Fantasy & Betting

12/6/23

11 min read

2023 NFL Week 14 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings

By Ian Miller

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We’re just one week away from the fantasy playoffs, and most leagues are holding their trade deadline this week. This means it’s your last chance to jump on any good deals until the offseason. 

Let’s dive into our latest round of rankings to get you ready for the playoffs. 

Week 14 Dynasty Rankings

Quarterback Rankings

Tier One

Value Estimation: 3+ Premium First-Round Picks

Tier Two

Value Estimation: 3+ First-Round Picks

Tier Three

Value Estimation: 2+ First-Round Picks

Tier Four 

Value Estimation: Early First-Round Pick

Tier Five

Value Estimation: First-Round Pick

Tier Six

Value Estimation: Late First-Round Pick

Tier Seven

Value Estimation: Second-Round Pick

Tier Eight

Value Estimation: Third-Round Pick

Tier Nine

Value Estimation: Fourth-Round Pick

Big QB Movers

Josh Allen - First (Previously Second)

It’s appropriate to question whether Patrick Mahomes falling from the QB1 spot for the first time has more to do with him or his lack of receiving weapons. What can’t be questioned is whether Josh Allen deserves that top spot. 

Allen is posting 27.6 points per game, which is good for QB1 on the season and is 5.3 higher than Mahomes. At 27 years old, there are no signs of Allen's numbers slowing down, especially when he is heading toward a fourth-straight season of at least 27 points per game. 

His 20.5 passing points per game is the sixth-highest among all quarterbacks, and he’s adding a whopping 7.4 rushing points per game. While you can’t go wrong with any top options, Allen is officially dynasty’s No. 1 asset. 

Jordan Love – 15th (Previously 18th)

Jordan Love has been a solid fantasy producer all season, but the surge in his peripherals hasn’t been apparent until the past couple of weeks. 

In the past two weeks, he’s posted 9.7 adjusted yards per attempt and an 8.9 percent passing touchdown rate while only getting sacked on 6.3 percent of pressures. Love has brought his points per game up to 21.3, good for QB10. 

There was a risk heading into the season that he wouldn’t be the starter in 2024, but that doubt seems to be all but erased. He’s proved he can post relatively strong production. He could profile as a high-ceiling option, but his peripherals and production can no longer be ignored.

Running Back Rankings

Tier One

Value Estimation: 2+ First-Round Picks

Tier Two

Value Estimation: Early First-Round Pick

Tier Three

Value Estimation: First-Round Pick

Tier Four

Value Estimation: Late First-Round Pick

Tier Five

Value Estimation: Early Second-Round Pick

Tier Six

Value Estimation: Second-Round Pick

Tier Seven

Value Estimation: Late Second-Round Pick

Tier Eight

Value Estimation: Third-Round Pick

Big RB Movers

De’Von Achane – Fourth (Previously Sixth)

De’Von Achane is averaging the second-most points per game among all running backs at 21.4, only trailing Christian McCaffrey. And Achane's 21.4 points per game is averaged from six games played this season. He had less than a 10 percent snap share in two games. 

In the four other games, he has posted staggering performances of 51.3, 27.0, 21.5 and 25.3 points. It’s no secret that Achane is the highest-upside player at running back when he is healthy. 

His 3.28 yards per team rush attempt is the highest in the league, and he's doing that with a carry percentage that’s just the 41st-highest among running backs. If Achane can stay on the field, he’s a league winner heading into the playoffs.

Isiah Pacheco – 16th (Previously 18th)

There are some limitations in Isiah Pacheco’s profile, such as his lack of adequate receiving ability, earning just an 8.4 percent target share. But that hasn’t stopped him from posting 14.5 points per game, good for RB13 on the season. 

He’s accomplished this by handling 57.9 percent of the carries and holding 2.56 yards per team rush attempt. In an offense that’s top 12 in scoring, that will lend itself to solid fantasy production. 

Pacheco doesn’t have the safest profile, but if he can remain healthy and keep his top spot on the Chiefs after the NFL Draft, he will continue to produce fringe RB1 production.

Chuba Hubbard – 35th (Previously 46th)

Chuba Hubbard has completely supplanted Miles Sanders as the lead back in Carolina. Since Week 6, Hubbard has handled 59 percent of the team's carries; Sanders has just a 27.3 percent carry percentage. 

That lends itself to Hubbard’s 12.7 points per game since Week 5, with two performances of at least 20 fantasy points in the past two weeks. He doesn’t have the soundest profile, nor is it coming from a fantasy-friendly offense (29th in points scored and 30th in offensive yards), but anytime you have a running back with solid usage, he can’t be ignored. 

Wide Receiver Rankings

Tier One

Value Estimation: 3 First-Round Picks

Tier Two

Value Estimation: 2 First-Round Picks

Tier Three

Value Estimation: Early First-Round Pick

Tier Four

Value Estimation: First-Round Pick

Tier Five

Value Estimation: Late First-Round Pick

Tier Six

Value Estimation: Second-Round Pick

Tier Seven

Value Estimation: Third-Round Pick

Big WR Movers

Michael Pittman Jr. – 16th (Previously 18th)

Michael Pittman Jr. joined Tyreek Hill, Keenan Allen and Davante Adams as the only wide receivers with at least a 30 percent target share. That is an elite grouping. However, while he's been good, other peripherals point to Pittman Jr. not being as elite as the others. 

His 27.6 percent target rate and 1.93 yards per route run are the lowest in the group, and he’s posting those numbers on the lowest average target depth at 8.2 yards. This isn’t meant to tear down Pittman Jr., by any means, but rather to add some context to show he’s not at that elite level yet. 

Then again, he’s posting 16.5 points per game on an offense led by Gardner Minshew.

Nico Collins – 17th (Previously 25th)

Nico Collins is the WR9 through the first 13 weeks of the season, scoring 17.6 points per game. The only five wide receivers with more weeks of at least 24 points are Hill, Allen, CeeDee Lamb, Mike Evans and Justin Jefferson. 

Collins’ 2.89 yards per route run rank third among all wide receivers and only trail Hill and Brandon Aiyuk. While you can partially credit C.J. Stroud for this efficiency, Collins’ 24.8 percent target rate shows he can earn targets. 

That ability, attached to such a high-profile offense for the foreseeable future, is tantalizing. 

Christian Watson – 34th (Previously 49th)

Christian Watson had a range of outcomes (ROO) that was less than friendly heading into his second season. Just 7.7 percent of possible outcomes posted an 18-point-per-game season, 23.1 percent posted a 16-point-per-game season and 38.5 percent posted a 14-point-per-game season. 

Watson also had a slow start, not even going for 12 points once in the first 11 weeks. Despite that, we were too low on him. In the past two weeks, he’s posted at least 20 points per game on the backs of 21.9 and 25.0 percent target shares. 

For a wide receiver who posted a 24.4 percent target rate and 2.24 yards per route as a rookie, there is still intrigue in Watson’s profile.

Tight End Rankings

Tier One

Value Estimation: First-Round Pick

Tier Two

Value Estimation: Late First-Round Pick

Tier Three

Value Estimation: Second-Round Pick

Tier Four

Value Estimation: Third-Round Pick

Big TE Movers

Sam LaPorta – First (Previously Fourth)

Sam LaPorta is posting the highest target share and second-highest yards per team pass attempt for any rookie tight end. Pair that with being on top-12 offense in pass attempts and touchdowns and LaPorta is producing the highest points per game by a rookie tight end ever. 

His 16.7 points per game rank him TE3 on the season, only trailing Travis Kelce and T.J. Hockenson. The difference between rookie Kyle Pitts and LaPorta is that the Lions' offense won’t devolve into a horrible situation.

There is no reason not to have LaPorta as TE1.

Trey McBride – Fourth (Previously Seventh)

Since Trey McBride took over the full-time role for the Arizona Cardinals in Week 8, he’s posted 19.6 points per game on the back of a 28.9 percent target share and 2.40 yards per team pass attempt. 

Across the entire season, only Kelce, Hockenson and George Kittle have more weeks of at least 22 points than McBride, who didn’t have a full-time role through the first seven weeks of the season. 

He also holds the highest target rate and the second-highest yards per route run among all tight ends in 2023. That means that even in his limited role at the beginning of the season, he was fantastic when on the field. 

McBride is absolutely a top-five tight end in dynasty.

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Ian Miller

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Ian Miller attended Washington State University, where most of the time he was building fantasy football models when he should’ve been paying attention to lectures. That’s where he first started building his process that he continue to grow today. It’s a process that gives probability of success and range of outcomes for recruits all the way to ten year NFL veterans. It’s something Ian not only shares with the readers, but also uses in his personal fantasy leagues.