Two point conversions are some of the most impactful plays on the football field. While they may seem simple, the randomness of two point success rates and myriad situational differences create a complicated decision. My goal is first to simplify the decision making process and create a model more accurate than current public models to […]
Study: Assigning Responsibility For Punt Yardage
Introduction Success when punting the ball can be attributed to four major factors: the pre-snap positioning of the ball, the punter’s ball placement, the coverage team’s positioning, and the punt returner’s ability. For my 2022 Big Data Bowl Submission I tackled this problem using tracking data from 2018 to 2020 to see what punters, coverage […]
Playing To Win: Why Going For 2 Down 8 Is The Right Call
31-30. The Baltimore Ravens, without QB Lamar Jackson, have just scored what could be the game-tying TD against the NFL best 10-3 Green Bay Packers. The Ravens, however, are not kicking the extra point; they’re going for 2 to win the game. Tyler Huntley rolls right and passes to star tight end Mark Andrews who […]
