Fantasy

3/17/23

16 min read

Top 250 Underdog Best Ball Fantasy Football Rankings

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Underdog Best Ball Rankings

Our top 250 Underdog best ball rankings have been meticulously compiled by Josh Larky and Ryan Reynolds, with help from Best Ball Mania II winner Liam Murphy.

For each player, you can see our rank compared to Underdog ADP, along with a 1-5 rating for how we are viewing this player at their current ADP — a 1 indicates we are fully fading a player at his ADP, while a 5 indicates this player is a borderline auto-pick at his ADP. You'll also notice frequent player write-ups throughout these rankings for additional context.

>> If you’re new to Underdog Fantasy, sign up with promo code “33rd” for a 100% deposit match up to $100.

Rank Name Pos ADP Rating
1 Justin Jefferson WR 1.2 3
2 Ja'Marr Chase WR 2.4 3
3 Christian McCaffrey RB 3 3
4 Travis Kelce TE 5.1 3
5 Tyreek Hill WR 5.5 3
6 Cooper Kupp WR 5 2.5
7 Stefon Diggs WR 7.3 3
8 A.J. Brown WR 8.7 3
9 CeeDee Lamb WR 11.4 3
10 Bijan Robinson RB 13.4 3
11 Saquon Barkley RB 14.5 3
12 Garrett Wilson WR 15.1 3.5
13 Amon-Ra St. Brown WR 15.7 3
14 Jaylen Waddle WR 18 3
15 Davante Adams WR 9.9 2.5
16 Austin Ekeler RB 11.2 2.5
17 Jonathan Taylor RB 11.3 2
18 Jalen Hurts QB 20.2 2.5
19 Josh Allen QB 17.8 2.5
20 DeVonta Smith WR 22.4 3
21 Kenneth Walker RB 23.2 3
22 DK Metcalf WR 26.6 3.5
23 Chris Olave WR 24 3.5
24 Tee Higgins WR 21.9 3
25 Patrick Mahomes QB 19 2
  • You want roughly equal exposure to our top-4 ranked players

>> READ: Aaron Rodgers: "I'm Playing for Jets in 2023"

  • The addition of Jimmy Garoppolo is a lateral move for the Raiders from a pure football sense. We view it as a bit of a negative from a fantasy sense. We now have Davante Adams ranked at the end of this four-WR cluster
  • Trade rumors have led to an Austin Ekeler ADP slide
  • Kenneth Walker III would be a Round 1 best ball pick in other years. While we want drafters to go WR-heavy early on with our rankings, he is at minimal risk of losing goal line work come the NFL Draft
  • Positional scarcity has us moving DK Metcalf and Chris Olave up ahead of the talented RB tier behind them
  • Patrick Mahomes should only be targeted when Travis Kelce is already on your team
Rank Name Pos ADP Rating
26 Tony Pollard RB 35.7 3.5
27 Travis Etienne RB 30.1 3.5
28 Derrick Henry RB 25.9 3
29 Breece Hall RB 25.3 3
30 Josh Jacobs RB 29.4 3
31 Rhamondre Stevenson RB 35.2 3
32 Nick Chubb RB 28.7 2.5
33 T.J. Hockenson TE 44.1 4
34 Mark Andrews TE 36.2 3
35 Justin Fields QB 33.3 3
36 DeAndre Hopkins WR 35.9 3
37 Deebo Samuel WR 32 3
38 Lamar Jackson QB 43.7 3
39 Calvin Ridley WR 38.5 3
40 Christian Watson WR 44.6 3.5
41 Christian Kirk WR 49.7 3.5
42 Amari Cooper WR 36.7 2.5
43 DJ Moore WR 41.4 2.5
44 Joe Burrow QB 35 2
45 Mike Williams WR 40.9 2.5
46 Jameson Williams WR 58.2 5
47 Jahmyr Gibbs RB 60 4.5
48 Jerry Jeudy WR 45 3
49 Najee Harris RB 43.5 2
50 Justin Herbert QB 51.7 3
  • The departure of Ezekiel Elliott opens the door for a primetime role for Tony Pollard, at least for now
  • We are still bullish on Travis Etienne, but we want to scale back some to get more exposure to other similarly-tiered players
  • Age vs. other players in this tier, along with landing spot uncertainty, led to us moving Derrick Henry back down
  • James Robinson signing with the Patriots was good news for Rhamondre Stevenson, as he's better in all facets of the game than Robinson
  • We've talked about it for weeks, and now we officially have T.J. Hockenson ahead of Mark Andrews. However, elevate Andrews when stacking with Lamar Jackson
  • Given his age, we are going to scale back on DeAndre Hopkins some until we know for sure where he'll play this season
  • Target D.J. Moore when you have Justin Fields on your team. Darnell Mooney had a 25% target share and just 6.8 fantasy points per game, so we need a massive shift in pass rate and efficiency to develop a high-end fantasy pass-catcher from this offense
  • Boost Justin Herbert when stacking with Los Angeles Chargers players. Otherwise, he's a touch overpriced
Rank Name Pos ADP Rating
51 Trevor Lawrence QB 57.9 3
52 Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR 54.6 3
53 Chris Godwin WR 54.2 3
54 George Kittle TE 52.4 2.5
55 Tyler Lockett WR 59.6 3
56 Keenan Allen WR 53.3 2.5
57 Michael Pittman WR 47.5 2
58 Terry McLaurin WR 51.8 2.5
59 Drake London WR 47.8 2
60 Mike Evans WR 65.4 2.5
61 Marquise Brown WR 64.3 3
62 Kyle Pitts TE 63.7 2.5
63 D'Andre Swift RB 57.6 3.5
64 Dalvin Cook RB 58.2 2.5
65 Aaron Jones RB 62.3 2.5
66 Brandon Aiyuk WR 66.5 3
67 Treylon Burks WR 73.2 4
68 J.K. Dobbins RB 70.3 3
69 Quentin Johnston WR 82.5 3.5
70 Rashod Bateman WR 83.4 4
71 Kadarius Toney WR 79.4 3.5
72 Gabe Davis WR 75.7 3
73 Diontae Johnson WR 73.8 2.5
74 Darren Waller TE 91.4 4
75 Dallas Goedert TE 66.3 2
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba (scouting report) had a faster three-cone drill time than Tyreek Hill, and his otherworldly short-area quickness makes us confident he'll produce early and often as a rookie
  • In a vacuum, George Kittle is a bad pick, as he's often injured, part of a crowded receiver room, and doesn't have a quarterback yet. However, for best ball tournaments, Kittle is one of the precious few TEs that can put up 80 yards and two TDs regardless of game script, opponent, or QB play - and that could be in Weeks 15, 16, and/or 17
  • We're still below consensus on Michael Pittman Jr., but the signing of Gardner Minshew increases our interest in him
  • We like Drake London as a player, but Desmond Ridder and Taylor Heinicke are in the running for the league's worst QB room
  • A trade to a contender would be the best-case scenario for Mike Evans in best ball

 

  • If Kyler Murray returns to action, Hollywood Brown has difference-making spike week potential every game
  • Kyle Pitts still has fascinating upside, but a QB room of Ridder and Heinicke is discouraging
  • The Detroit Lions' backfield scored the most fantasy points per game last season, and both D'Andre Swift and David Montgomery have very strong fantasy potential. Swift should be the primary pass-catcher and mix in some goal line work
  • Trade rumors have Dalvin Cook sliding slightly down our list
  • Regardless of QB play, Treylon Burks looks like a 20%+ target share guy who is dangerous after the catch
  • If the Buffalo Bills trade for a high-end veteran receiver, which would make sense for them, Gabe Davis could see significant role reduction. However, he's currently the WR2 in one of the league's most voluminous passing offenses
  • Dallas Goedert is behind both A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith in the pecking order, and also behind Jalen Hurts' and Rashaad Penny's rush attempts at the goal line
Rank Name Pos ADP Rating
76 Dameon Pierce RB 66 2
77 Tyler Allgeier RB 83.6 3
78 Jahan Dotson WR 78.7 3
79 Jordan Addison WR 82 3
80 Deshaun Watson QB 82 3.5
81 Courtland Sutton WR 87.3 3
82 Javonte Williams RB 72.5 1.5
83 Dak Prescott QB 85.8 2
84 Tua Tagovailoa QB 96.5 4
85 Evan Engram TE 85.7 3
86 Isiah Pacheco RB 73.2 2
87 James Cook RB 86.9 3
88 George Pickens WR 68.9 1
89 Zay Flowers WR 95.9 3
90 James Conner RB 96.8 3
91 Daniel Jones QB 102.6 4
92 David Montgomery RB 108.8 3.5
93 Alvin Kamara RB 95.2 3
94 Kirk Cousins QB 101.2 3
95 David Njoku TE 101.9 3
96 Zach Charbonnet RB 98.1 3
97 Khalil Herbert RB 93.5 3
98 Miles Sanders RB 93.4 2.5
99 Rachaad White RB 91.3 2.5
100 Cam Akers RB 79.6 2
  • Tyler Allgeier is the arbitrage play on Dameon Pierce. Both are Day 3 picks from last season who flashed as both runners and pass-catchers. At least we have confidence in the Atlanta Falcons' offense being close to average
  • Deshaun Watson is the end of a QB tier, as he's the last potentially elite passer who also offers 20-30 yards per game on the ground
  • Coverage surrounding his injury gets more concerning by the week, and The 33rd Team's Dr. Jess Flynn thinks there's a non-zero chance Javonte Williams doesn't play all season and/or is never close to the same player again. This is a similar injury to what J.K. Dobbins was recovering from last year
  • Hill and Waddle both go in the top-20 picks, and there's a disconnect between that and Tua's ADP. When taking Tua, either bet on full health or draft Mike White in the 19th or 20th round, too
  • Zay Flowers (scouting report) is still live for Round 1 draft capital
  • David Montgomery is the last RB available with top-5 rushing potential at the position that we can confidently expect to start for the full season
  • Zach Charbonnet (scouting report) is live for Round 2 draft capital and should be in your RB rotation in this range of drafts. He's the most likely among this group to get 15 touches per game in 2023, with some of it coming through the passing game
  • D'Onta Foreman's addition doesn't kill Khalil Herbert's expectations, but it tempers them some
  • The Carolina Panthers have a solid offensive line and Miles Sanders will be their primary ball carrier. It could have been a better landing spot, but definitely could have been worse for best ball purposes
Rank Name Pos ADP Rating
101 Brandin Cooks WR 100.4 2.5
102 Michael Thomas WR 108.3 3.5
103 Jakobi Meyers WR 92.7 2
104 Aaron Rodgers QB 114.9 3.5
105 JuJu Smith-Schuster WR 108 3
106 Rashaad Penny RB 138.4
107 Brian Robinson RB 106.7 2.5
108 Jamaal Williams RB 113.1 3
109 Jalin Hyatt WR 113.8 3
110 Joe Mixon RB 78 1
111 Trey Lance QB 103.2 3
112 Russell Wilson QB 117.6 3
113 Geno Smith QB 121.2 3
114 Jared Goff QB 114.1 3
115 Dalton Schultz TE 119.7 2.5
116 Pat Freiermuth TE 111 2.5
117 Elijah Moore WR 110.3 2.5
118 Zay Jones WR 121.2 3
119 Josh Downs WR 127.8 3
120 K.J. Osborn WR 116 2
121 Darnell Mooney WR 105.5 1.5
122 Donovan Peoples-Jones WR 110 2
123 Kyler Murray QB 129.2 3
124 Kenneth Gainwell RB 123.6 2.5
125 AJ Dillon RB 109.8 1.5
  • Michael Thomas is a home run swing type of option with considerable risk, yet WR1 type upside
  • Garoppolo's Las Vegas Raiders aren't an ideal landing spot for Jakobi Meyers
  • Rodgers is only a year removed from winning back-to-back MVPs
  • New England is an interesting landing spot for JuJu Smith-Schuster from a pure volume standpoint
  • Penny is well positioned to take on the primary ball carrier - Miles Sanders role - from last season
  • Sneaky interesting landing spot for Jamaal Williams, as he'll be the primary back while Alvin Kamara is out, while still having a role when Kamara returns
  • For Jalin Hyatt (scouting report), think Will Fuller or Henry Ruggs for likely fantasy usage. He likely gets drafted in Round 1, and should put up a few high-end spike weeks as a rookie
  • Trey Lance is a low-floor, home run swing QB option that could be a real difference-maker if he hits. Note: Liam Murphy is buying Lance's upside at current ADP
  • Trade rumors have put a pause on any enthusiasm we might have for Elijah Moore
  • Zay Jones is a tough evaluation for best ball. He's behind Kirk, Ridley, and Evan Engram for targets, but should any of them go down, he'd be set to reprise his role from last season. A high-end handcuff WR with TD upside.
  • Moore instantly becomes the Bears' WR1, and Mooney falls significantly in our rankings

 

Rank Name Pos ADP Rating
126 Tyler Boyd WR 122.4 2
127 Joshua Palmer WR 124.4 2
128 Antonio Gibson RB 142.5 4
129 Elijah Mitchell RB 134.9 3.5
130 Greg Dulcich TE 137.3 3
131 Chigoziem Okonkwo TE 141.4 3
132 Bryce Young QB 144.6 2.5
133 Derek Carr QB 132 2.5
134 Dawson Knox TE 127 2.5
135 Skyy Moore WR 133.9 3
136 Isaiah Hodgins WR 143.8 3
137 CJ Stroud QB 151.7 3
138 Jeff Wilson RB 186.5 4
139 Raheem Mostert RB 166.7 3.5
140 Samaje Perine RB 157.9 4
141 Alexander Mattison RB 136.3 3
142 Anthony Richardson QB 146.9 3
143 Jordan Love QB 156.5 3
144 Matthew Stafford QB 150.2 2.5
145 Alec Pierce WR 153.1 3
146 Marquez Valdes-Scantling WR 172.2 4
147 Devon Achane RB 140.5 2
148 Ryan Tannehill QB 213.2 4
149 Odell Beckham WR 142 2.5
150 Chase Claypool WR 165.9 3.5
  • Antonio Gibson will get some carries and most of the receiving work. Should Brian Robinson Jr. go down, he's an RB1-type. He likely still pays off at ADP even if Robinson stays fully healthy
  • Elijah Mitchell is a premium handcuff behind Christian McCaffrey
  • Chigoziem Okonkwo has a similar athletic profile to Kittle and finds himself on a Titans depth chart devoid of talent after Treylon Burks. The target upside is big for this athletic second-year TE
  • We were both bullish on Skyy Moore when he was going closer to pick 170. Now, he's perfectly fine where he's going
  • Now that Jeff Wilson and Raheem Mostert are back in Miami, we expect a relative timeshare with Wilson seeing an edge in volume over time
  • Denver is an interesting landing spot for Samaje Perine given Javonte Williams' injury uncertainty
  • After re-signing with Minnesota, Alexander Mattison is once again a premium handcuff option
  • Anthony Richardson's (scouting report) ADP is getting high, but he still has tremendous upside
  • Alec Pierce quietly had 600 receiving yards as a rookie and Parris Campbell is a New York Giant. Minshew previously supported DJ Chark in Jacksonville, and Pierce has a similar skill set
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling is a well-paid pass-catcher that saw significant playing time in Mahomes' offense last season. His ADP is currently mispriced
  • We aren't necessarily taking Ryan Tannehill this early, but we have him in this relative QB tier, which makes him an extreme value at his current ADP
  • Odell Beckham Jr. hasn't played since the Rams' Super Bowl win, and he turns 31 in November. We need to see his landing spot before being aggressive with how we rank him
Rank Name Pos ADP Rating
151 Kenny Pickett QB 157.6 2.5
152 Tim Patrick WR 180.1 4
153 Allen Lazard WR 130.7 2.5
154 Rondale Moore WR 150 2.5
155 Romeo Doubs WR 144.3 2
156 Michael Gallup WR 149.9 2.5
157 Hunter Renfrow WR 161.4 2.5
158 Tyjae Spears RB 161.7 3
159 Michael Mayer TE 163.5 3
160 Cole Kmet TE 126.9 1
161 Jimmy Garoppolo QB 176.6 3.5
162 Mac Jones QB 187.7 3
163 Trey McBride TE 183.8 3.5
164 Taysom Hill TE 149 2.5
165 DJ Chark WR 163.1 3
166 Curtis Samuel WR 168.7 3
167 Tyquan Thornton WR 174 3.5
168 D'Onta Foreman RB 151.2 2
169 Juwan Johnson TE 169.9 4
170 Tyler Higbee TE 167.3 2
171 Leonard Fournette RB 170.4 2
172 Gerald Everett TE 172.1 2.5
173 Mike Gesicki TE 174.9 3
174 Chuba Hubbard RB 198.2 3.5
175 Terrace Marshall WR 181.3 3.5
  • Tim Patrick is one of our current favorite late-value WRs. Trade rumors for Jerry Jeudy and Courtland Sutton could potentially catapult Patrick into a default WR1 role with Russell Wilson
  • We're moving Allen Lazard up with the expectation that he'll play with Rodgers again in New York
  • Cole Kmet has mediocre base talent and is now crowded out in what should still be a run-heavy offense
  • Garoppolo has some spike week potential as a QB in a capable offense that happens to have a bottom-tier defense
  • We aren't generally targeting Mac Jones, but his current ADP is too low compared to others at the position
  • We expect even fewer opportunities at QB with the Saints bringing in Derek Carr. That said, Taysom Hill is a unique player in fantasy given his TE designation
  • Tyquan Thornton's ADP is slowly catching up to where it should be
  • Now that he's been officially brought back by New Orleans, Juwan Johnson is among our favorite cheap TEs
  • Terrace Marshall Jr. quietly had 490 yards last season and finds himself on a Panthers team devoid of other pass-catchers

 

Rank Name Pos ADP Rating
176 Khalil Shakir WR 186.5 3.5
177 Jaylen Warren RB 191.3 3.5
178 Tank Bigsby RB 182.5 2.5
179 Sean Tucker RB 154.7 1
180 Ezekiel Elliott RB 135.7 1
181 Jerick McKinnon RB 189.8 2.5
182 Roschon Johnson RB 176.8 2.5
183 Deonte Harty WR 239.2 3
184 Rashid Shaheed WR 151.8 2
185 Kareem Hunt RB 130.1 1
186 Nico Collins WR 180.1 2
187 Noah Fant TE 204 3.5
188 Dalton Kincaid TE 195.5 3
189 Hayden Hurst TE 211.3 3
190 Damien Harris RB 158.7 2
191 Parris Campbell WR 193.4 3
192 Devin Singletary RB 171.8 2
193 Adam Thielen WR 171 2
194 Kayshon Boutte WR 166.7 1
195 Kendre Miller RB 194.5 2
196 Will Levis QB 209.3 3
197 Jacoby Brissett QB 239.3 2.5
198 Baker Mayfield QB 225.3 2.5
199 Gardner Minshew QB 240 2.5
200 Jerome Ford RB 223.9 3.5
  • We're going to put a pause on drafting Elliott until we know where his next destination is
  • We view Roschon Johnson (scouting report) as an intriguing prospect, but his ADP continues to rise
  • Noah Fant is one of our favorite late tight ends
  • Kayshon Boutte (scouting report) has the vertical leap of an accountant, which does little to soothe his character and work ethic concerns
  • I'm targeting Will Levis (scouting report) late with certain builds given his rushing upside and current low cost
  • Jerome Ford is in line to be Nick Chubb's primary backup
Rank Name Pos ADP Rating
201 Zamir White RB 229.5 3
202 Cordarrelle Patterson RB 189.9 2
203 Allen Robinson WR 212.1 2
204 Rashee Rice WR 213.7 3
205 Eric Gray RB 239.7 3.5
206 Pierre Strong RB 209.8 3
207 Kenny McIntosh RB 237.8 3
208 Zach Evans RB 193.2 2
209 Isaiah Likely TE 194.6 2
210 Van Jefferson WR 202.1 2.5
211 Darius Slayton WR 218.4 2.5
212 Tyler Conklin TE 214.2 3.5
213 Luke Musgrave TE 235.4 2.5
214 Jelani Woods TE 215.6 2.5
215 Darnell Washington TE 213.1 2.5
216 Tyler Scott WR 236.4 2.5
217 DeVante Parker WR 232.7 2.5
218 John Metchie WR 182.6 2.5
219 Chase Brown RB 213 2.5
220 David Bell WR 229.9 2.5
221 Robert Woods WR 205.6 2.5
222 Russell Gage WR 233.9 2.5
223 Desmond Ridder QB 222.2 2.5
224 Hunter Henry TE 209 2.5
225 Sam Darnold QB 239.7 3

 

Rank Name Pos ADP Rating
226 Sam Howell QB 186.9 1.5
227 Evan Hull RB 238.5 4
228 James Robinson RB 236.8 2.5
229 Joshua Kelley RB 229.1 3
230 Taylor Heinicke QB 239.2 2.5
231 Deuce Vaughn RB 236.4 2.5
232 Gus Edwards RB 229.1 2.5
233 Keaontay Ingram RB 239.9 2.5
234 Isaiah Spiller RB 237.2 3
235 Dontrell Hilliard RB 239.9 2.5
236 Boston Scott RB 238.9 2.5
237 Nyheim Hines RB 239 2.5
238 AT Perry WR 238.6 2.5
239 Brock Purdy QB 223.6 2.5
240 Kyren Williams RB 237.4 2.5
241 Logan Thomas TE 239.9 2.5
242 Laviska Shenault WR 229.7 2.5
243 Sterling Shepard WR 236.4 2.5
244 Nathaniel Dell WR 238.5 2.5
245 Tucker Kraft TE - 2.5
246 Corey Davis WR 222 2.5
247 Chase Edmonds RB 239.9 2.5
248 Mike White QB 238.2 2.5
249 Daniel Bellinger TE 215.6 2
250 Tom Brady QB 239.7 2.5
  • Evan Hull has adequate size, good speed, and 417 carries and 88 receptions over his final two years at Northwestern. He will be a priority waiver add at some point this season and should provide some spike weeks
  • Mike White is a savvy pick when Tua is on your team, as a solid handcuff QB in these 20-round drafts given Tua's injury history and Miami's league-best WR core
Tags: Arizona Cardinals, Atlanta Falcons, Baltimore Ravens See More

Josh Larky

Josh Larky is the Director of Fantasy and Gambling at The 33rd Team.  He joins us with a unique blend of educational and professional experience.

Ryan Reynolds

Ryan graduated with distinction from the University of Minnesota as an accounting major, but some of the most valuable business and investment lessons he has ever learned came from spending weekends learning the sports collectibles business from his father. At a young age, Ryan would voluntarily spend hours sifting through minor league baseball statistics, using his father’s analytics-based system to identify potential targets. Even then, the hitter’s swing or the pitcher’s “stuff” mattered more to Ryan than the perspective granted through just data.

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