Fantasy

Wheeler’s Week 18 Fantasy Football Rankings

Patrick Mahomes Chiefs vs. Bronocs

Below you’ll find my Week 18 fantasy football rankings for PPR/Half-PPR leagues. Included are my top-25 QB Rankings, top-50 RB Rankings, top-60 WR Rankings, and top-18 TE Rankings. I actually submit these rankings to two different rankings competitions, one with PPR scoring, the other Half-PPR. They are far more accurate for PPR simply because PPR scoring is less influenced by touchdowns.

Matchups matter much less this week, it’s more about motivation and snaps. Playoff implications and contract incentives will dictate opportunity in Week 18. The playoff implications are described at the end of this article. 

Quarterback

Patrick Mahomes would pass the all-time single-season passing record with 430 yards passing this week against the Raiders. Mahomes just wants to win to clinch the number 1 seed, but there’s no reason he can’t accomplish both. 

Rank QB Team Opp
1 Patrick Mahomes II KC @ LV
2 Josh Allen BUF vs NE
3 Joe Burrow CIN vs BAL
4 Jalen Hurts PHI vs NYG
5 Trevor Lawrence JAC vs TEN
6 Justin Herbert LAC @ DEN
7 Aaron Rodgers GB vs DET
8 Dak Prescott DAL @ WAS
9 Kirk Cousins MIN @ CHI
10 Geno Smith SEA vs LAR
11 Jared Goff DET @ GB
12 Brock Purdy SF vs ARI
13 Deshaun Watson CLE @ PIT
14 Jarrett Stidham LV vs KC
15 Kenny Pickett PIT vs CLE
16 Mac Jones NE @ BUF
17 Russell Wilson DEN vs LAC
18 Sam Darnold CAR @ NO
19 Tyler Huntley BAL @ CIN
20 Andy Dalton NO vs CAR
21 Baker Mayfield LAR @ SEA
22 Desmond Ridder ATL vs TB
23 Joe Flacco NYJ @ MIA
24 Joshua Dobbs TEN @ JAC
25 Tyrod Taylor NYG @ PHI

 

The Cowboys’ total weekly points since getting Dak Prescott back from injury: 24, 49, 28, 40, 28, 54, 27, 34, 40, 27. 

The Las Vegas Raiders benched Derek Carr in favor of Jarrett Stidham to finish out the season, and Stidham responded with a 28-point (QB3) game. Davante Adams absolutely did NOT quiet-quit as I suspected.

Running Back

Detroit Lions RB Jamaal Williams needs six yards rushing for 1,000 total rushing yards and a $250,000 bonus. 

https://twitter.com/Browns/status/1611512942360420353?s=20&t=b-5k7WbOQ2ICBytCofTotQ

Bengals RB Samaje Perine needs 124 yards rushing to get a $100,000 bonus.  

Rank RB Team Opp
1 Derrick Henry TEN @ JAC
2 Christian McCaffrey SF vs ARI
3 Kenneth Walker III SEA vs LAR
4 Travis Etienne Jr. JAC vs TEN
5 Joe Mixon CIN vs BAL
6 Aaron Jones GB vs DET
7 D’Andre Swift DET @ GB
8 Austin Ekeler LAC @ DEN
9 Najee Harris PIT vs CLE
10 J.K. Dobbins BAL @ CIN
11 Miles Sanders PHI vs NYG
12 Jerick McKinnon KC @ LV
13 Jamaal Williams DET @ GB
14 Nick Chubb CLE @ PIT
15 Rhamondre Stevenson NE @ BUF
16 Dalvin Cook MIN @ CHI
17 Ezekiel Elliott DAL @ WAS
18 Josh Jacobs LV vs KC
19 Isiah Pacheco KC @ LV
20 AJ Dillon GB vs DET
21 Devin Singletary BUF vs NE
22 Alvin Kamara NO vs CAR
23 Cam Akers LAR @ SEA
24 Raheem Mostert MIA vs NYJ
25 James Cook BUF vs NE
26 Tyler Allgeier ATL vs TB
27 Jeff Wilson Jr. MIA vs NYJ
28 Damien Harris NE @ BUF
29 Tony Pollard DAL @ WAS
30 David Montgomery CHI vs MIN
31 Jonathan Williams WAS vs DAL
32 Samaje Perine CIN vs BAL
33 Kareem Hunt CLE @ PIT
34 Alexander Mattison MIN @ CHI
35 Gus Edwards BAL @ CIN
36 Rachaad White TB @ ATL
37 D’Onta Foreman CAR @ NO
38 Joshua Kelley LAC @ DEN
39 Cordarrelle Patterson ATL vs TB
40 Jordan Mason SF vs ARI
41 Jaylen Warren PIT vs CLE
42 Latavius Murray DEN vs LAC
43 Zack Moss IND vs HOU
44 Zonovan Knight NYJ @ MIA
45 Chuba Hubbard CAR @ NO
46 Khalil Herbert CHI vs MIN
47 Saquon Barkley NYG @ PHI
48 Chase Edmonds DEN vs LAC
49 Corey Clement ARI @ SF
50 Keaontay Ingram ARI @ SF

 

Derrick Henry has already hit a $500,000 incentive for 1,300 yards rushing. Henry did not play against the Cowboys in Week 17, but now Tennessee’s playoff bid is on the line against the Jaguars.

Wide Receiver

Jaguars WR Zay Jones currently has 78 catches for 802 yards. He can receive $250,000 for 80 receptions, and another $250,000 for 90. He also can land $500,000 for getting to 900 yards receiving. 

Jacksonville WR Christian Kirk currently has 78 catches for 1,009 yards. He can earn $500,000 incentives at 80 and 90 catches, and 1,100 yards receiving.

Buffalo slot receiver Isaiah McKenzie needs two receptions to add $100,000 to his salary and 46 yards receiving to hit the next yardage threshold for another $100,000. 

Chargers WR DeAndre Carter needs four receptions for $100,000 and 55 yards receiving  for an additional $100,000. 

Rank WR Team Opp
1 Ja’Marr Chase CIN vs BAL
2 Stefon Diggs BUF vs NE
3 Amon-Ra St. Brown DET @ GB
4 A.J. Brown PHI vs NYG
5 CeeDee Lamb DAL @ WAS
6 Tyreek Hill MIA vs NYJ
7 Davante Adams LV vs KC
8 Tee Higgins CIN vs BAL
9 DeVonta Smith PHI vs NYG
10 DK Metcalf SEA vs LAR
11 Justin Jefferson MIN @ CHI
12 Garrett Wilson NYJ @ MIA
13 Keenan Allen LAC @ DEN
14 Amari Cooper CLE @ PIT
15 Brandon Aiyuk SF vs ARI
16 Christian Kirk JAC vs TEN
17 Jaylen Waddle MIA vs NYJ
18 Mike Williams LAC @ DEN
19 JuJu Smith-Schuster KC @ LV
20 Allen Lazard GB vs DET
21 Christian Watson GB vs DET
22 DJ Moore CAR @ NO
23 Tyler Lockett SEA vs LAR
24 Chris Olave NO vs CAR
25 Jerry Jeudy DEN vs LAC
26 Terry McLaurin WAS vs DAL
27 Zay Jones JAC vs TEN
28 Drake London ATL vs TB
29 Michael Pittman Jr. IND vs HOU
30 Gabe Davis BUF vs NE
31 Diontae Johnson PIT vs CLE
32 Jakobi Meyers NE @ BUF
33 Rashid Shaheed NO vs CAR
34 Courtland Sutton DEN vs LAC
35 Chris Godwin TB @ ATL
36 Jahan Dotson WAS vs DAL
37 Marquise Brown ARI @ SF
38 Mike Evans TB @ ATL
39 Donovan Peoples-Jones CLE @ PIT
40 Brandin Cooks HOU @ IND
41 DJ Chark Jr. DET @ GB
42 George Pickens PIT vs CLE
43 Adam Thielen MIN @ CHI
44 Curtis Samuel WAS vs DAL
45 Treylon Burks TEN @ JAC
46 Michael Gallup DAL @ WAS
47 Van Jefferson LAR @ SEA
48 Corey Davis NYJ @ MIA
49 Tyler Boyd CIN vs BAL
50 Parris Campbell IND vs HOU
51 Romeo Doubs GB vs DET
52 Joshua Palmer LAC @ DEN
53 Chris Moore HOU @ IND
54 Mack Hollins LV vs KC
55 Greg Dortch ARI @ SF
56 K.J. Osborn MIN @ CHI
57 Marquez Valdes-Scantling KC @ LV
58 Darius Slayton NYG @ PHI
59 Kadarius Toney KC @ LV
60 Russell Gage TB @ ATL

 

CeeDee Lamb has had three straight 100+ receiving yard games. The Cowboys still have a slim shot at the 1 or 2 seed in the NFC playoffs, so they will probably start strong and get a solid lead before resting their major players. 

The Texans have allowed one WR1 (top-12) performance this year, and it came back in Week 1 (Michael Pittman Jr.). I doubt Pittman is able to repeat that feat this week, but it would be a fitting way to end this season.

Since Week 11, A.J. Brown is WR3 Overall and DeVonta Smith is WR5. Over this same stretch, they are averaging 37.8 PPG combined.

 

Tight End 

Bengals TE Hayden Hurst currently has 48 catches and 400 yards, he’s looking to earn $125,000 for 50 catches. His other bonuses seem way out of reach.

Rams TE Tyler Higbee is looking to earn an additional $125,000 with 13 more yards receiving to get to 600 total.

Chargers TE Gerald Everett needs five receptions to earn an additional $250,000.

Rank TE Team Opp
1 Travis Kelce KC @ LV
2 George Kittle SF vs ARI
3 Mark Andrews BAL @ CIN
4 T.J. Hockenson MIN @ CHI
5 Evan Engram JAC vs TEN
6 Taysom Hill NO vs CAR
7 Pat Freiermuth PIT vs CLE
8 Dallas Goedert PHI vs NYG
9 Dalton Schultz DAL @ WAS
10 David Njoku CLE @ PIT
11 Dawson Knox BUF vs NE
12 Darren Waller LV vs KC
13 Tyler Higbee LAR @ SEA
14 Cole Kmet CHI vs MIN
15 Juwan Johnson NO vs CAR
16 Gerald Everett LAC @ DEN
17 Tyler Conklin NYJ @ MIA
18 Hayden Hurst CIN vs BAL
19 Trey McBride ARI @ SF
20 Noah Fant SEA vs LAR
21 Hunter Henry NE @ BUF
22 Cade Otton TB @ ATL
23 Robert Tonyan GB vs DET
24 Jelani Woods IND vs HOU
25 Jordan Akins HOU @ IND

 

When examining these rankings, consider that I am really only looking at positional ranks, not flex or overall rankings. When it comes to who you start in the flex, a lot will depend on your specific league rules and roster construction. If players are ranked within three spots of each other, the difference between them is negligible.

Good luck this week!

 

NFC Playoff Picture

The Philadelphia Eagles are looking to clinch the NFC’s No. 1 seed, home-field advantage and a first-round bye against the playoff-bound New York Giants, who are locked in as the sixth seed. 

The San Francisco 49ers are currently the second seed, but could clinch the NFC top seed with a win and a Philadelphia loss. The Vikings are currently the No. 3 seed, and they can be the No. 2 seed with a win and 49ers loss.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers clinched the NFC South title after a comeback win over Panthers.

The Dallas Cowboys are looking at the fifth seed unless the Eagles and 49ers lose. They could then clinch the top seed with a victory in Washington. They could also clinch the NFC East division title and the second seed with a win and the Eagles losing. 

The Green Bay Packers clinch a playoff berth with a win. The Packers host the playoff hopeful Detroit Lions, who need a win and a Seattle Seahawks loss. The Seahawks need a victory and a Packers loss to clinch the last Wild Card spot. 

AFC Playoff Picture

The AFC playoffs are less clear after the NFL chose not to finish the Buffalo Bills vs. Cincinnati Bengals contest from Week 17, and a resolution passed by the owners that affects the sites of some potential matchups depending on who faces who.

Kansas City and the Buffalo Bills are still in contention for the number one overall seed. Kansas City will clinch the top seed with a win, while Buffalo needs to win and Kansas City to lose to clinch the top spot.

The Bills and Bengals have the same scenario for the two and three seeds. Buffalo clinches at least the second seed with a win, but a Bills loss and Bengals win gives Cincinnati the two and Buffalo the three.

The Jacksonville Jaguars and Tennessee Titans meet to determine who wins the AFC South and the fourth overall seed.

The Chargers and the Ravens are sitting at the fifth and sixth seeds respectively. New England holds the seventh seed, but the Miami Dolphins, Pittsburgh Steelers and Jaguars (if they lose vs. Tennessee) all have pathways to taking it.

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