Fantasy
11/27/22
20 min read
Josh Larky's Week 12 Fantasy Rankings
Below you’ll find my Week 12 fantasy rankings for PPR/Half-PPR leagues. Included are my top-32 QB Rankings, top-51 RB Rankings, top-64 WR Rankings, and top-22 TE Rankings.
For each player, you can view their ranking, matchup, and implied team total, according to Vegas. For example, the Green Bay Packers and Philadelphia Eagles have a Vegas game total of 46, with the Eagles favored by 7 points (26.5 points implied for the Eagles, 19.5 points implied for the Packers). Seeing the implied point totals can help you understand which games are projected to be the highest scoring.
xPPR (expected PPR points) is a new stat added in Week 4. Think of this as each player’s average expected fantasy points per game based on their underlying usage.
Teams coming off a Week 11 bye: Jacksonville Jaguars, Miami Dolphins, Seattle Seahawks, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Teams on Week 12 bye: None
Detailed player write-ups appear below each set of positional rankings.
Top 32 Quarterbacks
[bc_video video_id="6316028506112" account_id="6312875271001" player_id="default" embed="in-page" padding_top="56%" autoplay="" min_width="0px" playsinline="playsinline" picture_in_picture="" language_detection="" max_width="640px" mute="" width="100%" height="100%" aspect_ratio="16:9" sizing="responsive" ]
Rank | Name | Pos | Team | Opp | Team Total | xPPR |
1 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | DET | 32 | 22.5 |
2 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | KC | LA | 29.25 | 21.7 |
3 | Justin Herbert | QB | LAC | ARI | 26 | 17.8 |
4 | Jalen Hurts | QB | PHI | GB | 26.5 | 22.5 |
5 | Tua Tagovailoa | QB | MIA | HOU | 29.5 | 16.8 |
6 | Joe Burrow | QB | CIN | TEN | 22 | 19.6 |
7 | Kyler Murray | QB | ARI | LAC | 21.5 | 19.5 |
8 | Lamar Jackson | QB | BAL | JAX | 23.75 | 21.1 |
9 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | NYG | 27.5 | 16.6 |
10 | Geno Smith | QB | SEA | LV | 25.5 | 17.2 |
11 | Tom Brady | QB | TB | CLE | 23 | 16 |
12 | Trevor Lawrence | QB | JAX | BAL | 19.75 | 16.9 |
13 | Taylor Heinicke | QB | WAS | ATL | 23 | 15.2 |
14 | Kirk Cousins | QB | MIN | NE | 22.75 | 17.2 |
15 | Jimmy Garoppolo | QB | SF | NO | 26 | 14.7 |
16 | Derek Carr | QB | LV | SEA | 22 | 15 |
17 | Russell Wilson | QB | DEN | CAR | 18.75 | 15.4 |
18 | Marcus Mariota | QB | ATL | WAS | 19 | 15.9 |
19 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | GB | PHI | 19.5 | 14.4 |
20 | Jared Goff | QB | DET | BUF | 22 | 15 |
21 | Jacoby Brissett | QB | CLE | TB | 20 | 16.4 |
22 | Matt Ryan | QB | IND | PIT | 20.75 | 14.8 |
23 | Daniel Jones | QB | NYG | DAL | 18 | 16.7 |
24 | Ryan Tannehill | QB | TEN | CIN | 20.5 | 14 |
25 | Mike White | QB | NYJ | CHI | 22 | - |
26 | Mac Jones | QB | NE | MIN | 19.75 | 12 |
27 | Bryce Perkins | QB | LA | KC | 14.75 | 3.8 |
28 | Andy Dalton | QB | NO | SF | 17 | 14.8 |
29 | Kenny Pickett | QB | PIT | IND | 18.25 | 14.1 |
30 | Kyle Allen | QB | HOU | MIA | 16.5 | - |
31 | Sam Darnold | QB | CAR | DEN | 16.25 | - |
32 | Trevor Siemian | QB | CHI | NYJ | 17.5 | 0.4 |
- Justin Herbert faces a Cardinals defense that was just shredded on Monday Night Football by Jimmy Garoppolo allowing four passing TDs. Herbert will now have Keenan Allen back for a second straight game, though Mike Williams has been ruled OUT for this game. Herbert had a season-high 9.3 yards per attempt in Week 11, Keenan Allen's only relatively complete game of 2022.
- Prior to the Week 11 bye, Tua Tagovailoa had thrown for 285+ yards and three TDs in three straight contests. The Texans allow 7.6 yards per pass attempt, fourth-most in the NFL, via our flagship tool, The Edge. Tua averages 9.1 yards per attempt, most in the NFL. This is an eruption spot.
- The Titans allow the most passing yards per game to opposing QBs this season (287), per The Edge. Joe Mixon likely misses this contest with a concussion, and the Titans are the NFL's premier pass funnel defense. Burrow is in line for a big day.
- Assuming Kyler Murray and Marquise Brown both return in Week 12, Kyler will have his healthiest receiving core of the season. Despite a down season, Kyler is still averaging 20.1 fantasy points per game, seventh-most among NFL QBs.
- Lamar Jackson has fewer than 20 fantasy points in six of his past seven games. It's clear that without Rashod Bateman, this passing offense has struggled, as Lamar has 210 or fewer passing yards in six of his past seven games. The Jaguars weak pass defense is a good bounce back spot, but JAX is rested from their Week 11 bye, and Lamar will be throwing to Devin Duvernay and Demarcus Robinson in two-WR sets.
- Dak Prescott has topped 20 fantasy points in three straight games, and now faces a Giants pass defense that's ranked 24th by Football Outsiders' DVOA. You can learn more about why Ben Wolby likes Dak Prescott to throw for high yardage here.
- The Raiders are the lowest ranked pass defense according to Football Outsiders' DVOA (by nearly 50%). Opposing QBs score 21.4 fantasy points per game against LV, per The Edge. Geno Smith is fresh off the bye, and should have a great day against an inferior opponent.
- Seven of ten QBs have at least 7.0 yards per attempt against Cleveland this season. Tom Brady averages 42 pass attempts per game, most in the NFL, per The Edge. This puts him around 280 passing yards already, and the Buccaneers will look to keep rolling fresh off their bye week.
- Taylor Heinicke is a premier streamer this week, as seven of ten QBs have scored at least 18.9 fantasy points against ATL this season.
- Nathan Peterman was elevated from the practice squad as the third QB for Chicago. This indicates that Justin Fields is almost certain to miss Week 12.
- There are many new faces at QB in my rankings this week. I'd recommend streaming fantasy DSTs facing any of these five QBs for Week 12.
We likely see 5 (!!) QBs make their first start of the season in Week 12
Mike White (NYJ)
Kyle Allen (HOU)
Sam Darnold (CAR)
Trevor Siemian (CHI)
Bryce Perkins (LAR)— Josh Larky (@jlarkytweets) November 23, 2022
Top 51 Running Backs
[bc_video video_id="6315928085112" account_id="6312875271001" player_id="default" embed="in-page" padding_top="56%" autoplay="" min_width="0px" playsinline="playsinline" picture_in_picture="" language_detection="" max_width="640px" mute="" width="100%" height="100%" aspect_ratio="16:9" sizing="responsive" ]
Rank | Name | Pos | Team | Opp | Team Total | xPPR |
1 | Christian McCaffrey | RB | SF | NO | 26.00 | 17.1 |
2 | Austin Ekeler | RB | LAC | ARI | 26.00 | 20.4 |
3 | Rhamondre Stevenson | RB | NE | MIN | 19.75 | 16 |
4 | Kenneth Walker | RB | SEA | LV | 25.50 | 12.6 |
5 | Josh Jacobs | RB | LV | SEA | 22.00 | 17.7 |
6 | Rachaad White | RB | TB | CLE | 23.00 | 7 |
7 | Jeff Wilson | RB | MIA | HOU | 29.50 | 10.3 |
8 | Derrick Henry | RB | TEN | CIN | 20.50 | 17.7 |
9 | Travis Etienne | RB | JAX | BAL | 19.75 | 13.8 |
10 | Dalvin Cook | RB | MIN | NE | 22.75 | 15 |
11 | Saquon Barkley | RB | NYG | DAL | 18.00 | 19 |
12 | Alvin Kamara | RB | NO | SF | 17.00 | 16.2 |
13 | Jonathan Taylor | RB | IND | PIT | 20.75 | 16.2 |
14 | James Conner | RB | ARI | LAC | 21.50 | 14.4 |
15 | Aaron Jones | RB | GB | PHI | 19.50 | 13.6 |
16 | Nick Chubb | RB | CLE | TB | 20.00 | 14.8 |
17 | Tony Pollard | RB | DAL | NYG | 27.50 | 11.7 |
18 | Miles Sanders | RB | PHI | GB | 26.50 | 12.1 |
19 | Latavius Murray | RB | DEN | CAR | 18.75 | 10.3 |
20 | Dameon Pierce | RB | HOU | MIA | 16.50 | 14 |
21 | David Montgomery | RB | CHI | NYJ | 17.50 | 11.1 |
22 | Devin Singletary | RB | BUF | DET | 32.00 | 12.5 |
23 | Samaje Perine | RB | CIN | TEN | 22.00 | 6 |
24 | Jamaal Williams | RB | DET | BUF | 22.00 | 13.5 |
25 | Antonio Gibson | RB | WAS | ATL | 23.00 | 13.1 |
26 | Ezekiel Elliott | RB | DAL | NYG | 27.50 | 10.5 |
27 | D'Andre Swift | RB | DET | BUF | 22.00 | 10.5 |
28 | Najee Harris | RB | PIT | IND | 18.25 | 14.2 |
29 | Isiah Pacheco | RB | KC | LA | 29.25 | 4.8 |
30 | D'Onta Foreman | RB | CAR | DEN | 16.25 | 6.7 |
31 | Gus Edwards | RB | BAL | JAX | 23.75 | 9.3 |
32 | Brian Robinson | RB | WAS | ATL | 23.00 | 10.4 |
33 | Cordarrelle Patterson | RB | ATL | WAS | 19.00 | 10.2 |
34 | Michael Carter | RB | NYJ | CHI | 22.00 | 10.3 |
35 | Elijah Mitchell | RB | SF | NO | 26.00 | 8 |
36 | Jerick McKinnon | RB | KC | LA | 29.25 | 7.8 |
37 | Damien Harris | RB | NE | MIN | 19.75 | 8.9 |
38 | Kenyan Drake | RB | BAL | JAX | 23.75 | 8.8 |
39 | AJ Dillon | RB | GB | PHI | 19.50 | 8.7 |
40 | Kyren Williams | RB | LA | KC | 14.75 | 5.6 |
41 | Kareem Hunt | RB | CLE | TB | 20.00 | 9.1 |
42 | James Cook | RB | BUF | DET | 32.00 | 4.8 |
43 | Cam Akers | RB | LA | KC | 14.75 | 6.1 |
44 | Ty Johnson | RB | NYJ | CHI | 22.00 | 2.6 |
45 | Tyler Allgeier | RB | ATL | WAS | 19.00 | 7.9 |
46 | Jaylen Warren | RB | PIT | IND | 18.25 | 4.3 |
47 | Chuba Hubbard | RB | CAR | DEN | 16.25 | 2.6 |
48 | Keaontay Ingram | RB | ARI | LAC | 21.50 | 3.5 |
49 | Alexander Mattison | RB | MIN | NE | 22.75 | 4.8 |
50 | Kenneth Gainwell | RB | PHI | GB | 26.50 | 4.2 |
51 | Trestan Ebner | RB | CHI | NYJ | 17.50 | 2.5 |
- Rhamondre Stevenson continues to see outrageous usage in the passing game and is averaging seven targets and 49 receiving yards per game during his past four contests. He’s an every-week RB1 with his pass game involvement, along with 12-20 carries per game. The Vikings allow the tenth most fantasy points per game to RBs, per The Edge.
- The Raiders allow the fourth most fantasy points to opposing RBs, and Kenneth Walker should have a great game coming off his bye week. Walker has at least 12.2 fantasy points in every game as a starter this season, with two games above 27 fantasy points.
- The Seahawks allow the fourth most receiving yards per game to RBs, and the fifth most fantasy points overall. Josh Jacobs is in a great spot with the Raiders' depleted receiving core, which should force them to rely on the run game.
- Leonard Fournette has been ruled OUT (hip) of this contest, and the Browns are dead last in rush DVOA, allowing 5.3 yards per carry to RBs. Rachaad White handled 22 carries in Week 10 prior to their bye, and has been targeted at a higher rate than Leonard Fournette per route this year (21.4% vs. 20.2%), per The Edge. Expect around 20 carries and four to seven targets for White in a smash matchup.
- Jeff Wilson had 17 carries for 119 rushing yards, along with five targets, in his first start as a Miami Dolphin. Now rested off his bye week, Wilson faces a Texans run defense allowing the most fantasy points per game to opposing backs (31.0 per game), via The Edge. The Dolphins also have the second-highest implied team total of Week 12 (29.5 points), so the TD upside is massive. Raheem Mostert is doubtful for this contest, and Wilson should get around 20 efficient touches in this game.
- Travis Etienne has at least 19 opportunities in three of his past four games, and is well-rested after his Week 11 bye. While the Ravens have been stingy against the run, they do allow the fifth most receiving yards per game to RBs. Etienne has underwhelmed as a pass-catcher this season, but we know that skill set is there. Few RBs are as locked into touches as Etienne, and we've seen him get 24+ carries in two games this year, while reaching 28 receiving yards in four other contests. Etienne is a strong blend of floor and ceiling, as he has double digit fantasy points in each of his past six games.
- The Giants will be without four of their offensive linemen on Thanksgiving, so Saquon Barkley is not quite the ultra high-end RB1 that he usually is.
- James Conner has reached 14 fantasy points in just one of his previous seven games. However, the Chargers allow 5.8 yards per carry to RBs, most in the NFL, per The Edge. Conner has at least 19 opportunities in back-to-back games, and should be a bell cow once again in Week 12.
- Dameon Pierce has another difficult matchup on tap, as the Dolphins allow just 3.7 yards per carry to RBs, second-fewest in the NFL. He will also be playing with QB Kyle Allen for the first time, who draws the start for the now-benched Davis Mills.
- Tony Pollard had back-to-back games with at least 21 fantasy points in Weeks 8 and 10 (while Ezekiel Elliott was injured), but hadn’t reached 20 points in any game overlapping with him heading into Week 11. Even with Elliot returning in Week 11, Pollard still managed 80 rushing yards on 15 carries while bringing in all six targets for 109 yards and two TDs, which totaled 37 fantasy points. Pollard should force Dallas' hand to give him increased run against a Giants team that has been gashed by RBs (5.3, second-most yards per carry allowed).
- Latavius Murray is on tap for a large workload in Week 12, as the team waived Melvin Gordon the same week that Chase Edmonds suffered a high ankle sprain. Efficiency likely won't be there, but the volume should reach 20 combined carries/targets.
- David Montgomery handled 17 of 23 RB carries and ran 24 routes to Trestan Ebner‘s seven in Week 11. Montgomery had four of the five RB targets, bringing in three for 54 yards receiving. Montgomery totaled 121 yards and 21.1 fantasy points in Khalil Herbert‘s absence (IR) and it's clear that Ebner will receive fewer touches per game than Herbert did.
- Joe Mixon left Week 11 early with a concussion. In his absence, Samaje Perine carried 11 times for 30 yards and caught all four targets for 42 yards and three TDs (30.2 PPR points). I’d operate as if Mixon misses Week 12, so Perine is a low-end RB2 against the Titans’ stout run defense (3.8 YPC to RBs) in Week 12. Perine likely gets 15 and three to five targets, so he’ll have a moderate floor due to usage.
- While Isiah Pacheco had over 100 yards on the ground against the Chargers last week, the Rams are a pass funnel defense, with one of the NFL's best defensive lines. I'd expect 15 inefficient carries from him in Week 12.
- The Rams cut Darrell Henderson this week, leaving Cam Akers and Kyren Williams to split touches. Akers should get the early down work, while Kyren gets the pass down work. However, this is a backfield to avoid for fantasy purposes due to the Rams' glaring offensive line struggles.
Rams RBs average 13.7 fantasy points per game (dead last)
Steelers RBs average 18.6 fantasy points per game (2nd worst)
Let your league mates blow their FAAB on Cam Akers and/or Kyren Williams https://t.co/FSRkXsOzGh
— Josh Larky (@jlarkytweets) November 22, 2022
Top 64 Wide Receivers
[bc_video video_id="6316030180112" account_id="6312875271001" player_id="default" embed="in-page" padding_top="56%" autoplay="" min_width="0px" playsinline="playsinline" picture_in_picture="" language_detection="" max_width="640px" mute="" width="100%" height="100%" aspect_ratio="16:9" sizing="responsive" ]
Rank | Name | Pos | Team | Opp | Team Total | xPPR |
1 | Davante Adams | WR | LV | SEA | 22.00 | 18.3 |
2 | Stefon Diggs | WR | BUF | DET | 32.00 | 18.6 |
3 | Tyreek Hill | WR | MIA | HOU | 29.50 | 16.1 |
4 | DeAndre Hopkins | WR | ARI | LAC | 21.50 | 17 |
5 | Justin Jefferson | WR | MIN | NE | 22.75 | 18.4 |
6 | Jaylen Waddle | WR | MIA | HOU | 29.50 | 12.4 |
7 | CeeDee Lamb | WR | DAL | NYG | 27.50 | 15.2 |
8 | Keenan Allen | WR | LAC | ARI | 26.00 | 7.4 |
9 | Tee Higgins | WR | CIN | TEN | 22.00 | 11.2 |
10 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | DET | BUF | 22.00 | 14.3 |
11 | Terry McLaurin | WR | WAS | ATL | 23.00 | 12.1 |
12 | Mike Evans | WR | TB | CLE | 23.00 | 13.9 |
13 | DK Metcalf | WR | SEA | LV | 25.50 | 13 |
14 | Chris Godwin | WR | TB | CLE | 23.00 | 13.4 |
15 | Christian Kirk | WR | JAX | BAL | 19.75 | 14.2 |
16 | A.J. Brown | WR | PHI | GB | 26.50 | 13.7 |
17 | Tyler Lockett | WR | SEA | LV | 25.50 | 11.3 |
18 | Gabe Davis | WR | BUF | DET | 32.00 | 11.1 |
19 | Amari Cooper | WR | CLE | TB | 20.00 | 14.2 |
20 | Courtland Sutton | WR | DEN | CAR | 18.75 | 13.3 |
21 | Chris Olave | WR | NO | SF | 17.00 | 13.6 |
22 | Deebo Samuel | WR | SF | NO | 26.00 | 14.3 |
23 | Michael Pittman | WR | IND | PIT | 20.75 | 12.8 |
24 | JuJu Smith-Schuster | WR | KC | LA | 29.25 | 10.9 |
25 | Allen Lazard | WR | GB | PHI | 19.50 | 12.8 |
26 | Marquise Brown | WR | ARI | LAC | 21.50 | 15.7 |
27 | DeVonta Smith | WR | PHI | GB | 26.50 | 9.9 |
28 | Brandon Aiyuk | WR | SF | NO | 26.00 | 11.2 |
29 | Adam Thielen | WR | MIN | NE | 22.75 | 11.5 |
30 | Darius Slayton | WR | NYG | DAL | 18.00 | 7.2 |
31 | Treylon Burks | WR | TEN | CIN | 20.50 | 8.1 |
32 | Josh Palmer | WR | LAC | ARI | 26.00 | 12 |
33 | Jakobi Meyers | WR | NE | MIN | 19.75 | 10.9 |
34 | Garrett Wilson | WR | NYJ | CHI | 22.00 | 11.3 |
35 | Allen Robinson | WR | LA | KC | 14.75 | 9.2 |
36 | Tyler Boyd | WR | CIN | TEN | 22.00 | 8.9 |
37 | Christian Watson | WR | GB | PHI | 19.50 | 7.7 |
38 | Donovan Peoples-Jones | WR | CLE | TB | 20.00 | 10.7 |
39 | Diontae Johnson | WR | PIT | IND | 18.25 | 13.7 |
40 | Parris Campbell | WR | IND | PIT | 20.75 | 7.9 |
41 | D.J. Moore | WR | CAR | DEN | 16.25 | 12.2 |
42 | Brandin Cooks | WR | HOU | MIA | 16.50 | 11.7 |
43 | Zay Jones | WR | JAX | BAL | 19.75 | 11.6 |
44 | George Pickens | WR | PIT | IND | 18.25 | 10.2 |
45 | Darnell Mooney | WR | CHI | NYJ | 17.50 | 9.3 |
46 | Curtis Samuel | WR | WAS | ATL | 23.00 | 11 |
47 | Nico Collins | WR | HOU | MIA | 16.50 | 9.6 |
48 | Skyy Moore | WR | KC | LA | 29.25 | 3.7 |
49 | Julio Jones | WR | TB | CLE | 23.00 | 7.9 |
50 | Mack Hollins | WR | LV | SEA | 22.00 | 10.3 |
51 | Terrace Marshall | WR | CAR | DEN | 16.25 | 6.9 |
52 | Drake London | WR | ATL | WAS | 19.00 | 9.3 |
53 | Demarcus Robinson | WR | BAL | JAX | 23.75 | 6.5 |
54 | Michael Gallup | WR | DAL | NYG | 27.50 | 8.3 |
55 | Elijah Moore | WR | NYJ | CHI | 22.00 | 6.8 |
56 | Jahan Dotson | WR | WAS | ATL | 23.00 | 8.1 |
57 | Jarvis Landry | WR | NO | SF | 17.00 | 7.8 |
58 | Robert Woods | WR | TEN | CIN | 20.50 | 8 |
59 | D.J. Chark | WR | DET | BUF | 22.00 | 9.2 |
60 | Devin Duvernay | WR | BAL | JAX | 23.75 | 7.5 |
61 | Alec Pierce | WR | IND | PIT | 20.75 | 7.8 |
62 | Van Jefferson | WR | LA | KC | 14.75 | 5.9 |
63 | Isaiah McKenzie | WR | BUF | DET | 32.00 | 7 |
64 | Corey Davis | WR | NYJ | CHI | 22.00 | 8.9 |
- Davante Adams has at least 13 targets, 126 yards, and 27.6 PPR points in each of his past three games. He's fully taken advantage of a hollowed out receiving room that's missing both Darren Waller and Hunter Renfrow. He has the most projectable volume among all current WRs.
- Keenan Allen ran 76% of the routes in his Week 11 return from injury, and turned that into five catches (on eight targets) for 94 yards. Mike Williams likely misses this game due to injury, and Allen is in line for serious volume against a Cardinals secondary ranking 22nd in pass DVOA. Expect 90%+ route participation and double digit targets from Allen in Week 12.
- Tee Higgins has back-to-back games with at least a 27% target share in Ja'Marr Chase's absence. He exploded for nine catches (13 targets) for 148 yards against PIT last week. The Titans allow the fifth most receiving yards to opposing wideouts per game, despite facing many below average passing offenses (WAS, GB, NYG, IND, DEN, HOU).
- Terry McLaurin has a target share of at least 25% in five straight games, averaging over 15 fantasy points over that stretch - despite only one TD. Atlanta allows the second-most fantasy points to WRs this season (41.8 PPR/game), via The Edge.
- Gabe Davis has target shares of at least 24% in three of his past four games. The Lions allow the third most yards per game to WRs (190), and Davis will be playing in the Lions' indoor stadium on Thanksgiving. A ceiling game is likely.
- Juju Smith-Schuster should return from his Week 11 absence (concussion), but rookie Skyy Moore likely earned more playing time going forward. He saw increased run with the WR injuries (16 routes on 38 Mahomes dropbacks in Week 11), catching five of six targets for 63 yards. His targets per route run (TPRR) rate of 38% was even higher than Kelce’s (10 targets, 35% TPRR), so the talented rookie should remain on the field in Week 12 despite Juju's return. I'd expect Justin Watson to see a decrease in playing time after he mainly ran wind sprints as a starter in Week 11.
- Darius Slayton now has at least a 19% target share, 58 yards, and 11.6 PPR points in five of his past six games. Wan'Dale Robinson is now out for the season (ACL), so Slayton should remain the target leader each week for New York.
- Treylon Burks had the big breakout game in Week 11, with eight targets (30% share), and he brought in seven catches for 111 yards and 18.1 PPR points. He will likely be the focal point of the Titans' pass attack rest of season.
- With Cooper Kupp on IR, Allen Robinson commanded just 19% of the team's targets. He salvaged his fantasy day with a score (14.7 PPR points), but now gets the mobile (and inaccurate) Bryce Perkins at QB for Week 12, as Matthew Stafford left Week 11 early (concussion). He may see a volume increase with a new QB under center, and the Rams will be forced to throw to keep pace with the Chiefs.
- After four catches for 107 yards and three TDs in Week 10, Christian Watson followed that up with four catches (six targets) for 48 yards and two more scores. That’s now back-to-back games with at least 21 fantasy points for the second-round rookie, who draws a tough matchup against the Eagles this week.
- Donovan Peoples-Jones now has at least 50 yards and nine PPR points in his last seven games, averaging 12.8 PPR/game in that span. He's a high-floor option for those that want some stability for Week 12.
- Terrace Marshall Jr. continued his run of strong usage, leading the team in targets (six, 19% share) and receiving yards (76, all other WRs combined for 57 total) in Week 11. D.J. Moore and Baker Mayfield continue to be on the pages of two entirely different novels, as Moore brought in three of five targets for just 24 yards. In six starts from Mayfield, Moore averages 3.3 catches for only 37 yards. The switch to Sam Darnold likely returns DJ Moore to *more* fantasy relevance, but Marshall is a fine start in deeper leagues each week, as the RBs have rarely been targeted since McCaffrey went to the 49ers - and there is still no pass-catching TE of note in CAR.
- Kyle Pitts is now on IR, so Drake London is the entire ATL receiving game. However, the injury to Pitts likely doesn't boost Drake London much, as the team probably leans even heavier on the run game moving forward. Washington is an elite run defense, but the Falcons have shown a willingness to pound the rock, regardless of game script or opponent.
Top 22 Tight Ends
[bc_video video_id="6315941361112" account_id="6312875271001" player_id="default" embed="in-page" padding_top="56%" autoplay="" min_width="0px" playsinline="playsinline" picture_in_picture="" language_detection="" max_width="640px" mute="" width="100%" height="100%" aspect_ratio="16:9" sizing="responsive" ]
Rank | Name | Pos | Team | Opp | Team Total | xPPR |
1 | Travis Kelce | TE | KC | LA | 29.25 | 16.7 |
2 | Mark Andrews | TE | BAL | JAX | 23.75 | 14.5 |
3 | T.J. Hockenson | TE | MIN | NE | 22.75 | 12 |
4 | George Kittle | TE | SF | NO | 26.00 | 10.2 |
5 | Dalton Schultz | TE | DAL | NYG | 27.50 | 8.9 |
6 | Tyler Higbee | TE | LA | KC | 14.75 | 10 |
7 | Gerald Everett | TE | LAC | ARI | 26.00 | 10 |
8 | Pat Freiermuth | TE | PIT | IND | 18.25 | 12.1 |
9 | Greg Dulcich | TE | DEN | CAR | 18.75 | 9.4 |
10 | David Njoku | TE | CLE | TB | 20.00 | 9.6 |
11 | Logan Thomas | TE | WAS | ATL | 23.00 | 7.4 |
12 | Evan Engram | TE | JAX | BAL | 19.75 | 7.9 |
13 | Foster Moreau | TE | LV | SEA | 22.00 | 6.9 |
14 | Cole Kmet | TE | CHI | NYJ | 17.50 | 6.4 |
15 | Juwan Johnson | TE | NO | SF | 17.00 | 7.6 |
16 | Hayden Hurst | TE | CIN | TEN | 22.00 | 7.8 |
17 | Dawson Knox | TE | BUF | DET | 32.00 | 7.8 |
18 | Trey McBride | TE | ARI | LAC | 21.50 | 1.3 |
19 | Robert Tonyan | TE | GB | PHI | 19.50 | 6.8 |
20 | Mike Gesicki | TE | MIA | HOU | 29.50 | 6.9 |
21 | Taysom Hill | TE | NO | SF | 17.00 | 6.4 |
22 | Tyler Conklin | TE | NYJ | CHI | 22.00 | 8.2 |
- Travis Kelce is a fantasy cheat code, and the biggest positional advantage of 2022.
Fantasy Points Per Game Leaders (PPR)
1. Austin Ekeler (23.0)
2. Stefon Diggs (22.7)
3. Cooper Kupp (22.4)
4. Travis Kelce (22.3)Mark Andrews is the second-highest scoring TE (14.9)
Kelce has easily been the most valuable player in fantasy this season
— Josh Larky (@jlarkytweets) November 21, 2022
- TJ Hockenson racked up his third straight game with at least nine targets as a Viking in Week 11. 100% of the red zone/end zone targets went to Hockenson against the Cowboys, and it’s a matter of if, not when, he scores his first TD as a Viking. He's in a tier of his own, above George Kittle, but below Mark Andrews.
- George Kittle has scored four TDs in his past four games, but has fewer than 40 yards in two of those four. He'll likely continue to be a boom/bust option at TE, though his boom weeks are higher than all but Travis Kelce/Mark Andrews. Kittle faces a Saints team allowing the second-fewest fantasy points to TEs this year.
- Dalton Schultz has at least five targets in each of his past four games. While he only had three catches for 22 yards in Week 11, two of his five targets came in the end zone, so better fantasy days are ahead.
- In two games without Cooper Kupp, Tyler Higbee is the security blanket for the Rams. He has back-to-back games with eight targets, and should be peppered by the inexperienced Bryce Perkins when under pressure in Week 12.
- The Arizona Cardinals allow 20.2 fantasy points per game to TEs, by far the most in the NFL, per The Edge. Gerald Everett, assuming he's healthy enough to play, is in line for a big day with Mike Williams most likely out after re-injuring his ankle in Week 11.
- Pat Freiermuth has at least seven targets in seven of nine games this season. He's a high floor, low ceiling option each week thanks to the Steelers' below average passing game.
- Greg Dulcich bounced back after a disappointing Week 10, with four catches on five targets (18% share), turning them into 30 yards. I'm slightly concerned about Week 12 though, as the Broncos-Panthers game has a projected total of just 35 points, by far the lowest of the season. TDs will be hard to come by in what should be a snoozefest for fantasy football.
- David Njoku only ran 19 routes on 45 Jacoby Brissett dropbacks, but still commanded three targets. Assuming a full snap share in Week 12 after being eased back from injury, Njoku should return to a role that saw him reach double digit fantasy points in four of five games prior to injury.
- Logan Thomas had struggled with injuries, but finally put it all together in Week 11, catching five of six targets (26% share) for 65 yards. He was targeted twice in the red zone (once in the end zone), and will look to keep it rolling against a Falcons defense allowing the eighth most yards to TEs this season.
- Juwan Johnson has at least 12 fantasy points in four of his past five games and has scored five TDs during that span. The TD pace won’t continue, but he does have four red zone targets in that span, which is better than most TEs. He’s only topped five targets once in the past five games, so he’s not more than a streaming option based on usage.
These Week 12 fantasy rankings will be updated throughout the week. Make sure to check this post each day throughout the week as the news hits.
WATCH MORE: Defenses to Add for Week 12
[bc_video video_id="6315984045112" account_id="6312875271001" player_id="default" embed="in-page" padding_top="56%" autoplay="" min_width="0px" playsinline="playsinline" picture_in_picture="" language_detection="" max_width="640px" mute="" width="100%" height="100%" aspect_ratio="16:9" sizing="responsive" ]