NFL Analysis
11/11/24
7 min read
2025 NFL Draft Stock Report: A Quarterback Sleeper Emerges
The final few weeks of the college football season mean the stakes of every game couldn't be higher. We're seeing the most talented players in the nation fight for conference title appearances and a place in the College Football Playoff. This is the last push for the top 2025 NFL Draft class to put together quality film.
Our Week 11 risers and fallers are heading in completely opposite directions. We've kept our eye on the top 300 players eligible for the 2025 NFL Draft and have solid ideas on what to expect if everyone declares. It's also becoming clear which players should go back to school for next year.
Let's examine the three stars who pushed their 2025 NFL Draft stock up and those who fell.
The 33rd Team's Latest 2025 NFL Draft Big Board
CFB Week 11 Stock Up Players
We saw enough quality performances to name a couple of other risers who dominated their competition. Here are three more players who caught our eyes in Week 11.
Honorable Mentions
- Tonka Hemingway, DT, South Carolina
- Jaylin Noel, WR, Iowa State
- Marcus Mbow, OT, Purdue
Rocco Becht : 24/37 for a season-high 383 yards, 3 TD's, INT & a 173.2 QB Rating pic.twitter.com/UbclW4Isdp
— Lee Harvey (@MusikFan4Life) November 10, 2024
📈Rocco Becht, QB, Iowa State
Stats: 24/37, 383 yards, 3 TDs, 1 INT
Outside of a late pick-six that came when Iowa State was already down 10 points and fighting to climb back into it, Rocco Becht turned in the type of efficient performance that has defined his game. One of the few quarterbacks who manages to blend aggressive downfield throws with precise placement and proper timing, Becht is much like his predecessor, Brock Purdy. Analytics fiends will love Becht for a good reason.
He doesn't have the biggest arm and his 6-foot-1, 210-pound is average. However, he maximizes his two NFL-caliber receivers and keeps the offense moving in a translatable way. Saturday was the fifth time he's averaged more than 10 yards per attempt and had an adjusted completion rate of more than 70 percent.
Becht's lack of creative upside will keep him out of the first round, but he deserves recognition as a legitimate Day 2 pick who can operate a quality NFL offense. For teams worried about investing in a green crop of quarterbacks in 2025, Becht could declare early and be a functional starter at a bargain price. It sounds like Purdy, doesn't it?
Marshall EDGE Mike Green is one of most slept on rushers in this year's #NFL draft.
— Jim Nagy (@JimNagy_SB) November 5, 2024
Yeah, he's unblocked on this rep but the closing speed is impressive...dude is an absolute 𝙗𝙡𝙪𝙧 from backside. 👀
Plenty of director level scout traffic thru Huntington, WV this fall.… https://t.co/pndQqPM3RO pic.twitter.com/okuokv8vGO
📈Mike Green, EDGE, Marshall
Stats: 19 snaps, 5 pressures, 2 sacks
The edge class has largely failed to produce quality options beyond the top few names at premier programs. Looking beyond the former 5-stars quickly reveals Mike Green as one of the best pure pass-rushers in the nation. With a solid 6-foot-4, 248-pound frame and two years of great production, Green looks like a Day 2 lock now.
His 2024 campaign has been phenomenal. He was the best player against Southern Miss, wrecking their offensive game plan with a flawless performance. Green notched his fourth game with at least two sacks of the season, and his five run stops pushed his total to 36 on the year.
The former Virginia defender is one of the best overall players in the Group of Five. We'll surely see him in the all-star circuit, which will be when his stock hits an all-time high. Expect Green to find a role early in his career.
📈Azareye'h Thomas, CB, Florida State
Stats: 57 snaps, 3 tackles, 2 passes defensed
We haven't seen much progress from the cornerback class despite intriguing athletes throughout it. Florida State's Azareye'h Thomas has been a major winner this year, and his weekly consistency is one of the few bright spots for a terrible team. The 6-foot-2, 198-pounder might make his way into the first round.
Thomas was a shutdown defender once again this past week, even though Notre Dame trounced the Seminoles. He's allowed 14 receptions on 27 targets for 135 yards with zero touchdowns. With five pass breakups on the year and only three penalties called, Thomas is growing in confidence and technical competence.
There's room to grow, especially as Thomas has only one career interception. Still, he's sticky for his size and challenges receivers at the catch point well enough to believe he can survive in the NFL for years, even if he's not a playmaker.
We were highly impressed that he gave up only one reception on four targets for 15 yards this past week.
CFB Week 11 Stock Down Players
TREY MOORE FUMBLE RECOVERY🔥#HookEm pic.twitter.com/puCK3C4JtI
— Inside Texas (@InsideTexas) November 9, 2024
📉Trey Moore, EDGE, Texas
Stats: 31 snaps, 4 tackles, 1 fumble recovery
One of the bigger transfer additions from this past offseason was supposed to be Trey Moore. Tremendously productive at UTSA, Texas added Moore in hopes of replacing several veteran pass-rushers. After all, he had 22 sacks and 75 total pressures over his previous two seasons, so what could go wrong?
Instead of being a spark to the unit, Moore has simply existed. The 6-foot-3, 245-pounder was clearly beating up on bad competition and has been invisible for much of 2024. His performance against Florida this week might've been his best of the year, but it was also against a ton of backups for a team that has quit on the season.
Moore's lack of burst, reliable tackling, and mediocre traits have been exposed in the SEC. Instead of being a breakout candidate who could rise in the 2025 NFL Draft, his production and film look closer to those of an undrafted free agent.
📉Jaydn Ott, RB, Cal
Stats: 14 carries, 23 yards
The 2025 running back class is tremendous, but several of the anticipated stars have not had productive years. Jaydn Ott has seen his production crater, and his playing time has diminished more concerningly. With Cal embracing a pass-heavy approach and working in Jaivian Thomas, Ott has become an afterthought despite producing 1,311 yards and 12 touchdowns last year.
With only 1.75 yards per carry after contact, almost half his 2023 total, Ott has been barely playable. The 210-pounder isn't seeing rush lanes effectively or generating his opportunities. There's been a massive difference in star power shown from one of the nation's most reliable playmakers in 2022 and 2023.
NFL teams will have to determine why Ott hasn't had the same power, vision, or explosiveness as in years past. His usage might've been lowered to keep his body fresh for the NFL, but that strategy has backfired since Ott hasn't made the most of his touches.
garrett nussmeier intercepted pic.twitter.com/PbYwNEizKY
— ◇ (@HOODH3RO) November 10, 2024
📉Garrett Nussmeier, QB, LSU
Stats: 27/42, 239 yards, 1 TD, 2 INTs
While it wasn't solely one player's fault that LSU lost to Alabama, QB Garrett Nussmeier's struggles were notable. Once considered a potential first-round pick at various times this season, it now seems unlikely that the fourth-year junior will declare. The debate about his readiness for the NFL is moot, regardless of his decision.
Nussmeier completed just 27 of 42 passes for 239 yards, managing one touchdown but also tossing two interceptions. He was unable to match Jalen Milroe's ability to make plays. Although the Tigers' offense achieved some good gains, the passing game struggled to average a mere 5.7 yards per attempt. Big plays were minimized, and Nussmeier often found himself resorting to checkdowns in crowded areas.
His inexperience showed as he struggled with processing defenses, leading to a slower release time than usual. He also avoided challenging tight coverage. This marked his fifth consecutive game with a quarterback rating below 100.
It's hard to imagine Nussmeier entering the 2025 class. Sharpening his pre- and post-snap coverage reads can help maximize his stock beyond its current level.
