Analysis

2/13/23

8 min read

Important Stats to Know from Super Bowl LVII

By Nic Bodiford

Welcome to the NFL playoffs recap series. Each week, The 33rd Team’s Nic Bodiford will break down the results of the most recent playoff round, offering thoughts for NFL fans, fantasy football players and sports bettors. In the final game of the season, the Kansas City Chiefs beat the Philadelphia Eagles, 38-35, in Super Bowl LVII. 

Here are the stats you need to know from the game:

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Summary

  • Per Ryan Reynolds’ Super Bowl Line Report, the Eagles opened as +2.0 underdogs and closed as -1.5 favorites
  • The over/under opened at 49.5 points and closed at 50.5
  • The Chiefs converted 11 of 18 third downs
  • Philadelphia converted 4 of 8 third downs
  • On four fourth downs, Kansas City attempted two field goals - converting one - and punted on the remaining two downs
  • On six fourth downs, Philadelphia successfully converted two attempts to go for it, drew one defensive penalty on Kansas City, kicked one field goal and punted once

Kansas City Chiefs 

First Half

  • Patrick Mahomes' 107.5 NFL passer rating edged out his season-long 105.5 rating but both his 61.5% completion rate and 6.85 yards per pass attempt were notably below his respective 67.4% and 8.00 season-long averages
  • His 5.50 yards per rush attempt were in-line with his typical 5.58 but a late second-quarter hit to his already-injured ankle left him in agony
  • Tight end Travis Kelce predictably led the team with three receptions on three first-half targets for 60 yards receiving and one touchdown
  • Kelce’s 5.00 yards per route run led Super Bowl LVII first-half pass catchers by 1.11 yards
  • Kelce was the only Kansas City pass catcher to clear the desired 2.00 yards per route run threshold
  • Running back Isiah Pacheco led Super Bowl LVII first-half rushers with 5.20 yards after contact per rushing attempt.
  • Philadelphia quarterback Jalen Hurts fumbled the football while switching hands, which Kansas City linebacker Nick Bolton quickly recovered and returned for a 44-yard touchdown. Bolton later had another recovered touchdown called back 

Second Half

  • Mahomes erased fears that the high-ankle sprain would hamper him, scampering for a double-digit red zone gain early in the second half 
  • Kansas City tacked on seven third-quarter points via a 1-yard Pacheco run
  • Wide receiver JuJu Smith-Schuster stuffed the fourth-quarter box score with a five-catch, 40-yard receiving line, but do-it-all man Kadarius Toney broke the game open. First, he punctuated the first fourth-quarter drive with a 5-yard touchdown before a dazzling 65-yard punt return ending in Philadelphia’s green zone
  • Three plays later, second-round rookie wide receiver Skyy Moore scored his first career touchdown
  • Kicker Harrison Butker later sealed the game with a 27-yard field goal

Overall

  • Mahomes closed the game with a gorgeous 77.8% completion rating, averaging 6.74 yards per passing attempt
  • Among all 2022-2023 NFL playoff quarterbacks, his 131.8 Super Bowl LVII passer rating ranks No. 2 
  • Mahomes’ 182 yards passing is his lowest single-game total of the season, but his three touchdowns passing and zero interceptions put a shine on the showing
  • Despite the bum ankle, Mahomes ground out 44 yards rushing on six rushing attempts. The yardage total was his second-highest output of the year
  • Kelce finished with a sterling six receptions on six targets for 81 yards receiving and one touchdown. His 22-yard longest gain paced Kansas City pass catchers
  • Kelce’s outrageous 3.12 yards per route run led Super Bowl LVII participants by 0.59 yards
  • The table below ranks in parentheses Kelce’s pre-routes-run receiving data among 81 NFL players with at least 75 targets
NFL Per-Routes-Run Efficiency Targets per Route Run Yards per Route Run
Travis Kelce 31.8% (No. 2) 2.60 (No. 4)
  • Smith-Schuster tied Philadelphia wide receiver DeVonta Smith for seven receptions on nine targets; both are game highs
  • Smith-Schuster’s 37.5% targets per route run rate led Super Bowl LVII by 14.4%. It is his season-best target-earning rate by a 5.5% margin
  • Both Toney and Moore scored on their lone targets. Toney from 5 yards out, Moore from 4
  • Toney joined Kansas City via trade in Week 9. The table below ranks in parentheses Toney’s per-routes-run receiving data among 144 NFL pass catchers with at least 25 targets in Weeks 9-Super Bowl LVII
NFL Per-Routes-Run Efficiency Targets per Route Run Yards per Route Run
Kadarius Toney 26.0% (No. 15) 2.27 (No. 11)
  • The table below tallies Kansas City’s backfield snaps
KC RB Usage Downs: 1 & 2 Downs: 3 & 4 w/ 3+ Yds To Go 2-Min. Drill Red Zone - Green Zone
Isiah Pacheco 25 0 1 6 - 2
Jerick McKinnon 21 6 6 11 - 8
  • The table below reflects the Kansas City backfield’s productivity
KC RB Production Rush Att. - Yds - TD - Fum.  YPC - Yards After Contact per Rush Att. Rec./Tgt. - Yds - TD Routes Run - Per Routes Run Rates: Tgts - Yds
Isiah Pacheco 15 - 76 - 1 - 0 5.07 - 3.53 10 - 0 - 0 - 0 0.0% - 0.00
Jerick McKinnon 4 - 34 - 0 - 0 8.50 - 1.00 17 - 3/3 - 15 - 0 17.6% - 0.88

 

Philadelphia Eagles

First Half

  • Hurts got it done on the ground and in the air. He torched Kansas City for 183 yards passing with one touchdown, and 63 yards rushing and two touchdowns
  • Hurts impressively registered a 77.3% completion rate and 8.32 yards per passing attempt
  • Wide receiver A.J. Brown led first-half pass catchers with 74 yards receiving, and Smith led the group with six receptions
  • Both tight end Dallas Goedert and running back Kenneth Gainwell produced 100.0% first-half catch rates on three targets apiece 
  • Running back Miles Sanders was stuffed for minus-2 yards rushing
  • Gainwell unimpressively fended Sanders off via a 3.0 yards per rushing attempt rate

Second Half

  • Kansas City killed the third-quarter clock, limiting Philadelphia to just one possession while Hurts cratered to just a 62.5% second-half completion rate
  • Though Hurts tacked on a 2-yard rushing touchdown, he totaled just 7 yards rushing in the half, getting bottled up with just 0.50 yards after contact per rushing attempt
  • Hurts’ rushing score would have been a passing score if not for errant ball placement on a 47-yard pass to Smith
  • Goedert picked up a pair of third-quarter chunk gains, making jumping catches in traffic on both  
  • The backfield contributed little, combining for 26 scoreless yards from scrimmage

Overall

  • Hurts admirably played through the AC-joint and SC-joint pain (injured in Week 15), beating his pre-injury 68.0% completion rate with a 71.1% rate. His 8.00 yards per passing attempt closely trailed his pre-injury 8.14
  • Super Bowl LVII is Hurts' fifth 2022-2023 game with more than 300 yards passing (304). He added one touchdown passing and zero interceptions
  • Hurts’ 70 yards rushing trailed only Pacheco (76), but Hurts’ three touchdowns rushing tripled Pachecho’s one
  • Among NFL players with at least 50 regular-season rushing attempts, Hurts’ six goal-line touchdowns rushing rank third. He added two more in the playoffs
  • The table below reflects the Super Bowl LVII receiving data of Philadelphia’s passing-game triumvirate
PHI Receiving Data Rec./Tgts. - Yds - TD Catch Rate Per Routes Run Rates: Tgts. - Yds. Longest Gain Receiving
A.J. Brown 6/8 - 96 - 1 75.0%  21.1% - 2.53 45
DeVonta Smith 7/9 - 100 - 0 77.8% 21.4% - 2.38 45
Dallas Goedert 6/7 - 60 - 0 85.7%  18.4% - 1.58 17
  • The table below ranks in parentheses Brown and Smith’s per-routes-run receiving data among 59 NFL wide receivers with at least 75 targets and Goedert’s per-routes-run receiving data among 29 NFL tight ends with at least 50 targets
NFL WR Receiving Data Targets per Route Run  Yards per Route Run
A.J. Brown 25.2% (No. 14) 2.47 (No. 3)
DeVonta Smith 22.7% (No. 23) 2.00 (No. 16)
Dallas Goedert 18.6% (No. 14) 1.80 (No. 3)
  • The table below tallies Philadelphia’s backfield snaps
PHI RB Usage Downs: 1 & 2 Downs: 3 & 4 w/ 3+ Yds To Go 2-Min. Drill Red Zone - Green Zone
Miles Sanders 22 0 0 2 - 1
Kenneth Gainwell 20 13 8 5 - 2
Boston Scott 10 1 0 6 - 3
  • The table below reflects the Philadelphia backfield’s productivity
PHI RB Production Rush Att. - Yds - TD - Fum.  YPC - Yards After Contact per Rush Att. Rec./Tgt. - Yds - TD Routes Run - Per Routes Run Rates: Tgts - Yds
Miles Sanders 7 - 16 - 0 - 1 2.29 - 1.29 10 - 0/1 - 0 - 0 10.0% - 0.00
Kenneth Gainwell 7 - 21 - 0 - 0 3.00 - 2.14 21 - 4/4 - 21 - 0 19.0% - 0.95
Boston Scott 3 - 8 - 0 - 0 2.67 - 1.00 6 - 1/1 - 9 - 0 16.7% - 1.50
  • The table below ranks in parentheses Sanders and Gainwell’s rushing data among 58 NFL running backs with at least 75 rushing attempts and their receiving data among 52 NFL running backs with at least 25 targets
NFL RB Rushing & Receiving Data Yards per Rush Att. Yards After Contact per Rush Att. Targets per Route Run Yards per Route Run
Miles Sanders 4.82 (No. 21) 2.91 (No. 31) 9.5% (No. 52) 0.28 (No. 52)
Kenneth Gainwell 4.90 (No. 17) 2.71 (No. 45) 16.5% (No. 41) 0.95 (No. 30)

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Tags: A.J. Brown, Dallas Goedert, DeVonta Smith See More

Nic Bodiford

Nic Bodiford contributes to The 33rd Team's fantasy football department and works elsewhere as an analyst and editor in written, video and audio mediums. These works can be found at Pro Football Focus, 4for4, Nerdball and Fake Teams. Nic moonlights at Legendary Upside by editing Pat Kerrane's weekly article, The Walkthrough.

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