I’m laying out my three favorite Super Bowl LVII Underdog Fantasy Picks ahead of Sunday’s big game between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles. Not only will I provide these picks, but I’ll provide the math and reasoning why the line is enticing.
Jalen Hurts Higher than .5 Total Yards
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Jerick McKinnon Lower than 5.5 Rushing Attempts
- Jerick McKinnon averaged 4.2 carries per game this season, topping this number in six of 17 games
- In the AFC Championship game against the Cincinnati Bengals, McKinnon totaled four rushes for a single yard. His ankle injuries could have led to him being a non-factor on the ground
- I believe McKinnon had a season-high 11 rushes vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars in the Divisional Round to bolster the video opponents will need to watch on the Chiefs offense with McKinnon as the clear pass-catching back. There’s no reason to deceive opponents at this point in the season
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire was activated from injured reserve. This backfield will likely be split between the active RBs of Isiah Pacheco, Edwards-Helaire, McKinnon and potentially Ronald Jones
Travis Kelce Higher than 15.15 Fantasy Points
- Travis Kelce led tight ends in average fantasy points per game with 16.2, including the playoffs. Kelce went higher than this number in 11 of 19 games
- In his career, Kelce has played 17 playoff games where he’s averaged 17.9 fantasy points per game and gone higher than 15.15 in 10 of 17
- The Chiefs’ WRs are banged up. We’ve seen Kansas City lean on Kelce in tough spots, including six double-digit target games
- Kelce is a heavy favorite for anytime touchdown scorer. Should Kelce come down with a score, he’d only need 8.65 more fantasy points to go higher than this number
Hurts Higher than .5 Rushing TDs
- In 15 regular season starts, Hurts had 23 goal-to-go rushes, nearly double that of Joe Burrow (12) and Justin Fields (12)
- Hurts also led QBs with an astonishing 11 rushing TDs. The next closest QB is Trevor Lawrence with four
- Hurts has scored a rushing TD in back-to-back playoff games with three goal-to-go carries
- Kansas City only faced three goal-to-go QB carries this season, but two of them went for a TD. Given how frequently Hurts is rushing near the goal line, this bodes well for him
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We hope you enjoyed reading through these Super Bowl LVII Underdog Fantasy Picks. As always, deposit your money responsibly.
