2023 NFL Week 1 DFS Top Plays

Every week, our DFS team releases their favorite plays for the main slate on DraftKings. These plays will be geared towards the Milly Maker tournament on DraftKings. 

Chalk plays are guys we expect to have high rostership, where they will be very popular in our competitors’ lineups. Playing chalk in DFS is fine; however, you will want pieces of your lineup to be an outlier play to separate yourself from the field.

If 50 percent of your opponents start Christian McCaffrey in the running back slot and he gives you only 12 fantasy points, the 50 percent of lineups without the very expensive landmine of McCaffrey get an immediate boost.

An outlier player will be somebody who is not popular — usually, around five percent or fewer lineups will have this type of player. If only three percent of the field plays Darius Slayton in a wide receiver slot, and he scores 18 points, then you have an edge on about 97 percent of the field if you played Slayton.

A value is any cheap player we expect to have a solid game. These players are usually relatively popular but help you play the studs. A textbook value example would be a moderately popular tight end for $2,700 that scores 11 fantasy points.

A ceiling play type will be expected to produce one of their highest outputs in the given matchup. An example of this is Ja’Marr Chase. At more than $8,000 in salary, we want to play Chase in the games where his output is north of 25 or 30 DraftKings points, not when he will score 18.

MORE DFS: How to Handle Week 1 Chalk in DFS | Week 1 DFS Main Slate Strategy

We’ll review DFS Showdown strategy before every island game in our free Discord. We’re also dropping player prop bets in there with write-ups throughout the week and will answer fantasy start-sit questions, too.


Name Price Expected Rostership Play Type
Lamar Jackson $8,000 Low Outlier
Jalen Hurts $7,800 High Chalk
Joe Burrow $7,100 Low Outlier
Anthony Richardson $5,600 High Value
Derek Carr $5,300 Low Value Outlier


Running Backs

Name Price Expected Rostership Play Type
Nick Chubb $8,200 Low Outlier
Derrick Henry $7,800 Medium Ceiling 
Rhamondre Stevenson $7,000 Low Outlier
Travis Etienne $6,900 Low Outlier
JK Dobbins $6,600 Low Ceiling
Aaron Jones $6,300 High Chalk
Raheem Mostert $5,400 High Chalk Value
Brian Robinson $5,100 High Chalk Value
Deon Jackson $4,100 High Chalk Value

Wide Receivers

Name Price Expected Rostership Play Type
Justin Jefferson $8,800 High Ceiling
Ja’Marr Chase $8,100 High Ceiling 
A.J. Brown $7,600 Low Value
DK Metcalf $7,000 Medium Ceiling 
Tyler Lockett $6,700 Medium Ceiling
Calvin Ridley $6,500 Medium Value
Chris Olave $6,500 Medium Value
Mike Evans $6,300 Low Outlier
Amari Cooper $5,800 Medium Value
Mike Williams $5,700 High Chalk Value
Zay Flowers $4,000 Low Value
Alec Pierce $3,800 Low Outlier
Marvin Mims $3,000 High Value
Tutu Atwell $3,000 Medium Value

Tight Ends

Name Price Expected Rostership Play Type
Tyler Higbee $4,800 High Chalk
Gerald Everett $4,300 Low Outlier
Pat Freiermuth $4,100 Low Outlier
Juwan Johnson $3,900 Low Value
Isaiah Likely $3,000 High Chalk Value
Luke Musgrave $2,900 High Chalk Value


Name Price Expected Rostership Play Type
Ravens $4,000 Low Ceiling
Seahawks $3,300 Low Ceiling
Falcons  $3,200 Low Outlier
Chargers  $3.100 Low Outlier
Steelers  $3,000 Low Outlier
Commanders  $2,800 High Chalk
Packers  $2,800 Low Outlier
Dolphins  $2,500 Low Value
Raiders  $2,300 Medium Value

Follow our DFS Team

Jordan Vanek: @JordanVanekDFS 

Josh Larky: @JLarkyTweets 

Ryan Reynolds: @RyanReynoldsNFL 

Mark Garcia: @HilowFF 

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