NFL Week 15 Betting: Odds, Spreads, Picks, Predictions for Falcons vs. Saints

NFL Week 15 Betting: Odds, Spreads, Picks, Predictions for Falcons vs. Saints
Atlanta Falcons (5-8) at New Orleans Saints (4-9) Opening Spread: Saints -4. Opening Game Total: 43. Opening Team Totals: Saints (23.5), Falcons (19.5). Weather: Indoors. The Line Report This line opened as Saints -4. This line has moved to Saints -4.5. DraftKings Pick’Em has the Saints -4.5. Circa Sports Millions Pro Football Contest has the […]

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NFL Week 13 Betting: Odds, Spreads, Picks, Predictions for Saints vs. Buccaneers

NFL Week 13 Betting: Odds, Spreads, Picks, Predictions for Saints vs. Buccaneers
Monday Night Football: New Orleans Saints (4-8) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-6) Opening Spread: Buccaneers -5.5. Opening Game Total: 40. Opening Team Totals: Bucs (22.75) Saints (17.25). Weather: Outdoors, no current concerns. The Line Report This line opened as Buccaneers -5.5. This line has moved down to Buccaneers -3.5. DraftKings Pick’Em has the Buccaneers -3.5. […]

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Fantasy Football Week 12: Waiver Wire Adds, Drops and More

The fantasy football playoffs are suddenly just a few short weeks away. So you’ll need to be extra proactive in picking up players off of waivers – for Week 12 and beyond.

And, of course, as the waiver wire gets ever so thinner, I’ll be adding additional info, such as drops and stashes. Consider it an early holiday gift!

As always, this waivers column is geared toward PPR leagues unless otherwise noted. All players included are rostered in fewer than 50% of leagues, per FantasyPros’ rostership data. All stats are credited to TruMedia unless otherwise noted.


You can officially drop Russell Wilson.

  • Rostered in 64.9% of leagues.
  • I said last week you can drop Wilson unless you’re desperate for a quarterback to stream.
  • Wilson rewarded those poor souls with 10.7 fantasy points.
  • It doesn’t matter who Denver plays. Cut Wilson if you haven’t already.
  • That’s all you need to know about one of the season’s biggest disappointments.

It’s past time to stash Deshaun Watson.

  • Rostered in 40% of leagues.
  • There are almost no inspiring quarterbacks left on waivers.
  • Watson began practicing last week and is set to return in Week 13.
  • He gets a good offensive line, a good backfield and a good WR1 in Amari Cooper.
  • While Watson could be rusty, his upside in fantasy is too great to ignore.
  • Although, Watson’s next two opponents are top-eight in fewest fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks: Houston and Cincinnati.
  • He’s still a must-add for any team with a roster spot to fill.

Running Backs

Samaje Perine is a top pickup, but be cautious.

  • Rostered in 4.3% of leagues.
  • Perine filled in for Joe Mixon, who left in the first half with a concussion.
  • He scored 30.2 fantasy points, including three touchdowns on four targets.
  • Perine only ran for 30 rushing yards on 11 carries.
  • Even if Mixon is available for Week 12, Perine’s upside warrants a roster spot.
  • The Bengals face the Titans in Tennessee, who has allowed just one rushing touchdown to running backs.
  • They’ve also allowed the sixth-fewest fantasy points to running backs.
  • So Perine isn’t a must-start, but the sheer volatility of the running back position in fantasy could vault Perine into RB2 status.
  • And that, again, assumes Mixon doesn’t play.

Latavius Murray is the top running back on waivers.

  • Rostered in 28.4% of leagues.
  • In Week 12, Murray had a season-high—and game-high—17 carries for 49 rushing yards and a touchdown.
  • He also caught all four targets for 23 yards.
  • Murray ran just four fewer routes than Melvin Gordon.
  • Denver cut Melvin Gordon Monday.
  • Chase Edmonds will miss multiple weeks with an ankle injury.
  • The Broncos face the Panthers in Week 12, who have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to running backs.

Don’t cut Tyler Allgeier yet.

  • Rostered in 49.2% of leagues.
  • With Cordarrelle Patterson back in the rotation, Allgeier has 3.3 and 7.4 fantasy points in the last two games, respectively.
  • He had just eight carries in each game, too.
  • Still, Allgeier and Patterson each saw 8+ carries and ran 10 routes.
  • They also saw a nearly identical snap count and target share.
  • Just don’t start Allgeier, especially in Week 12.
  • The Falcons face the Commanders, who have allowed the fourth-fewest fantasy points to running backs.

But you can probably cut Darrell Henderson.

Note: Henderson was waived Tuesday, so you can definitely cut him.

  • Rostered in 57.9% of leagues.
  • The Rams “starting” running back has hit 10 fantasy points just once since Week 6.
  • That one game? Week 10, when Henderson scored on six carries and 21 rushing yards.
  • I say “starting” because Henderson played just four snaps after starting in Week 11.
  • Cam Akers was Los Angeles’ primary back, with Kyren Williams as the main receiving back.
  • The Rams offense has failed to score 20+ points since Week 6.
  • Henderson is a bad running back in a bad situation on a bad offense.

Don’t expect much from any Rams running back.

  • Cam Akers is rostered in 35.4% of leagues.
  • Kyren Williams is rostered in 19.8% of leagues.
  • The Rams’ rushing offense has been horrendous.

  • In the last two games, Akers has scored 2.2 and 6.1 fantasy points, respectively.
  • In his only two full games–both coming in the last two weeks–Williams has scored 6.9 and 5.4 fantasy points, respectively.
  • Akers is the early-down back, while Williams is the passing back.
  • We haven’t seen enough from either running back to warrant a roster spot.

James Cook is simply just Devin Singletary’s handcuff.

  • Rostered in 18.9% of leagues.
  • Cook scored 8.6 fantasy points on 11 carries.
  • He ran for 86 rushing yards. 
  • He was targeted twice but had no receptions.
  • The Bills were playing from ahead most of the game.
  • Do not expect much from Cook as long as Singletary plays.

Wide Receivers

If you didn’t listen last week, pick up Donovan Peoples-Jones and Darius Slayton immediately.

  • Both are rostered in fewer than 42% of leagues.
  • Not to toot my own horn again, but I also said both could be in your Week 11 lineups.
  • Peoples-Jones scored 17.1 fantasy points and Slayton scored 13.6.
  • Over the last four games, Peoples-Jones is averaging 13.6 fantasy points and Slayton is averaging 14.6.
  • They’re worth the waiver capital if they’re still somehow available.

Treylon Burks could be here to stay.

  • Rostered in 20.9% of leagues.
  • Burks scored 18.1 fantasy points in his second game back from a six-week injury hiatus.
  • He led the Titans with eight targets, which led to 111 receiving yards and no touchdowns.
  • Green Bay had previously held opposing fantasy wide receivers to the ninth-fewest fantasy points.
  • Tennessee had previously averaged the third-fewest pass attempts per game with 24.1. 
  • Ryan Tannehill was pretty sharp; he went 22-for-27 for 333 passing yards and two scores.
  • Don’t expect this type of performance due to Tennessee’s affinity for running the ball.
  • Still, the door is wide open for Burks to emerge as a reliable WR1 for the Titans.

Skyy Moore’s upside makes him worth a roster spot, again.

  • Rostered in 11.2% of leagues.
  • Moore was actually the Chiefs’ WR3 in usage behind Justin Watson and Marquez Valdes-Scantling.
  • He still led all Kansas City wide receivers with six targets and 11.3 fantasy points.
    Kadarius Toney left the game with a hamstring injury.
  • With JuJu Smith-Schuster slated to return in Week 12, don’t expect anything great from Moore.
  • If you add him, you’re banking on Moore solidifying himself as Kanas City’s second-best passing option.

Demarcus Robinson is a fine waiver pickup.

  • Rostered in 2.3% of leagues.
  • Robinson balled out in Week 12 with 21.8 fantasy points.
  • He caught all nine of his targets for 128 receiving yards.
  • He and Mark Andrews were the only Ravens to see more than four targets.
  • Robinson and Devin Duvernay were far and away Baltimore’s top two wide receivers, tho Duvernay had a few more snaps and routes.
  • Excluding a Week 13 matchup against Denver, Baltimore’s next six opponents have allowed the sixth-most or more fantasy points to wide receivers.
  • That includes Jacksonville in Week 12, who have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to the position.
  • The Ravens still rank in the bottom six of pass attempts, but this was Robinson’s second game in his last three with 8+ targets.
  • He can become a steady flex play. 

Kendall Hinton doesn’t offer much upside.

  • Rostered in 0.6% of leagues.
  • Hinton had 10.2 fantasy points in Week 10 and 8.7 fantasy points in Week 11.
  • He was Denver’s WR2… because only two Broncos wide receivers were targeted: Hinton and Courtland Sutton.
  • Russell Wilson only threw 31 times.
  • The Raiders had previously allowed the 12th-most fantasy points to wide receivers.
  • The Broncos face the Panthers next week, who have allowed the 8th-most fantasy points to wide receivers.
  • He’s a good pickup if you need 8-10 fantasy points.
  • Just don’t expect a league-winning performance, even if Sutton gets injured.

Greg Dortch is rosterable… if Rondale Moore misses time.

  • Rostered in fewer than 1% of leagues.
  • Moore left Monday night’s game with a groin injury.
  • Dortch stepped in and caught nine of his ten targets for 103 yards.
  • Remember, Dortch scored 13+ fantasy points in the first three weeks when Moore and Hopkins weren’t playing.
  • He saw nearly identical usage to DeAndre Hopkins, and was clearly Arizona’s WR2.
  • Marquise Brown is slated to come back in Week 12 and could eat into Dortch’s workload.
  • Don’t spend too much waiver capital on Dortch.

Tight Ends

Juwan Johnson is the hottest target on waivers.

  • Rostered in 23.6% of leagues.
  • Johnson has 12+ fantasy points in four of his last five games.
  • He’s scored at least once in each of those games.
  • He’s also seen 4+ targets or 40+ receiving yards in three of those four games.
  • Four of his touchdowns have come inside the red zone.
  • Johnson led all Saints in routes run in Week 11.
  • The Rams had previously allowed the second-fewest fantasy points to tight ends.
  • New Orleans plays San Francisco in Week 12, who have allowed the eighth-fewest fantasy points to tight ends.
  • Clearly, Johnson is touchdown-dependent, so there’s some risk with starting him.
  • With how poorly most tight ends are playing, you may need to buy into Johnson’s upside.

Austin Hooper is creeping into late-season TE1 territory.

  • Rostered in 9.1% of leagues.
  • That says more about the state of the tight end position than Hooper’s skillset.
  • He scored a whopping 19.6 fantasy points, including two touchdowns on four targets.
  • Hooper also scored 9.1 fantasy points in Week 10 on seven targets.
  • The Titans face the Bengals in Week 12, who allow the fifth-fewest fantasy points to tight ends.
  • Hooper isn’t a must-start, but his usage is becoming something of value.
  • One more good week from him, and he could be firmly in the low-end TE1 discussion.
  • With the playoffs looming, it may be wise to buy Hooper early.

Logan Thomas doesn’t offer much fantasy value, yet.

  • Rostered in 6.3% of leagues.
  • Thomas scored 11.5 fantasy points in Week 11.
  • He caught five of his six targets for 65 receiving yards.
  • It’s the first time since before his Week 4 injury that Thomas saw six targets.
  • He’s scored double-digit fantasy points just twice in his eight games played.
  • However, Thomas was essentially just as involved as Terry McLaurin, Curtis Samuel and Jahan Dotson.
  • All four players saw 40+ snaps and ran 19+ routes.
  • Thomas and McLaurin led the Commanders with six targets.
  • It’s just one game, but if Thomas stays this involved, he can become a low-end TE1.
  • He has moderately easy upcoming matchups against the Giants and Falcons.
  • Washington has a bye in Week 14.
  • He’s worth a stash if you have a roster spot to spare.

There is no need to roster Hunter Henry, Tyler Conklin nor Robert Tonyan anymore.

  • Henry and Conklin are rostered in about 27% of leagues.
  • Tonyan is rostered in 40.4% of leagues.
  • Henry has one game of 4+ fantasy points since Week 6.
  • Conklin has one game of 7+ fantasy points since Week 5.
  • Tonyan has one game of 7+ fantasy points since Week 6.
  • The three tight ends have a combined 22.9 points over their last two games.
  • That’s an average of 3.8 fantasy points per game.
  • And that includes Henry’s 9-point game in Week 9.
  • Seriously, they haven’t been good.
  • You’re way better off with Juwan Johnson or Logan Thomas.


WATCH MORE: Week 11 Fantasy Recap 



Fantasy Football Week 11: Waiver Wire Adds, Drops and More

Need some waiver wire help for Week 11? For the first time in a few weeks, the fantasy football gods have smiled down on waivers… except for quarterbacks.

So, as I’ve done in the last few editions of this column, I’ll also include some tidbits on players you should avoid or drop altogether.

But of course, the main focus remains the top waiver targets for Week 11.

As always, this column is geared toward PPR leagues unless otherwise noted. All players included are rostered in fewer than 50% of leagues, per FantasyPros’ rostership data. All stats are credited to TruMedia unless stated otherwise. 


Only keep Russell Wilson if you have Tua Tagovailoa, Geno Smith, Trevor Lawrence, or, for some reason, Tom Brady.

  • Rostered in 59.5% of leagues
  • Those are the four quarterbacks on byes in Week 11.
  • I told you a couple of weeks ago to drop Wilson.
  • Yet he’s now a good streaming candidate in Week 11.
  • The Broncos face the Raiders, who have allowed the most fantasy points to quarterbacks this season.
  • Wilson scored 27.5 fantasy points in Las Vegas in Week 4.
  • That is the only time he scored 15+ points since Week 1.
  • There aren’t many other intriguing quarterbacks available in most leagues.
  • If you don’t need him for Week 11, cut him.
  • Wilson scored between 13.7 and 14.3 points in each of his last three games.
  • No team has scored fewer points per game than Denver.
  • I can not stress enough how dire your situation must be to pivot to Wilson.

Daniel Jones is a risky streaming target in Week 11.

  • Rostered in 60.7% of leagues… so Jones may already be snatched up.
  • The Lions have allowed the third-most fantasy points to quarterbacks.
  • However, four quarterbacks have scored 24+ fantasy points against the Lions.
  • While three of the last five quarterbacks to face Detroit failed to reach 14 fantasy points, including Aaron Rodgers and Dak Prescott.
  • Jones has three games with 16+ fantasy points and two with 21+ fantasy points.
  • Jones has one game below 12 fantasy points.
  • Jones has four games between 12-14 fantasy points.
  • He’s thrown just two interceptions this season.
  • His fantasy upside clearly comes from his rushing ability.
  • The potential variance here is wild and mostly shrouded by the numbers.
  • You could do much worse than Jones as your starting quarterback in Week 11.

Running Backs

Rachaad White Can Be a League-Winner, Says Josh Larky.

Rostered in 33.1% of leagues.

Jerick McKinnon is a risky start, yet a worthy addition.

  • Rostered in 19.2% of leagues.
  • McKinnon’s only seen four total carries over the last two games.
  • But he caught six balls on eight targets in each.
  • He also reached 40+ receiving yards and 10+ fantasy points in each of those two games.
  • He did that despite a positive game script the entire game in Week 10.
  • McKinnon is clearly the best pass-catching back in Kansas City.
  • The Chiefs throw the ball at the third-highest rate in the league.

Jaylen Warren is a prime stash off waivers.

  • Rostered in 17.2% of leagues.
  • Beat reporters warned us that Warren would see more work starting in Week 10.
  • He’s seen more work over his last two games than any two-game stretch this season.
  • He saw six and nine carries in the last two games, respectively.
  • Warren also has 10+ fantasy points in each of the games.
  • His involvement in the passing game — three catches on three targets in each game — is a big reason why.
  • Warren doesn’t offer much for your starting lineups, but the position is so barren that you might as well take a flier on him.
  • He’s not a must-add… unless something happens to Najee Harris.

Wide Receivers

Kadarius Toney is a Top Waiver Target, Per Tank Williams.

Rostered in 49.4% of leagues.

Darius Slayton shouldn’t be this available.

  • Rostered in 5.3% of leagues.
  • Slayton has 11+ fantasy points in four of his last five games, including each in his last three games.
  • He only has two touchdowns in that span.
  • Slayton led the Giants in routes run and targets…
  • …though he was the only Giant to see more than two targets.
  • Slayton leads New York in targets since Week 5.
  • Only three teams have attempted fewer passes per game than the Giants.
  • He’s a middling flex play with the upside to become a low-end WR2.

Donovan Peoples-Jones is a sneaky flex play.

  • Rostered in 26.6% of leagues.
  • Peoples-Jones has 11+ fantasy points in five of his last six games, including each of his last four games.
  • He has to yet to score a touchdown, either.
  • He has 50+ receiving yards in all but two games this season.
  • He has 70+ receiving yards in each of the last four games.
  • He’s also seen between four and nine targets in all but two games.
  • Those two games I keep referencing: Weeks 2 and 3.
  • Deshaun Watson returns soon, which should boost the passing offense.

Parris Campbell is a top waiver target again.

  • Rostered in 20.3% of leagues.
  • Campbell had 11+ targets, 50+ receiving yards and 18+ fantasy points in each of Week 6 and Week 7.
  • Campbell had 7 targets, 58 receiving yards and 12.7 fantasy points combined in Week 8 and Week 9.
  • Campbell had 9 targets, 76 receiving yards and 20.6 fantasy points combined in Week 10.
  • Matt Ryan did not play in Week 8 and Week 9.
  • With Ryan back in Week 10, Campbell was second on the team in snaps, routes run and targets.
  • He and Michael Pittman Jr. both led the team with nine targets
  • Tight end Kylen Granson was third in targets with four.
  • Clearly, Ryan is a big boost to Campbell’s fantasy value.
  • The Colts get a tough Week 11 matchup against the Eagles, but Campbell can still be a low-end flex play based on his usage.

Don’t spend too much waiver capital on Christian Watson… yet.

  • Rostered in 6.9% of leagues
  • Watson was finally healthy when other Packers receivers were not.
  • Romeo Doubs and Randall Cobb will likely remain out.
  • Watson caught four balls for 107 yards and *checks notes* three touchdowns.
  • He led Green Bay in targets with eight.
  • No other Packer saw more than four.
  • Watson and Allen Lazard more than doubled the snaps and routes runs by all Green Bay wideouts.
  • Watson is definitely worth a roster spot, just don’t expect a performance like this again.
  • He and Campbell are still top wide receiver targets.

Julio Jones is too touchdown dependent to trust in lineups.

  • Rostered in 20.1% of leagues
  • In two games back from another injury, Jones has two games with 10+ fantasy points.
  • He scored in each of those games.
  • He also has yet to see more than five targets in those games.
  • Jones posted a nearly identical stat line in Week 9 as he did in Week 8, yet a touchdown boosted his fantasy score in Week 8.
  • He scored 4.8 points in Week 9.
  • Jones still saw a heavy route-run rate in Week 10.
  • Despite playing 17 fewer snaps than Mike Evans, Jones only ran five fewer routes and saw one fewer target.
  • Tampa Bay has its bye in Week 11.
  • Jones is involved enough to be worth a roster spot, but his production just isn’t sustainable.

Tight Ends

Cole Kmet is finally worth a waiver claim.

  • Rostered in 48% of leagues.
  • Kmet has five touchdowns in the last three games.
  • He has back-to-back games of 22+ fantasy points.
  • He just scored 23.4 points on two touchdowns and 74 receiving yards.
  • Kmet led all Bears in targets in Week 10.
  • As with running backs, tight end is a thin position to maneuver.
  • You may just need to ride the hot hand, though you should start him with caution.
  • The Bears face the Falcons in Week 11, who are a below-average matchup in allowing fantasy points to opposing tight ends.
  • Kmet is still a volatile starting option because we can’t expect him to keep scoring at this rate.

Drop Taysom Hill.

  • Rostered in 55.9% of leagues.
  • Hill has scored a whopping 1.22 points combined over the last two weeks.
  • He’s hit 10+ fantasy points just once since Week 5… when he scored 10.12 points in Week 7.
  • Hill is just no longer a part of this offense.
  • The Saints have scored 13 and 10 points against the Ravens and Steelers over the last two weeks, respectively.
  • So Hill’s no longer a part of this *bad* offense.
  • The Saints’ upcoming schedule: vs. the Rams, at the 49ers, at the Buccaneers.

You can also send Cade Otton back to the waivers. 

  • Rostered in 15% of leagues.
  • Otton had previously scored 10+ fantasy points in three of his last five games.
  • His production fell back to Earth with Cameron Brate’s return. 
  • Otton played 12 more snaps than Brate.
  • But Brate ran 15 routes to Otton’s nine routes.
  • Neither of them saw more than three targets.
  • The Buccaneers’ wide receiver trio (Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, Julio Jones) combined for a 65% target share.
  • Tampa Bay has its bye in Week 11.
  • Unless Brate gets hurt again, Otton just looks like a blocking tight end.

NFL Week 9 Betting: Odds, Spreads, Picks, Predictions for Ravens vs. Saints

NFL Week 9 Betting: Odds, Spreads, Picks, Predictions for Ravens vs. Saints
Monday Night Football: Baltimore Ravens (5-3) at New Orleans Saints (3-5) Opening Spread: Saints +3. Opening Game Total: 48.5. Opening Team Totals: Saints (22.75), Ravens (25.75). Weather: Dome. The Line Report This line opened as Saints +3. This line has moved down to Saints +2.5. DraftKings Pick’Em has the Saints +2.5. Circa Sports Millions Pro […]

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Dynasty Stock Watch: Week 2

Dynasty Stock Watch: Week 2
With Week 2 of the 2021 NFL season in the books, fantasy football teams have already begun taking shape. Dynasty owners are constantly scouring the waiver wire, hoping to pick up a hidden gem or two to bolster their roster for 2021 and beyond. Multiple wide receivers have already emerged from obscurity and now warrant […]

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