Analysis
9/13/23
12 min read
2023 NFL Week 2 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings
Dynasty teams last for many years, and making decisions after less than six percent of a singular season is not in our best interest. However, there are still pivots we can make.
I will update our dynasty rankings weekly to explain why a player moved within the rankings. The goal is to give you the best possible advantage, even if it’s just minor. Every slight edge adds up in a dynasty league.
All previous rankings included in this article are from these rankings, released in May.
Miller's Week 2 Dynasty Rankings
Quarterback Rankings
Tier One
Value Estimation: 3+ Premium First-Round Picks
| 1 | Patrick Mahomes | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 2 | Josh Allen | Buffalo Bills |
| 3 | Jalen Hurts | Philadelphia Eagles |
Tier Two
Value Estimation: 3+ First-Round Picks
| 4 | Lamar Jackson | Baltimore Ravens |
| 5 | Joe Burrow | Cincinnati Bengals |
Tier Three
Value Estimation: 2+ First-Round Picks
| 6 | Justin Herbert | Los Angeles Chargers |
| 7 | Trevor Lawrence | Jacksonville Jaguars |
| 8 | Deshaun Watson | Cleveland Browns |
| 9 | Kyler Murray | Arizona Cardinals |
Tier Four
Value Estimation: 2 First-Round Picks
| 10 | Anthony Richardson | Indianapolis Colts |
| 11 | Justin Fields | Chicago Bears |
Tier Five
Value Estimation: Premium First-Round Pick
| 12 | Tua Tagovailoa | Miami Dolphins |
| 13 | Bryce Young | Carolina Panthers |
| 14 | Dak Prescott | Dallas Cowboys |
Tier Six
Value Estimation: First-Round Pick
| 15 | CJ Stroud | Houston Texans |
Tier Seven
Value Estimation: Late First-Round Pick
| 16 | Kirk Cousins | Minnesota Vikings |
| 17 | Daniel Jones | New York Giants |
| 18 | Russell Wilson | Denver Broncos |
| 19 | Jared Goff | Detroit Lions |
| 20 | Geno Smith | Seattle Seahawks |
| 21 | Brock Purdy | San Francisco 49ers |
| 22 | Derek Carr | New Orleans Saints |
Tier Eight
Value Estimation: Second-Round Pick
| 23 | Kenny Pickett | Pittsburgh Steelers |
| 24 | Mac Jones | New England Patriots |
| 25 | Jordan Love | Green Bay Packers |
Tier Nine
Value Estimation: Middling Second-Round Pick
| 26 | Jimmy Garoppolo | Las Vegas Raiders |
| 27 | Ryan Tannehill | Tennessee Titans |
Tier 10
Value Estimation: Third-Round Pick
| 28 | Matthew Stafford | Los Angeles Rams |
| 29 | Sam Howell | Washington Commanders |
| 30 | Baker Mayfield | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
| 31 | Desmond Ridder | Atlanta Falcons |
Tier 11
Value Estimation: Late Third-Round Pick
| 32 | Zach Wilson | New York Jets |
| 33 | Dorian Thompson-Robinson | Cleveland Browns |
| 34 | Trey Lance | San Francisco 49ers |
| 35 | Sam Darnold | San Francisco 49ers |
| 36 | Tyler Huntley | Baltimore Ravens |
| 37 | Will Levis | Tennessee Titans |
| 38 | Malik Willis | Tennessee Titans |
| 39 | Aaron Rodgers | New York Jets |
| 40 | Gardner Minshew | Indianapolis Colts |
| 41 | Jacoby Brissett | Washington Commanders |
Big QB Movers
Brock Purdy, 49ers – 21st (Previously 27th)
In the five regular season games Brock Purdy started last season, he posted 8.6 adjusted yards per attempt, trailing only Tua Tagovailoa.
Purdy also posted an efficient 7.6 percent touchdown rate to go along with 8.1 yards per attempt. While he didn’t have many rushing points per game, there were still some encouraging passing peripherals. That lead us to believe he had an adequate ceiling.
After 9.0 adjusted yards per attempt and a 6.9 percent touchdown rate in Week 1 against what projects to be a strong defense, there is reason to believe Purdy is legit. It just likely comes with a lower ceiling due to the lack of rushing production.
Trey Lance, Cowboys – 34th (Previously 17th)
Trey Lance’s intrigue was clear. He was a great rushing quarterback selected high in the draft. This typically means the team wouldn’t quickly give up on the quarterback, even if he struggled.
Lance should’ve been a quarterback who could accumulate fantasy points despite struggling as a passer. However, Lance’s five games started are the fewest from a top-five pick since 2006.
Lance is a complete anomaly in draft history, and he now finds himself without a role on the Dallas Cowboys.
Aaron Rodgers, Jets – 39th (Previously 27th)
There’s not much to say about Aaron Rodgers other than he suffered possibly the worst luck we’ve seen from a newly appointed franchise star. His Achilles injury puts him out for the season.
At best, it puts him back at the helm at 40, coming off a major injury next season.
Running Back Rankings
Tier One
Value Estimation: 3 First-Round Picks
| 1 | 21.6 Years Old | Bijan Robinson | Atlanta Falcons |
Tier Two
Value Estimation: 2+ First-Round Picks
| 2 | 21.5 Years Old | Jahmyr Gibbs | Detroit Lions |
| 3 | 22.3 Years Old | Breece Hall | New York Jets |
| 4 | 27.3 Years Old | Christian McCaffrey | San Francisco 49ers |
| 5 | 24.6 Years Old | Jonathan Taylor | Indianapolis Colts |
Tier Three
Value Estimation: 2 First-Round Picks
| 6 | 26.6 Years Old | Saquon Barkley | New York Giants |
| 7 | 28.3 Years Old | Austin Ekeler | Los Angeles Chargers |
Tier Four
Value Estimation: Premium First-Round Pick
| 8 | 25.6 Years Old | Josh Jacobs | Las Vegas Raiders |
| 9 | 24.6 Years Old | Travis Etienne | Jacksonville Jaguars |
| 10 | 25.5 Years Old | Rhamondre Stevenson | New England Patriots |
Tier Five
Value Estimation: First-Round Pick
| 11 | 27.7 Years Old | Nick Chubb | Cleveland Browns |
| 12 | 26.4 Years Old | Tony Pollard | Dallas Cowboys |
| 13 | 22.9 Years Old | Kenneth Walker III | Seattle Seahawks |
Tier Six
Value Estimation: Late First-Round Pick
| 14 | 23.4 Years Old | Javonte Williams | Denver Broncos |
| 15 | 25.5 Years Old | Najee Harris | Pittsburgh Steelers |
| 16 | 28.1 Years Old | Alvin Kamara | New Orleans Saints |
| 17 | 27.1 Years Old | Joe Mixon | Cincinnati Bengals |
Tier Seven
Value Estimation: Early Second-Round Pick
| 18 | 29.7 Years Old | Derrick Henry | Tennessee Titans |
| 19 | 28.8 Years Old | Aaron Jones | Green Bay Packers |
| 20 | 23.6 Years Old | Dameon Pierce | Houston Texans |
| 21 | 21.9 Years Old | De’Von Achane | Miami Dolphins |
| 22 | 22.7 Years Old | Zach Charbonnet | Seattle Seahawks |
Tier Eight
Value Estimation: Second-Round Pick
| 23 | 28.3 Years Old | James Conner | Arizona Cardinals |
| 24 | 28.1 Years Old | Dalvin Cook | New York Jets |
| 25 | 26.3 Years Old | David Montgomery | Detroit Lions |
| 26 | 24.0 Years Old | James Cook | Buffalo Bills |
| 27 | 26.4 Years Old | Miles Sanders | Carolina Panthers |
| 28 | 24.5 Years Old | Brian Robinson | Washington Commanders |
| 29 | 24.5 Years Old | Isiah Pacheco | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 30 | 24.7 Years Old | D’Andre Swift | Philadelphia Eagles |
| 31 | 24.7 Years Old | Rachaad White | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
| 32 | 25.2 Years Old | Alexander Mattison | Minnesota Vikings |
| 33 | 24.2 Years Old | Cam Akers | Los Angeles Rams |
| 34 | 22.0 Years Old | Tank Bigsby | Jacksonville Jaguars |
| 35 | 23.4 Years Old | Tyler Allgeier | Atlanta Falcons |
| 36 | 25.4 Years Old | Elijah Mitchell | San Francisco 49ers |
| 37 | 25.4 Years Old | AJ Dillon | Green Bay Packers |
Tier Nine
Value Estimation: Third-Round Pick
| 38 | 21.3 Years Old | Kendre Miller | New Orleans Saints |
| 39 | 22.2 Years Old | Tyjae Spears | Tennessee Titans |
| 45 | 28.4 Years Old | Jamaal Williams | New Orleans Saints |
| 40 | 25.2 Years Old | Antonio Gibson | Washington Commanders |
| 41 | 25.4 Years Old | Khalil Herbert | Chicago Bears |
| 43 | 22.6 Years Old | Roschon Johnson | Chicago Bears |
| 44 | 28.0 Years Old | Samaje Perine | Denver Broncos |
| 46 | 24.8 Years Old | Jaylen Warren | Pittsburgh Steelers |
| 48 | 24.5 Years Old | Kenneth Gainwell | Philadelphia Eagles |
| 49 | 28.4 Years Old | Gus Edwards | Baltimore Ravens |
| 50 | 31.4 Years Old | Raheem Mostert | Miami Dolphins |
| 42 | 26.6 Years Old | Damien Harris | Buffalo Bills |
| 47 | 26.0 Years Old | Devin Singletary | Houston Texans |
| 51 | 23.0 Years Old | Kyren Williams | Los Angeles Rams |
| 52 | 21.9 Years Old | Sean Tucker | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
Big RB Movers
J.K. Dobbins, Ravens – N/A (Previously 21st)
J.K. Dobbins is another player who suffered a tragic season-ending injury in Week 1.
This Achilles injury is just more than two years removed from an ACL injury that knocked him out for a whole season. Due to the nature of the position and his prior injury history, the production profile is essentially voided.
D’Andre Swift, Eagles – 30th (Previously 19th)
D’Andre Swift’s usage wasn’t ideal in Week 1. He only ran a route on 34.2 percent of the Philadelphia Eagles’ dropbacks. That led to a 15.4 percent target rate, similar to his 14.6 percent career target share.
If Swift gets more involved — which isn’t out of the question — he will be highly susceptible to fantasy production. Unfortunately, he won’t be a confident play right now.
If you can’t be confident in a fourth-year back's usage, he’s not a top-25 dynasty running back.
Wide Receiver Rankings
Tier One
Value Estimation: 3 Premium First-Round Picks
| 1 | Justin Jefferson | Minnesota Vikings |
| 2 | Ja’Marr Chase | Cincinnati Bengals |
Tier Two
Value Estimation: 2 Premium First-Round Picks
| 3 | AJ Brown | Philadelphia Eagles |
| 4 | CeeDee Lamb | Dallas Cowboys |
| 5 | Chris Olave | New Orleans Saints |
| 6 | Garrett Wilson | New York Jets |
Tier Three
Value Estimation: Premium First-Round Pick
| 7 | Amon-Ra St Brown | Detroit Lions |
| 8 | Jaylen Waddle | Miami Dolphins |
| 9 | Drake London | Atlanta Falcons |
| 10 | DeVonta Smith | Philadelphia Eagles |
| 11 | DK Metcalf | Seattle Seahawks |
| 12 | Tee Higgins | Cincinnati Bengals |
Tier Four
Value Estimation: Early First-Round Pick
| 13 | Tyreek Hill | Miami Dolphins |
| 14 | Stefon Diggs | Buffalo Bills |
| 15 | Davante Adams | Las Vegas Raiders |
Tier Five
Value Estimation: Mid-First-Round Pick
| 16 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | Seattle Seahawks |
| 17 | Quentin Johnston | Los Angeles Chargers |
| 18 | Jordan Addison | Minnesota Vikings |
| 19 | Brandon Aiyuk | San Francisco 49ers |
| 20 | Cooper Kupp | Los Angeles Rams |
| 21 | Zay Flowers | Baltimore Ravens |
| 22 | Calvin Ridley | Jacksonville Jaguars |
| 23 | Treylon Burks | Tennessee Titans |
Tier Six
Value Estimation: Late First-Round Pick
| 24 | DJ Moore | Chicago Bears |
| 25 | Deebo Samuel | San Francisco 49ers |
| 26 | Michael Pittman Jr | Indianapolis Colts |
| 27 | Terry McLaurin | Washington Commanders |
| 28 | Jerry Jeudy | Denver Broncos |
| 29 | Diontae Johnson | Pittsburgh Steelers |
| 30 | Christian Watson | Green Bay Packers |
| 31 | Marquise Brown | Arizona Cardinals |
| 32 | Amari Cooper | Cleveland Browns |
| 33 | Christian Kirk | Jacksonville Jaguars |
| 34 | Chris Godwin | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
| 35 | Jameson Williams | Detroit Lions |
| 36 | Jahan Dotson | Washington Commanders |
| 37 | George Pickens | Pittsburgh Steelers |
Tier Seven
Value Estimation: Early Second-Round Pick
| 38 | Keenan Allen | Los Angeles Chargers |
| 39 | DeAndre Hopkins | Arizona Cardinals |
| 40 | Mike Evans | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
| 41 | Mike Williams | Los Angeles Chargers |
| 42 | Tyler Lockett | Seattle Seahawks |
| 43 | Puka Nacua | Los Angeles Rams |
| 44 | Brandin Cooks | Dallas Cowboys |
Tier Eight
Value Estimation: Mid-Second-Round Pick
| 45 | Rashod Bateman | Baltimore Ravens |
| 46 | Marvin Mims | Denver Broncos |
| 47 | Michael Thomas | New Orleans Saints |
| 48 | Jakobi Meyers | Las Vegas Raiders |
| 49 | Rashee Rice | Kansas City Chiefs |
Tier Nine
Value Estimation: Late-Second-Round Pick
| 50 | Courtland Sutton | Denver Broncos |
| 51 | Darnell Mooney | Chicago Bears |
| 52 | Nico Collins | Houston Texans |
| 53 | Elijah Moore | Cleveland Browns |
| 54 | Kadarius Toney | Kansas City Chiefs |
Tier 10
Value Estimation: Third-Round Pick
| 55 | Jayden Reed | Green Bay Packers |
| 56 | Rashid Shaheed | New Orleans Saints |
| 57 | Gabriel Davis | Buffalo Bills |
| 58 | Wan’Dale Robinson | New York Giants |
| 59 | Skyy Moore | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 60 | Jonathan Mingo | Carolina Panthers |
| 61 | Josh Downs | Indianapolis Colts |
| 62 | Jalin Hyatt | New York Giants |
| 63 | Romeo Doubs | Green Bay Packers |
| 64 | Alec Pierce | Indianapolis Colts |
| 65 | John Metchie | Houston Texans |
| 66 | JuJu Smith-Schuster | Pittsburgh Steelers |
| 67 | Donovan Peoples-Jones | Cleveland Browns |
| 68 | Tyler Boyd | Cincinnati Bengals |
| 69 | Allen Lazard | New York Jets |
| 70 | Rondale Moore | Arizona Cardinals |
| 71 | Odell Beckham Jr | Baltimore Ravens |
| 72 | Curtis Samuel | Washington Commanders |
| 73 | Zay Jones | Jacksonville Jaguars |
| 74 | Darius Slayton | New York Giants |
| 75 | Tank Dell | Houston Texans |
| 76 | Tyquan Thornton | New England Patriots |
Big WR Movers
Cooper Kupp, Rams – 20th (Previously 16th)
Cooper Kupp is one of just six wide receivers with multiple 30 percent or higher target shares in their career, joining AJ Green, Brandon Marshall, DeAndre Hopkins, Antonio Brown and Davante Adams.
This has led Kupp to finish first in wide receiver points per game in the past two seasons. While he has massive upside, his continued hamstring issues will affect his production.
Still, at 30, he clearly is a top-20 dynasty wide receiver. When he’s healthy, no wide receiver has outscored him in the last two seasons.
Zay Flowers, Ravens – 21st (Previously 33rd)
When we look at Zay Flowers’ 45.5 percent target share and 3.55 yards per team pass attempt in his NFL debut, it’s nearly impossible not to get excited.
However, it came on just a 2.6 average depth of target, meaning it was mostly manufactured targets. Also, TE Mark Andrews did not play in the game, leaving more targets for Flowers.
Those factors should make us more grounded in our opinions of Flowers’ performance.
Still, Flowers is a first-round pick who the Ravens want to deploy, giving us a high-value floor across his rookie season. We’ll need to see an ability to earn targets downfield to secure legitimate upside. But it’s impossible not to get excited about this debut.
Calvin Ridley, Jaguars – 22nd (Previously 31st)
In his first game in nearly two years — especially on a new offense — Calvin Ridley earned himself a 34.4 percent target share and put up more than 3.15 yards per team pass attempt.
For a player who was just one of 13 third-year wide receivers to score at least 18 points per game, it’s hard not to get excited about Ridley’s upside.
That is especially true, considering Trevor Lawrence might take another step forward in his third season. Lawrence finished Week 1 with 19.6 passing points per game and a 6.3 touchdown rate.
Puka Nacua, Rams – 43rd (Previously N/A)
There were only three wide receivers to score at least 18 points in Week 1 without scoring a touchdown: Justin Jefferson, Chris Olave and Puka Nacua.
It was a very unlikely game from a fifth-round wide receiver prospect. The average prospect scores just 4.2 points per game in their rookie season. Nacua scoring 21.9 points on nearly 40 percent target share and 3.40 yards per route run is wildly impressive.
There isn’t too much other than a one-week sample that points to this being legit, but Nacua is intriguing.
Tight End Rankings
Tier One
Value Estimation: Premium First-Round Pick
| 1 | 28.0 Years Old | Mark Andrews | Baltimore Ravens |
| 2 | 22.9 Years Old | Kyle Pitts | Atlanta Falcons |
| 3 | 33.9 Years Old | Travis Kelce | Kansas City Chiefs |
Tier Two
Value Estimation: First-Round Pick
| 4 | 26.2 Years Old | TJ Hockenson | Minnesota Vikings |
| 5 | 24.9 Years Old | Pat Freiermuth | Pittsburgh Steelers |
| 6 | 28.7 Years Old | Dallas Goedert | Philadelphia Eagles |
| 7 | 30.0 Years Old | George Kittle | San Francisco 49ers |
Tier Three
Value Estimation: Early Second-Round Pick:
| 8 | 23.9 Years Old | Dalton Kincaid | Buffalo Bills |
| 9 | 22.7 Years Old | Sam LaPorta | Detroit Lions |
| 10 | 21.2 Years Old | Michael Mayer | Las Vegas Raiders |
Tier Four
Value Estimation: Second-Round Pick
| 11 | 31.0 Years Old | Darren Waller | New York Giants |
| 12 | 27.2 Years Old | David Njoku | Cleveland Browns |
| 13 | 29.1 Years Old | Evan Engram | Jacksonville Jaguars |
| 14 | 23.5 Years Old | Greg Dulcich | Denver Broncos |
| 15 | 22.9 Years Old | Luke Musgrave | Green Bay Packers |
Tier Five
Value Estimation: Early Third-Round Pick
| 16 | 25.0 Years Old | Jelani Woods | Indianapolis Colts |
| 17 | 24.0 Years Old | Chigoziem Okonkwo | Tennessee Titans |
| 18 | 25.0 Years Old | Luke Schoonmaker | Dallas Cowboys |
| 19 | 23.4 Years Old | Isaiah Likely | Baltimore Ravens |
Tier Six
Value Estimation: Third-Round Pick
| 20 | 23.8 Years Old | Trey McBride | Arizona Cardinals |
| 21 | 24.5 Years Old | Cole Kmet | Chicago Bears |
| 22 | 27.2 Years Old | Dalton Schultz | Houston Texans |
| 23 | 27.0 Years Old | Juwan Johnson | New Orleans Saints |
| 24 | 22.1 Years Old | Darnell Washington | Pittsburgh Steelers |
Tier Seven
Value Estimation: Late Third-Round Pick
| 25 | 25.1 Years Old | Irv Smith Jr | Cincinnati Bengals |
| 26 | 29.2 Years Old | Gerald Everett | Los Angeles Chargers |
| 27 | 25.8 Years Old | Noah Fant | Seattle Seahawks |
| 28 | 28.8 Years Old | Hunter Henry | New England Patriots |
| 29 | 28.0 Years Old | Mike Gesicki | New England Patriots |
| 30 | 24.6 Years Old | Jake Ferguson | Dallas Cowboys |
Big TE Movers
Greg Dulcich, Broncos – 14th (Previously 8th)
In 2022, there were only three tight ends to post at least a 14 percent target share on an average depth of target deeper than 10 yards: Andrews, Kyle Pitts and rookie Greg Dulcich.
A tight end who earns a strong percentage of targets deep down the field will always have a high upside. Unfortunately, in his first game under Sean Payton, he was given 32.4 percent route participation, compared to the 80.7 percent he had his rookie season.
Dulcich also found himself on the injured list following the game. The floor with Dulcich isn’t super high, but you can’t be too low on a tight end who still possesses high-end upside when given ample route participation.
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