Analysis

11/4/21

2 min read

Cowboys Have the Most Explosive Rushing Attack in the NFL by Big Play Index

7 PFF Stats You Need to Know...Cowboys Have the Most Explosive Rushing Attack

The 33rd Team introduced the Big Play Index last season to show how NFL teams stack up in terms of big plays produced and big plays allowed.

The Big Play Index has a new and improved outlook with the help of Marc Trestman. When Trestman coached in the NFL, his definition of a “Big Play” was a run of 10-plus yards and/or a pass of 16-plus yards. Ultimately, BPI correlates the ability to create explosive plays, while also limiting the opponent, and the success of the team (based on wins).

BPI Mismatch of the Week: Broncos vs Cowboys

The Cowboys offense has the 3rd most big plays, so while the Denver Broncos have not necessarily been poor defensively in terms of stopping big plays, they may struggle to quell the Dallas attack with Dak Prescott back in the fold. With all of the talent as pass catcher, shockingly, the Cowboys actually lead the league in rushing big plays with 31.

The mismatch here does not come as a result of a bad Denver defense, but rather the lack of explosiveness on their offense. The Broncos are bottom 10 in big plays for. The Cowboys new and improved defense under Dan Quinn are middle of the pack right alongside Denver. The mismatch here is between the explosive nature of the offenses.

Extra Hits

Taking advice from the BPI, the 49ers vs Cardinals game will be much closer than their records dictate. The 49ers rank 1 spot above the Cardinals in Big Play differential.
The Browns are tied for No. 1 in Big Play differential, touting the most explosive offense in football and the 6th best defense in terms of stopping explosive plays. They will face the Bengals this week, who are coming off a poor loss to the Jets but are the favorite.
Using the BPI as a frame of reference, the Browns should be able to win this game with an average defense in terms of stopping big plays facing an average Bengals offense (ineffective at big plays on the ground while being closer to the top in big passes for).

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