NFL Week 16 Betting: Odds, Spreads, Picks, Predictions for Seahawks vs. Chiefs

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Seahawks (7-7) at Chiefs (11-3)  Opening Spread: Chiefs -9.5. Opening Game Total: 49. Opening Team Totals: Chiefs (29.25) Seahawks (19.75). Weather: Outdoors, below-freezing temperatures. The Line Report This line opened as Chiefs -9.5. This line remains at -9.5. This total opened at 49 points. This total has moved to 48.5 points. Notable Injuries Chiefs: Questionable: […]

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NFL Week 14 Betting: Odds, Spreads, Picks, Predictions for Chiefs vs. Broncos

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Kansas City Chiefs (9-3) at Denver Broncos (3-9) Opening Spread: Broncos +9. Opening Game Total: 43. Opening Team Totals: Broncos (17) Chiefs (26). Weather: Outdoors, no current concerns. The Line Report This line opened as Broncos +9. This line has moved to Broncos +9.5. DraftKings Pick’Em has the Broncos +9.5. Circa Sports Millions Pro Football […]

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Fantasy Football NFL Week 11: Five Things We Learned

Fantasy Football NFL Week 11: Five Things We Learned
Welcome to Five Things We Learned! Every Monday morning, this article will bring you the top need-to-know storylines for Fantasy Football in 2022. All data included in this article comes from unless otherwise stated.  No. 1: Buy Low in Tennessee, Part 1 Tennessee Titans rookie wide receiver Treylon Burks returned from a four-week absence […]

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Chiefs Receiver to Start in DFS for NFL Week 11: Toney or Kelce?

Kansas City Chiefs WR Kadarius Toney got into the mix against the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 10 and could be a real contender. Toney should definitely be one of your DFS picks this week over Travis Kelce. Greg Jennings and Jordan Vanek discuss the reasons why.

Fantasy Football NFL Week 10: Five Things We Learned

Fantasy Football NFL Week 10: Five Things We Learned
Welcome to Five Things We Learned! Every Monday morning, this article will bring you the top need-to-know storylines for Fantasy Football in 2022. All data included in this article comes from unless otherwise stated.  No. 1: Kadarius Toney has WR1 Potential Second-year wide receiver and Week 8 trade acquisition Kadarius Toney produced his first […]

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Fantasy Football Week 11: Waiver Wire Adds, Drops and More

Need some waiver wire help for Week 11? For the first time in a few weeks, the fantasy football gods have smiled down on waivers… except for quarterbacks.

So, as I’ve done in the last few editions of this column, I’ll also include some tidbits on players you should avoid or drop altogether.

But of course, the main focus remains the top waiver targets for Week 11.

As always, this column is geared toward PPR leagues unless otherwise noted. All players included are rostered in fewer than 50% of leagues, per FantasyPros’ rostership data. All stats are credited to TruMedia unless stated otherwise. 


Only keep Russell Wilson if you have Tua Tagovailoa, Geno Smith, Trevor Lawrence, or, for some reason, Tom Brady.

  • Rostered in 59.5% of leagues
  • Those are the four quarterbacks on byes in Week 11.
  • I told you a couple of weeks ago to drop Wilson.
  • Yet he’s now a good streaming candidate in Week 11.
  • The Broncos face the Raiders, who have allowed the most fantasy points to quarterbacks this season.
  • Wilson scored 27.5 fantasy points in Las Vegas in Week 4.
  • That is the only time he scored 15+ points since Week 1.
  • There aren’t many other intriguing quarterbacks available in most leagues.
  • If you don’t need him for Week 11, cut him.
  • Wilson scored between 13.7 and 14.3 points in each of his last three games.
  • No team has scored fewer points per game than Denver.
  • I can not stress enough how dire your situation must be to pivot to Wilson.

Daniel Jones is a risky streaming target in Week 11.

  • Rostered in 60.7% of leagues… so Jones may already be snatched up.
  • The Lions have allowed the third-most fantasy points to quarterbacks.
  • However, four quarterbacks have scored 24+ fantasy points against the Lions.
  • While three of the last five quarterbacks to face Detroit failed to reach 14 fantasy points, including Aaron Rodgers and Dak Prescott.
  • Jones has three games with 16+ fantasy points and two with 21+ fantasy points.
  • Jones has one game below 12 fantasy points.
  • Jones has four games between 12-14 fantasy points.
  • He’s thrown just two interceptions this season.
  • His fantasy upside clearly comes from his rushing ability.
  • The potential variance here is wild and mostly shrouded by the numbers.
  • You could do much worse than Jones as your starting quarterback in Week 11.

Running Backs

Rachaad White Can Be a League-Winner, Says Josh Larky.

Rostered in 33.1% of leagues.

Jerick McKinnon is a risky start, yet a worthy addition.

  • Rostered in 19.2% of leagues.
  • McKinnon’s only seen four total carries over the last two games.
  • But he caught six balls on eight targets in each.
  • He also reached 40+ receiving yards and 10+ fantasy points in each of those two games.
  • He did that despite a positive game script the entire game in Week 10.
  • McKinnon is clearly the best pass-catching back in Kansas City.
  • The Chiefs throw the ball at the third-highest rate in the league.

Jaylen Warren is a prime stash off waivers.

  • Rostered in 17.2% of leagues.
  • Beat reporters warned us that Warren would see more work starting in Week 10.
  • He’s seen more work over his last two games than any two-game stretch this season.
  • He saw six and nine carries in the last two games, respectively.
  • Warren also has 10+ fantasy points in each of the games.
  • His involvement in the passing game — three catches on three targets in each game — is a big reason why.
  • Warren doesn’t offer much for your starting lineups, but the position is so barren that you might as well take a flier on him.
  • He’s not a must-add… unless something happens to Najee Harris.

Wide Receivers

Kadarius Toney is a Top Waiver Target, Per Tank Williams.

Rostered in 49.4% of leagues.

Darius Slayton shouldn’t be this available.

  • Rostered in 5.3% of leagues.
  • Slayton has 11+ fantasy points in four of his last five games, including each in his last three games.
  • He only has two touchdowns in that span.
  • Slayton led the Giants in routes run and targets…
  • …though he was the only Giant to see more than two targets.
  • Slayton leads New York in targets since Week 5.
  • Only three teams have attempted fewer passes per game than the Giants.
  • He’s a middling flex play with the upside to become a low-end WR2.

Donovan Peoples-Jones is a sneaky flex play.

  • Rostered in 26.6% of leagues.
  • Peoples-Jones has 11+ fantasy points in five of his last six games, including each of his last four games.
  • He has to yet to score a touchdown, either.
  • He has 50+ receiving yards in all but two games this season.
  • He has 70+ receiving yards in each of the last four games.
  • He’s also seen between four and nine targets in all but two games.
  • Those two games I keep referencing: Weeks 2 and 3.
  • Deshaun Watson returns soon, which should boost the passing offense.

Parris Campbell is a top waiver target again.

  • Rostered in 20.3% of leagues.
  • Campbell had 11+ targets, 50+ receiving yards and 18+ fantasy points in each of Week 6 and Week 7.
  • Campbell had 7 targets, 58 receiving yards and 12.7 fantasy points combined in Week 8 and Week 9.
  • Campbell had 9 targets, 76 receiving yards and 20.6 fantasy points combined in Week 10.
  • Matt Ryan did not play in Week 8 and Week 9.
  • With Ryan back in Week 10, Campbell was second on the team in snaps, routes run and targets.
  • He and Michael Pittman Jr. both led the team with nine targets
  • Tight end Kylen Granson was third in targets with four.
  • Clearly, Ryan is a big boost to Campbell’s fantasy value.
  • The Colts get a tough Week 11 matchup against the Eagles, but Campbell can still be a low-end flex play based on his usage.

Don’t spend too much waiver capital on Christian Watson… yet.

  • Rostered in 6.9% of leagues
  • Watson was finally healthy when other Packers receivers were not.
  • Romeo Doubs and Randall Cobb will likely remain out.
  • Watson caught four balls for 107 yards and *checks notes* three touchdowns.
  • He led Green Bay in targets with eight.
  • No other Packer saw more than four.
  • Watson and Allen Lazard more than doubled the snaps and routes runs by all Green Bay wideouts.
  • Watson is definitely worth a roster spot, just don’t expect a performance like this again.
  • He and Campbell are still top wide receiver targets.

Julio Jones is too touchdown dependent to trust in lineups.

  • Rostered in 20.1% of leagues
  • In two games back from another injury, Jones has two games with 10+ fantasy points.
  • He scored in each of those games.
  • He also has yet to see more than five targets in those games.
  • Jones posted a nearly identical stat line in Week 9 as he did in Week 8, yet a touchdown boosted his fantasy score in Week 8.
  • He scored 4.8 points in Week 9.
  • Jones still saw a heavy route-run rate in Week 10.
  • Despite playing 17 fewer snaps than Mike Evans, Jones only ran five fewer routes and saw one fewer target.
  • Tampa Bay has its bye in Week 11.
  • Jones is involved enough to be worth a roster spot, but his production just isn’t sustainable.

Tight Ends

Cole Kmet is finally worth a waiver claim.

  • Rostered in 48% of leagues.
  • Kmet has five touchdowns in the last three games.
  • He has back-to-back games of 22+ fantasy points.
  • He just scored 23.4 points on two touchdowns and 74 receiving yards.
  • Kmet led all Bears in targets in Week 10.
  • As with running backs, tight end is a thin position to maneuver.
  • You may just need to ride the hot hand, though you should start him with caution.
  • The Bears face the Falcons in Week 11, who are a below-average matchup in allowing fantasy points to opposing tight ends.
  • Kmet is still a volatile starting option because we can’t expect him to keep scoring at this rate.

Drop Taysom Hill.

  • Rostered in 55.9% of leagues.
  • Hill has scored a whopping 1.22 points combined over the last two weeks.
  • He’s hit 10+ fantasy points just once since Week 5… when he scored 10.12 points in Week 7.
  • Hill is just no longer a part of this offense.
  • The Saints have scored 13 and 10 points against the Ravens and Steelers over the last two weeks, respectively.
  • So Hill’s no longer a part of this *bad* offense.
  • The Saints’ upcoming schedule: vs. the Rams, at the 49ers, at the Buccaneers.

You can also send Cade Otton back to the waivers. 

  • Rostered in 15% of leagues.
  • Otton had previously scored 10+ fantasy points in three of his last five games.
  • His production fell back to Earth with Cameron Brate’s return. 
  • Otton played 12 more snaps than Brate.
  • But Brate ran 15 routes to Otton’s nine routes.
  • Neither of them saw more than three targets.
  • The Buccaneers’ wide receiver trio (Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, Julio Jones) combined for a 65% target share.
  • Tampa Bay has its bye in Week 11.
  • Unless Brate gets hurt again, Otton just looks like a blocking tight end.
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