Fantasy
11/13/22
22 min read
Josh Larky's Week 10 Fantasy Rankings
Below you’ll find my Week 10 fantasy rankings for PPR/Half-PPR leagues. Included are my top-28 QB Rankings, top-46 RB Rankings, top-58 WR Rankings, and top-22 TE Rankings.
For each player, you can view their ranking, matchup, and implied team total, according to Vegas. For example, the Kansas City Chiefs and Jacksonville Jaguars have a Vegas game total of 50.5, with the Chiefs favored by 9.5 points (30 points implied for the Chiefs, 20.5 points implied for the Jaguars). Seeing the implied point totals can help you understand which games are projected to be the highest scoring.
xPPR (expected PPR points) is a new stat added in Week 4. Think of this as each player’s average expected fantasy points per game based on their underlying usage.
Teams coming off a Week 9 bye: Browns, 49ers, Cowboys, Steelers, Giants, Broncos
Teams on Week 10 bye: Bengals, Ravens, Patriots, Jets
Detailed player write-ups will be added through Wednesday night. They'll appear beneath each position group to add more context to these rankings.
Top-28 Quarterbacks
Rank | Name | Pos | Team | Opp | Team Total | xPPR |
1 | Jalen Hurts | QB | PHI | WAS | 27.5 | 21.9 |
2 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | KC | JAX | 30 | 21.7 |
3 | Justin Fields | QB | CHI | DET | 25.5 | 18.2 |
4 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | MIN | 25.5 | 24.4 |
5 | Tua Tagovailoa | QB | MIA | CLE | 26.25 | 16 |
6 | Trevor Lawrence | QB | JAX | KC | 20.5 | 16.9 |
7 | Geno Smith | QB | SEA | TB | 21 | 17.5 |
8 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | GB | 24 | 14.1 |
9 | Kirk Cousins | QB | MIN | BUF | 19.5 | 17.7 |
10 | Justin Herbert | QB | LAC | SF | 19.75 | 17.5 |
11 | Russell Wilson | QB | DEN | TEN | 17.75 | 16.2 |
12 | Daniel Jones | QB | NYG | HOU | 23.75 | 16.1 |
13 | Marcus Mariota | QB | ATL | CAR | 23.75 | 15.8 |
14 | Jimmy Garoppolo | QB | SF | LAC | 26.75 | 14.3 |
15 | Tom Brady | QB | TB | SEA | 23.5 | 16.9 |
16 | Jared Goff | QB | DET | CHI | 23 | 15.2 |
17 | Jacoby Brissett | QB | CLE | MIA | 22.25 | 15.5 |
18 | Derek Carr | QB | LV | IND | 24.5 | 14.7 |
19 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | GB | DAL | 19 | 14.4 |
20 | Taylor Heinicke | QB | WAS | PHI | 16.5 | 17.3 |
21 | Ryan Tannehill | QB | TEN | DEN | 20.75 | 13.2 |
22 | Matt Ryan | QB | IND | LV | 18 | 15.5 |
23 | John Wolford | QB | LA | ARI | 23.25 | - |
24 | Andy Dalton | QB | NO | PIT | 22 | 15.3 |
25 | Kenny Pickett | QB | PIT | NO | 19.5 | 12 |
26 | Colt McCoy | QB | ARI | LA | 20.25 | - |
27 | Davis Mills | QB | HOU | NYG | 17.25 | 12.6 |
28 | P.J. Walker | QB | CAR | ATL | 20.75 | 6.8 |
- I'm monitoring the Josh Allen news carefully, and will update if needed. Should Case Keenum start instead, he’d likely rank just outside the top-12, as MIN is a defense to target for fantasy QBs, and Keenum would be a viable streamer in a pass-happy offense with intelligent play-calling.
- Justin Fields rockets up into the top-5 for the first time this season. He’s now had 24 or more fantasy points each of the past three games, and set the QB rushing yards record last week with 178 yards, while also chipping in three passing TDs. He now faces the NFL’s worst defense, the Detroit Lions in Week 10.
- Tua Tagovailoa is averaging 9.2 yards per pass attempt, most in the NFL - Jalen Hurts is second at 8.5, for context. Teams simply cannot stop the Tyreek Hill-Jaylen Waddle duo, and in Week 9, Tua became the first QB this season to throw for over 300 yards against Chicago. The Browns allow the fifth most fantasy points per game to WRs lined up out wide - via The Edge, and should have their hands full with Miami this weekend.
- Kyler Murray faces the Rams in Week 10, who are no longer a defense to be afraid of for your fantasy QB. According to our free and flagship tool, The Edge, the Rams pressure opposing QBs at by far the lowest rate in the NFL this season (21%). Football Outsiders' DVOA ranks the Rams as the 11th worst passing defense in the NFL this season. Kyler struggled against the surging Seahawks defense in Week 9, but put together strong performances in Weeks 7 and 8, which coincided with DeAndre Hopkins' return. Assuming the two have gotten past their sideline argument from last week, I like this spot for a potential Kyler Murray bounce back game. While the Rams have struggled on offense, the Cardinals secondary is slightly below average, so there's optimism that Matthew Stafford can put up some points and facilitate a shootout-type game environment. Update: Kyler Murray is unlikely to suit up for this contest, Colt McCoy should not be on your streaming radar.
- Trevor Lawrence faces a below average KC pass defense that's allowing 20 fantasy points per game to opposing passers. The Chiefs put up points early/often, forcing their opponents to keep up. Lawrence likely flirts with 40 pass attempts in Week 10.
- Tampa Bay is a strong pass defense, but Geno Smith has been playing at a Pro Bowl caliber level all season. Four QBs have topped 17 fantasy points against TB, and I believe Geno joins that group this week. Geno leads the league in completion percentage (73.1%) and is sixth in yards per attempt (7.8).
- Dak Prescott faces a stingy GB defense in Week 10, as they're allowing only 12.8 fantasy points per game to opposing passers. No QB has reached 20 fantasy points against them this season, and that includes Josh Allen, Kirk Cousins, Jared Goff, and Justin Fields, who have all been strong enough fantasy performers this season. I'm still firing him up in 12-team leagues, but not expecting a ceiling game against an elite pass defense.
- Patrick Mahomes is the only QB to top 17 fantasy points against Buffalo, and Kirk Cousins will have his hands full in Week 10. In his favor is an elite skill position group surrounding him.
- Justin Herbert tumbles down the rankings, and I wouldn’t fault anyone for benching him in Week 10, as the Chargers travel to San Francisco to face a 49ers defense fresh off their bye. He is unlikely to get Keenan Allen or Mike Williams back this week, and he’s now had under six yards per pass attempt in three straight games.
- The Titans allow the third most passing yards per game, and Russell Wilson is fresh off his bye. The Titans will be missing roughly half of their starting defense due to injury. He's in a great spot to reach 20 fantasy points after what's been a very disappointing first half of 2022.
- Daniel Jones is a fringe starting option this week, as he faces a weak Texans defense fresh off his bye. While HOU's pass defense is league average, Jones' fantasy production tilts heavily towards his rushing production, rather than through the air.
Top-46 Running Backs
Rank | Name | Pos | Team | Opp | Team Total | xPPR |
1 | Christian McCaffrey | RB | SF | LAC | 26.75 | 17.3 |
2 | Saquon Barkley | RB | NYG | HOU | 23.75 | 19.1 |
3 | Austin Ekeler | RB | LAC | SF | 19.75 | 20.8 |
4 | Alvin Kamara | RB | NO | PIT | 22.00 | 16.5 |
5 | Tony Pollard | RB | DAL | GB | 24.00 | 9.3 |
6 | Derrick Henry | RB | TEN | DEN | 20.75 | 17.7 |
7 | Travis Etienne | RB | JAX | KC | 20.50 | 14.3 |
8 | Dameon Pierce | RB | HOU | NYG | 17.25 | 14.1 |
9 | Nick Chubb | RB | CLE | MIA | 22.25 | 15.9 |
10 | Kenneth Walker | RB | SEA | TB | 21.00 | 12.5 |
11 | Leonard Fournette | RB | TB | SEA | 23.50 | 16.4 |
12 | Dalvin Cook | RB | MIN | BUF | 19.50 | 14.6 |
13 | Josh Jacobs | RB | LV | IND | 24.50 | 16.3 |
14 | Jonathan Taylor | RB | IND | LV | 18.00 | 14.9 |
15 | Cordarrelle Patterson | RB | ATL | CAR | 23.75 | 12.4 |
16 | Jamaal Williams | RB | DET | CHI | 23.00 | 13.3 |
17 | Aaron Jones | RB | GB | DAL | 19.00 | 12.6 |
18 | D'Andre Swift | RB | DET | CHI | 23.00 | 11.1 |
19 | James Conner | RB | ARI | LA | 20.25 | 11.9 |
20 | Jeff Wilson | RB | MIA | CLE | 26.25 | 9.3 |
21 | David Montgomery | RB | CHI | DET | 25.50 | 10.3 |
22 | Miles Sanders | RB | PHI | WAS | 27.50 | 13.2 |
23 | Devin Singletary | RB | BUF | MIN | 25.50 | 11.8 |
24 | Antonio Gibson | RB | WAS | PHI | 16.50 | 12.5 |
25 | Khalil Herbert | RB | CHI | DET | 25.50 | 8.4 |
26 | Najee Harris | RB | PIT | NO | 19.50 | 12.6 |
27 | D'Onta Foreman | RB | CAR | ATL | 20.75 | 5.1 |
28 | Raheem Mostert | RB | MIA | CLE | 26.25 | 10.5 |
29 | Kareem Hunt | RB | CLE | MIA | 22.25 | 11.1 |
30 | Brian Robinson | RB | WAS | PHI | 16.50 | 9.3 |
31 | Melvin Gordon | RB | DEN | TEN | 17.75 | 9.6 |
32 | Latavius Murray | RB | DEN | TEN | 17.75 | 9.6 |
33 | AJ Dillon | RB | GB | DAL | 19.00 | 9.7 |
34 | Chuba Hubbard | RB | CAR | ATL | 20.75 | 2 |
35 | Rachaad White | RB | TB | SEA | 23.50 | 6.6 |
36 | Isiah Pacheco | RB | KC | JAX | 30.00 | 3.8 |
37 | Darrell Henderson | RB | LA | ARI | 23.25 | 7.9 |
38 | Elijah Mitchell | RB | SF | LAC | 26.75 | 3.5 |
39 | Jerick McKinnon | RB | KC | JAX | 30.00 | 8.3 |
40 | Clyde Edwards-Helaire | RB | KC | JAX | 30.00 | 10.1 |
41 | Eno Benjamin | RB | ARI | LA | 20.25 | 10 |
42 | Jaylen Warren | RB | PIT | NO | 19.50 | 4.2 |
43 | Tyler Allgeier | RB | ATL | CAR | 23.75 | 8.1 |
44 | Nyheim Hines | RB | BUF | MIN | 25.50 | 6.6 |
45 | Alexander Mattison | RB | MIN | BUF | 19.50 | 5.2 |
46 | Kenneth Gainwell | RB | PHI | WAS | 27.50 | 4.9 |
- Christian McCaffrey and Saquon Barkley are in a tier of their own, as they face the only two defenses allowing over 30 fantasy points per game to opposing backs.
- With Ezekiel Elliott OUT, Tony Pollard is in line for a heavy workload against a Packers defense allowing 5.0 yards per carry to opposing backs.
- Travis Etienne has 379 rushing yards, but only 28 receiving yards over his past three games. That split should shift more in favor of the receiving game against KC in Week 10, and he has incredible upside in what should likely be a negative game script. Etienne compiled over 1,000 receiving yards during his final two seasons playing with Trevor Lawrence at Clemson.
- Miami has a strong run defense, and is yet to allow a 100 yard rusher on the ground this season. Breece Hall is the only RB to surpass 77 yards on the ground against MIA. Nick Chubb has his work cut out for him, and drops slightly in the rankings because of this.
- While Leonard Fournette has lost some playing time to rookie Rachaad White, he remains a strong start in Week 10 against SEA, the team that’s allowed the most receiving yards to opposing RBs. I’m anticipating five to seven receptions for Lenny to buoy his fantasy value.
- After getting all the pass game work for several weeks, Josh Jacobs is once again losing pass down snaps to Ameer Abdullah and Brandon Bolden. Jacobs has still run at least 16 routes in every game this season, and does have at least three targets each of the past two games, but the role is no longer outrageous. And Jacobs needs a top-3 fantasy role to be an elite fantasy RB given the LV offensive line's struggles and Jacobs' own lack of explosiveness.
- Jonathan Taylor practiced in pads, and should return to game action in Week 10 against the Raiders. While the Colts are in flux, the Raiders are verging on a lost season, and this defense has struggled nearly every week.
- Cordarrelle Patterson returned to game action in Week 9, getting 13 carries (four red zone, three at the goal line), along with one target on nine routes. His role should grow in Week 10 against Carolina, and this Falcons run game has been strong all season. Patterson is an excellent candidate for one or two TDs on Thursday night.
- Jamaal Williams did not get it done in fantasy in Week 9, though he did have 24 carries (five red zone, two at the goal line). He ran five routes but wasn't targeted on any of them. The Bears have an awful run defense, and Jamaal should once again garner the majority of the touches on the ground, as D'Andre Swift isn't fully healthy yet. Don't believe me? Hear Amon-Ra St. Brown comment on Swift's health in his debut video for The 33rd Team. Update: D'Andre Swift was a full participant in Friday's practice, so I've moved him slightly higher in the rankings as a result - even though I'm not 100% on board with him getting his usual full workload.
A game preview like you've never seen before 😂@amonra_stbrown and @Equanimeous smack talk about whose team is getting the win Sunday, as only two brothers can 🦁🐻
Full video » https://t.co/xA5qqQqH0i pic.twitter.com/UKWH1KDGWJ
— The 33rd Team (@The33rdTeamFB) November 9, 2022
- After less than a week with Miami, Jeff Wilson handled more snaps and more touches than Raheem Mostert in Week 9, producing nearly three times as many total yards. He’s a strong start against the pitiful Browns run defense - 4.9 yards per carry to opposing backs, via The Edge.
- Both David Montgomery and Khalil Herbert are strong fantasy starts this week against the Lions. The Lions allow 5.0 yards per carry to opposing backs, and the second most (11) TDs allowed to RBs on the ground. The run-heavy Bears should have no issue feeding both backs enough for them to cross double digit fantasy points.
- Derrick Henry is the only RB to top 76 rushing yards against Washington. A large portion of RB fantasy points against Washington have come through the air, and Sanders - while leading the team in routes each week - just hasn't had much receiving volume on the season. His floor is lower than usual in a tough matchup.
- Devin Singletary has seen usage spikes in close games, and the Vikings are a formidable opponent. It's unclear how much the team will work in Nyheim Hines after giving James Cook more work in Week 9. However, Singletary is at least start-able in fantasy, and may even reach 15 touches in this contest.
- Antonio Gibson now has three straight games with exactly 14 combined carries/targets. He's receiving four red zone carries, along with three red zone targets during this span, scoring twice through the air. JD McKissic is likely OUT again with a neck injury, and the Eagles project to beat the Commanders handily. Gibson should get decent target volume, and Week 8's seven catch performance is well within his range of outcomes in Week 10. Brian Robinson should be decently efficient on the ground, given Philly's struggles against the run; however, with this game likely to be a blowout, there is some volatility surrounding Robinson's carries projection, even though he should have strong efficiency per carry.
- Chuba Hubbard should return to game action on Thursday night. While I expect D'Onta Foreman to handle the larger share of this committee, I don't have a great read on the situation, as CAR has made multiple questionable decisions already this season. I'd expect a 60/40 split in Foreman's favor, in a game that CAR likely keeps relatively competitive.
- I'd try my best not to have to start a Denver RB this week, as Chase Edmonds may work in on passing downs, making this a three-way committee. Tennessee is also a tough matchup, on top of the committee.
- I do not want to start any KC or LAR RBs in Week 10. LAR backs have struggled all season to produce fantasy points, and KC is a full-blown three-way committee.
- Elijah Mitchell returns from IR in Week 10. I'm unsure what his touch count will be, but even sneaking in eight to ten carries should make him fantasy relevant against the Chargers' league-worst run defense.
Top-58 Wide Receivers
Rank | Name | Pos | Team | Opp | Team Total | xPPR |
1 | Tyreek Hill | WR | MIA | CLE | 26.25 | 18 |
2 | Cooper Kupp | WR | LA | ARI | 23.25 | 19.9 |
3 | Davante Adams | WR | LV | IND | 24.50 | 18 |
4 | DeAndre Hopkins | WR | ARI | LA | 20.25 | 17.4 |
5 | Stefon Diggs | WR | BUF | MIN | 25.50 | 19 |
6 | Justin Jefferson | WR | MIN | BUF | 19.50 | 19.2 |
7 | Jaylen Waddle | WR | MIA | CLE | 26.25 | 13.1 |
8 | A.J. Brown | WR | PHI | WAS | 27.50 | 15.9 |
9 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | DET | CHI | 23.00 | 14.2 |
10 | CeeDee Lamb | WR | DAL | GB | 24.00 | 15.7 |
11 | Chris Olave | WR | NO | PIT | 22.00 | 14.9 |
12 | Mike Evans | WR | TB | SEA | 23.50 | 14.9 |
13 | Chris Godwin | WR | TB | SEA | 23.50 | 13.8 |
14 | Amari Cooper | WR | CLE | MIA | 22.25 | 14.9 |
15 | DK Metcalf | WR | SEA | TB | 21.00 | 12.4 |
16 | Tyler Lockett | WR | SEA | TB | 21.00 | 11.7 |
17 | Christian Kirk | WR | JAX | KC | 20.50 | 13.6 |
18 | Deebo Samuel | WR | SF | LAC | 26.75 | 15.2 |
19 | Juju Smith-Schuster | WR | KC | JAX | 30.00 | 11.5 |
20 | Michael Pittman | WR | IND | LV | 18.00 | 13.5 |
21 | D.J. Moore | WR | CAR | ATL | 20.75 | 13.4 |
22 | Allen Lazard | WR | GB | DAL | 19.00 | 12.9 |
23 | Adam Thielen | WR | MIN | BUF | 19.50 | 12.3 |
24 | Gabe Davis | WR | BUF | MIN | 25.50 | 10.1 |
25 | DeVonta Smith | WR | PHI | WAS | 27.50 | 9.6 |
26 | Jerry Jeudy | WR | DEN | TEN | 17.75 | 11.2 |
27 | Terry McLaurin | WR | WAS | PHI | 16.50 | 11.6 |
28 | Josh Palmer | WR | LAC | SF | 19.75 | 10.9 |
29 | Courtland Sutton | WR | DEN | TEN | 17.75 | 13.5 |
30 | Darnell Mooney | WR | CHI | DET | 25.50 | 10.1 |
31 | Brandon Aiyuk | WR | SF | LAC | 26.75 | 11.3 |
32 | Diontae Johnson | WR | PIT | NO | 19.50 | 15 |
33 | Brandin Cooks | WR | HOU | NYG | 17.25 | 12 |
34 | Rondale Moore | WR | ARI | LA | 20.25 | 11.2 |
35 | George Pickens | WR | PIT | NO | 19.50 | 9.2 |
36 | Mack Hollins | WR | LV | IND | 24.50 | 10.1 |
37 | Wan'Dale Robinson | WR | NYG | HOU | 23.75 | 6 |
38 | Zay Jones | WR | JAX | KC | 20.50 | 11.9 |
39 | Curtis Samuel | WR | WAS | PHI | 16.50 | 12.1 |
40 | Chase Claypool | WR | CHI | DET | 25.50 | 10.6 |
41 | Michael Gallup | WR | DAL | GB | 24.00 | 8.1 |
42 | Darius Slayton | WR | NYG | HOU | 23.75 | 6.2 |
43 | Donovan Peoples-Jones | WR | CLE | MIA | 22.25 | 10 |
44 | Robert Woods | WR | TEN | DEN | 20.75 | 7.1 |
45 | Allen Robinson | WR | LA | ARI | 23.25 | 9.5 |
46 | Terrace Marshall | WR | CAR | ATL | 20.75 | 6.9 |
47 | Isaiah McKenzie | WR | BUF | MIN | 25.50 | 7.9 |
48 | Kadarius Toney | WR | KC | JAX | 30.00 | 2.4 |
49 | Alec Pierce | WR | IND | LV | 18.00 | 8.2 |
50 | Kalif Raymond | WR | DET | CHI | 23.00 | 6.2 |
51 | Jarvis Landry | WR | NO | PIT | 22.00 | 8.7 |
52 | DeAndre Carter | WR | LAC | SF | 19.75 | 7.3 |
53 | Drake London | WR | ATL | CAR | 23.75 | 10.5 |
54 | Nico Collins | WR | HOU | NYG | 17.25 | 8.4 |
55 | K.J. Osborn | WR | MIN | BUF | 19.50 | 7 |
56 | Jahan Dotson | WR | WAS | PHI | 16.50 | 11.2 |
57 | Julio Jones | WR | TB | SEA | 23.50 | 7.8 |
58 | Van Jefferson | WR | LA | ARI | 23.25 | 5.2 |
- Tyreek Hill is on pace for nearly 2,100 receiving yards on the season, and gets a Browns team that has given up numerous big plays on the season, allowing the fourth highest YPR to opposing wideouts via our free and flagship tool, The Edge. The Cheetah is my WR1 for Week 10.
- Davante Adams and Mack Hollins are in for a target share increase with both Darren Waller and Hunter Renfrow headed to IR.
- Stefon Diggs is ranked as if Josh Allen plays in Week 10. Should additional news come out regarding Allen's elbow, I will adjust Diggs as needed.
- Mike Evans and Chris Godwin remain strong starts in PPR/Half-PPR leagues despite Brady's fantasy struggles, as Brady’s lack of fantasy points is TD-related. Both Evans and Godwin reached double digit targets in Week 9, their third straight game accomplishing this feat.
- I'm curious what Deebo Samuel's role will look like in Week 10, with a fully integrated CMC against a cupcake LAC run defense. Part of Deebo's fantasy value has come through schemed touches, and I'm not optimistic about his outlook, rest of season.
- Juju Smith-Schuster quietly has at least 79 receiving yards in five of eight games, and has topped 18 fantasy points each of his past three games. He's the clear WR1 in this offense, and while there are potential concerns of Kadarius Toney commanding more targets down the stretch, it's still too early in Toney's KC tenure to expect any type of shift to happen in Week 10.
- Michael Pittman and Alec Pierce get a boost in the rankings with Matt Ryan likely to now start against one of the NFL's worst secondaries, Las Vegas.
- Allen Lazard has at least a 20% target share each of the past five games, and rookie WR Romeo Doubs went down with an ankle injury in Week 9. Dallas is a tough matchup, but Lazard has either 100 yards or a TD in all but one game this season.
- Gabe Davis is just fine, do not panic. He's had at least 94 air yards each of the past four games, and has at least a 15% target share in each game during this stretch. As a field stretcher, he'll naturally have more volatility than most wideouts, but a big game will come soon after back-to-back disappointing fantasy performances. Assuming Josh Allen suits up, Davis has a great opportunity to shred a below average Vikings secondary.
- At a certain point, I had to flip Courtland Sutton and Jerry Jeudy in the rankings. The past three games, Jeudy has eight targets and over 70 receiving yards per game, while Sutton has just five targets and 16 receiving yards per game. It may just be a small sample, but Jeudy projects as the better target earner based on his profile, and is finally on the same page with Russell Wilson.
- Josh Palmer had a 99-yard performance in Week 3, and surpassed 100 yards for the first time in his career in Week 9, with both Keenan Allen and Mike Williams OUT. He has double digit targets in his past two games, and while SF is a difficult pass defense, Palmer likely gets there in fantasy due to volume, rather than efficiency.
- Darnell Mooney quietly has a 21% or higher target share in each of the past seven games. He’s commanded a red zone or end zone target in each of the past five games, too. He should be started as a WR3 type moving forward.
- Diontae Johnson and George Pickens should receive a target boost with Chase Claypool now in Chicago. This is still not an efficient or high-scoring passing attack, but the volume should be there. I'd anticipate close to 20 targets per game flowing to them, with Diontae commanding a larger share than Pickens.
- Rondale Moore now has at least eight targets in four of his past five games, though his average target depth has been under five yards in every high volume performance. Rondale has a red zone target in all but one game this season, and is dangerous after the catch. The Rams pass defense has been shaky this year, so Rondale is in a fine spot for Week 10 from a matchups perspective.
- Mecole Hardman has at least 12 fantasy points in four straight contests, though he's only had more than five targets in one of those games. He's seen elite red zone usage during this stretch, with seven red zone targets and a red zone carry. He's topped 42 receiving yards in only two of these games, and is still getting "gadget" type targets close to the line of scrimmage. However, he moves way up the rankings as the Chiefs continue to commit to him near the goal line.
- Terrace Marshall has a 20% or higher target share each of the past two games. He's had a ludicrous five end zone targets since Week 8, too. Potential for wind/rain on Thursday cap his floor and ceiling, though I don't think anyone is viewing him as more than a flex play currently. As a prolific TD scorer in college, with great draft capital, there is the potential for him to continue taking steps forward this season, after a very disappointing rookie campaign.
- Van Jefferson may not have shown up in a traditional box score in Week 9, but he did command five targets (19% share) against TB. He couldn't corral any of them, but 134 air yards has to count for something. He gets an easier matchup in Week 10, against ARI.
Top-22 Tight Ends
Rank | Name | Pos | Team | Opp | Team Total | xPPR |
1 | Travis Kelce | TE | KC | JAX | 30.00 | 16.1 |
2 | George Kittle | TE | SF | LAC | 26.75 | 11 |
3 | Zach Ertz | TE | ARI | LA | 20.25 | 12.3 |
4 | Dallas Goedert | TE | PHI | WAS | 27.50 | 8.8 |
5 | Dalton Schultz | TE | DAL | GB | 24.00 | 7 |
6 | T.J. Hockenson | TE | MIN | BUF | 19.50 | 11.3 |
7 | Greg Dulcich | TE | DEN | TEN | 17.75 | 9.3 |
8 | Pat Freiermuth | TE | PIT | NO | 19.50 | 10.2 |
9 | Gerald Everett | TE | LAC | SF | 19.75 | 10.2 |
10 | Foster Moreau | TE | LV | IND | 24.50 | 6.2 |
11 | Kyle Pitts | TE | ATL | CAR | 23.75 | 9.9 |
12 | Taysom Hill | TE | NO | PIT | 22.00 | 7.5 |
13 | Cade Otton | TE | TB | SEA | 23.50 | 6.9 |
14 | Evan Engram | TE | JAX | KC | 20.50 | 8.3 |
15 | Cole Kmet | TE | CHI | DET | 25.50 | 5.9 |
16 | Mike Gesicki | TE | MIA | CLE | 26.25 | 6.8 |
17 | Tyler Higbee | TE | LA | ARI | 23.25 | 9.1 |
18 | Robert Tonyan | TE | GB | DAL | 19.00 | 7.4 |
19 | Dawson Knox | TE | BUF | MIN | 25.50 | 6.7 |
20 | Harrison Bryant | TE | CLE | MIA | 22.25 | 4.6 |
21 | Juwan Johnson | TE | NO | PIT | 22.00 | 6.8 |
22 | Tanner Hudson | TE | NYG | HOU | 23.75 | 2.4 |
- George Kittle has at least a 19% target share each of the past four games. He's topped 83 yards in two of those games, and has at least 12 fantasy points in three of four. He's several steps down from Travis Kelce, but given the state of the TE position, he's my TE2 for Week 10.
- Zach Ertz has at least nine fantasy points in all but one game this season, and while he may not have a realistic 20 point ceiling, the stability he offers each week is important at a TE position that's been an utter wasteland after Travis Kelce and Mark Andrews.
- Dalton Schultz only ran a route on 61% of Dak Prescott dropbacks in the two games prior to their Week 9 bye, but he did have at least five targets and 49 yards in each contest. He may be more healthy in Week 10 after his bye, and is one of the few TEs capable of a difference-making fantasy week without needing to find the end zone.
- Greg Dulcich has at least 11 fantasy points in all three games this year, and he’s shown us that he can get there in multiple ways. One game he had a TD, one game he had nine targets, and the other game he put up 87 receiving yards thanks to a massive 114 air yards. He’s a strong start every week rest of season.
- Keep an eye on Pat Freiermuth, now that Chase Claypool has been traded to the Bears. He’s had seven or more targets in five of seven games this year, and while the Saints have been the stingiest fantasy defense for TEs, Freiermuth should still be able to finish as a Top-12 option thanks to volume.
- Travis Kelce is the only TE to top 44 yards against the 49ers, and Gerald Everett should get a lot of defensive attention given the state of the LAC WR core. However, he's a volume play, who commanded eight targets (one in the end zone) in Week 9.
- Foster Moreau has at least five targets in each of the past five games with Darren Waller OUT. With Waller now on IR, Moreau is a Top-12 weekly option for at least the next month.
- Pitts has three straight games with at least five targets, and has topped ten fantasy points in three of his past six games. He dropped 80 yards and a TD on Carolina back in Week 8, and has a 30% or better target share each of the past three weeks. Pitts' fate is in the hands of Marcus Mariota and how many pass attempts Arthur Smith dials up on Thursday night.
- Cole Kmet caught five passes for 41 yards and two TDs in Week 9. He also was given two rush attempts. However, his six targets in Week 9 were the only time all season he had more than four targets in a game. Does the upside exist in a nice matchup against Detroit? Absolutely. But, eight weeks of very low usage prior to that keep me from pushing my chips in when ranking for Week 10. If the usage spike continues in Week 10, he'll continue to creep up my weekly rankings.
- Cade Otton has at least five targets in four of the past five games. He has three end zone targets over his past two games, and brought in five of six targets in Week 9 for 68 yards and a TD. Concerns over Cameron Brate returning to game action keep me from putting him in the Top-12 this week.
These Week 10 fantasy rankings will be updated throughout the week. Make sure to check this post each day throughout the week as the news hits.
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