an ankle injury.
  • The Broncos face the Panthers in Week 12, who have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to running backs.

Don’t cut Tyler Allgeier yet.

  • Rostered in 49.2% of leagues.
  • With Cordarrelle Patterson back in the rotation, Allgeier has 3.3 and 7.4 fantasy points in the last two games, respectively.
  • He had just eight carries in each game, too.
  • Still, Allgeier and Patterson each saw 8+ carries and ran 10 routes.
  • They also saw a nearly identical snap count and target share.
  • Just don’t start Allgeier, especially in Week 12.
  • The Falcons face the Commanders, who have allowed the fourth-fewest fantasy points to running backs.

But you can probably cut Darrell Henderson.

Note: Henderson was waived Tuesday, so you can definitely cut him.

  • Rostered in 57.9% of leagues.
  • The Rams “starting” running back has hit 10 fantasy points just once since Week 6.
  • That one game? Week 10, when Henderson scored on six carries and 21 rushing yards.
  • I say “starting” because Henderson played just four snaps after starting in Week 11.
  • Cam Akers was Los Angeles’ primary back, with Kyren Williams as the main receiving back.
  • The Rams offense has failed to score 20+ points since Week 6.
  • Henderson is a bad running back in a bad situation on a bad offense.

Don’t expect much from any Rams running back.

  • Cam Akers is rostered in 35.4% of leagues.
  • Kyren Williams is rostered in 19.8% of leagues.
  • The Rams’ rushing offense has been horrendous.

  • In the last two games, Akers has scored 2.2 and 6.1 fantasy points, respectively.
  • In his only two full games–both coming in the last two weeks–Williams has scored 6.9 and 5.4 fantasy points, respectively.
  • Akers is the early-down back, while Williams is the passing back.
  • We haven’t seen enough from either running back to warrant a roster spot.

James Cook is simply just Devin Singletary’s handcuff.

  • Rostered in 18.9% of leagues.
  • Cook scored 8.6 fantasy points on 11 carries.
  • He ran for 86 rushing yards. 
  • He was targeted twice but had no receptions.
  • The Bills were playing from ahead most of the game.
  • Do not expect much from Cook as long as Singletary plays.

Wide Receivers

If you didn’t listen last week, pick up Donovan Peoples-Jones and Darius Slayton immediately.

  • Both are rostered in fewer than 42% of leagues.
  • Not to toot my own horn again, but I also said both could be in your Week 11 lineups.
  • Peoples-Jones scored 17.1 fantasy points and Slayton scored 13.6.
  • Over the last four games, Peoples-Jones is averaging 13.6 fantasy points and Slayton is averaging 14.6.
  • They’re worth the waiver capital if they’re still somehow available.

Treylon Burks could be here to stay.

  • Rostered in 20.9% of leagues.
  • Burks scored 18.1 fantasy points in his second game back from a six-week injury hiatus.
  • He led the Titans with eight targets, which led to 111 receiving yards and no touchdowns.
  • Green Bay had previously held opposing fantasy wide receivers to the ninth-fewest fantasy points.
  • Tennessee had previously averaged the third-fewest pass attempts per game with 24.1. 
  • Ryan Tannehill was pretty sharp; he went 22-for-27 for 333 passing yards and two scores.
  • Don’t expect this type of performance due to Tennessee’s affinity for running the ball.
  • Still, the door is wide open for Burks to emerge as a reliable WR1 for the Titans.

Skyy Moore’s upside makes him worth a roster spot, again.

  • Rostered in 11.2% of leagues.
  • Moore was actually the Chiefs’ WR3 in usage behind Justin Watson and Marquez Valdes-Scantling.
  • He still led all Kansas City wide receivers with six targets and 11.3 fantasy points.
    Kadarius Toney left the game with a hamstring injury.
  • With JuJu Smith-Schuster slated to return in Week 12, don’t expect anything great from Moore.
  • If you add him, you’re banking on Moore solidifying himself as Kanas City’s second-best passing option.

Demarcus Robinson is a fine waiver pickup.

  • Rostered in 2.3% of leagues.
  • Robinson balled out in Week 12 with 21.8 fantasy points.
  • He caught all nine of his targets for 128 receiving yards.
  • He and Mark Andrews were the only Ravens to see more than four targets.
  • Robinson and Devin Duvernay were far and away Baltimore’s top two wide receivers, tho Duvernay had a few more snaps and routes.
  • Excluding a Week 13 matchup against Denver, Baltimore’s next six opponents have allowed the sixth-most or more fantasy points to wide receivers.
  • That includes Jacksonville in Week 12, who have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to the position.
  • The Ravens still rank in the bottom six of pass attempts, but this was Robinson’s second game in his last three with 8+ targets.
  • He can become a steady flex play. 

Kendall Hinton doesn’t offer much upside.

  • Rostered in 0.6% of leagues.
  • Hinton had 10.2 fantasy points in Week 10 and 8.7 fantasy points in Week 11.
  • He was Denver’s WR2… because only two Broncos wide receivers were targeted: Hinton and Courtland Sutton.
  • Russell Wilson only threw 31 times.
  • The Raiders had previously allowed the 12th-most fantasy points to wide receivers.
  • The Broncos face the Panthers next week, who have allowed the 8th-most fantasy points to wide receivers.
  • He’s a good pickup if you need 8-10 fantasy points.
  • Just don’t expect a league-winning performance, even if Sutton gets injured.

Greg Dortch is rosterable… if Rondale Moore misses time.

  • Rostered in fewer than 1% of leagues.
  • Moore left Monday night’s game with a groin injury.
  • Dortch stepped in and caught nine of his ten targets for 103 yards.
  • Remember, Dortch scored 13+ fantasy points in the first three weeks when Moore and Hopkins weren’t playing.
  • He saw nearly identical usage to DeAndre Hopkins, and was clearly Arizona’s WR2.
  • Marquise Brown is slated to come back in Week 12 and could eat into Dortch’s workload.
  • Don’t spend too much waiver capital on Dortch.

Tight Ends

Juwan Johnson is the hottest target on waivers.

  • Rostered in 23.6% of leagues.
  • Johnson has 12+ fantasy points in four of his last five games.
  • He’s scored at least once in each of those games.
  • He’s also seen 4+ targets or 40+ receiving yards in three of those four games.
  • Four of his touchdowns have come inside the red zone.
  • Johnson led all Saints in routes run in Week 11.
  • The Rams had previously allowed the second-fewest fantasy points to tight ends.
  • New Orleans plays San Francisco in Week 12, who have allowed the eighth-fewest fantasy points to tight ends.
  • Clearly, Johnson is touchdown-dependent, so there’s some risk with starting him.
  • With how poorly most tight ends are playing, you may need to buy into Johnson’s upside.

Austin Hooper is creeping into late-season TE1 territory.

  • Rostered in 9.1% of leagues.
  • That says more about the state of the tight end position than Hooper’s skillset.
  • He scored a whopping 19.6 fantasy points, including two touchdowns on four targets.
  • Hooper also scored 9.1 fantasy points in Week 10 on seven targets.
  • The Titans face the Bengals in Week 12, who allow the fifth-fewest fantasy points to tight ends.
  • Hooper isn’t a must-start, but his usage is becoming something of value.
  • One more good week from him, and he could be firmly in the low-end TE1 discussion.
  • With the playoffs looming, it may be wise to buy Hooper early.

Logan Thomas doesn’t offer much fantasy value, yet.

  • Rostered in 6.3% of leagues.
  • Thomas scored 11.5 fantasy points in Week 11.
  • He caught five of his six targets for 65 receiving yards.
  • It’s the first time since before his Week 4 injury that Thomas saw six targets.
  • He’s scored double-digit fantasy points just twice in his eight games played.
  • However, Thomas was essentially just as involved as Terry McLaurin, Curtis Samuel and Jahan Dotson.
  • All four players saw 40+ snaps and ran 19+ routes.
  • Thomas and McLaurin led the Commanders with six targets.
  • It’s just one game, but if Thomas stays this involved, he can become a low-end TE1.
  • He has moderately easy upcoming matchups against the Giants and Falcons.
  • Washington has a bye in Week 14.
  • He’s worth a stash if you have a roster spot to spare.

There is no need to roster Hunter Henry, Tyler Conklin nor Robert Tonyan anymore.

  • Henry and Conklin are rostered in about 27% of leagues.
  • Tonyan is rostered in 40.4% of leagues.
  • Henry has one game of 4+ fantasy points since Week 6.
  • Conklin has one game of 7+ fantasy points since Week 5.
  • Tonyan has one game of 7+ fantasy points since Week 6.
  • The three tight ends have a combined 22.9 points over their last two games.
  • That’s an average of 3.8 fantasy points per game.
  • And that includes Henry’s 9-point game in Week 9.
  • Seriously, they haven’t been good.
  • You’re way better off with Juwan Johnson or Logan Thomas.

 

WATCH MORE: Week 11 Fantasy Recap 

 

Fantasy

Waiver Wire Targets for Week 4

This waiver wire page will be constantly updated throughout the day to reflect any new information from the games. It’s also geared toward 12-team PPR leagues unless otherwise noted. All players included are owned in less than 40% of leagues, per FantasyPros’ rostership data. 

Quarterback

Marcus Mariota, Falcons

These quarterbacks are not a waiver priority. They’re simply here if you need a backup quarterback, or you’re playing in a superflex or 2-QB league. Let’s get that out of the way. As for Mariota, his rushing upside obviously gives him some fantasy value. His 23 rushing attempts over three games rank among the top five at the position. In fact, Mariota once again finished with more fantasy points than Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady. No, you’re not dropping one of those greats for Mariota. Although you could certainly make a case for starting Mariota over Rodgers or Brady in Week 4, given Atlanta’s uninspiring matchup versus Cleveland.

Jacoby Brissett, Browns

Again, you don’t have to add Brissett. He’s simply the best option among a mediocre group of the typically available passers. That’s not saying much. Still, it’s encouraging to see Brissett drop 17.9 points against a stingy Steelers defense — even without T.J. Watt. The Browns face the Falcons next week who haven’t been known to lock down quarterbacks. You shouldn’t expect a 20-point explosion out of Brissett. Instead, expect a performance that nets you around 14-17 points. In other words, his floor isn’t too low. Having a playmaker like Amari Cooper certainly helps, too. Brissett is a fine addition in 2-QB leagues or in redraft as a streaming option, but nothing more. There just may be no better quarterback left on the waiver wire.

Other QBs to Consider: Zach Wilson

Running Back

Khalil Herbert, Bears

Stats and analysis derived from Nic Bodiford’s 5 Takeaways column for Week 4. 

Herbert is a must-add this week after totaling 169 yards from scrimmage and two rushing touchdowns, playing in relief of injured starter, David Montgomery. Montgomery is believed to have suffered both an MCL sprain and high-ankle sprain, and a four-to-six week absence is expected. Side effects from high-ankle sprains often linger until the player has time to fully rehabilitate in the offseason, which means Herbert may be able to outplay Montgomery even after Montgomery returns.

Herbert played very well, averaging 7.85 yards per carry and 6.60 yards after contact per carry, and took 20 carries for 157 rushing yards, per data provided by TruMedia. Chicago’s No. 3 running back, pass-catching specialist Trestan Ebner, had just seven carries for just 23 yards.

Surprisingly, Herbert was also heavily involved in the passing game, running a route on 14 of the 14 passing plays for which he was on the field. Ebner ran a route on 85.7% of his passing down reps, six in all. Herbert promisingly secured both of his targets, taking the two catches for 12 yards, while Ebner failed to catch the one target he earned.

The 5-foot-9, 212-pound Herbert was in on all three of Chicago’s green zone snaps, inside the opponent’s 10-yard line. Head coach Matt Eberflus put the ball in his hands each time and Herbert responded by finding the end zone from one yard out. Ebner was not given a green zone snap.

Herbert will be a top-24 fantasy football running back against the New York Giants next week. Per The 33rd Team’s free interactive data tool, New York allowed the 13th-most PPR points per game to opposing running backs through Weeks 1 and 2. New York’s 5.0 yards per carry allowed ranks ninth in the NFL and their 12.9 yards per running back reception allowed is the league’s single highest average.

Jamaal Williams, Lions

If Williams is still available in your league, scoop him up immediately. He’s the top running back on waivers, as FantasyPros says he‘s on waivers in nearly half of all fantasy leagues. With D’Andre Swift reportedly nursing multiple injuries, Williams could be in-line for even more work… and he’s already been seeing considerable work. Williams has unseated Swift in every goal-line situation this season, and he’s mostly had a grip on short-yardage situations. It’s clear Dan Campbell and Co. view Williams as the bruiser in this backfield. If Swift misses time, Williams vaults to safe-RB2 territory. 

J.D. McKissic, Commanders

Somehow, McKissic is still on the waiver wire in 65.2% of leagues, per FantasyPros. McKissic once again was a top option in the Commanders’ passing game. He saw eight targets, which was the third-most on the team in Sunday’s defeat. Through three games, McKissic is also third in targets behind Curtis Samuel and Terry McLaurin. He’s averaged 10.4 points in that span and ranks as RB31 in PPR leagues. McKissic isn’t a must-start or even someone worthy of a flex spot yet, but his consistency has carried over from last season. If you’re lacking depth at the position, McKissic is a fine bench player with upside should Antonio Gibson miss time. Brian Robinson’s pending return should impact Gibson more than McKissic, though, since the latter is firmly planted as the team’s top receiving back.

Other RBs to Consider: Craig Reynolds

Wide Receiver

Greg Dortch, Cardinals

Don’t look now, but Dortch may be legit. He scored 13+ points in his first two games and followed it up with a 17-point performance in Week 3. The best part: Dortch’s only touchdown came in Week 2.  He’s seeing enough work to warrant legitimate flex consideration. Even if/when Rondale Moore comes back healthy, Dortch could’ve played his way into the Cardinals’ WR2 role alongside Marquise Brown. Of course, we should expect things to change when DeAndre Hopkins returns from suspension in three weeks. Until then, make sure Dortch isn’t on waivers in your leagues. And some free lineup advice for Week 4: Slot him into the flex spot against the Panthers next week. He’s a top waiver wire target.

Romeo Doubs, Packers

Stats and analysis derived from Nic Bodiford’s 5 Takeaways column for Week 4. 

Green Bay Packers wide receiver Romeo Doubs appears to have won the No. 1 wide receiver role, leading the team in all receiving categories; eight receptions on eight targets, 73 yards receiving, and one receiving touchdowns. He is a must-add and will be ranked inside the position’s top-36 next week.

Doubs repeatedly got open against Tampa Bay’s perimeter coverage, running 28 of his team-high 34 routes lined up on the outside. The rookie wide receiver was a menace with the ball in his hands, averaging 6 yards after the catch per reception. That very same 6 yards after the catch per reception rate is also his Weeks 1-3 average, which ranks No. 2 among all NFL rookie wide receivers with at least 10 targets this year.

Fantasy managers should be optimistic that Doubs and veteran wide receiver Allen Lazard can coexist moving forward, as Lazard took a team-high 15 snaps lined up in the slot. Doubs was used as a short-to-intermediate area weapon, averaging 3.13 air yards per target, while Lazard stretched the field vertically up the seam. The latter man averaged 15.33 air yards per target, the second highest on the team behind depth receiver Juwann Winfree.

Though Green Bay’s next opponent, the New England Patriots, boasts a sturdy coverage unit, Doubs has earned the trust of quarterback Aaron Rodgers and should retain reasonable volume even in a tough matchup. After Week 4, Green Bay gets a three-week passing party against the paltry coverage units of the New York Giants, New York Jets, and Washington Commanders.

Other WRs to Consider: Mack Hollins, Zay Jones, Randall Cobb

Tight End

David Njoku, Browns

Any tight end that puts up 20+ points usually deserves waiver consideration. If you need a tight end, here’s the upside Njoku brings to your lineup. He just scored 23.9 points on 10 targets, which was second on the team behind Amari Cooper’s 11 targets. No other Cleveland Brown saw more than four targets. The downside? Njoku only had six targets prior to Week 3. Luckily, there’s still no clear WR2 in Cleveland, so Njoku could snag that mantle. Njoku is likely the best tight end on waivers if you need some depth. Just don’t spend too much FAAB on him. 

Tyler Conklin, Jets

Unlike Njoku, Conklin has been super consistent through the first three weeks. He’s exceeded double-digits each week and averaged 12.6 points. Conklin has also seen at least seven targets in each game. Could the return of Zach Wilson add a roadblock to Conklin’s surprisingly smooth start? Of course, but until that happens, Conklin is a must-add at such a barren fantasy position. He’s even a borderline TE1 against a T.J. Watt-less Steelers in Week 4. 

Other TEs to Consider: Cameron Brate

Scroll to the Top