The NFL Divisional Round is here, and there will be four games this weekend, to decide which teams make it to the AFC Championship and NFC Championship games.
The Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles make their first starts in the 2022 NFL Playoffs, after sitting out last week, thanks to a first-round bye.
It will be the Chiefs that kick off this NFL Divisional Round weekend, as they host the Jacksonville Jaguars, who made it to this game after overcoming a 27-0 half-time deficit against the LA Chargers. Can Trevor Lawrence and his Jaguars cause the Chiefs problems, or will Patrick Mahomes remain perfect and extend his record to 5-0 in the NFL Divisional Round?
Next up, the Philadelphia Eagles host the New York Giants Saturday night, as they look to make it 3 wins in 3 against their NFC opponents this season. Jalen Hurts didn’t play very well in Week 18 against the Giants, but they still got the W, and with another week’s rest and practice, will Hurts be fully healthy in this one? Daniel Jones and Saquon Barkley will need to put the team on their back if the Giants are going to match the high-powered Eagles in this one.
Sunday kicks off with Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals, and it will be intriguing to see how these two match up after their last game was abandoned. Will Josh Allen roll into the AFC Championship game, and set up the highly predicted Chiefs vs. Bills game, or can Joe Burrow lead his Bengals team to an upset in that one?
The final matchup of the NFL Divisional Round will see the San Francisco 49ers host the Dallas Cowboys for a spot in the NFC Championship Game. Both teams will know whether it is the Eagles or the Giants that they will face for a spot in the Super Bowl before kick-off, and Brock Purdy and Dak Prescott will battle it out for the chance to beat either team in the next round.
All these games come with their own sense of intrigue, and while the two games on Sunday are projected to be a lot closer than the Saturday games, we saw last week, when the Bills survived a scare against the Miami Dolphins, that the NFL Playoffs are notoriously difficult to predict.
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Before we introduce any more offers, let us first break down the current Moneyline odds for each team, to establish who is favored this weekend.
Here are the latest Moneyline odds for each team in the NFL Divisional Round, courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook!
Kansas City Chiefs (-450) vs Jacksonville Jaguars (+360)
Philadelphia Eagles (-350) vs New York Giants (+290)
Buffalo Bills (-255) vs Cincinnati Bengals (+215)
San Francisco 49ers (-200) vs Dallas Cowboys (+170)
As we can see from these odds, the Kansas City Chiefs are a strong favorite to beat the Jaguars, and as a result, are also the current Super Bowl favorites at +300.
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Now we have taken a glance at the latest odds, let’s bring you the very best sports betting offers available for the NFL Divisional Round. With these sports betting offers, you can lock in $550 in guaranteed bonuses, and claim a $1000 risk-free bet as well!
Without further ado, here are our favorite sportsbook offers for this weekend’s NFL Playoffs matchups.
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The Chiefs are the strongest favorite on the board, but the Eagles are not far behind, as they are expected to beat the Giants for a third time this season. Given how hard it is to beat a team three times in one season, and also how hard the Giants fight though, you may be worried about an upset in that one. So cover your bet on the Eagles with this FanDuel promo code, as you bet $5, get $150 guaranteed – even if your bet goes on to lose.
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Ok, so this might not be the bet-and-get offer that you have grown accustomed to whilst reading this article, but the BetMGM bonus code provides the biggest potential win when betting on the NFL Divisional Round.
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Let’s now look at some odds comparison for each game, as we look for the best place to wager on your favorite markets. We will compare the odds on both DraftKings and FanDuel, and look at where is best to bet on the Moneyline, Spread and Total Points markets this weekend.
DraftKings Sportsbook Odds
Moneyline
Spread
Total
FanDuel Sportsbook Odds
Spread
Total
As you can see above, there is not much between the two sportsbooks, but if you wanted to wager on the Jacksonville Jaguars Moneyline, you are betting off betting on FanDuel Sportsbook, where they are +380. The spread market sits at the same odds on both sites, whilst the over/under is set at half a point shorter at FanDuel, with slightly different odds, on FanDuel Sportsbook.
DraftKings Sportsbook Odds
Moneyline
Spread
Total
FanDuel Sportsbook Odds
Moneyline
Spread
Total
Once again, there is very little to split the two sportsbooks here, as both teams have the Giants at +290 on the Moneyline, with DraftKings giving slightly better odds on the Eagles at -350, instead of -360 on FanDuel. The line is set at 7.5 on both sportsbooks, with FanDuel making the Eagles -112 to cover, and the Giants -108, whereas DraftKings has both at -110. Again, FanDuel are half a point different on the total, favoring the under in this one.
DraftKings Sportsbook Odds
Moneyline
Spread
Total
FanDuel Sportsbook Odds
Moneyline
Spread
Total
If you are looking to bet the Buffalo Bills on the Moneyline, you will want to go to FanDuel, where they are -240, compared to -255 on DraftKings. The odds for the other two markets are the same, but FanDuel has added a point to the expected total, at 49.5, instead of the 48.5 line that DraftKings have it at.
DraftKings Sportsbook Odds
Moneyline
Spread
Total
FanDuel Sportsbook Odds
Moneyline
Spread
Total
We have our first spread discrepancy, and it comes in the final game, as FanDuel Sportsbook has set the line at 3.5 instead of the 4 DraftKings have it at, and they favor the 49ers to cover at -114. If you want to shave half a point of the spread line, FanDuel Sportsbook is where you need to go. If you want to bet on the 49ers Moneyline, DraftKings Sportsbook is for you.
Opening Spread: Bills -4
Opening Game Total: 50
Opening Team Totals: Bills (27) Bengals (23)
Weather: Outdoors, chance of snow
Bills: Questionable: DT DaQuan Jones, CB Dane Jackson, S Jordan Poyer
Bengals: Out: RT La’el Collins. Questionable: LT Jonah Williams, RG Alex Cappa
I have the Bills’ offensive line tiered as a league-average unit. As our Maxx Forde recently pointed out, Josh Allen’s skillset is an asset for the Bills’ offensive line in both phases. The Bengals have a below-average pass rush, but their defensive front is very strong in the run game. The Bills’ offensive line has a moderate advantage in pass protection, while the Bengals’ defensive front has a moderate advantage in the run game.
Betting Notes Per TruMedia
Barring a miracle, the Bengals will be down both their opening-day offensive tackles and their right guard. At full strength, the Bengals’ offensive line worked its way up to a league-average unit, but with these injuries, they are a below-average group entering this contest. At full strength, the Bills have a borderline top-five defensive front. Without Von Miller and A.J. Epenesa, the Bills have more of a league-average defensive front. Given all of the injuries in this trench matchup, Buffalo has a moderate to significant advantage in the trenches.
Betting Notes Per TruMedia
The Week 17 matchup between these two teams was canceled due to Damar Hamlin’s health crisis. Including last week’s victory over Miami, the Bills have won their last eight games. Including last week’s win over the Ravens, Cincinnati has won its last nine games.
I’d argue that no team relies more on their quarterback than the Bills on Josh Allen. Outside of Stefon Diggs, Allen’s supporting cast on offense is very average. Like with any Bills bet, you must build that bet around Allen carrying this offense where they at least meet expectations.
The most apparent matchup advantage that the Bills have in this contest is their injury-reduced defensive front against the Bengals injury-ravaged offensive line. If the Bills are to win by enough distance to cover this now -5.5 spread, Buffalo’s ability to exploit Cincinnati’s injured offensive line is the clearest path to that outcome. That’s still possible without Von Miller, but it’s much less of a slam dunk than if Miller was available. If Joe Burrow spends most of his Sunday in a muddy pocket, that will make the tall task of mitigating the Bengals’ elite skill group far more manageable for the Bills.
You have two core concerns as a Bills bettor. The first is that Joe Burrow plays well despite the limitations of his injured offensive line. The Bengals went to the Super Bowl last season with a below-average offensive line, so that outcome is certainly possible. The second is that Buffalo’s offense is one-dimensional, where that group effectively goes as far as Josh Allen takes it. Surviving a few turnovers against Skylar Thompson’s Dolphins is not the same circumstance as giving Joe Burrow a few more drives. If Buffalo is going to win this game, and cover, Allen will need to limit his turnovers.
Any Bengals bet is built around Joe Burrow and his elite skill group. The Bengals have shown over the last two years they can beat anyone. Entering this game, however, they will almost certainly be down both offensive tackles and their right guard. One of my longstanding football tenants is that you can play effective offense with one liability at offensive tackle, but it becomes much more problematic when you have two. You can game plan around one unreliable offensive tackle because you can give them consistent help in various ways. You can’t really do that with two. The Chiefs’ Super Bowl against the Buccaneers a few years ago is a primary example of what can happen to an elite offense when it loses both of its offensive tackles. Your biggest concern as a Bengals bettor is that Joe Burrow’s offense is significantly hampered by their injury-reduced offensive line.
No lead is safe when Josh Allen is the opposing quarterback. Buffalo is among the most pass-centric teams in the league, which devalues the Bengals’ high-performing run defense to a degree. We can reasonably expect Cincinnati to focus its game plan on Stefon Diggs, forcing Allen to beat it with his role players. The best-case scenario for Cincinnati is limiting Diggs while forcing a couple of turnovers.
Your biggest concern as a Bengals bettor is that Joe Burrow spends this contest under siege behind Cincinnati’s injury-reduced offensive line. Your second-biggest concern is that Josh Allen’s turnover issues disappear and the Bills’ offense plays one of its cleanest games of the season. If both of those conditions happen, that’s the primary path to the Bills winning this game with some distance.
Score Prediction: Bills 24, Bengals 20
TS 2021: 49-31
ATS 2022: 48-32
Props 2022: 60-40
Below, you’ll find six Divisional Round parlays I’ve taken well ahead of this weekend’s playoff games (all lines were taken Monday morning).
You’ll notice this is most certainly not your typical parlay article, as there are no wild longshot bets with multiple uncorrelated parlay legs. All my analysis is statistically and logically motivated.
For each parlay, I include the implied odds of it hitting. For example, a +220 parlay has implied odds of 31%. If I’m putting money on this parlay, I expect it to hit more than 31% of the time.
Odds: +350 (22%) on DraftKings
Odds: +220 (31%) on DraftKings
Odds: -115 (53%) on DraftKings
Odds: +140 (42%) on DraftKings
Odds: -135 (57%) on DraftKings
Odds: +125 (44%) on DraftKings
We hope you enjoyed reading through these Divisional Round parlays. As always, please bet responsibly
