Kyler Murray is the latest quarterback to sign a top-of-the-market contract that is set to consume a large proportion of the Cardinals’ cap space. The cap limits are expertly designed to provide parity in a league becoming more and more dependent on its stars, making it hard for Kyler Murray to exceed expectations. The cap […]
Using Analytics to Determine a Potential Lamar Jackson Extension
In a recent article, we introduced the concept of using a powerful data science technique to cluster the leagues quarterbacks over the last three seasons using a host of quarterback metrics as the input. We spoke about how this technique is used in everyday algorithms such as your recommended next watch on Netflix, the predictive […]
Study: Who Have Been the Best Quarterbacks of the Past Three Seasons?
Just who exactly owns the title of the best quarterback in the NFL is always a hotly debated topic. The debate usually consists of the following formula: Subjectivity + Objectivity + Bias = Result The portion of weight that each section receives is entirely up to the individual that is fighting in their player’s corner. […]
Shelf Life Drop Off: How Quickly Players Are Replaced at Every Position
The war on running backs has been raging for quite some time now. The general consensus nowadays is that running backs have a short shelf life, leading to less money and noticeably smaller second contracts compared to other position groups if they get any second contracts at all. Because they are apparently a dime a […]
The Hidden Reality of Draft Value: Part 5 — The Best Value Picks
When teams develop their draft strategies, they combine a number of different variables into their decision making. A player’s talent and potential combined with his college production and a team’s needs are variables that are heavily important, but they are only a few of a multitude of different factors that should be considered. The purpose […]
The Hidden Reality of Draft Value: Part 4 — High Performing Positions per Round
The previous articles have informed us of the market inefficiencies with the draft pick pay scale and how the guaranteed money does not decrease in an evenly negative distribution. This may lead to teams to trade out of the position they currently pick into positions with less guaranteed money than they should have. In the […]
The Hidden Reality of Draft Value: Part 3 — Late-Round vs. Early-Next Round
In the last article of the series, we concluded the positional view of how first round picks turned out according to SCPR (Second Contract Pay Ratio), which compares the ratio of guaranteed money on a player’s second contract to their first. At the end of the article, it was suggested that the next edition of […]
The Hidden Reality of Draft Value: Part 2 — Positional Value
In the previous report, we took a look at how evaluating draft picks based on the guaranteed money of the second contract versus the first contract (SC Pay Ratio or SCPR) can retrospectively provide insight into which picks were actually successful. We aggregated this data to provide useful knowledge into which rounds provide the best […]
The Hidden Reality of Draft Value: Part 1 — Round by Round
The Los Angeles Rams were this year’s Super Bowl winners and have largely been in contention for a championship since Sean McVay took the helm in 2017. The organization has operated in a seemingly impatient manner when it comes to the draft, largely disregarding the ‘what if’ of a young draft pick in the early […]
The Urgency Meter: Analyzing the 4th Down Decisions for Bills at Patriots in Week 16
One of the most impactful fixtures from the Week 16 slate was the rematch of the Bills v Patriots in Foxborough. With first place in the AFC East on the line, each individual decision mid-game could have great consequences on the postseason. Thankfully, we were treated to eight big fourth-down decisions. Let’s dive in and […]
