NFL Analysis

3/18/24

10 min read

2024 NFL Draft: Ranking Top 11 Quarterback Prospects

LSU Quarterback Jayden Daniels throws a pass pre-game
Nov 25, 2023; Baton Rouge, Louisiana, USA; LSU Tigers quarterback Jayden Daniels (5) during warmups before the game against the Texas A&M Aggies at Tiger Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Stephen Lew-USA TODAY Sports

The 2024 NFL Draft is quickly approaching, and this year's quarterback class has several high-caliber passers. Several quarterbacks are expected to be selected high in the first round, with plenty more going in the middle rounds.

Here's a look at our top 11 quarterback prospects.

>> READ MORE: Full 2024 Draft Board

RANKING 2024 Quarterback PROSPECTS

11. Michael Pratt, Tulane

Big Board Rank: 198

Height: 6-foot-3

Weight: 220

Michael Pratt projects as a backup quarterback who fits best in a read-option, quick-throw offensive scheme. He has natural arm talent and throws the ball with ease. He throws like a shortstop, which allows him to look natural on the run or when off-platform.

This impacts his deep ball, as there is not enough air under it. Pratt’s vision is below average, and he misses open receivers too often. He has surprising velocity and can make a few NFL throws, but he puts the ball in harm’s way too often, despite the low turnover number.

Pratt is overly reliant on his arm strength and makes numerous ill-advised throws. His accuracy improved in college, but his spot-on accuracy is still a concern, particularly on the deep ball. Pratt is a mobile quarterback who can threaten the defense on designed runs or scrambles, but this is a go-to far too often for him.

>> READ MORE: Pratt's Full Scouting Report


10. Jordan Travis, Florida State

Big Board Rank: 194

Height: 6-foot-1

Weight: 212

Jordan Travis projects as a backup quarterback at the next level. He's coming off a devastating ankle injury that cut his 2023 season short. Travis should fit well in a run-centric system that utilizes play action and allows him to use his legs.

He leverages his mobility on designed runs and scrambles to extend plays. Travis does a good job keeping his eyes downfield while he keeps plays alive. He has a quick, compact but whippy release and shows up in clutch situations.

Travis has brought the Seminoles back from deficits to win games on multiple occasions. He struggles with his weight transfer, falling back and off throws, and throwing with a wide base, which leads to off-target throws and poor accuracy.

Additionally, he’s erratic, especially on the run and under pressure. Travis senses pressure well and shows poise, but he gets sped up too much and makes bad decisions too often.

>> READ MORE: Travis' Full Scouting Report


9. Austin Reed, Western Kentucky

Big Board Rank: 190

Height: 6-foot-2

Weight: 222

Austin Reed projects as a backup quarterback in a West Coast offense that prioritizes the quick game. He has an electric release that gets the ball to his receivers with velocity and can fit the ball into some tight windows on short throws.

He shows good pocket awareness against rushes to escape the pocket and keep plays alive. On the move, he keeps his eyes downfield and has the athleticism to make passes from different angles and body positions.

Reed struggles with sloppy footwork and inconsistent mechanics, which can affect his accuracy, especially on deeper throws. He often stares down his first read, which allows underneath defenders to close and undercut his throws, especially when he struggles to take some velocity off and layer his throws.

Reed possesses some athleticism that allows him to be a threat in the run game.

>> READ MORE: Reed's Full Scouting Report


8. Spencer Rattler, South Carolina

Big Board Rank: 116

Height: 6-foot-1

Weight: 217

Spencer Rattler played in South Carolina’s shotgun-heavy offense. The Gamecocks utilized play-action a good amount, especially when pushing the ball down the field vertically.

Rattler was a highly-regarded prospect out of high school and originally started his collegiate career at Oklahoma. He spent three seasons there and started for the majority of the 2020 and 2021 seasons, but eventually lost his job to fellow 2024 draft prospect Caleb Williams.

In 2022, Rattler transferred to South Carolina where he started 25 games, totaling 42 starts in 48 collegiate games. He has a sufficient frame but lacks some height. He is a sufficient athlete for the position but won’t overwhelm defenses with his ability to extend plays with his feet.

Rattler is a passionate player who has experienced ups and downs in college. He is a tough competitor on the field and shows some leadership qualities.

>> READ MORE: Rattler's Full Scouting Report


7. Bo Nix, Oregon

Big Board Rank: 113

Height: 6-foot-2

Weight: 217

Bo Nix projects as a quality backup at the next level, who has enough ability to be an effective quarterback in standard down-and-distance situations but will struggle in obvious dropback situations when teams tend to play tighter coverage and/or dial-up pressure.

He is proficient in the quick game, but his accuracy will not help optimize YAC, which is not ideal for West Coast offenses that would otherwise suit his skill set.

The Ducks were primarily an 11-personnel spread team with a gap-heavy run game and a passing game that emphasized low and high horizontal stretch concepts, with lots of screens and RPO elements.

He missed the final three games of the 2021 season because of a broken ankle. Nix is a good athlete with the speed and elusiveness to threaten a defense when needed. He has a sufficient build for the position. Nix is also visibly emotional on the field and a tough competitor, with players rallying behind him at Auburn and Oregon.

>> READ MORE: Nix's Full Scouting Report


6. Joe Milton, Tennessee

Big Board Rank: 110

Height: 6-foot-5

Weight: 235

Joe Milton projects as a circumstantial starting quarterback in an RPO-heavy offense. He has all the physical traits needed to become an NFL starter, including the arm talent to make every throw.

Still, he has too much inconsistency in his accuracy, footwork and processing to do so right away. He doesn’t have a ton of starts or snaps under his belt for a college quarterback, so allowing him to get into an NFL system, learn how to be a pro and get some practice reps will do him a ton of good in his first few seasons.

Milton was at Michigan from 2018-2020. He played in 14 games there, making five starts during the 2020 season. He then transferred to Tennessee where he started 16 of 29 games. 

>> READ MORE: Milton's Full Scouting Report


5. J.J. McCarthy, Michigan

Big Board Rank: 88

Height: 6-foot-3

Weight: 212

J.J. McCarthy projects to be a circumstantial starting quarterback with the potential of developing into a “win-with” level quarterback.

He will be best served playing in an offensive scheme that utilizes motions and play action to a high degree. While the flashes of playmaking ability stand out, the level of consistency with which McCarthy plays must improve. He won’t be the most talented quarterback at the next level, but if he can improve his decision-making and ability to play with anticipation, he can raise his floor.

He was the point guard in an offense that relied heavily on its power-run game and play-action passing. Michigan utilized a good amount of pre-snap motion to scheme up receivers downfield as well. McCarthy played in 40 games during a three-year span and was a starter for 28 consecutive games in the past two seasons.

>> READ MORE: McCarthy's Full Scouting Report


4. Michael Penix Jr., Washington

Big Board Rank: 77

Height: 6-foot-3

Weight: 213

Michael Penix projects as a top backup or circumstantial starting quarterback at the next level. He can function in most systems but fits best into an offense that utilizes his quick release in the RPO game and also allows him to take shots down the field off play action.

Penix has had a ton of time to develop while in college but has spent a good amount of that time rehabbing from injuries, so he might not yet be at his full ceiling.

He has above-average mobility and can make throws from awkward arm angles/bases. He can also throw the ball deep at a high level. His short and intermediate accuracy can be spotty and inconsistent, but when he is on, he can make any throw on the field.

>> READ MORE: Penix's Full Scouting Report


3. Jayden Daniels, LSU

Big Board Rank: 25

Height: 6-foot-4

Weight: 210

Jayden Daniels projects as a “win-with” starting quarterback at the next level, with real flashes of “win because of” traits.

Daniels best fits a spread offense that will allow him to use his strong arm to drive the ball downfield while also allowing him to take off and use his legs when needed. He is an accurate passer with a strong arm, but he needs to clean up some of his mechanics with pressure around him and throw with better anticipation.

Daniels is a five-year collegiate player, starting all 55 games he appeared in, beginning his first three years at Arizona State, then transferring to LSU, where he played these past two seasons.

He is the desired height for the position. However, he is rail thin and should add a little mass to his frame. He is a fantastic athlete, with twitchy movements and breakaway speed to match. His competitiveness and toughness are evident. He can play through physical contact as a runner and in the pocket.

>> READ MORE: Daniels' Full Scouting Report


2. Drake Maye, North Carolina North Carolina Tar Heels logo

Big Board Rank: 7

Height: 6-foot-4

Weight: 230

Drake Maye projects to become a strong starting quarterback with “win with” ability. At this time, he is best suited for and can be effective in a spread scheme with lots of deep shots, simplified half-field reads and opportunities for improvisation.

If he develops the ability to anticipate and progress through reads, the sky is the limit for him, with an upside comparable to Justin Herbert's.

He played in 30 games in three seasons at UNC, including starting all 14 games in 2022 and their 12 regular-season games in 2023 before declaring for the draft. Maye is a young prospect who is still growing into his body. However, he already shows good size, arm strength and athletic ability for the position.

He is a tough player who was the clear leader of the offense, even as a redshirt freshman.

>> READ MORE: Maye's Full Scouting Report


1. Caleb Williams, USC

Big Board Rank: 2

Height: 6-foot-1

Weight: 215

Caleb Williams projects as a ”win because of” franchise quarterback who can thrive in an offense that blends RPOs with traditional dropbacks and will utilize his athleticism. His dynamic playmaking ability and three-level accuracy will dictate his early success or struggles as he develops NFL-level footwork and mechanics.

Williams' offensive line forced him to be special at USC. A better one in the NFL should limit the number of special plays he has to make. He will not throw many interceptions due to his ball placement and decision-making, but if he starts big-play hunting, he could be susceptible to throwing more.

At USC, Williams started all 26 games he played. Before USC, he spent his first year under Lincoln Riley at Oklahoma, playing in 11 games and starting the final seven games of 2021.

Williams has a relatively clean injury history other than a hamstring injury in the 2022 PAC-12 title game and a finger injury in 2023. Although slightly undersized, he withstands hits with toughness, which his teammates rally around. This leads to a hero-ball mentality that, with his accuracy, often leads to big plays.

>> READ MORE: Williams' Full Scouting Report

Analysis

3/18/24

1 min read

2024 NFL Draft: Breaking Down the Top 3 Offensive Tackles

Mike Martz studies The 33rd Team's top-ranked offensive tackles in the 2024 NFL Draft. While he sees the power and potential in Olu Fashanu and JC Latham, Martz isn't as impressed with Joe Alt and wouldn't draft him in the top 10.

Expert Analysis

3/18/24

8 min read

2024 NFL Free Agency: This Year's Most Underrated Signings

Safety Kamren Curl breaks up a pass
Safety Kamren Curl breaks up a pass for the Washington Commanders against the Dallas Cowboys. (Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports)

Over the past week, NFL teams have signed hundreds of players for millions of dollars. While the biggest players and the most millions will get much of the focus, some of the smaller signings will prove to make just as much of an impact for the coming season. With that in mind, we’re going to take a look at a few of the most underrated signings in free agency.

All data provided by TruMedia unless noted otherwise.

Most Underrated 2024 Free Agent Signings

Kam Curl, SAF, Los Angeles Rams

Kam Curl remains one of the league’s most underrated players and a two-year deal of $9 million, worth up to $13 million, is proof. Not only is that contract well below what Curl should be worth — at max value, the $6.5 million average is just 21st among safeties — but he landed in a perfect spot for his skill set.

During his tenure in Washington, the former seventh-round pick spent 44 percent of his snaps deep, 27 percent in the box, 21 percent in the slot and six percent at the line of scrimmage. He can be used just about anywhere that is needed. 

The Los Angeles Rams have been a defense built around disguise throughout the different defensive coordinators during the Sean McVay era. Last season, they had the third-lowest rate of static looks in the league.

A player such as Curl will only help that given how many spots he can play at before and after the snap. He’s an effective blitzer, a strong run defender and can hold up in coverage. In Washington, especially in 2023, he was responsible for cleaning up some messes in front of him, which took away some of his overall impact.

Giving Curl the ability to move around more freely in a better-coordinated defense and a better secondary could unlock another level of a player who has been one of the league’s best at his position while not many noticed.


Running back Zack Moss scores a touchdown for the Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis Colts running back Zack Moss (21) slides into the end zone for a touchdown while being chased by Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers Elandon Roberts (50) and Mykal Walker (38) at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis. (The Indianapolis Star)

Zack Moss, RB, Cincinnati Bengals

There was a lot of early movement on the running back market but that doesn’t mean good deals were nonexistent. The Cincinnati Bengals signed Zack Moss for two years and $8 million with just $3 million guaranteed.

Moss has been an efficient back, and he filled in admirably as the starting back for Indianapolis when Jonathan Taylor was out last season. Most of his numbers compare favorably to Taylor in the same backfield after Taylor signed a three-year extension for $42 million. 

Last year, Moss was fifth in rushing yards over expectation per rush according to Next Gen Stats, while Taylor was 15th.

Moss won’t have to be Taylor in Cincinnati’s backfield, but he’s more than capable of taking advantage of an offense that creates space with how often it uses 11 personnel.

At its best, the Bengals offense has operated out of the shotgun, and Moss was ninth in success rate on runs out of the shotgun last season. The Colts had the second-highest rate of snaps in shotgun last season (90.2 percent) and the Bengals were third (84.4 percent).

One thing Moss does not bring is an extensive history as a pass catcher, but some of that comes from the schemes he was in that did not often feature running back passes as more than a check-down option. Last season, Moss only ran three screen routes while Joe Mixon had 21. 

Mixon’s receiving involvement was much greater than Moss’, but Moss had more targets (19) and receptions (15) beyond the line of scrimmage than Mixon (12 vs. 10). There are also flashes of what Moss can be as a receiver, like his leaping touchdown over Patrick Queen on a wheel route in Week 3.

>>READ: Hot Running Back Market Won't Last Long


Anthony Walker Jr., LB, Miami Dolphins

Anthony Walker Jr. has been an impactful linebacker in the middle of the Cleveland defense. His problem has been staying on the field. Walker played 13 games in 2021, three in 2022 and 12 in 2023. Last season, a knee injury in practice forced him to have arthroscopic surgery and put him on injured reserve to end the season.

Despite playing three games in 2022, Cleveland re-signed him on a one-year deal for 2023, and he was voted a defensive captain. In his 12 games, Walker had a productive season with a tackle on 16.1 percent of his run defense snaps. He was also 13th among linebackers in yards allowed per coverage snap.

The Miami Dolphins have the injury risk baked into Walker’s contract, which is for just one year and $1.3 million. Even for half a season of work, that will be worth it when Walker is on the field.

Miami also signed Jordyn Brooks for a reasonable three-year, $26.25 million to be the top linebacker. While Brooks has improved as a coverage linebacker throughout his career, it is still the weak point of his game.

Now with Walker, and 2022 nerd-favorite value signing David Long, there will be some help in coverage to complement Brooks and take some of that load off his plate. 


Cincinnati Bengals free agent signing Geno Stone
Geno Stone talks about joining the Cincinnati Bengals as a free agent. (The Cincinnati Enquirer)

Geno Stone, SAF, Cincinnati Bengals

The Bengals made a monetary choice last offseason when they allowed Jessie Bates to leave in free agency. Cincinnati went young to replace him last season with 2022 first-round pick Dax Hill and 2023 third-round pick Jordan Battle, along with Nick Scott, who signed a three-year, $12 million deal last offseason but was released last week.

Hill and Battle had flashes of good play, but the Bengals ranked 22nd in DVOA against deep passes last season. To shore that up, the team signed Geno Stone to a two-year, $14 million deal. In Baltimore, Geno Stone was often the deep safety who allowed other defensive backs to move around the secondary.

He was quite good in that role and led the league with seven interceptions in 2023 as the Ravens were first in DVOA against deep passes. Stone has the range to sit back and patrol the deep part of the field with 80 percent of his snaps deep and 11.4 percent as a single-high middle-of-the-field defender.

Stone allows the Bengals multiple ways to deploy their defensive backs. Cincinnati also signed Vonn Bell, who was with the Bengals from 2020-2022 and bounced around from playing deep in split-safety looks with Bates, in the box, and in the slot.

Between Stone, Bell, Hill and Battle, the Bengals are using just $11.5 million in cap space on safeties with two solid veterans and two young players who can continue to move around the secondary and develop.


Jonnu Smith, TE, Miami Dolphins

This might be cheating a little bit since Jonnu Smith was released and signed before free agency started, but that doesn’t make his addition any less impactful. Smith was meme fodder for getting opportunities over Kyle Pitts in Atlanta, but his skill set is useful and will play in the Miami offense. 

Smith signed a two-year, $8.4 million contract that only has $3.96 million guaranteed, and he will slide into an offense that didn’t get much out of the tight end position last season. Part of that is by design because of how much of the passing game goes through WRs Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, but with those two creating space for others in the middle of the field, Smith can take the ball and run with it, literally.

Smith’s signing gives the Dolphins three of the top 25 receivers by yards after the catch per reception for the 2023 season — Smith (7.1, sixth), Waddle (5.8, 15th), and Hill (5.5, 22nd).

Putting Smith on the field gives the Dolphins a legitimate third or fourth option who can create the type of explosive plays the offense is built around. Being a low-volume, high-efficiency target should be the best type of role for Smith, and he’ll get the opportunity to find open space while the secondary is more concerned with stopping the wide receiver duo.


Tennessee Titans defensive end Denico Autry (96) sacks Houston Texans quarterback Case Keenum (18) at Nissan Stadium. (Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports)

Denico Autry, EDGE, Houston Texans

Few players have been more consistent than Denico Autry. He’s had at least 10 quarterback hits in each of the past seven seasons with his best three seasons coming in the past three where he’s 25th among defenders over those combined seasons. Not bad for a player who turns 34 in July.

Autry will get to be a super third rusher for the Houston Texans behind Will Anderson Jr. and Danielle Hunter, who also signed with the Texans.

At 285 pounds, Autry is a bigger edge rusher who can use that mass to take up space and defend the run while he can also use speed off the edge. At his size, he can also wreck guards — on stunts and while lined up inside.

Without Maliek Collins inside, the Texans could use a bit more pass rush and on passing downs, could run out Anderson, Hunter, and Autry together. 

Houston signed Autry for two years and $20 million. The Texans can start to replicate the San Francisco defensive line that had a deep rotation of pass rushers to keep fresh on the field. At 34, it could also help keep Autry fresh after he played 17 games just twice in his career, though those were two of the past three seasons.

NFL Analysis

3/18/24

15 min read

NFL Mock Draft 2024: Latest Predictions After First Week of Free Agency

Free agency has undoubtedly changed the NFL landscape and will have a massive impact on the draft in April. What could Round 1 look like now that the first week of free agency is completed?

Here is our updated 2024 NFL mock draft.

2024 NFL MOCK DRAFT

1. Chicago Bears

Caleb Williams, QB, USC

Height: 6-foot-1
Weight: 215 pounds
Class: Junior

Fit: There are no changes at the top, as Caleb Williams is the consensus No. 1 pick. He'll have a new weapon to throw to after the Chicago Bears traded for Keenan Allen on Thursday. Surrounding Williams with talent at the skill positions will allow him to succeed immediately in the NFL.

2. Washington Commanders

Jayden Daniels, QB, LSU

Height: 6-foot-4
Weight: 210 pounds
Class: Senior

Fit: The Seattle Seahawks traded for Sam Howell, so there is no doubt that the Washington Commanders will take a quarterback at No. 2. However, the signing of Marcus Mariota could help signal which passer is picked here. Jayden Daniels is the better fit in Kliff Kingsbury’s offense and should be able to produce immediately with all of the Commanders’ weapons.

3. New England Patriots

Drake Maye, QB, North Carolina

Height: 6-foot-4
Weight: 230 pounds
Class: RS Sophomore

Fit: Could the New England Patriots shock us all and go with another Michigan quarterback here? That has been the scuttlebutt around the league, but we aren’t buying it. Drake Maye is the superior quarterback prospect, and the Patriots should be running to the podium if he is available at No. 3.

4. Arizona Cardinals

Marvin Harrison Jr., WR, Ohio State

Height: 6-foot-4
Weight: 205 pounds
Class: Junior

Fit: Outside Williams to the Bears at No. 1, there might not be a more secure lock in Round 1 than Marvin Harrison Jr. to the Arizona Cardinals. Arizona desperately needs a No. 1 receiver, and just this week, they lost Marquise Brown (free agency) and Rondale Moore (trade). Harrison Jr. might be the best overall player in this class, but with three quarterbacks drafted in a row, he falls to No. 4.

TRADE

MIN receives: Round 1 (No. 5)

LAC receives: Round 1 (No. 11), Round 1 (No. 23), 2025 Third-Round Pick


5. Minnesota Vikings

J.J. McCarthy, QB, Michigan

Michigan Wolverines quarterback J.J. McCarthy (9) drops to pass during the second half of the Big Ten Championship game on Dec. 2, 2023, against the Iowa Hawkeyes at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis. (Trevor Ruszkowski-USA TODAY Sports)

Height: 6-foot-2
Weight: 219 pounds
Class: Junior

Fit: The Minnesota Vikings acquired pick No. 23 from the Houston Texans on Friday, which signals they want to trade up in Round 1. The Philadelphia Eagles did this in 2016 when targeting Carson Wentz in Round 1. The talk around the league is that J.J. McCarthy will be a top-five selection, and this would be how that gets done.

6. New York Giants

Malik Nabers, WR, LSU

Malik Nabers runs along the sideline
Malik Nabers (8) runs with the ball as the LSU Tigers take on Texas A&M in Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge, La.

Height: 6-foot
Weight: 200 pounds
Class: Junior

Fit: If Malik Nabers falls to No. 6, this would be a home-run selection for the New York Giants. New York needs a No. 1 receiver, and Nabers isn't that far off as a prospect from Harrison Jr. Expect Rome Odunze to be considered for the Giants at No. 6 as well.

7. Tennessee Titans

Taliese Fuaga, OT, Oregon State

Oregon State Beavers offensive lineman Taliese Fuaga (75) blocks Stanford Cardinal linebacker Levani Damuni (3) at Stanford Stadium. (Darren Yamashita-USA TODAY Sports)

Height: 6-foot-6
Weight: 324 pounds
Class: Junior

Fit: The first surprise of the draft comes at No. 7, with the Tennessee Titans drafting an offensive lineman. That's not a surprise, as they've been expected to pick an offensive tackle here. But the selection of Taliese Fuaga over Joe Alt would undoubtedly be a shock. However, Fuaga is worthy of a top-10 pick. His size, athleticism and power could better fit what Bill Callahan wants at left tackle, so don’t be surprised if Fuaga is the first offensive tackle off the board in April. 

8. Atlanta Falcons

Dallas Turner, Edge, Alabama

Dallas Turner sacks Texas A&M's quarterback
Texas A&M Aggies quarterback Max Johnson (14) attempts a pass as Alabama Crimson Tide linebacker Dallas Turner (15) applies defensive pressure during the fourth quarter at Kyle Field. (Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports)

Height: 6-foot-2
Weight: 247 pounds
Class: Junior

Fit: After making significant upgrades on offense in free agency, including the signing of Kirk Cousins, the Atlanta Falcons can use the draft to focus on their defense. Dallas Turner is the best defender in the class. He would be an excellent fit in Raheem Morris' defense. The Falcons need a premiere edge rusher, and Turner could be a 10-sack player as a rookie.

9. Chicago Bears 

Joe Alt, OT, Notre Dame

Notre Dame offensive lineman Joe Alt (76) blocks Stanford linebacker Jordan Fox (10) at Stanford Stadium. (Darren Yamashita-USA TODAY Sports)

Height: 6-foot-8
Weight: 321 pounds
Class: Junior

Fit: The Bears don’t really need a left tackle, with Braxton Jones playing well in Year 2. But Joe Alt is too good of a value to pass up here. With four quarterbacks and two wide receivers picked in the top six, it allows a talent like Alt to fall to No. 9. The Bears can start Alt at left tackle and solidify their offensive line in front of Williams.

10. New York Jets

Rome Odunze, WR, Washington

Washington Huskies wide receiver Rome Odunze
Washington Huskies wide receiver Rome Odunze (1) celebrates a touchdown during the second quarter against the Oregon State Beavers at Reser Stadium. (Craig Strobeck-USA TODAY Sports)

Height: 6-foot-3
Weight: 212 pounds
Class: Sophomore

Fit: Now that the New York Jets signed Tyron Smith and acquired Morgan Moses (via trade), the offensive line isn't the No. 1 priority. Instead, they can add a playmaker to pair with Garrett Wilson. Rome Odunze is one of the cleanest players in the draft and would be a fantastic No. 2 receiver in New York.

It seems unlikely that he will fall this far in April's draft, but that's the case here, with four quarterbacks and two offensive tackles selected in the top nine picks.

11. Los Angeles Chargers

Brock Bowers, TE, Georgia

Georgia Bulldogs tight end Brock Bowers (19) runs after a catch against the Mississippi Rebels in the second quarter at Sanford Stadium. (Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports)

Height: 6-foot-3
Weight: 243 pounds
Class: Junior

Fit: Early in the draft process, Brock Bowers was almost always mocked to the Los Angeles Chargers at No. 5. But his stock has taken a hit after not working out at the NFL Combine or Georgia's Pro Day. Still, grabbing him at No. 11 after the Chargers traded down would be quite the pickup for Jim Harbaugh.

12. Denver Broncos

Quinyon Mitchell, CB, Toledo

Toledo Rockets cornerback Quinyon Mitchell breaks up a pass.
Toledo Rockets cornerback Quinyon Mitchell (27) breaks up a pass intended for Miami (OH) Redhawks wide receiver Gage Larvadain (10) in the third quarter at Ford Field. (Lon Horwedel-USA TODAY Sports)

Height: 6-foot
Weight: 195 pounds
Class: Senior

Fit: The Denver Broncos miss out on the top four quarterbacks in this draft and have to pivot to defense in Round 1. The Broncos select Quinyon Mitchell to pair with Patrick Surtain II to give them one of the best cornerback duos in the NFL.

13. Las Vegas Raiders

Terrion Arnold, CB, Alabama

Alabama Crimson Tide defensive back Terrion Arnold (3) carries the ball after an interception against the Mississippi Rebels at Bryant-Denny Stadium. (Butch Dill-USA TODAY Sports)

Height: 6-foot
Weight: 189 pounds
Class: Junior

Fit: The Las Vegas Raiders must find a No. 1 cornerback to pair with Nate Hobbs and Jack Jones. They luck out with Terrion Arnold falling to No. 13. While he isn’t the most outstanding athlete at cornerback, he’s tough, physical and fundamentally sound. Arnold can play in the slot and outside, making him a steal at No. 13.

14. New Orleans Saints

Byron Murphy, IDL, Texas

Texas Longhorns defensive lineman Byron Murphy II (90) celebrates sacking the Iowa State Cyclones quarterback at Jack Trice Stadium in Ames, Iowa. (Aaron E. Martinez-USA TODAY Sports)

Height: 6-foot
Weight: 297 pounds
Class: Junior

Fit: You can make a strong case that Byron Murphy II is this draft class's most complete defensive player. On top of solid production, Murphy tested off the charts at the NFL Combine and projects as a high-end pass rusher in the NFL.

The New Orleans Saints need more interior pass rush and pairing him with Bryan Breese would make them challenging to block up front.

15. Indianapolis Colts

Brian Thomas Jr., WR, LSU

Brian Thomas Jr. runs after a catch
LSU Tigers wide receiver Brian Thomas Jr. (11) runs with the ball toward Wisconsin Badgers cornerback Nyzier Fourqurean (10) during the first half at Raymond James Stadium. (Matt Pendleton-USA TODAY Sports)

Height: 6-foot-3
Weight: 209 pounds
Class: Junior

Fit: Indianapolis Colts general manager Chris Ballard prioritizes athleticism above everything else. There might not be a receiver in this class who would be more appealing to him than Brian Thomas Jr. At 6-foot-3, 209 pounds, Thomas ran a blazing 4.33-second 40-yard dash at the NFL Combine. He is somewhat raw as a prospect, but pairing him with Michael Pittman Jr. for the next several seasons would give Anthony Richardson suitable weapons on offense.

16. Seattle Seahawks

Troy Fautanu, OT, Washington

Washington Huskies offensive lineman Troy Fautanu
Washington offensive lineman Troy Fautanu (55) celebrates after the Huskies scored against Oregon Ducks the first quarter at Allegiant Stadium. (Stephen R. Sylvanie-USA TODAY Sports)

Height: 6-foot-4
Weight: 317 pounds
Class: Junior

Fit: The Seattle Seahawks are intent on improving their trenches with new head coach Mike MacDonald. They could use a player like Troy Fautanu, who can play multiple offensive-line positions. Fautanu played left tackle at Washington, but he could play right tackle in the NFL or either guard spot.

He is similar to Alijah Vera-Tucker, whom the Jets selected at No. 14 in the 2021 NFL Draft. Fautanu is a rising prospect who should be a top-16 lock by the time we get to April.

17. Jacksonville Jaguars

Adonai Mitchell, WR, Texas

Adonai Mitchell runs with the ball
Texas Longhorns wide receiver Adonai Mitchell (5) runs the ball during the Big 12 Championship game against the Oklahoma State Cowboys.

Height: 6-foot-2
Weight: 205 pounds
Class: Junior

Fit: The Jacksonville Jaguars missing out on re-signing Calvin Ridley this offseason was quite surprising. That loss will hurt their offense if they don't address receiver early in the draft.

Adonai Mitchell would be a great long-term fit with Christian Kirk, as Mitchell can play on the outside and stretch the field. Running a 4.33-second 40-yard dash at the NFL Combine, Mitchell has the size and athleticism to be a No. 1 receiver in the NFL.

18. Cincinnati Bengals

Olu Fashanu, OT, Penn State

Height: 6-foot-6
Weight: 312 pounds
Class: Junior

Fit: Olu Fashanu's draft stock has fallen a bit during the offseason, but he is still a plug-and-play tackle with a lot of upside. He would be the starting right tackle in Cincinnati with Orlando Brown Jr. on the left side. 

This isn't the best fit for either the player or the team, but he is too good of a value to pass up here for the Cincinnati Bengals at No. 18.

19. Los Angeles Rams

Jared Verse, Edge, Florida State

Height: 6-foot-4
Weight: 254 pounds
Class: Junior

Fit: Aaron Donald announced his retirement last week, so the Los Angeles Rams would love to see a player like Murphy fall to replace him. But that didn't happen, and instead, they pivot to Jared Verse, one of the most well-rounded pass rushers in the draft. Upgrading the pass rush has to be priority No. 1 for the Rams during the draft and Verse falling to No. 19 gives them a steal.

20. Pittsburgh Steelers

Zach Frazier, C, West Virginia

West Virginia Mountaineers offensive lineman Zach Frazier (54) during the first quarter against the Towson Tigers at Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium. (Ben Queen-USA TODAY Sports)

Height: 6-foot-3
Weight: 313
Class: Senior

Fit: The Pittsburgh Steelers cut starting center Mason Cole ahead of free agency and have yet to address that spot. Until they do, it’s foolish to project any other position in Round 1 for the Steelers other than center. Zach Frazier is a sneaky pick for Pittsburgh because he's a perfect fit in Arthur Smith's offense. He's got the athleticism to get to the second level and the toughness to fit in well with the Steelers' culture.

21. Miami Dolphins

Cooper DeJean, CB, Iowa

Northwestern wide receiver Cam Johnson (14) tries to catch a pass as Iowa defensive back Cooper DeJean (3) defends during the first half at Wrigley Field. (David Banks-USA TODAY Sports)

Height: 6-foot-1
Weight: 207 pounds
Class: Junior

Fit: The Miami Dolphins overhauled their secondary this offseason, but they could use another versatile defensive back. Cooper DeJean can play all over the secondary, including in the slot. Jalen Ramsey and Kendall Fuller are in the later stages of their careers, so DeJean would be the perfect young cornerback to pair with them for the 2024 season.

22. Philadelphia Eagles

Nate Wiggins, CB, Clemson

Clemson cornerback Nate Wiggins
Clemson Tigers cornerback Nate Wiggins (2) smiles after breaking up a pass to South Carolina wide receiver Nyck Harbor (8) during the fourth quarter at Williams-Brice Stadium. Clemson won 16-7. (Ken Ruinard-USA TODAY Sports)

Height: 6-foot-1
Weight: 173 pounds
Class: Junior

Fit: The Philadelphia Eagles addressed several weaknesses in free agency, but cornerback was not one of them. Darius Slay and James Bradberry were both liabilities at the end of the season, and the Eagles need to get more athletic at cornerback. Nate Wiggins ran a 4.28-second 40-yard dash at the NFL Combine, precisely the speed Philadelphia has lacked.

23. Los Angeles Chargers

JC Latham, OT, Alabama

Alabama offensive lineman JC Latham
Alabama offensive lineman JC Latham (65) celebrates with a cow bell in Davis Wade Stadium at Mississippi State after Alabama's 40-17 victory. (Gary Cosby Jr.-Tuscaloosa News)

Height: 6-foot-6
Weight: 342 pounds
Class: Junior

Fit: After trading back from No. 5, the Chargers ended up with Odunze and JC Latham. This is not bad at all for Jim Harbaugh in his first draft. Latham could be a Day 1 starter at right tackle for the Chargers and give Harbaugh more size on the offensive line.

24. Dallas Cowboys

Jackson Powers-Johnson, IOL, Oregon

Oregon center Jackson Powers-Johnson
Oregon Ducks offensive lineman Jackson Powers-Johnson (58) against the Arizona State Sun Devils at Mountain America Stadium. (Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports)

Height: 6-foot-3
Weight: 334 pounds
Class: Junior

Fit: The Dallas Cowboys lost Tyler Biadasz in free agency and have yet to replace him. Jackson Powers-Johnson is a massive center who can drive defenders off the ball. The Cowboys want to be a more balanced offense moving forward, and having an anchor in the middle of their offensive line like Powers-Johnson would significantly improve the unit.

25. Green Bay Packers

Graham Barton, OL, Duke

Graham Barton Duke
Duke offensive lineman Graham Barton. (Andrew Wevers-USA TODAY Sports)

Height: 6-foot-5
Weight: 313 pounds
Class: Senior

Fit: The Green Bay Packers could use more help on their interior offensive line, and you can make a case that Graham Barton is the most versatile player in this class. He played most of his career at left tackle but has experience playing guard and center. Barton could be a Day 1 starter at guard or center for Green Bay and give Jordan Love even more help on the interior of the offensive line.

26. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Laiatu Latu, EDGE, UCLA

UCLA defensive lineman Laiatu Latu
UCLA defensive lineman Laiatu Latu (15) battles against San Diego State tight end Mark Redman (81) during the first half at Snapdragon Stadium. (Orlando Ramirez-USA TODAY Sports)

Height: 6-foot-5
Weight: 265 pounds
Class: Senior

Fit: The Tampa Bay Buccaneers hit on YaYa Diaby last year, but they need to add a pass rusher opposite him now that Shaq Barrett is no longer with the team. Laiatu Latu could go higher than this if his medicals check out, but there is a chance he could fall some on draft day. Latu is the most refined rusher in the class and could instantly impact Tampa Bay as it tries to continue its streak of NFC South titles.

27. Arizona Cardinals

Jer'Zhan Newton, IDL, Illinois

Illinois DL Jer'Zhan Newton
Illinois Fighting Illini defensive tackle Jer'Zhan Newton (4) sacks Northwestern Wildcats quarterback Ben Bryant (2) during the first half at Memorial Stadium at Champaign, Ill. (Ron Johnson-USA TODAY Sports)

Height: 6-foot-2
Weight: 295 pounds
Class: Junior

Fit: After addressing their wide receiver need at No. 4 with Harrison Jr., the Cardinals return in Round 1 and select Jer’Zhan Newton. Earlier in the draft process, Newton was widely considered a top-20 pick, but a broken foot revealed during the NFL Combine medical process dropped him a bit in mocks. Newton is a dominant interior rusher and is a significant value this late in Round 1.

28. Buffalo Bills

Darius Robinson, DL, Missouri

American defensive lineman Darius Robinson of Missouri (6) works through a defensive drill during practice for the American team at Hancock Whitney Stadium. (Vasha Hunt-USA TODAY Sports)

Height: 6-foot-5
Weight: 296 pounds
Class: Senior

Fit: Wide receiver was the Buffalo Bills' biggest need going into the offseason, but the additions of Curtis Samuel and Mack Hollins could allow them to go elsewhere in Round 1. Plus, they missed out on the top five receivers in this class, so it might make more sense to wait until Round 2.

Darius Robinson would be a fantastic fit in Buffalo because he can play multiple positions on the defensive line and rush the passer. He's only getting better and would help Buffalo's run defense immediately.

29. Detroit Lions

Jordan Morgan, OT, Arizona

 Arizona Wildcats offensive lineman Jordan Morgan
Arizona Wildcats offensive lineman Jordan Morgan (77) against the Arizona State Sun Devils during the Territorial Cup at Mountain America Stadium. (Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports)

Height: 6-foot-5
Weight: 325 pounds
Class: Senior

Fit: The Detroit Lions always want to be strong on the offensive line, and losing Jonah Jackson (Rams) is a significant loss. Jordan Morgan would be a fantastic fit in Round 1 as a potential replacement. Morgan played left tackle at Arizona but has the athleticism and power to kick inside. He could also be a possible replacement for Taylor Decker. But for now, he is a Day 1 starter at guard.

30. Baltimore Ravens

Amarius Mims, OT, Georgia

Georgia Bulldogs offensive lineman Amarius Mims (65) and offensive lineman Tate Ratledge (69) against the TCU Horned Frogs during the CFP national championship game at SoFi Stadium. (Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports)

Height: 6-foot-8
Weight: 340 pounds
Class: Junior

Fit: The Baltimore Ravens have lost multiple starters on the offensive line in free agency, and they traded starting right tackle Morgan Moses to the Jets for a Day 3 pick exchange.

Getting Amarius Mims at No. 30 is an outstanding value, and he could be a dominating run blocker in Baltimore's system. His lack of experience causes him to fall in this draft, but this would be a home-run selection for the Ravens.

31. San Francisco 49ers

Chop Robinson, EDGE, Penn State

Penn State Edge Rusher Chop Robinson
Penn State defensive end Chop Robinson (44) celebrates following a sack on Massachusetts quarterback Taisun Phommachanh (3) during the second quarter at Beaver Stadium. Penn State defeated Massachusetts 63-0. (Matthew O'Haren-USA TODAY Sports)

Height: 6-foot-3
Weight: 254
Class: Junior

Fit: The San Francisco 49ers have been searching for a pass rusher opposite Nick Bosa for a while. They finally find one in Chop Robinson. While he isn't an every-down defensive end (yet), Robinson has one of the quickest first steps you will ever see. He is incredibly athletic and brings more pass-rush prowess to a team that needs a steady complement to Bosa.

32. Kansas City Chiefs

Tyler Guyton, OT, Oklahoma

Oklahoma offensive lineman Tyler Guyton
Oklahoma Sooners offensive lineman Tyler Guyton (60) at the line of scrimmage against the Kansas Jayhawks during the game at David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium. (Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports)

Height: 6-foot-8
Weight: 322 pounds
Class: Junior

Fit: Tyler Guyton has all the physical tools to be a star tackle in the NFL, but his footwork and hand placement need a lot of work. The Kansas City Chiefs could be the perfect landing spot for him, as he is a much better pass blocker than a run blocker at this stage of his development.

NFL Analysis

3/17/24

4 min read

2024 NFL Draft: Updated Order, Picks For Every Team After Start of Free Agency

Free agency got off to a wild start this past week, and several transactions occurred that affected the 2024 NFL Draft order.

How will these moves impact the first round and beyond? And will they change which teams are in line to select quarterbacks such as Caleb Williams and Drake Maye?

* — denotes compensatory pick

2024 NFL DRAFT ORDER AFTER The Free Agency's Start

1. CHICAGO BEARS (FROM PANTHERS, 2-15) 

Draft Capital: 1st, 1st (from Panthers), 3rd, 4th (from Eagles)

2. WASHINGTON COMMANDERS (4-13)  

Draft Capital: 1st, 2nd, 2nd (from Bears), 3rd, 3rd (from Seahawks), 3rd (from 49ers), 5th, 5th (from Seahawks), 7th

3. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (4-13) 

Draft Capital: 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 5th, 6th, 6th (from Jaguars), 7th (from Bears)

4. ARIZONA CARDINALS (4-13) 

Draft Capital: 1st, 1st (from Texans), 2nd, 3rd, 3rd (from Texans), 3rd (from Titans), 4th, 5th, 5th (from Texans), 6th (from Vikings), 7th (from Giants)

5. LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (5-12)  

Draft Capital: 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 4th (from Bears), 5th, 6th, 7th, 7th*

6. NEW YORK GIANTS (6-11)  

Draft Capital: 1st, 2nd (from Seahawks), 3rd, 4th, 5th (from 49ers through Panthers), 6th

7. TENNESSEE TITANS (6-11) 

Draft Capital: 1st, 2nd, 4th (from Vikings via Eagles), 6th (reacquired through Eagles), 7th (from Panthers), 7th, 7th (from Eagles)

8. ATLANTA FALCONS (7-10)  

Draft Capital: 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 3rd (from Jaguars) 4th, 5th, 6th, 6th (from Browns)

9. CHICAGO BEARS (7-10) 

Draft Capital: 1st, 1st (from Panthers), 3rd, 4th (from Eagles)

10. NEW YORK JETS (7-10)  

Draft Capital: 1st, 3rd, 4th, 4th (from Ravens), 6th*, 7th*, 7th*

11. MINNESOTA VIKINGS (7-10) 

Draft Capital: 1st, 1st (from Browns through Texans), 4th, 4th (from Lions), 5th (from Browns), 5th (from Chiefs), 6th (from Panthers through Jaguars), 7th (from Falcons through Browns), 7th (from Broncos through 49ers and Texans)

12. DENVER BRONCOS (8-9) 

Draft Capital: 1st, 3rd (from Saints), 4th (from Dolphins), 5th (from Panthers through Browns), 5th, 5th (from Jets), 6th (from Texans through Browns), 6th (from 49ers)

13. LAS VEGAS RAIDERS (8-9) 

Draft Capital: 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 5th, 6th (from Chiefs), 7th (from Patriots), 7th (from Vikings)

14. NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (9-8) 

Draft Capital: 1st, 2nd (from Broncos), 5th, 5th*, 5th*, 5th*, 6th, 6th (from Eagles), 7th (from Rams through Broncos)

15. INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (9-8) 

Draft Capital: 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 5th, 6th, 7th

16. SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (9-8)  

Draft Capital: 1st, 3rd (from Saints through Broncos), 4th (from Commanders), 4th, 6th (from Commanders), 6th, 7th

17. JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (9-8) 

Draft Capital: 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 4th (from Saints), 5th, 6th*, 7th

18. CINCINNATI BENGALS (9-8) 

Draft Capital: 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 3rd*, 4th, 5th, 6th, 6th*, 7th (from Cardinals through Texans), 7th

19. LOS ANGELES RAMS (10-7) 

Draft Capital: 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 3rd*, 5th, 5th (from Steelers), 6th, 6th*, 6th*, 6th*, 7th

20. PITTSBURGH STEELERS (10-7) 

Draft Capital: 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 3rd (from Eagles), 4th, 6th (from Cardinals through Panthers), 7th

21. MIAMI DOLPHINS (11-6) 

Draft Capital: 1st, 2nd, 5th, 6th (from Bears), 6th, 7th

22.  PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (11-6) 

Draft Capital: 1st, 2nd (from Saints), 2nd, 4th (from Rams through Steelers), 5th (from Buccaneers), 5th*, 5th*, 6th*

23.  MINNESOTA VIKINGS (7-10) (FROM BROWNS, 11-6, through Texans) 

Draft Capital: 1st, 1st (from Browns through Texans), 4th, 4th (from Lions), 5th (from Browns), 5th (from Chiefs), 6th (from Panthers through Jaguars), 7th (from Falcons through Browns, Cardinals), 7th (from Broncos through 49ers, Texans)

24. DALLAS COWBOYS (12-5)  

Draft Capital: 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 5th*, 6th*, 7th (from Raiders), 7th*

25. GREEN BAY PACKERS (9-8) 

Draft Capital: 1st, 2nd (from Jets), 2nd, 3rd, 3rd (from Bills), 4th, 5th*, 6th, 6th*, 7th, 7th*

26. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (9-8) 

Draft Capital: 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 3rd (from Lions), 4th, 6th*, 7th

27. ARIZONA CARDINALS (FROM TEXANS, 10-7) 

Draft Capital: 1st, 1st (from Texans), 2nd, 3rd, 3rd (from Texans), 3rd (from Titans), 4th, 5th, 5th (from Texans), 6th (from Vikings), 7th (from Giants)

28. BUFFALO BILLS (11-6) 

Draft Capital: 1st, 2nd, 4th, 4th*, 5th (from Bears), 5th (from Packers), 5th, 6th (from Broncos through Rams), 6th (from Cowboys through Texans), 6th, 7th

29. DETROIT LIONS (12-5)  

Draft Capital: 1st, 2nd, 3rd (from Vikings), 5th, 6th (from Buccaneers), 6th, 7th

30. BALTIMORE RAVENS (13-4) 

Draft Capital: 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th (from Broncos through Jets), 4th*, 5th, 6th (from Jets), 7th (from Jets), 7th

31. SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (12-5) 

Draft Capital: 1st, 2nd, 3rd*, 4th (from Cowboys), 4th, 4th*, 5th*, 6th*, 6th*, 7th

32. KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (11-6) 

Draft Capital: 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 5th (from Cowboys), 5th*, 7th


TEAMS WITHOUT A FIRST-ROUND PICK

CAROLINA PANTHERS (2-15) 

Draft Capital: 2nd, 2nd (from Giants), 3rd, 4th, 5th (from Giants), 5th (from Titans), 7th (from Steelers)

HOUSTON TEXANS (FROM BROWNS, 11-6) 

Draft Capital: 2nd (from Vikings), 2nd, 3rd (from Eagles), 4th (from Browns), 4th, 6th (from Raiders through Patriots and Vikings), 7th (from Saints), 7th

CLEVELAND BROWNS (11-6) 

Draft Capital: 2nd, 3rd, 5th (from Eagles through Cardinals), 6th (from Ravens), 7th

NFL Analysis

3/16/24

5 min read

Justin Fields Trade a Home Run for Steelers, Mike Tomlin

Justin Fields

The Pittsburgh Steelers have completely overturned their quarterback room this offseason, trading Kenny Pickett and watching Mason Rudolph and Mitch Trubisky depart in free agency. It's impossible to blame them for chasing new options, considering the position has been an absolute disaster since Ben Roethlisberger retired at the end of the 2021 season. Their offense ranked 26th and 28th in scoring in the last two years.

Part of the change was firing offensive coordinator Matt Canada and replacing him with Arthur Smith. Smith, who was let go by the Atlanta Falcons earlier this offseason, returns to a role he excelled at in Tennessee. The Steelers didn't take long to add quarterbacks who fit his system.

Nowhere Else To Go

Days after signing Russell Wilson for the veteran minimum, the Steelers stole Justin Fields from the Chicago Bears for a 2025 sixth-round pick that could become a fourth-round pick if he hits play-time benchmarks. Numerous NFL insiders predicted Fields would be traded for at least one Day 2 pick this offseason, so seeing him dealt for so little has to be jarring for Bears fans. But the Steelers wisely waited to strike on Fields until the Bears lost all leverage.

The quarterback dominoes fell perfectly to tank Fields' value. The 11th overall pick in the 2021 NFL Draft has had a rocky road, but it's hard to separate his surrounding cast from his shortcomings. Ultimatley, Chicago had already passed on C.J. Stroud to stick with Fields, and passing on Caleb Williams in the 2024 NFL Draft was going to be impossible.

After free agency began, Kirk Cousins quickly signed in Atlanta, taking a natural fit off the board. Sam Darnold went to Minnesota, and Las Vegas signed Gardner Minshew instead of pairing Fields with Luke Getsy again. Denver is the only team looking for a starter right now.

Fields has completed only 60.3 percent of his attempts for 6,674 yards, 40 touchdowns, and 30 interceptions in his career. He's added 2,220 yards and 14 scores on the ground.

Despite his exciting rushing ability, lack of consistency and linear development, and the rare opportunity to draft first overall in a loaded QB class, the Bears' hand was forced as Fields entered the final guaranteed year of his contract.

Justin Fields ranked 21st in composite EPA+CPOE composite in 2023.

Dream Landing Spot

In many ways, Pittsburgh is the perfect landing spot for Fields to develop. Coach Mike Tomlin is as secure in his job as any coach not named Andy Reid, and the franchise's stability is the model every owner dreams of creating when making a regime change. From an organizational standpoint, going from Chicago to Pittsburgh is an unbelievable leap.

Because Pittsburgh gave up so little for Wilson and Fields, they can host an open competition without fear of ramifications if neither works out. Given that Pickett wanted out, Wilson will likely start immediately because the veteran was guaranteed the job. Fields will now be eased into a new offense that is rebuilding instead of being pressured into showing stardom in a contract year.

The Steelers will bring Fields along like he should've been in the first place. Even for someone who was a big fan of Fields in college and thinks the Bears' inability to build a solid surrounding cast until this offseason, it's undeniable to say Fields needs time. His advanced passing metrics are disastrous, he struggles to throw in the offense's rhythm, and his accuracy and field vision are inconsistent. 

Can the organization's stability, Wilson's ability to relate to Fields as someone who hunts big plays instead of executing a structured, timing-based scheme and Smith's playcalling tendencies be enough?

It needs to be, for Fields' sake. The Steelers don't have an elite cast of playmakers, but they're tough-nosed on defense and only need competence from the offense. 

Russell Wilson Broncos vs. Chiefs
Fields will have to play behind Russell Wilson to begin his time in Pittsburgh.

Wilson was bad enough in Denver for the franchise to release him before his $245 million extension kicked in, but the Steelers made the playoffs last year with a worse QB. Considering Smith has generated an offense that finished 15th or better in points scored in three of his five years as the playcaller and knows how to mitigate a limited passer, this is a good situation for Wilson and Fields.

Desmond Ridder ranked sixth in play-action pass attempts last year despite starting only 13 games, compared to Fields' 23rd ranking. Ridder only scrambled 19 times under pressure, whereas Fields ran 43 times, ranking fifth. Smith famously didn't feature Kyle Pitts enough in Atlanta, but he was working with someone more flawed than Fields.

Four years after Smith passed on Fields with the fourth overall pick to select Pitts, he'll get to coach him. Fields, almost always the best athlete on the field, must learn the game's intricacies to succeed. That starts with professionalism from mentors and peers, which didn't exist in Chicago. 

The same can't be said of Pittsburgh's ecosystem. It's ideal for Fields to blossom into a star eventually, or we'll get confirmation that he can't reach his perceived potential if he doesn't improve by the end of 2025. 

Analysis

3/16/24

1 min read

Wannstedt: Fields Compensation Disappointing for Chicago

Former Chicago Bears head coach Dave Wannstedt thinks Justin Fields to Pittsburgh makes sense, but is disappointed in the compensation: a 2025 sixth-round pick that converts to a fourth-round pick if Fields plays 51% of snaps in 2024.

NFL Analysis

3/16/24

9 min read

2024 NFL Free Agency: Ranking 9 Worst Early Moves

Tennessee Titans wide receiver Calvin Ridley
Tennessee Titans newly signed free agent wide receiver Calvin Ridley fields questions during his introduction to the media at Ascension Saint Thomas Sports Park in Nashville, Tenn., Friday, March 15, 2024.

With NFL free agency slowing down, we have a good idea of all the good and bad signings over the past week. Today we will look at some of the bad, ranking the nine worst moves that have happened in the early stages of free agency.

>>READ: 9 Best Free Agent Moves

9 Worst Free Agent Moves

9. Russell Wilson to Pittsburgh Steelers

While almost all of the signings or deals on this list had something to do with money, this one did not. By no means are the Pittsburgh Steelers in the wrong for signing Russell Wilson for peanuts, but the fit makes absolutely no sense.

Arthur Smith’s tenure in Atlanta went south because he could not find a quarterback to aggressively target the middle of the field off of his heavy usage of play-action. Smith’s game plans center around pulling linebackers up off of play-fakes and taking shots over the middle in the deep third of the field. That is one area Wilson has struggled to aggressively attack in the NFL. 

I do not blame the Steelers for taking a flier on Wilson at a league-minimum price point, but Wilson's fit in Pittsburgh with Smith as offensive coordinator could lead to a lot of headaches for Pittsburgh fans throughout the 2024 season.


Chicago Bears running back D'Andre Swift
Chicago Bears running back D'Andre Swift speaks during a press conference at Halas Hall. (Kamil Krzaczynski-USA TODAY Sports)

8. D’Andre Swift to Chicago Bears (THree Years, $24 million)

The 2024 NFL Draft running back class lacks top-end prospects, so the 2024 free agent market at running back was booming. D’Andre Swift was the first signing in an aggressive run of running backs signed in the first two days of free agency.

Swift had a solid season in Philadelphia, where he rushed for 1,049 yards on 229 carries. Like the Tennessee Titans, Washington Commanders and Philadelphia Eagles, the Chicago Bears had plenty of money to spend in free agency, and they did just that. While $8 million a year seems quite rich for Swift, the Bears were set on adding another veteran to Khalil Herbert and second-year running back Roschon Johnson. 

While Swift’s market was projected to be a bit lower than what Chicago gave him, the Bears obviously viewed Swift as one of their top targets and went after him aggressively at the start of the legal tampering period.


7. Joe Mixon to Houston Texans (Three years, $27 million)

One of the biggest head-scratching moves was the Houston Texans trading for former Cincinnati Bengals RB Joe Mixon after it came out the Bengals planned on releasing him. Houston had a hole at running back after losing Devin Singletary to the New York Giants, but the decision to trade and pay Mixon the 12th-highest running back contract heading into age 28 was interesting, to say the least.

The Texans still have Dameon Pierce on the roster and with five picks in the first four rounds, it was easy to envision them adding a rookie on Day 2 or with one of their fourth-round picks and rolling with that. The Texans have the money to spend, so this deal isn't devastating cap-wise. But it feels like there were better, cheaper and younger options in free agency if the Texans were set on adding a veteran.


6. Robert Hunt to Carolina Panthers (Five years, $100 million)

One of the biggest contracts handed out was the Carolina Panthers giving former Miami Dolphins OL Robert Hunt a five-year, $100 million deal with $63 million in guarantees. This is a massive overpay for Hunt, but the Panthers deserve credit for aggressively attempting to make a 2023 weakness a 2024 strength.

Hunt played in 11 games in 2023, all at left guard. While Hunt will be an upgrade over what Carolina had lined up in front of Bryce Young in 2023, he is heading into year 28 and has the eighth-largest offensive line contract (third-highest guard contract) in the NFL.

Hunt should improve the Panthers' pass protection and run blocking in 2024, but in a draft class loaded with offensive linemen and the Panthers not having a ton of cap space, this deal comes with a big risk.

>>READ: NFL Teams Spend Big on Offensive Lineman


Philadelphia Eagles linebacker Devin White
Then-Tampa Bay Buccaneers linebacker Devin White (45) intercepts the ball against the Jacksonville Jaguars in the first quarter at Raymond James Stadium. (Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports)

5. Devin White to Philadelphia Eagles (One year, up to $7.5 million)

It is no secret that the linebacker play has been a big issue for the Philadelphia Eagles recently. Nakobe Dean has not developed how most had hoped and free agent Zach Cunningham was a liability in coverage, so we knew linebacker would be near the top of the list of positions to get fixed via free agency and the 2024 NFL Draft.

The Eagles agreed to a one-year deal worth up to $7.5 million with former Buccaneers LB Devin White on Thursday. White, still 26, is coming off one of the worst seasons of his career, in which he was benched halfway through the season for K.J. Britt.

White was one of the bigger names left at linebacker, but he was far from the player he was at LSU and during his rookie year. The Eagles are only tied to White for one year, but if they think White will fix to their linebacker struggles, they could be in for a rude awakening.


4. Justin Jones to Arizona Cardinals (Three years, $31.1 million) 

Another head-scratcher was the Arizona Cardinals signing former Los Angeles Chargers and Chicago Bears DT Justin Jones to a three-year, $31 million deal with $26.75 million in guarantees.

Jones, a six-year NFL veteran, was a third-round pick by the Chargers in 2018. Through six years in the league, Jones has just 12 sacks. While he is coming off one of his better years as a pass rusher (36 pressures and 4.5 sacks), he is a liability against the run. That makes him an interesting fit for the Cardinals, who ranked 27th in rush EPA and 31st in rush success rate in 2023. 

Jones is a big body to add to the pass rush room in Arizona and should be put in some intriguing spots to generate pressure in Jonathan Gannon’s defense. But this contract gives Jones the fourth-highest total guaranteed money out of the defensive tackles signed in free agency so far.


3. Kenneth Murray Jr. to Tennessee Titans (Two years, $15.5 million)

For a team that had plenty of cap space, it was surprising to see the Tennessee Titans let Azeez Al-Shaair walk for just more than $11 million per year, but sign Kenneth Murray Jr. for just under $8 million per year.

Murray is one of the more inconsistent linebackers in the NFL against the run and the pass. Murray, a first-round pick in 2020, has NFL size and athleticism, but his instincts and physicality against the run have disappointed thus far.

While it is tough to call a signing an overpay when the Titans had so much cap space, this felt like a massive overpay for a linebacker who has struggled in his first four NFL seasons.


Jacksonville Jaguars wide receiver Gabe Davis
Then-Buffalo Bills wide receiver Gabe Davis (13) catches a 57-yard touchdown pass against the Los Angeles Chargers in the first half at SoFi Stadium. (Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports)

2. Gabe Davis to Jacksonville Jaguars (Three years, $39 million)

Two of the biggest swings and misses this week came from Trent Baalke and the Jacksonville Jaguars. After placing the franchise tag on EDGE Josh Allen and not re-signing Calvin Ridley, the Jaguars added Gabe Davis on a three-year, $39 million deal with $24 million in guaranteed money.

Davis had a down season in Buffalo, ranking 128th in open score, 110th in catch score, 47th in YAC score and 113th overall score, according to ESPN receiver tracking metrics. Davis was somewhat of a one-trick pony in Buffalo. Now he will be asked to replace Ridley’s production without a receiver of Stefon Diggs' caliber or a tight end of Dalton Kincaid's caliber alongside him. 


1. Jacksonville Jaguars allowing Calvin Ridley to walk

If you have not heard, it sounds like the Jacksonville Jaguars botched the Josh Allen contract negotiations, leading them to use their franchise tag on him. That made things more difficult to retain WR Calvin Ridley. Ridley eventually signed a four-year, $92 million deal with the Tennessee Titans, leaving a massive hole at wide receiver for the Jaguars. 

Jacksonville signed Davis to a three-year deal earlier in the week, but Davis is far from the caliber of receiver that Ridley is. Given the Jaguars' track record of hitting on wide receivers in the draft, there may not be much upgrading to be done to the Jacksonville wide receiver room. 

Trevor Lawrence’s rookie contract window is closing quickly, and the Jaguars should do everything they can to put pieces around him to give them a shot to compete in the AFC. Replacing Ridley with Davis is doing the exact opposite of that, even if it meant shelling out more money than they had hoped for Ridley after trading for him in 2022.

NFL Analysis

3/16/24

4 min read

Theo Johnson NFL Draft 2024: Combine Results, Scouting Report For Penn State TE

Penn State tight end Theo Johnson
Tight end Theo Johnson jogs onto the field to run a drill during Penn State's Pro Day in Holuba Hall on March 15, 2024, in State College.

The 2024 NFL Draft is getting close, making it an excellent time to highlight some of the class' best players with scouting reports. Each report will include strengths, weaknesses and background information. 

Here's our report on Theo Johnson.

Theo Johnson'S 2024 NFL COMBINE RESULTS

  • Height: 6'6"
  • Weight: 259 lbs.
  • 40-Time: 4.57
  • 10-Yard Split: 1.55
  • Vertical: 39.5"
  • Broad Jump: 10'5"
  • 3-Cone: 7.15
  • Shuttle: 4.19

Theo Johnson 2024 NFL DRAFT SCOUTING REPORT

STRENGTHS:

  • Alignment versatility in playing attached and detached to the formation, in the slot and split wide.
  • Very good size and strength allows him to have success engaging and maintain blocks in run, screen game.
  • Solid run blocker. Moves feet well and works hands to stay engaged with room for improvement with coaching.
  • Good tempo and pace as a blocker, allowing him to take the right angles and stay under control when in space.
  • Deceptive speed due to being a long strider and covers ground well vertically (good down the seams).
  • Good feel for route running in relation to coverage in how he uses his stem to set up his routes and separate.
  • Uses size well to make contested catches. Good catch radius to secure passes outside of his frame (RZ target).
  • Solid runner after the catch, who uses a blend of speed and power to pick up additional yards.

WEAKNESSES:

  • Better vertically than laterally. More smooth than sudden in his movements as route runner and ball carrier.
  • Upright playing style with stiff hips and choppy footwork when redirecting laterally, effecting separation ability. 
  • Struggles to separate against quicker defenders on short to intermediate routes, especially in man coverage.
  • Willing and capable blocker, but due to his size, he plays upright at the point of contact, at times limiting his movement.

Penn State tight end Theo Johnson
Penn State tight end Theo Johnson (84) goes 18 yards to score his second receiving touchdown of the game in the second half of an NCAA football game against Massachusetts in State College, Pa.

NFL TRANSITION:

Johnson possesses the position versatility to be used in multiple personnel groups and schemes because of his ability to play attached and detached, especially in the slot and use in the red zone as matchup problem for opposing defenses. His ability to block allows him to be to be either a primary TE or secondary TE in multiple TE sets.

Very good blocker who plays under control with good technique at the point of attack while possessing the athleticism and movement skills to stay engaged. Big frame and catch radius allow him to make catches in traffic or over the middle of the field.

He is a long strider with deceptive vertical speed to allow him to attack the seams. He struggles to redirect laterally as a route runner due to his upright playing style limiting his separation out of sharper in and out-breaking routes. He has a good feel for defensive coverage schemes and finding voids when running his routes, especially over the middle down the seams.

Overall, Johnson is an all-around TE with noticeable upside potential, who has the ability to contribute as a run blocker and as a versatile pass catcher who can make plays from attached or detached alignment. Johnson can be a Year 1 contributor in multiple TE sets and eventually develop into a solid No. 1 TE.


OTHER NOTES:

Johnson came out of Canada as 4-star recruit and was ranked 61st in the National across all positions and ranked third at the TE position. Was selected to play in the Under Armour All-American Game prior to going to Penn State.

Started in 28 games over his last three seasons and was All-Big Ten Honorable Mention in 2023. Finished his career with 77 receptions, 938 yards and 12 TDs (7 TDs in 2023). Tied for fourth in the National among TEs with 11 receiving TDs over the last two seasons.

In 2022, Johnson had very good alignment versatility with 71 routes run from an attached TE alignment with 76 routes run from a slot alignment and 33 routes run from an outside WR alignment, having most of his success catching the ball and production from an attached alignment (13 receptions for 168 yards and 3 TDs). He had some success from the slot with six receptions for 132 yards and 1 TD.

In 2023, Johnson again had very good alignment versatility. He had even more routes run from a detached alignment in the slot, with 121 routes and 13 receptions for 127 yards and 3 TDs, with 24 routes run from an outside alignment (151 routes detached from formation) and had 97 routes run from an attached alignment with 17 catches for 185 yards and 4 TDs.

NFL Analysis

3/16/24

4 min read

Hunter Nourzad NFL Draft 2024: Combine Results, Scouting Report For Penn State G/C

Penn State offensive lineman Hunter Nourzad
Penn State offensive lineman Hunter Nourzad (OL53) talks to the media during the 2024 NFL Combine at Lucas Oil Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Trevor Ruszkowski-USA TODAY Sports

The 2024 NFL Draft is getting close, making it an excellent time to highlight some of the class' best players with scouting reports. Each report will include strengths, weaknesses and background information. 

Here's our report on Hunter Nourzad.

Hunter Nourzad'S 2024 NFL COMBINE RESULTS

  • Height: 6'3"
  • Weight: 317 lbs.
  • 40-Time: DNP
  • 10-Yard Split: DNP
  • Vertical: DNP
  • Broad Jump: DNP
  • 3-Cone: DNP
  • Shuttle: DNP

Hunter Nourzad 2024 NFL DRAFT SCOUTING REPORT

STRENGTHS:

  • Size and strength shown in his ability to anchor and prevent consistent push in pass protection.
  • Good athleticism displayed in space – good movement in run game to make blocks on edge and on second level.
  • Solid quickness when pulling in the run game and when redirecting in pass protecting vs. quicker defenders.
  • Recognizes stunts and blitzes to trade off defenders with different pressure schemes. Sees the front well.
  • Strong punch/hands and long arms allow him to control defenders as a pass blocker when technique is sound.
  • Good execution in combination blocks with helping teammates and then using quickness to get up to the second level.
  • Comfortable in slide protection schemes where he can move laterally and engage blocks from an angle.
  • Once engaged properly and with good technique (hands), he plays with good leverage to control defenders.

WEAKNESSES:

  • Tendency to lean into or lunge at defenders as run blocker, causing him to get his weight out in front of his feet.
  • Over commits to get off balance at the point of attack due to poor weight distribution (top heavy once engaged).
  • Takes poor path and angles at times in run game, causing him to come off blocks, especially vs. active defenders.
  • Most effective playing in space and with movement. Struggles when aggressive attack quickly after the snap.
  • Questionable ability to anchor when attacked by strong bull rush, especially when defender aligned head up.

Penn State offensive lineman Hunter Norzad
Penn State Nittany Lions offensive lineman Hunter Nourzad (64) blocks Michigan Wolverines linebacker Eyabi Okie (18) in the second half at Michigan Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports

NFL TRANSITION:

Nourzad is a versatile Lineman who played two seasons at Cornell at RT, then transferred to Penn State for his last two seasons, playing guard and center. Size and athleticism combo correlates to him being an interior lineman in the NFL, with good appeal because of his ability to play gard and center.

Good athleticism and movement skills to make blocks on edge, as puller, and in space at the second and third levels of the defense (comfortable in outside run game and screen game). Over commits, causing him to lean into and lunge at defenders, resulting in poor balance and body control, which limits his ability to stay engaged as a run and pass blocker at times. When uncovered, does good job of trading off defensive stunts/blitzes by playing with good vision and understanding of concepts.

Overall, Nourzad’s versatility and athleticism make him a valuable piece to an NFL offense looking to add depth along its line. He likely will begin his career as a backup for multiple positions, with the chance to develop into a starter in a few with some improved technique and core stability to play more on balance.


OTHER NOTES:

Nourzad came out of Georgia as 3-star recruit and ranked 150th in the Nation across all positions (sixth-ranked at the interior OL positions.

Initially went to Cornell and played two seasons there. He was second-team All-American and first-team All-Ivy League his last year there while playing RT.

At Penn State, he played both RG in 2022, earning All-Big Ten Honorable Mention and center in 2023, earning 2nd Team All-Big Ten. Good versatility playing OT, OG and Center in college.

Nourzad in 2022 played primarily LG with 545 total snaps, all of them but 38 snaps coming from LG (21 snaps at RG and 17 snaps a C). In 2023, he played all of his 769 snaps at center. Over the past two seasons, he has had 702 pass play snaps, allowing 14 pressures (seven each of the last two seasons) and amassed only one penalty over two seasons.