Super Bowl LVII Betting: Underdog Fantasy Picks for Chiefs vs. Eagles

I’m laying out my three favorite Super Bowl LVII Underdog Fantasy Picks ahead of Sunday’s big game between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles. Not only will I provide these picks, but I’ll provide the math and reasoning why the line is enticing.

Jalen Hurts Higher than .5 Total Yards

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Jerick McKinnon Lower than 5.5 Rushing Attempts

  • Jerick McKinnon averaged 4.2 carries per game this season, topping this number in six of 17 games
  • In the AFC Championship game against the Cincinnati Bengals, McKinnon totaled four rushes for a single yard. His ankle injuries could have led to him being a non-factor on the ground
  • I believe McKinnon had a season-high 11 rushes vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars in the Divisional Round to bolster the video opponents will need to watch on the Chiefs offense with McKinnon as the clear pass-catching back. There’s no reason to deceive opponents at this point in the season
  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire was activated from injured reserve. This backfield will likely be split between the active RBs of Isiah Pacheco, Edwards-Helaire, McKinnon and potentially Ronald Jones

Travis Kelce Higher than 15.15 Fantasy Points

  • Travis Kelce led tight ends in average fantasy points per game with 16.2, including the playoffs. Kelce went higher than this number in 11 of 19 games
  • In his career, Kelce has played 17 playoff games where he’s averaged 17.9 fantasy points per game and gone higher than 15.15 in 10 of 17
  • The Chiefs’ WRs are banged up. We’ve seen Kansas City lean on Kelce in tough spots, including six double-digit target games
  • Kelce is a heavy favorite for anytime touchdown scorer. Should Kelce come down with a score, he’d only need 8.65 more fantasy points to go higher than this number

Hurts Higher than .5 Rushing TDs

  • In 15 regular season starts, Hurts had 23 goal-to-go rushes, nearly double that of Joe Burrow (12) and Justin Fields (12)
  • Hurts also led QBs with an astonishing 11 rushing TDs. The next closest QB is Trevor Lawrence with four
  • Hurts has scored a rushing TD in back-to-back playoff games with three goal-to-go carries
  • Kansas City only faced three goal-to-go QB carries this season, but two of them went for a TD. Given how frequently Hurts is rushing near the goal line, this bodes well for him


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We hope you enjoyed reading through these Super Bowl LVII Underdog Fantasy Picks. As always, deposit your money responsibly.

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