Tyler Brown

Tyler Brown

Breakdowns
Positional Draft Review: Part 2

Positional Draft Review: Part 2

Following last week’s article — “Positional Draft Review: Is the First Player Taken Always the Best?” — there remained a wealth of draft data to study. So, check out some other interesting findings from our draft deep dive. Of note, the following charts cover the last 11 drafts from 2011 through 2020. Please see last […]

Breakdowns
Positional Draft Review: Is the First Player Taken Always the Best?

Positional Draft Review: Is the First Player Taken Always the Best?

With the 2021 NFL Draft just a week away, front-office insider Mike Tannenbaum posed the following question: How often is the best player at a position the player who was drafted first among his position group? Tannenbaum immediately pointed out recent examples like Lamar Jackson, the fifth QB drafted in 2018, or Justin Jefferson, the […]

Breakdowns

NFC Playoff Profiles

The 2021 NFL playoff brackets are set. Here’s a profile of the seven NFC playoff teams, complete with strengths, weaknesses and the opponent that each team most needs to avoid. Before getting into the profiles below, a quick glossary of the statistics used: Expected Points Added (EPA): Is a statistic that measures the value of […]

Analysis

AFC Playoff Profiles

The 2021 NFL playoff brackets are set. Here’s a profile of the seven AFC playoff teams, complete with strengths, weaknesses and the opponent that each team most needs to avoid. Before getting into the profiles below, a quick glossary of the statistics used: Expected Points Added (EPA): Is a statistic that measures the value of […]

Analysis

Buccaneers Causing Havoc on Both Sides of the Ball

Havoc Rate is a statistic that attempts to capture an offense’s ability to prevent negative plays and a defense’s ability to create negative plays. We have altered and expanded the traditional formula to include third and fourth down failures/stops. Given the uncertainty of teams resting players, we will not highlight any Havoc Rate mismatches in […]

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Havoc Rate Mismatches for Week 16

Havoc Rate is a statistic that attempts to capture an offense’s ability to prevent negative plays and a defense’s ability to create negative plays. We have altered and expanded the traditional formula to include third and fourth down failures/stops. Havoc Rate Leaderboards The Offense and Defense leaderboards heading into Week 16 (as well as their […]

Breakdowns

Havoc Rate Mismatches for Week 15

Havoc Rate is a statistic that attempts to capture an offense’s ability to prevent negative plays and a defense’s ability to create negative plays. We have altered and expanded the traditional formula to include third and fourth down failures/stops. Havoc Rate Leaderboards The Offense and Defense leaderboards heading into Week 14 (as well as their […]

Breakdowns

Top Havoc Rate Mismatch for Week 14

Havoc Rate is a statistic that attempts to capture an offense’s ability to prevent negative plays and a defense’s ability to create negative plays. We have altered and expanded the traditional formula to include third and fourth down failures/stops. Havoc Rate Leaderboards The Offense and Defense leaderboards heading into Week 14 (as well as their […]

Breakdowns

Week 11 Havoc Mismatches

Earlier this week, we introduced the Havoc Rate. For those who missed it, Havoc Rate is a popular college football statistic that attempts to capture an offense’s ability to prevent negative plays and a defense’s ability to create negative plays. We have altered and expanded the traditional formula to include third- and fourth-down failures/stops. The […]

Breakdowns

Introducing the Havoc Rate

What is Havoc Rate? Havoc is a popular college football statistic that attempts to capture negative plays as a percentage of total plays. For example, Defensive Havoc Created measures a defense’s ability to cause negative plays for an opposing offense. Conversely, Offensive Havoc Allowed measures the percentage of negative plays an offense commits. Each can […]

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