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Super Bowl Prop Bets: DraftKings vs. FanDuel

We are just over one week away from the Super Bowl LVII matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles, and sportsbooks around the country are vying for position in the market. If you are interested in prop betting during Super Bowl LVII, we have you covered. The below article will put the top two sportsbooks in the country head-to-head and will hopefully help you find the best prop betting sportsbook to fit your preferences.

 

DraftKings vs. FanDuel – Who to Use For Super Bowl LVII Prop Betting

We will split our analysis of each of the sportsbooks below into three different categories: number of prop betting options provided, best odds and corresponding promotions available. This will help paint a clear picture of which sportsbook is the best book to place your wagers with during Super Bowl LVII.

DraftKings Sportsbook

  • Pro: Best Sportsbook Promotion for new users
  • Con: Worse odds for anytime touchdown scorer wagers 

DraftKings Sportsbook is undoubtedly one of the best sportsbooks in the United States, offering their customers year-round offers, boosts and promotions for the biggest events in sports. Their offering for Super Bowl LVII is no different, and new users can unlock a guaranteed $200 bonus ahead of the game using their latest DraftKings promo code offer.

Welcome Offer Ranking: 10/10

The DraftKings promo code for Super Bowl LVII is a completely unmissable offer, giving new users an extra $200 to use on the game instantly before their wager has even cashed. DraftKings Sportsbook is one of the only books in the country offering a ‘bet and get’ offer for Super Bowl LVII, so if you don’t have an account – now is the perfect time to get one.

New users can claim the DraftKings promo code by CLICKING HERE or on the offer button below, registering for a new DraftKings account and wagering $5 on Super Bowl LVII. Once you have placed your $5 wager, your $200 bonus will be automatically sent to your account.

 

Prop Market Offering: 9/10

Unsurprisingly, DraftKings Sportsbook offers a wide range of prop betting markets for new and existing customers. Users can bet on anything from the first touchdown scorer to novelty props, such as the opening coin toss result, the color of Gatorade poured on the winning coach and more.

Super Bowl LVII Odds: 7/10

Although DraftKings Sportsbook offers some amazing odds on popular bets, they seem to come up a little short when it comes to ‘any time touchdown’ odds. For example, they have Jalen Hurts odds at -110 to score anytime, but on FanDuel Sportsbook, Hurts can be bet on at +105.

Overall Rank: 26/30

Overall, DraftKings Sportsbook is an incredible sportsbook to place your Super Bowl LVII prop bets on, and their jaw-dropping welcome offer helps cover the reduced odds on for anytime touchdown scorers. Getting Jalen Hurts at -110 isn’t as bad when you get $200 of house money to play with.

FanDuel Sportsbook

  • Pro: Best Sportsbook Promotion for big bettors
  • Con: Less novelty prop bet options

FanDuel and DraftKings have been battling for No. 1 position for as long as sports betting has been in the United States, and our list is no different. FanDuel is one of the biggest and best sportsbooks in the United States, and if you plan on betting big on the Super Bowl, their welcome offer is the best promo on the market.

Welcome Offer Ranking: 9/10

For some, this promotion will be ranked 10/10, however we have knocked off a point as to take full advantage of it, new users need to deposit a good chunk of money. The welcome promotion can be used on any wage above $10, but getting a $10 no-sweat bet isn’t as enticing as a $3000 one. 

New users can claim the FanDuel promo code by CLICKING HERE or on the offer button below, registering for a new FanDuel account and wagering up to $3000 on  Super Bowl LVII. If your first wager loses, you will be returned your stake in full as bet credits. The offer is basically a big safety net for your first wager!

 

Prop Market Offering: 7/10

FanDuel Sportsbook offers new and existing customers a huge variety of prop markets to choose from but unlike DraftKings Sportsbook, they have a far more limited novelty prop market. Once again, the offering by FanDuel Sportsbook will suit 99.99% of users, but the limited (and difficult to navigate to) novelty prop market is a con.

Super Bowl LVII Odds: 10/10

Although FanDuel Sportsbook may offer fewer prop markets than competitors, their popular market odds are some of the best in the United States. We’ve already compared the anytime touchdown scorer odds between DraftKings and FanDuel above, and this is a theme that seems to run across the whole site.

Overall Rank: 26/30

FanDuel Sportsbook comes out tied with their rival in this list, ranking 26/30 overall. Their welcome offer is phenomenal value, and for users looking to place multiple any-time touchdown scorer wagers, the odds difference between the two sites really adds up! 

Super Bowl LVII Prop Betting: The Verdict

Without planning, both DraftKings and FanDuel scored 26/30 in our overall rankings, but there are some key differences that could boost or reduce their scores for different bettors.

If you are a new bettor looking to dip your toe in the sports betting waters, we’d recommend that you use DraftKings Sportsbook for your Super Bowl LVII betting. The combination of their amazing welcome offer and vast prop market will give you a great introduction to Super Bowl betting. DraftKings Sportsbook also (in our opinion) has one of the most easy-to-use apps in the sports betting market, and finding your favorite betting market/line is simple.

If you are a slightly more experienced sports bettor (or are just looking to go big on your first Super Bowl wager), the FanDuel welcome offer is totally unmissable. The chance to bet $3000 basically risk-free doesn’t come around often and is sure to make your Super Bowl betting unforgettable. Additionally, if you are looking to go hard on any-time touchdown bets, FanDuel sportsbook will provide you with the best odds and returns for your money.

Alternatively, if you have yet to claim an account for either of these sportsbooks – why not grab both? Use DraftKings for their novelty market and to get $200 of house money for $5, and then use FanDuel Sportsbook to go big and take a swing with their $3000 no-sweat bet.

Whichever of these sportsbooks you choose to bet with, you can’t go wrong. Good luck, and enjoy the Big Game!

 

Raiders Give Derek Carr Permission to Seek Trade with Other Teams

Derek Carr‘s trade market is starting to move.

On Friday, the Las Vegas Raiders quarterback was given permission to speak with teams that 1) are interested in trading for him and 2) have agreed with the Raiders on potential compensation, ESPN reported. This is the same agreement the Houston Texans and Deshaun Watson had last offseason, which resulted in the blockbuster trade that landed the quarterback with the Cleveland Browns last March.

The Raiders must trade or release Carr by Feb. 15 — three days after the Super Bowl — or his contract will become guaranteed and Las Vegas will have to pay him $40.4 million over the next two years. Carr, who has a no-trade clause in his contract, told The Associated Press on Thursday he would not extend the deadline to help facilitate a trade.

“I don’t think that would be best for me,” Carr said.

One team that has openly admitted to being in the veteran quarterback market is the New York Jets, whose owner, Woody Johnson, described a veteran QB as the “missing piece” in a news conference last month.

Coach Robert Saleh took it a step further, saying the team already had a strong defense that nearly single-handedly carried the Jets into the playoffs this past season.

“We are going to be aggressive as heck when it comes to quarterback play, and making sure that we do everything we can to satisfy that position,” Saleh said. “Do I want to be as arrogant as to say I think this is plug-and-play where we’re going to get better? When you can run the ball, you have good special teams and you have a top-5 defense, you’re supposed to be in the playoffs.”

Whatever team acquires Carr will have to pay him a considerable amount over the next three seasons. His 2023 cap hit is $34 million and balloons to more than $43 million over the next two seasons.

The trade rumors around Carr began when he was benched for Jarrett Stidham with just two weeks remaining in the regular season. On Jan. 12, Carr posted a lengthy statement saying goodbye to Raider fans after nine seasons as their starting quarterback and cementing he was looking forward to playing for a new team.

“That fire burning inside me to win a championship still rages,” Carr wrote. “A fire no man can extinguish; only God. I look forward to a new city and a new team, who no matter the circumstance will get everything I have.”

Carr competed in the precision passing contest at Raiders headquarters as part of Pro Bowl festivities, and he finished with an event-high 31 points. When asked on ESPN’s broadcast whether he had ever been that hot in Las Vegas, Carr quipped: “Not that hot. Probably why I’m going somewhere else.”

Carr finished the 2022 season with 3,522 yards and 24 touchdowns, but he led the league in interceptions (14) at the time of his benching. His 60.8 completion percentage was the second lowest of his career; only his rookie season in 2014 was worse.

WATCH: Titans Would Be Good Fit for Carr

Mahomes’ Legacy Approaching Some of NFL’s All-Time Great Quarterbacks

I don’t love the term “legacy” for players and coaches who are in the midst of their careers. I picture the looks on their faces throughout the years when someone asks them about their legacy. Even though it’s often brought up in good spirits and at a winning moment, it changes the air quickly, and it’s like, all of a sudden, something smells bad. They don’t want to be around it. 

It can be an excellent topic for players in the Hall of Fame but a non-starter for those still playing. 

However, in the case of 27-year-old Patrick Mahomes, after a regular season that should collect him his second MVP and before a Super Bowl that could end with him holding the Vince Lombardi Trophy for a second time, it’s worth bending the rules and talking about legacy. 

Entering Rarefied Air

Consider how elusive the combo of multiple Super Bowl wins and NFL MVPs has been for some of the best of all time. Here’s a table of some notable quarterbacks and how many MVPs and Super Bowl titles they’ve won. 

Quarterback  MVP Wins  SB Wins 
Troy Aikman 0 3
Terry Bradshaw 1 4
John Elway 1 2
Brett Favre 3 1
Eli Manning 0 2
Jim Plunkett 0 2
Aaron Rodgers 4 1
Bart Starr 1 2
Kurt Warner 2 1

This particular rabbit hole leads you to three quarterbacks who have earned multiple NFL MVPs and Super Bowl titles: Joe Montana, Peyton Manning and the recently-retired Tom Brady

Those accomplishments alone, at the age of 27, if they happen, would upgrade Mahomes to a different level of first-class seat in the quarterback cabin. 

There’s just as good a chance the Philadelphia Eagles will win in next Sunday’s Super Bowl as the Kansas City Chiefs, and there are zero guarantees Mahomes and the Chiefs would make it back to another Super Bowl, let alone win. But with Mahomes on the brink of joining such rarified quarterback air, it feels appropriate to focus on what he has accomplished so far and the unique way he’s gone about it. 

Setting Early High Bar

If we metaphorically take his career statue and place it on a higher shelf, one that shines a brighter light on his successes, then take a step back and ponder, what comes to mind?

To me, it starts with the strategically serendipitous way he came into the NFL. His talents and toughness are impressive, but he was handed a gift when the Chiefs selected him 10th overall in 2017. 

Mahomes was given a season to develop and learn from the sidelines, the type of patience that’s become rare for first-round quarterbacks. He was afforded a front-row seat to how a high-quality veteran quarterback in Alex Smith handled life as an NFL quarterback, from the Monday through Saturday prep to the Sunday execution. 

Smith was in his second decade as an NFL starter, succeeding as much with smarts as with talent, and he was willing to mentor. He was operating a top-five offense on a team routinely winning double-digit games and reaching the playoffs. There also was Andy Reid, their future Hall of Fame head coach, whose passion for designing plays is equaled only by that of training and growing quarterbacks.

In the abstract, Mahomes’ rookie season counts as “exactly how you draw it up” for a first-round pick, but when you highlight the specifics, it elevates to “best-case-scenario.” Nineteen QBs have been taken in the first round since the Chiefs called Mahomes’ name; none have entered the NFL with more advantageous surroundings.

To his credit, he has taken that fortuitous ball and run with it in a way even a highly optimistic fan wouldn’t have predicted. Not only is Mahomes’ efficiency impressive compared to the 19 other first-round QBs, but it’s better than every quarterback since the start of the 2018 season. 

This graph shows Mahomes’ efficiency compared to every quarterback who has taken at least 700 snaps since 2018 and is still in the league.

SOURCE: RBSDM.com

The standard Mahomes has set in his relatively short time as the Chiefs starting quarterback is the most impressive part of his legacy to this point. He wasted zero time placing that bar amazingly high. 

Check out his first five starts of the 2018 season. Kansas City won all five games, averaging 35 points per game. Mahomes sizzled and threw for at least 300 yards in each game, and he had 14 touchdowns to two interceptions. 

He’s kept that level of performance for five seasons. So, I can ask, what’s more impressive? The fact that he performed that way out of the gate? Or that those games weren’t an aberration?

There’s no wrong answer, just a realization the way Kansas City and Mahomes produce passing yards, points and wins has been ridiculous since Day One. 

The Chiefs’ worst record since Mahomes became the starter is 12-5, and they’ve reached the AFC Championship Game each year. They’ve led the league in scoring twice and never have finished out of the top six. Mahomes’ lowest-rated season came last year, when he somehow completed only 66% of his passes for 4,839 yards, throwing 37 touchdowns and 13 interceptions. 

The “norm” paints the picture well, but the low point tells a good story, too. Remember when the sky was falling on Oct. 24, 2021, when the Chiefs failed to score a touchdown in a 27-3 defeat at Tennessee, a loss that dropped their record to 3-4?

That was as bad as it’s ever been, and they put things back together pretty well after that. They won nine of 10 regular-season games to close the season, which ended with an overtime loss in the AFC Championship Game. 

Mahomes throwing for more than 300 yards with a couple of touchdowns and no picks in Kansas City’s most recent win — the one that sent him to his third Super Bowl — was more of an expected result than one that exceeded expectations. Still, it closes the case on how impressive he’s been. 

Unique Throwing Style

On the road to Mahomes’ ultimate legacy, if the Chiefs’ offensive standard is at the wheel, his individual play style is riding shotgun.

He can stand in the pocket, drive off his back foot and step into a throw, sure. He might even do it a couple of plays in a row. But if that’s all he did, this legacy he’s building would stop with the efficiency he provides to Kansas City’s point-scoring and game-winning machine. 

His creativity and resourcefulness are the signature pieces of his individuality and how he puts his fingerprints all over Kansas City’s success. The no-look pass vs. Baltimore in December of 2018 called attention to these capabilities, but now he provides examples every Sunday.

The following descriptions can only come from Mahomes’ play:

At the moment of release, he could be falling forward or backward, leaning to the right or to the left. Stepping back is as common as stepping up, and a sidearm delivery might be used more often than over the top. The ball is flicked just as often as it’s thrown. 

Standing tall and leading with the left foot, as right-handed QBs have been coached to do forever, is fine, but squatting low and stepping with the right foot, as it has never been coached, is sometimes preferred with Mahomes. The upper body and lower body often don’t go together, but the ball usually goes where it’s supposed to. 

With Mahomes, throwing late across the middle, and across the body, is a good thing. Feel free to say that in the voice used for Dos Equis’ World’s Most Interesting Man commercials.

Reid can dial up crossing routes to be hit 25 yards downfield instead of 18, a post-corner can be run at 40 yards instead of 25 and a 20-yard comeback is thrown with as much ease as the one at 15.

The Chiefs’ production with Mahomes at quarterback is noteworthy enough, but it’s his particular way, and how it meshes with Reid’s plan, that makes the whole thing hum along in such an interesting, highlight-worthy way. 

I’m still not sure a quarterback in his mid-20’s who likely hasn’t even played half of his career yet has a legacy. But in this case, when Mahomes is one rung of the ladder away from joining Montana, Manning and Brady in a tier requiring multiple wins of the NFL’s highest individual and team awards, so a day to consider what he’s done and how he’s done it seems fair. 

He was afforded a luxurious entry into the NFL, but the standard he helped build and the distinct style with which he passes and plays will be the main portions of his legacy whenever the time comes to dive fully into the idea.

WATCH: Mahomes Carrying Brady’s Torch

Mahomes’ Generational Talent Gives Chiefs Edge in Super Bowl

The Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs enjoyed impressive seasons from their starting quarterbacks culminating in a Super Bowl berth. Joe Banner breaks down Jalen Hurts’ and Patrick Mahomes’ potential ceilings as NFL quarterbacks and gives the edge in the Super Bowl to the team led by a generational talent under-center.

2023 Senior Bowl Buzz: Offseason Rumors, NFL Developments, Prospects to Watch

MOBILE, Ala. — The Senior Bowl is an annual event where more than 100 college players from across the country descend upon this Alabama city for a college all-star game and NFL draft showcase.

It’s also an unofficial NFL convention with coaches, general managers, scouts and agents all in the same vicinity for a few days, chatting it up about the latest rumblings from around the NFL. After spending a few days here and talking to different people, here are 10 takeaways:

Lamar Jackson’s Future 

No one in Mobile seemed to know what the Ravens will end up doing with Lamar Jackson or how Lamar is going to react if talks continue to go the wrong way. I asked a few people where they want to see Jackson next season, and the overwhelming answer: Atlanta.

It’s not that crazy when you remind yourself that this very team made a strong push to get Deshaun Watson last offseason. Jackson could be very effective in an offense with Kyle Pitts and Drake London, and with the run scheme Arthur Smith has incorporated.

>> READ: Ravens, Jackson Talks Going in Wrong Direction

 

Wilson-Payton Marriage

The Sean Payton-to-Denver news was the talk of Mobile for a day when the story broke around 3:15 local time on Wednesday. Speaking to a few people who know Payton, the one common word was “demanding.” Payton is going to be tough, and sometimes it’s going to be annoying. And as a result, multiple people said Russell Wilson is going to have to be willing to change in order for this to work.

Payton is different than Pete Carroll, and he’s way different than Nathaniel Hackett. But it’s worth noting that in 2021, Wilson had Payton’s New Orleans Saints on his list of four teams — along with Chicago, Dallas and Las Vegas —he’d accept a trade to. How these two mesh will be something to watch next season.

Tight End Market Resetting?

The tight end market has not moved as other markets have in recent years. A big part of it was Rob Gronkowski signing a 6-year, $54 million deal in 2012 that locked him up through the 2019 season. Teams were not willing to give their own tight ends more than Gronkowski, which slowed the market for years while other positions continued to reset. George Kittle and Travis Kelce finally got the market moving again a few of years ago, but tight ends are still far behind, with receivers making nearly double what tight ends are earning. 

Agents in Mobile wondered if T.J. Hockenson could be the next guy to reset the market. Minnesota acquired Hockenson from Detroit before the trade deadline, sending a package that included a second-round pick to its divisional rival. Hockenson immediately made an impact, catching 70 passes for 648 yards in 11 games (10 in the regular season, one in the postseason).

Considering what Minnesota gave up to get him and the impact he made in Kevin O’Connell’s offense, Hockenson has an argument to push for a record-breaking new deal – something that would make other tight ends and agents very happy.

Market is Forming for Carr

The Raiders have been taking calls on quarterback Derek Carr, who has $40.4 million in injury-guaranteed salary that becomes fully guaranteed on Feb. 15. GM Dave Ziegler was at the Senior Bowl and there was plenty of buzz that conversations have started with a number of teams.

Carr having a no-trade clause could complicate matters, but Adam Schefter reported on Friday that the Raiders have granted Carr permission to speak to teams that have agreed on compensation should a trade be consummated.

Keep an eye on the NFC South, where all four teams could be looking to upgrade their current QB rooms.

Brady Retirement Is Real Deal

For the second straight year, Tom Brady announced his retirement during Senior Bowl week. Unlike last time, everyone agreed this one is for real.

Injury Kept Levis Home

Kentucky’s Will Levis did not participate in this year’s Senior Bowl, but he had a real reason: He’s been dealing with a toe injury and would not have been able to do anything. In its latest mock draft, The 33rd Team Scouting Department has Levis going to the Indianapolis Colts after a trade-up to No. 3.

Bennett Stock Dropping

As for Georgia’s Stetson Bennett, plenty of people were not happy with him when I asked about the quarterback.

“We talked to Stetson’s people,” executive director Jim Nagy said. “They were not interested.”

To make matters worse, Bennett was arrested for public intoxication on Jan. 29. People I spoke to pegged the two-time national champion as a late Day 3 pick.

Rising Stock

Players garnering the most buzz from scouts I spoke to:

>> READ: Senior Bowl’s Biggest Money-Makers

 

Belief Rodgers Trade Will Happen

Most people I spoke to believe Aaron Rodgers and the Packers will mutually agree it’s time to look for a trade partner this offseason.

Rodgers’ mind does work in mysterious ways, but does anyone really think he’ll retire and walk away from $60 million guaranteed? And as Rodgers said on the Pat McAfee Show a couple of weeks ago: “The Packers have had this interesting view on personnel that it’s better to move on from a guy a year before he’s done than a year after.”

Rodgers’ contract was structured in a way that trading him this offseason would be the time to do it. Most people think it’s going to happen.

>> READ: 2 Trade Destinations for Aaron Rodgers

 

Officiating Problems

Officiating has become a major problem in the NFL. Front offices are upset. Fans are livid. The competition committee is sick and tired of this being such a big topic year every year. “NFL Rigged” trending on social media is a terrible look, and the NFL knows it. The one common answer I got when talking to people is that the league needs to go all-in on having a full-time “Sky Judge”.

Stationed in the press box, a booth umpire would have access to all video angles and would help overturn any clear and obvious errors, and he or she would have an open line to on-field officials in all aspects of officiating. Everyone recognizes that being an official is not an easy job. Making split-second decisions with the naked eye while trying to avoid being trampled by players is a tough task. But there’s a solution, and coaches from around the league have supported the idea over the last few offseasons. The integrity of the game depends on it.

 

Andy Reid Was Destined to Be a Successful Head Coach

Kansas City Chiefs coach Andy Reid impressed Joe Banner when he was a candidate for the vacant Philadelphia Eagles head coaching position in 1999. He was prepared, covered all his bases and showed great confidence. Banner discusses with Jade McCarthy what went into the hiring process with Reid and how it was a no-brainer at the end of the day.

NFL’s Best Teams Are Fearless, Aggressive, Overcome Obstacles

The best NFL teams seem to consistently make aggressive, fearless choices allowing them to overcome obstacles at every point in the season. Joe Banner explains why it’s possible to sort out the winners and losers in the league, and in life, by finding those who get it done despite the obstacles and why the Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles are great examples of organizations doing just that.

Super Bowl LVII Player Props to Target

Josh Larky, Ryan Reynolds and Ben Wolby provide you with eight Super Bowl player props to take ahead of next Sunday’s Eagles-Chiefs matchup. For each line, they provide their detailed reasoning behind betting on the specific prop.

The implied probabilities are included along with the odds to make the mathematical intuition easier. If a prop has odds of -110, this implies it should hit 52.4% of the time. So, if we take a -110 prop, we expect it to hit more often than 52.4%.

Patrick Mahomes Over 24.5 Completions – Ryan Reynolds

Odds: -125 (55.6%) on BetMGM

  • Patrick Mahomes has been over in 11 of 19 games
  • The Kansas City Chiefs are the most pass-centric offense in the league
  • I expect more short throws to help manage pressure, given the state of Mahomes’ ankle
  • The Chiefs’ perimeter receivers are in below-average matchups, so lay-up passes should be heavily featured

 

Jalen Hurts Over 21.5 Completions – Josh Larky

Odds: +102 (49.5%) on FanDuel

  • Jalen Hurts was over this number in just five of 17 games played this year. However, I really like this line for the Super Bowl because of the matchup
  • Quarterbacks averaged 36.7 pass attempts and 24.1 completions per game against the Chiefs this year
    • That 24.1 completions per game figure is even getting dragged down because Malik Willis completed just five passes in Week 9
  • In 15 of 19 games this year, the opposing quarterback was over against Kansas City
  • The only QBs under this number were:

Hurts Longest Rush OVER 13.5 Yards – Ben Wolby

Odds: -110 (52.4%) on DraftKings

  • Last week, I took Joe Burrow’s longest rush over 9.5 yards
    • Burrow had rushes of 11 and 14 yards against the Chiefs last week
  • Quarterbacks rush against Kansas City at the third-highest rate this year, and they’re fairly efficient in doing so
  • The Chiefs allowed 11 rushes of 14 or more yards to QBs, the second-most in the NFL
  • Hurts’ rush attempts line is 10.5, and he’s averaging 10 non-kneel-downs per game
  • Hurts is fifth in rushes of 14 or more yards and had 11 in the regular season
    • But, including the playoffs and looking at a per-game basis (he missed time), he’s averaging just less than one per game but is fourth on a per-game basis
  • Hurts had a run of 14 yards last week against the 49ers, the second-best rush DVOA team in the NFL (the Chiefs are 15th), which came in the third quarter when up by two TDs

Miles Sanders Over 57.5 Yards Rushing – Wolby

Odds: -115 (53.5%) on BetMGM

  • If you’ve followed along this season, you know I love taking Miles Sanders overs against bottom-tier rush DVOA teams
    • The Chiefs are ranked 15th but have been the second-worst through the playoffs among playoff teams
  • Last week, Samaje Perine and Joe Mixon combined for just 40 yards rushing, but Travis Etienne had 62 yards rushing on just ten carries the week prior
  • In games that Hurts has started, Sanders is averaging 76 yards rushing per game and is over in nine of 15
    • Three of those six losses were against top-10 rush DVOA teams

Jerick McKinnon Under 21.5 Yards Rushing – Larky

Odds: -110 (52.4%) on DraftKings

 

  • Jerick McKinnon has five or fewer carries in four of his past five games
  • McKinnon has seven or fewer yards rushing in four of his past five games
  • McKinnon has only beaten this number once in the past five games when he carried a season-high 11 times for 25 yards against Jacksonville
  • McKinnon is averaging just 1.8 yards per carry over the past five games
  • The Eagles are not a great run defense, but they’ve been roughly league-average the past two months
  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire was nearly activated ahead of the AFC Conference Championship game, and he should be active for the Super Bowl in two weeks
    • Assuming Edwards-Helaire is activated, McKinnon’s rushing line should drop precipitously

McKinnon Longest Rush Under 8.5 Yards – Larky

Odds: -105 (51.2%) on DraftKings

  • Only seven of his 87 carries this year were over this number
    • That’s just one in 12.4 carries over this number for McKinnon
  • Only one of his past five games was more than five carries
  • Eleven carries is the most he’s had in any game this season
  • He’s averaged 1.8 yards per carry during his past five games
  • Edwards-Helaire may be activated ahead of this game, stealing carries from McKinnon
  • The Eagles’ run defense is roughly league-average during the past two months

Dallas Goedert Over 46.5 Yards Receiving – Reynolds

Odds: -114 (53.3%) on FanDuel

Mahomes Under 20.5 Yards Rushing – Josh Larky

Odds: -120 (54.6%) on DraftKings

  • Mahomes will be three weeks removed from the high-ankle sprain come the Super Bowl
    • Full recovery generally takes 4-6 weeks, so he shouldn’t have his normal mobility back yet
  • Mahomes was under this number in nine of 19 games this year.
  • Mahomes averaged 21 yards rushing per game during the regular season when fully healthy
  • This line is similar to his season average, not baking in the ankle issue
  • In the past two games with this injury, Mahomes has run three times for eight yards in each contest

We hope you enjoyed reading through these eight Super Bowl player props. As always, please bet responsibly.

WATCH: Super Bowl LVII Betting Preview

NFL Betting: Early Super Bowl LVII Preview, Player Props, Predictions

Super Bowl LVII between the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles is coming up, and apart from watching the big game, the next most exciting thing is betting on it. Josh Larky, Ryan Reynolds and Chris Farley get together to preview several storylines, including betting lines, player injuries and player props to monitor as the game approaches.

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