Below you’ll find my Week 14 fantasy rankings for PPR/Half-PPR leagues. Included are my top-26 QB Rankings, top-46 RB Rankings, top-54 WR Rankings, and top-22 TE Rankings.
For each player, you can view their ranking, matchup, and implied team total, according to Vegas. For example, the Los Angeles Chargers and Miami Dolphins have a Vegas game total of 52.5, with the Dolphins favored by 3.5 points (27.75 points implied for the Dolphins, 24.25 points implied for the Chargers). Seeing the implied point totals can help you understand which games are projected to be the highest scoring.
xPPR (expected PPR points) is a new stat added in Week 4. Think of this as each player’s average expected fantasy points per game based on their underlying usage.
Detailed player write-ups will be added through Wednesday night, and will appear below each set of positional rankings.
Top 26 Quarterbacks
- Jalen Hurts has endured four straight difficult matchups for fantasy QBs (WAS, IND, GB, TEN), yet has at least 22.8 fantasy points in each contest. He has usurped Josh Allen for the rest of season QB1 spot, as Josh Allen’s elbow injury appears to be holding back his passing ceiling.
- Geno Smith has at least 275 passing yards and 21 fantasy points in four straight games, and now he gets Carolina in Week 14. While the Panthers have been stingy against QB fantasy points this year, they’ve faced an extremely easy schedule – Russell Wilson, Jacoby Brissett, Daniel Jones, Matthew Stafford, Jameis Winston, Jimmy Garoppolo, Marcus Mariota (twice), Tom Brady. Kyler Murray, Joe Burrow, and Lamar Jackson are the only QBs they’ve faced who are averaging 20+ points per game. Geno Smith falls somewhere below those three, but well above the eight other QBs faced by CAR.
- Tyler Huntley completed 84% of his passes for 187 yards, and ran ten times for 41 yards and a TD. Huntley should be treated as only a slight downgrade from Lamar Jackson for fantasy purposes. The Steelers are a tough matchup, but so are the Broncos – Huntley put up 16.6 fantasy points against them after coming in for Lamar Jackson during the first quarter. The Steelers have been an improved defense the past month with TJ Watt’s return, but I refuse to bet against a QB who will run eight to 12 times per game. Huntley averaged 208 passing yards, 8.8 rush attempts, and 57 rushing yards per game in five starts last year, which totaled 16.8 fantasy points per game – despite a 1.7% pass TD rate, more than 50% lower than league average.
- Deshaun Watson completed just 12 of 22 passes (55%) for 131 yards (6.0 yards per attempt). He ran seven times for 21 yards. He did not record a TD pass, but he did record his first interception of 2022. His 6.3 fantasy points demonstrated that his 2022 floor will be quite low after not seeing NFL game action for 700 days. I still believe Watson will be a better overall QB than Jacoby Brissett, but it likely takes at least one more week until we see an elite fantasy/real life performance from Watson. I would not be comfortable starting him in fantasy, as the Bengals most recently kept Patrick Mahomes in check for only 223 passing yards and 19.8 fantasy points. Overall, QBs average just 13.9 fantasy points per game against CIN, as their defense pressures QBs on 36.2% of dropbacks – seventh highest in the NFL, per The Edge.
Top 46 Running Backs
- The bad: Derrick Henry has averaged no more than 3.1 yards per carry in each of his past four games. He has 68 total rushing yards over his past two games. The good: Henry is fresh, with only 28 combined carries over his past two games. He should get 25-30 carries against JAX this week, and has averaged 145 rushing yards per game against them over their past six contests. The Titans need to keep winning to make the playoffs, and with Treylon Burks likely OUT with a concussion, TEN will lean on the Big Dog.
- QB Brock Purdy was a revelation for Christian McCaffrey. McCaffrey led the team in targets (ten), receptions (eight), and receiving yards (80). He had two of the team’s four red zone targets, too. Jordan Mason handled eight of 25 RB carries in this game, and appears to be the one slotting into the Elijah Mitchell role, which was borderline fantasy viable.
- Rhamondre Stevenson disappointed fantasy managers with only 13.8 PPR points against Buffalo, in a game where Damien Harris was OUT due to injury. However, the usage was truly elite. Stevenson handled 91% of the RB carries, ran a route on a whopping 87% of Mac Jones’ dropbacks, and led the team with eight targets (next closest were Jakobi Meyers and Hunter Henry with five). Rhamondre remains a high-end RB1 each week based on his usage. Put another way, how many RBs disappoint you when they total 13.8 fantasy points – not many. Rhamondre faces a Cardinals team allowing the ninth most receiving yards per game to RBs (43), per The Edge.
- Joe Mixon is in a smash spot, facing a CLE run defense ranked 31st in rush DVOA. Per The Edge, the Browns allow the third most fantasy points per game to RBs (28.1). Mixon should reprise a workhorse role in Week 14 despite Samaje Perine admirably filling in for him the past 2.5 weeks. Perine can be flexed on the off-chance he carved out a larger role in this backfield, but the floor will be incredibly low for him this week.
- D’Andre Swift was finally off the injury report in Week 13. He out-snapped (38 vs. 23), out-carried (14 vs. 11), out-targeted (six vs. zero), out-gained (111 yards vs. 35 yards), and out-produced Jamaal Williams in fantasy (21.1 vs. 9.5). Swift is an RB1 moving forward, and has a friendly schedule rest of season for fantasy. He is my RB7 this week, as he has one of the highest floors and ceilings in fantasy football anytime he gets 15+ touches.
D'Andre Swift is a league winner
21 fantasy points in Week 13
Week 14 vs MIN: Allow 5th most RecYds/game to RBs
Week 15 vs NYJ: Allow 8th most RecYds/game to RBs
Week 16 vs CAR: Allow 9th most fantasy points to RBs
Week 17 vs CHI: Allow 6th most fantasy points to RBs
— Josh Larky (@jlarkytweets) December 5, 2022
- Travis Etienne didn’t succeed in fantasy in Week 13, but he was a total bell cow despite some concern about his foot. Etienne handled 13 of 14 RB carries, and ran 26 of 29 RB routes against Detroit. He ran a route on 72% of Trevor Lawrence’s dropbacks this past Sunday, a truly elite number. Better fantasy days are ahead for Etienne. Even though the Titans have been a strong run defense all season, Etienne is on the field for passing downs, and should be more than fine in PPR leagues, as the Titans have allowed nine targets per game to RBs, highest in the NFL, via The Edge.
- After a few weeks where it looked like Tony Pollard may have taken over the Cowboys lead back duties, Ezekiel Elliott reclaimed that role against Indianapolis in Week 13. Zeke out-snapped (35 vs. 28) and out-carried (17 vs. 12) Pollard. Both back were targeted three times on 14 routes, but Pollard had the better fantasy day, scoring twice. However, Zeke handled three of four red zone carries and two of the three goal line attempts. While Pollard will usually total more yards than Zeke each week, Elliott is still the more likely to find the box every week based on usage. Both are highly fantasy viable in a Week 14 tilt against a Texans teams allowing the most fantasy points to opposing RBs.
- The Miami backfield is now an absolute mess for fantasy football. It appeared that Jeff Wilson was the clear lead back, until Raheem Mostert had seven times as many touches as Wilson against San Francisco in Week 13. I’m proceeding as if Mostert is the lead back against the Chargers, a team allowing 5.6 yards per carry to opposing backs, most in the NFL, per The Edge. Overall, the Chargers allow 27.4 PPR points per game to RBs, fourth most in the NFL – there is room for both Mostert and Wilson to get there in fantasy if they end up splitting carries down the middle.
- Undrafted rookie RB Zonovan Knight totaled 103 total yards in his NFL debut in Week 12. He followed that up with 118 total yards in Week 13. Knight is here to stay, and should be the lead back even with Michael Carter returning from injury this week. Knight has at least 14 carries and three catches in both games. Carter is a flex play, as Mike White peppered Ty Johnson with seven targets against the Vikings last week. With the Jets expected to trail against Buffalo, Knight and Carter each have potential for double digit fantasy points.
- Latavius Murray continues to lead the Broncos backfield, with back-to-back double digit fantasy performances despite not scoring in either contest. He should flirt with 20 touches every week on arguably the NFL’s most disappointing offense. The Chiefs are not a particularly tough fantasy matchup for RBs this year, allowing 48 receiving yards per game, fourth most per The Edge. Murray has run 75% of all the team’s RB routes the past two games without Melvin Gordon, so he should be able to salvage his fantasy day with a few receptions.
- Dameon Pierce had a nice bounce back game against the Browns. After totaling 16 yards on 15 carries in Weeks 11 and 12 combined, Pierce carried 18 times for 73 yards, and he caught all three targets for 22 yards. He remains a high-end RB2 in easy matchups, and a fringe RB2/RB3 in difficult ones, as the Texans’ offense remains near the bottom of the NFL in every category. This week against a ferocious Dallas defense allowing the fifth fewest fantasy points per game to RBs is most certainly a difficult matchup. Pierce’s ranking this week is more telling of their being six teams on bye, than him being a strong start in Week 14.
- James Cook may have taken over the 1A role in the Bills’ backfield, as he had more total carries, more red zone carries, ran more routes, and had more targets than Devin Singletary. Cook reached 105 total yards in Week 13 against the Patriots, and Singletary’s Week 6 performance was the only other time a Bills RB reached 100 yards this season. The Jets have a strong run defense, but have been fairly generous to RBs through the air. I’d rank Cook higher if I *knew* he was the guy for Week 14. However, I’d say I’m only 60% confident he’s the lead back ahead of Singletary moving forward. The duo’s Week 13 usage is shown below.
|Player||Snaps||Carries (RZ)||Routes||Targets||Total Yards||PPR|
|Devin Singletary||32||13 (1)||13||2||51||11.1|
|James Cook||32||14 (4)||15||6||105||16.5|
- Isiah Pacheco lost his stranglehold on the KC backfield in Week 13. Jerick McKinnon took eight of the 22 carries, and ran 14 routes to Pacheco’s 11. Pacheco remains a weekly RB3 with RB2 upside in the right matchup, while McKinnon is a weekly flex play and premium handcuff. Pacheco needs to score to pay off, as 15 weekly carries and one target isn’t enough usage on its own to be fantasy relevant.
- Cam Akers was the most surprising bell cow of Week 13, as he handled 17 of 20 RB carries, and ran 19 of 30 RB routes. Akers totaled 60 yards and scored twice. Kyren Williams carried just three times for nine yards and failed to corral his only target (11 routes). Akers is nearly impossible to trust on Thursday night against the Raiders, as he has only led this backfield in two of the past three weeks, averaging 9.6 PPR per game in that span. I’d wager 65% confidence he’s the lead back on Thursday night over Kyren Williams.
Top 54 Wide Receivers
|2||Amon-Ra St. Brown||WR||DET||MIN||28.00||16.1|
- In his first game back from injury, Ja’Marr Chase ran a route on 35 of Joe Burrow’s 36 dropbacks, catching seven of eight targets for 97 yards against KC. The Browns shut down the Bengals in their first matchup, but that was Burrow’s first game without Chase (hip), so we should throw that game away. I’m betting on a premier talent, in a must-win divisional game for the Bengals. The Ravens may have lost Lamar Jackson for the rest of the season, and the AFC North is now the Bengals’ division to lose.
- Mike White and Joe Flacco have been a revelation for Garrett Wilson, and White will start Week 14 against Buffalo.
- Even though Gabe Davis was held to just 15 yards, his usage continues to tick up. His 21% target share (seven targets) in Week 13 marked the fourth time in the past six games that he has seen at least 21% of Allen’s targets. He remains a WR2 type, even though he has only 53 total yards in his past two games.
- Josh Palmer is a borderline top-24 fantasy WR until Mike Williams returns from injury. Palmer has been quite productive from Week 6 onward (six games), averaging 9.7 targets, 6.7 receptions, 72 receiving yards, and 15.8 fantasy points per game. He faces a Miami defense ranked 23rd in pass DVOA, in a game where the Chargers are decent underdogs. Expect a lot of passing from Justin Herbert and company, with Palmer cemented as the clear WR2.
- Treylon Burks caught a 25 yard TD pass in the first quarter of Week 13, but was concussed in the process. His practice status will be monitored all week. If he cannot go in Week 14, no TEN WRs should be started in fantasy in his absence.
- Darius Slayton is averaging six targets, four catches, 69 yards, 81 air yards, and 12.4 PPR points per game since Week 5. The Eagles are a difficult matchup on paper, butSlayton has at least three receptions and 58 yards in seven of his past eight games, displaying remarkable consistency.
- In Week 13, Diontae Johnson brought in five of 11 targets (41% share) for 60 yards, totaling 11.0 PPR points. That was his highest fantasy output since Week 5, when he also totaled 11.0 PPR points. Diontae has not been start-able in fantasy all season, but the underlying metrics point to a potential turnaround. Diontae has not scored a TD this season, but has eight red zone (nine end zone) targets, and Week 13’s 125 air yards were his fifth game of the season with at least 107 air yards. I’m not confidently starting him in fantasy due to the overall offense, but Diontae should at least improve his fantasy numbers moving forward. He’s a floor play in moderately deep leagues against a Ravens defense allowing the fifth most receiving yards per game to WRs, via The Edge.
- With Brandin Cooks missing Week 13 due to a calf injury, Nico Collins displayed elite usage. He had ten targets (27% share) and 173 air yards (50% share), but only brought in three catches for 35 yards and a TD. Should Cooks miss Week 14, Collins would be a top-30 option, now that we know the Texans are willing to funnel their passing offense through him. Assuming Cooks returns, I still expect him to be the target leader, especially with the return of Davis Mills for Week 14.
- George Pickens has cooled off since his 102 and 83 yard performances in Weeks 4 and 5. Since Week 6, Pickens is averaging 4.7 targets and 37 yards per game, averaging only 9.5 fantasy points during this stretch. He should remain on fantasy benches.
- Rookie WR Jameson Williams ran two routes in Week 13, getting targeted once. He needs at least one more week before we can consider starting him in fantasy football. He’s a premier bench stash, but should stay on your bench in Week 14.
Top 22 Tight Ends
- Courtland Sutton and Jerry Jeudy were both dealing with injuries in Week 13, and each ran only ten routes. TE Greg Dulcich led the team with 21 routes run, bringing in six of eight targets (38% target share) for 85 yards. After a string of bad games, Dulcich is once again interesting, as the TE landscape is a wasteland aside from five to seven guys each week. Dulcich has averaged 5.3 targets, 3.6 receptions, 46 yards, 64 air yards, and nine PPR points per game through seven games as a rookie.
- Foster Moreau now has nine straight games with at least 28 yards receiving. He’s a floor play at the TE position, who can be started in 12-team leagues each week.
These Week 14 fantasy rankings will be updated throughout the week. Make sure to check this post each day throughout the week as the news hits.
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