Fantasy

Wheeler’s NFL Week 13 Fantasy Football Rankings

Nick Chubb Week 13 Fantasy Football Rankings

Below you’ll find my Week 13 fantasy rankings for PPR/Half-PPR leagues. Included are my top-25 QB Rankings, top-50 RB Rankings, top-60 WR Rankings and top-18 TE Rankings. I actually submit these rankings to two different rankings competitions, one with PPR scoring, and the other Half-PPR. They are far more accurate for PPR simply because PPR scoring is less influenced by touchdowns.

When I look into weekly matchups, I only use the past five games of data. Anything that happened six weeks ago is just going to cloud our judgment.

Players out Sunday include Kadarius Toney, Mike Williams, Elijah Mitchell, Aaron Donald, Matthew Stafford, Chauncey Gardner-Johnson, David Njoku, Brandin Cooks and David Bakhtiari. The only teams with a bye in Week 13 are the Arizona Cardinals and Carolina Panthers.

Quarterback

It’s no surprise during the past five games, the Detroit Lions, Jacksonville Jaguars, Minnesota Vikings, Miami Dolphins and Arizona Cardinals have allowed the most fantasy points to QBs. Trevor Lawrence, Jared Goff, Mike White and  Jimmy Garoppolo appear to be the best match-up-based streaming options. 

Deshaun Watson is set to return from suspension in Week 13, making this his first start with his new team. The Browns face Watson’s former squad in a classic revenge game. Tua Tagovailoa was headed for a career game but got pulled in the third quarter to avoid injury in a blow-out victory. 

Rank QB Team Opp
1 Patrick Mahomes II KC @ CIN
2 Josh Allen BUF @ NE
3 Jalen Hurts PHI vs TEN
4 Justin Herbert LAC @ LV
5 Joe Burrow CIN vs KC
6 Lamar Jackson BAL vs DEN
7 Justin Fields CHI vs GB
8 Trevor Lawrence JAC @ DET
9 Geno Smith SEA @ LAR
10 Deshaun Watson CLE @ HOU
11 Derek Carr LV vs LAC
12 Dak Prescott DAL vs IND
13 Tom Brady TB vs NO
14 Tua Tagovailoa MIA @ SF
15 Kirk Cousins MIN vs NYJ
16 Jimmy Garoppolo SF vs MIA
17 Daniel Jones NYG vs WAS
18 Mike White NYJ @ MIN
19 Jared Goff DET vs JAC
20 Taylor Heinicke WAS @ NYG
21 Aaron Rodgers GB @ CHI
22 Marcus Mariota ATL vs PIT
23 Kenny Pickett PIT @ ATL
24 Mac Jones NE vs BUF
25 Matt Ryan IND @ DAL
26 Ryan Tannehill TEN @ PHI
27 Russell Wilson DEN @ BAL

Running Back

Most analysts look at fantasy points allowed when judging matchups, but for the RB position, I look at yards per carry (YPC) allowed. YPC is generally a misused metric that tells us less about running back efficiency but does give us a good indication of defensive efficiency. 

Running Backs with the best Week 13 matchups are Austin Ekeler against the Las Vegas Raiders, Nick Chubb and maybe Kareem Hunt against the Houston Texans, Josh Jacobs against the Los Angeles Chargers, Brian Robinson Jr. or Antonio Gibson against the New York Giants, Joe Mixon or Samaje Perine against the Kansas City Chiefs, Dameon Pierce against the Cleveland Browns, Isiah Pacheco or Jerick McKinnon against the Cincinnati Bengals and Kenneth Walker III against the Los Angeles Rams. 

Travis Etienne went out with a foot injury in the second quarter of their Week 12 game. JaMycal Hasty was the benefactor in Week 12 with 95 total yards, five receptions and a receiving TD. The Jaguars picked Darrell Henderson Jr. off waivers during the week. Henderson didn’t play in Week 12, but I suspect he’ll inherit the bulk of the touches going forward if Etienne misses time. 

49ers RB Elijah Mitchell suffered an MCL sprain — similar to the one he had earlier this season — and is out 6-8 weeks. Christian McCaffrey should see about 8-10 more touches than he has the past couple of weeks. 

Rank RB Team Opp.
1 Austin Ekeler LAC @ LV
2 Nick Chubb CLE @ HOU
3 Josh Jacobs LV vs LAC
4 Derrick Henry TEN @ PHI
5 Christian McCaffrey SF vs MIA
6 Rhamondre Stevenson NE vs BUF
7 Kenneth Walker III SEA @ LAR
8 Jonathan Taylor IND @ DAL
9 Dameon Pierce HOU vs CLE
10 Dalvin Cook MIN vs NYJ
11 Jamaal Williams DET vs JAC
12 Aaron Jones GB @ CHI
13 Saquon Barkley NYG vs WAS
14 Travis Etienne Jr. JAC @ DET
15 David Montgomery CHI vs GB
16 Antonio Gibson WAS @ NYG
17 Isiah Pacheco KC @ CIN
18 Rachaad White TB vs NO
19 Alvin Kamara NO @ TB
20 Miles Sanders PHI vs TEN
21 Tony Pollard DAL vs IND
22 Ezekiel Elliott DAL vs IND
23 Samaje Perine CIN vs KC
24 AJ Dillon GB @ CHI
25 Jeff Wilson Jr. MIA @ SF
26 Joe Mixon CIN vs KC
27 Leonard Fournette TB vs NO
28 D’Andre Swift DET vs JAC
29 Gus Edwards BAL vs DEN
30 Brian Robinson Jr. WAS @ NYG
31 Devin Singletary BUF @ NE
32 Najee Harris PIT @ ATL
33 Jaylen Warren PIT @ ATL
34 Kareem Hunt CLE @ HOU
35 Darrell Henderson Jr. JAC @ DET
36 JaMycal Hasty JAC @ DET
37 Cordarrelle Patterson ATL vs PIT
38 Latavius Murray DEN @ BAL
39 Michael Carter NYJ @ MIN
40 Zonovan Knight NYJ @ MIN
41 Raheem Mostert MIA @ SF
42 Kenneth Gainwell PHI vs TEN
43 Kenyan Drake BAL vs DEN
44 James Cook BUF @ NE
45 Jerick McKinnon KC @ CIN
46 Cam Akers LAR vs SEA
47 Tyler Allgeier ATL vs PIT
48 Kyren Williams LAR vs SEA
49 Dontrell Hilliard TEN @ PHI
50 Tyrion Davis-Price SF vs MIA

I faded Latavius Murray and David Montgomery in Week 12, and through the first half that looked like a HUGE mistake. With Justin Fields out, I just assumed the Jets’ defense would overwhelm Chicago with run-blitzes. I also have a historical bias against Montgomery, so I’m going to have to work through some issues there. 

Murray was in-line for plenty of touches, but he had been averaging 3.0 yards per carry during the last four games (48 attempts). The 3.0 ypc was tied for last among qualifying running backs (100 snaps, not including FB). With 98 yards on 14 touches, I would have looked rather silly had he scored a TD. He did have one carry for more than 50 yards so that is skewing his result.

With Jets RB James Robinson being a late scratch, I moved Michael Carter and Ty Johnson up a few spots in the rankings only to see UDFA Zonovan Knight lead the backfield in touches. Partially due to Carter getting injured, Knight had more opportunities than the other two backs combined. 

Wide Receiver

I examine a few different statistics when trying to find good or bad wide receiver matchups, but yards per game and fantasy points allowed are the primary gages. 

Panthers WR DJ Moore is BACK!!! I never thought Sam Darnold would be the upgrade a WR would need to be unleashed, especially since the combo didn’t work last year.

I faded Jets WR Garrett Wilson because of bad weather in New Jersey. We should never do that. Bad weather, especially rain, usually helps the offense. Offensive players know where they are going, and the defense has to react. Wilson was buckling defensive backs’ knees all day. I did have Elijah Moore ranked higher than anyone, though (WR50). 

When I found out Ja’Marr Chase was going to be out again in Week 12, I bumped Tyler Boyd way up my rankings because the best way to attack Tennessee seemed to be through the slot WR. It took 40 minutes of game time before Boyd got his first target and reception and immediately got placed in concussion protocol. 

Rank WR Team Opp
1 Justin Jefferson MIN vs NYJ
2 Davante Adams LV vs LAC
3 Tyreek Hill MIA @ SF
4 Stefon Diggs BUF @ NE
5 Ja’Marr Chase CIN vs KC
6 A.J. Brown PHI vs TEN
7 Amari Cooper CLE @ HOU
8 Jaylen Waddle MIA @ SF
9 CeeDee Lamb DAL vs IND
10 Tee Higgins CIN vs KC
11 Amon-Ra St. Brown DET vs JAC
12 DK Metcalf SEA @ LAR
13 Christian Kirk JAC @ DET
14 Mike Evans TB vs NO
15 Keenan Allen LAC @ LV
16 Terry McLaurin WAS @ NYG
17 Tyler Lockett SEA @ LAR
18 Garrett Wilson NYJ @ MIN
19 Chris Godwin TB vs NO
20 Gabe Davis BUF @ NE
21 Chris Olave NO @ TB
22 Brandon Aiyuk SF vs MIA
23 Michael Pittman Jr. IND @ DAL
24 Deebo Samuel SF vs MIA
25 Christian Watson GB @ CHI
26 Zay Jones JAC @ DET
27 Jakobi Meyers NE vs BUF
28 Treylon Burks TEN @ PHI
29 Joshua Palmer LAC @ LV
30 Courtland Sutton DEN @ BAL
31 DeVonta Smith PHI vs TEN
32 Elijah Moore NYJ @ MIN
33 Tyler Boyd CIN vs KC
34 JuJu Smith-Schuster KC @ CIN
35 George Pickens PIT @ ATL
36 Diontae Johnson PIT @ ATL
37 Jerry Jeudy DEN @ BAL
38 Darius Slayton NYG vs WAS
39 Donovan Peoples-Jones CLE @ HOU
40 Chase Claypool CHI vs GB
41 Allen Lazard GB @ CHI
42 Adam Thielen MIN vs NYJ
43 Curtis Samuel WAS @ NYG
44 Drake London ATL vs PIT
45 Mack Hollins LV vs LAC
46 Nico Collins HOU vs CLE
47 DeAndre Carter LAC @ LV
48 Michael Gallup DAL vs IND
49 Parris Campbell IND @ DAL
50 Isaiah McKenzie BUF @ NE
51 D.J. Chark Jr. DET vs JAC
52 Marquez Valdes-Scantling KC @ CIN
53 Skyy Moore KC @ CIN
54 Quez Watkins PHI vs TEN
55 Demarcus Robinson BAL vs DEN
56 Jahan Dotson WAS @ NYG
57 Jarvis Landry NO @ TB
58 Jameson Williams DET vs JAC
59 DeVante Parker NE vs BUF
60 Jauan Jennings SF vs MIA

Chicago WR Darnell Mooney is officially out for the season with an ankle injury. Mooney has had a 29% target share and 38% air yard share as the WR36 in fantasy during the past eight weeks. I expect Chase Claypool to slide right into this role. I really like Treylon Burks going forward, and he is my top waiver wire add, but he doesn’t have a good matchup in Week 13 against the Philadelphia Eagles. 

Detroit’s first-round rookie WR Jameson Williams is due to make his NFL debut in Week 13 against Jacksonville. I expect they wouldn’t bring him back unless he is 100% ready to go. He’s a top waiver add if he’s available in your league, I wouldn’t be afraid to start him in deeper leagues. Second-round rookie Skyy Moore has seen six targets in each of the past two weeks for the Kansas City Chiefs. He’s played fewer than 50% of snaps, but he has had a 39% target per route run rate.

Tight End

You will usually look smart starting a TE against the Cardinals, Dolphins, Chargers, Giants and Lions. With Arizona on their bye week, the TE with the best matchups appears to be George Kittle, Foster Moreau, Logan Thomas and Evan Engram

The Vikings have made the most of their mid-season acquisition of T.J. Hockenson. In his three games, he’s seen target shares of 23.1%, 20.0% and 32.1%. He’s been a TE1 in all three weeks.

Rank TE Team Opp
1 George Kittle SF vs MIA
2 Travis Kelce KC @ CIN
3 Mark Andrews BAL vs DEN
4 T.J. Hockenson MIN vs NYJ
5 Pat Freiermuth PIT @ ATL
6 Dalton Schultz DAL vs IND
7 Foster Moreau LV vs LAC
8 Dawson Knox BUF @ NE
9 Cole Kmet CHI vs GB
10 Gerald Everett LAC @ LV
11 Taysom Hill NO @ TB
12 Evan Engram JAC @ DET
13 Greg Dulcich DEN @ BAL
14 Hayden Hurst CIN vs KC
15 Tyler Conklin NYJ @ MIN
16 Logan Thomas WAS @ NYG
17 Harrison Bryant CLE @ HOU
18 Noah Fant SEA @ LAR
19 Hunter Henry NE vs BUF
20 Will Dissly SEA @ LAR
21 Tyler Higbee LAR vs SEA
22 MyCole Pruitt ATL vs PIT
23 Austin Hooper TEN @ PHI
24 Mike Gesicki MIA @ SF
25 Jordan Akins HOU vs CLE

At the last minute, I moved Thomas up five spots in my Week 12 TE rankings. Of course, John Bates was the Washington TE to score a TD. Thomas had an 18% target share (4.3 targets per game) and a 65% route run rate since returning from injury in Week 9.

With Isaiah Likely out, I should have known Josh Oliver would have a day against his old team (17.60 PPR, 76 RecYd, four receptions, and a receiving TD). I think most of us just shifted targets to Mark Andrews, but the Ravens roster more quality TEs than any other team and utilize two or three TEs on most plays. 

Rest of Season Rankings

Way back before I started ranking players and writing about fantasy I would search for analysts’ “Rest of Season” rankings. At the time, there were few people doing that so when I started writing it became a large part of my process. Rest of Season rankings help me with waiver wire or free-agent pick-ups before Sunday game-time.

Week 12 Rankings

Check this link throughout the week and on Thursday and Sunday mornings for the latest updates.

Good Luck this week!

WATCH: Defense/Special Teams to Start in Week 13

 

Scroll to the Top