Our DVOA-adjusted pass and run game targets are back for the Conference Finals! Last week, we were able to pinpoint great performances from Travis Kelce, Christian Kirk, Dallas Goedert, and Philadelphia’s run game. All EPA-related stats provided in this article are since Week 10. The chart below indicates defensive EPA rank by position, and is […]
The Wednesday Watchman: Conference Championship Weekend
The Bills have been vanquished – without much of a fight either. While that is sad, we get to look forward to two great Conference Championship matchups. There is a pattern for these four remaining teams: young QBs. Three are still on their rookie deals. There is something to be said about using cap space […]
Divisional Round DVOA Dispatch: An Advantage for All Eight Offenses
Our DVOA-adjusted pass and run game targets are back for the Divisional Round! Last week was successful for the system, as we pinpointed great performances from DK Metcalf, Isaiah Hodgins, T.J. Hockenson, Gerald Everett, Travis Etienne, Christian Kirk, and Christian McCaffrey. I will once again peel back the curtain on my EPA stats to help […]
The Wednesday Watchman: NFL Divisional Round Betting, DFS Information to Know
We went three for three last week using the wild-card focus statistic. Entering the week, divisional rivals matched up in the Wild Card round were going over their closing total at a 66.66% rate since 2016. Now, those matchups go over the total 77.77% of the time by an average of 10.61 points per game. […]
Wild-Card Week DVOA Dispatch: Mike Evans Ready to Keep it Rolling
Our DVOA-adjusted pass and run game targets are back for the wild-card round. With so few games, I will peel back the curtain on my EPA stats to help explain my favorite matchups by position. All EPA-related stats provided in this article are since Week 10. The chart below indicates defensive EPA rank: Instead of […]
The Wednesday Watchman: NFL Wild Card Weekend Betting, DFS, Fantasy Information to Know
Another season is finally over. Pardon my absence last week; no articles from me after the Damar Hamlin situation. Thank goodness he has pulled through. Keep praying for him and Peyton Hillis, who is still in critical condition after saving his kids from drowning. Now, onto the playoffs. During each week of the regular season, […]
Week 17 DVOA Dispatch: Lean On Packers’, Jaguars’ Offenses This Week
Our DVOA-adjusted Pass and Run game targets are back for Week 17! Last week went well, with focus players TJ Hockenson, Travis Kelce, Josh Allen, Kirk Cousins, Devin Singletary, James Cook, Derrick Henry, and Baltimore’s rushing attack performing well, in line with our predictions. Commensurate with my system, the passing attacks of the Bears and […]
The Wednesday Watchman: NFL Week 17 Betting, DFS, Fantasy Information to Know
It is championship week for most leagues. The good news, if you are not in the final, is DFS is always there to compete in. The competition is better, and so are the prizes. Last week, we pointed to T.J. Hockenson as an excellent play. This week, we will try again to find those must-have […]
Week 16 DVOA Dispatch: Don’t Overthink Things, Ride Bills’, Chiefs’ Offenses
Our DVOA-adjusted pass and run game targets are back for Week 16! Last week went well, with focus players Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce, JuJu Smith-Schuster, Josh Allen, Tyreek Hill, Jalen Hurts, David Montgomery, J.K. Dobbins, and the Atlanta run game producing well, in line with our predictions. Commensurate with my system, the passing attacks of […]
The Wednesday Watchman: NFL Week 16 Betting, DFS, Fantasy Information to Know
With fantasy playoffs in full swing and opportunities for taking down a DFS tournament dwindling, we need to approach these last few weeks with the keenest eye. Every matchup is a chance to earn yourself money, so let’s prepare well. We cashed the following bets last week: Falcons Team Total Points – second half over […]
